In Kind Transfers (with some references to food) John Scott, CIDE 2013 World Bank Conference on Equity Commitment to Equity in Fiscal Policy Some General Issues • Traditional BIA focuses on least relevant redistributive aspects of IK transfers – Effect on income distribution (indirect & short run): freeing up income for other uses – Financial resources: public spending – Coverage, access, use of services – But still very useful…what governments are trying to do, revealed social preferences, constraints; net benefits • What would be more relevant? – effective access, quality: progressivity of health ane education IK transfers may be grossly overestimated – Impact on non-income dimensions, intrinisically valued – Long term (life-cycle) impact on income distribution through HK Effective access, Quality Cuadro 1. Indicadores de calidad de los servicios salud por quintiles de hogares (ordenados por consumo): 2002 Quintil 1 Quintil 2 Institución proveedora (%) SSA 43 41 IMSS/ISSSTE 44 42 Privada 6 4 Características de clínicas (%) Con Laboratorio 29 46 Clínica participa en Oportunidades 63 47 Realizan ultrasonidos 24 37 Realizan Rayos X 30 45 Salario mensual director (pesos) 9,321 12,138 Falto material/ equipo ult. Semana 27 22 Fuente: Susan Parker 2008, a partir de ENNVIH-1. Quintil 3 Quintil 4 Quintil 5 37 48 5 27 52 9 22 50 13 57 38 43 58 14,464 16 61 27 52 62 15,684 14 69 25 61 70 18,149 13 Benefits proportional to spending? 900 800 700 600 500 Gasto Público Salud PNA 400 300 200 100 Benefits proportional to spending? 900 800 700 600 Gasto Público Salud PNA Camas censables 500 Consultorios Unidades consulta externa 400 Unidades hospitalización Médicos 300 200 100 Enfermeras 450 400 60% 350 50% 300 40% 250 30% 200 150 20% 100 10% 50 0% 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 OOP (% total) Public ($) OOP ($) Billion pesos (2010) 70% Goods vs services vs. administration: proportion of health spending on medicines to ambulatory care 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2002 2003 2007 Public Uninsured 2008 Public SS 2009 OOP 2010 Private Insurance 2011 Redistributive objectives of IK transfers: What is “fair” distribution? • Progressivity in non-income as well as income dimensions • Inequality/poverty of opportunities, access to specific goods – Concentration curve of multidimensional poverty – Benefits received proportional to need • Financial protection: catastrophic, empoverishing expenditures Food transfers • Valuation of benefits not as challenging as in services: closer to cash transfers… • But cash vs. in kind important for indirect, GE effects – Cash transfers can increase local food (and other) prices, and may have multiplier effects by boosting local demand – IK food transfers may reduce local prices, increasing benefits to consumers, but harming local producers Food transfers – These effects can be important in remote rural communities: Mexico’s PAL program experiments (Cunha & De Giorgi 2013) • IK transfers reduced price of transferred goods by 8% relative to cash transfers, benefit to consumers = + 40% of direct transfer • cash transfers lead to a 4 percent increase in overall food prices; 8 percent increase in aggregate village income, on average. Food transfers • Measuring objective important practical issue – Access to Food, self-perceived: food security scales (ELASA, Multidimensional poverty, Coneval) – Malnutrition in children: low height/age, low weight/height – Extreme absolute PL – Dietary diversity Derek Headey & Olivier Ecker , Improving the Measurement of Food Security , IFPRI DP 01225l November 2012 Panorama de la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en México, Informe País, FAO, 2013. Reditributive objectives of IK transfers: What is “fair” distribution? • Concentration curves of non-income poverty dimensions • Equality of opportunities • Benefits received proportional to need • Costs of reaching poorer communities: public spending may need to be more than proportional Food transfers 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Desnutrición (baja talla/edad preescolares) Rezago Acceso Alimentos (EMSA) Total Food Programs Oportunidades PAL Liconsa Diconsa 90% 100% Health 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Rezago Acceso a Salud Total Public Spending SSA IMSS ISSSTE IMSS-Oportunidades Seguro Popular 100% Education 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Rezago Educativo Total Public Educatio Spending Básica Media Superior Superior Becas Oportunidades Otras becas públicas 100% Social security 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Rezago Seguridad Social Total Social Security IMSS ISSSTE 70 y más Adultos Mayores Estados 100% Reducing specific economic inequalities: health/education spending Beyond measurement: determinants • Economic costs (user fees, contributory finance, labor opp costs, purchasing power…) vs. capture… • Inequality increases both, makes redsistribution more difficult • History, path-dependence: education coverage • Quality and self-selection – Redistributive impact vs. Redistributive “effectiveness”: increasing financing of “universal” public services, if effective in increasing service quality, will reduce equity 35% Participación porcentual 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Deciles Total Básica Media Superior Superior Becas Oportunidades Otras becas públicas Education (concentration coefficients) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 1992 1994 Total 1996 Primary 1998 2000 Lower Secondary 2002 2006 Upper Secondary 2008 Tertiary 2010 Health (use) 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 1996 Total (A) 1998 SSA (A) 2000 IMSS (A) 2002 ISSSTE (A) 2006 2008 Seguro Popular (affiliation) 2010 Total (B)