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Practical Exercise 2

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Practical exercise II
Alejandro Bernales
Finance I
Practical exercise II
Alejandro Bernales
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Chile
Practical exercise II
Alejandro Bernales
Question 1: Term Structure of Interest Rates
1. Go Bank of England website (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/yield-curves) and take
the series: Monthly government liability curve (nominal)-SPOT CURVE (for different maturities:
6 month to 40 years). Assume that rates has the term convention Trading days/Trading days.
2. Fit the Nelson-Siegel model to find the term structure of interest rates. Please, as explained in
class, be careful to find a global optimal parameters.
– Fit the Nelson-Siegel model for the last TRADING DAY for 2016,2017, 2018, 2019 and
2020.
• You will have 5 curve
3. Estimate the out-of-sample error from fitting the term structure with the Nelson-Siegel model for
each month. To this end, take the following steps:
a) Remove one rate from your data.
b) Fit the Nelson-Siegel model to find the term structure.
c) Find the difference (in absolute value) between the removed rate in part (a) and the model
output for it from part (b).
d) Repeat a, b and c with every rate available for both models.
e) Average the absolute value differences and report their values
f) Discuss the error estimates relative to the interest rate levels.
4. This is the most important point (60% of the score in this question): Discuss the evolution of
the term-structure interest rate in England, over each month. Explain this evolution according to
news, economic, social an political events in England and in the global economy.
Universidad de Chile
Practical exercise II
Alejandro Bernales
How do you have to delivery the practical exercises ?
1) In groups of TWO students
2) Please, provide:
• A report.
• Electronic files. which were used to calculate everything (including explanations): Matlab,
R, Excel files, or any code in any software or language that you will use to calculate this
homework.
Deadline: July 18th, 2021.
Important A: I will not move the deadline. So please organize your time to have everything
by then.
Universidad de Chile
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