¿Eternos emergentes? Asia y América Latina Lourdes Casanova Strategy Department INSEAD Email: [email protected] Casa de América Observatorio Iberoamericano de Asia Pacífico de Casa Asia 27 de marzo 2008 Globalization is a 2-way street As economic and political power shifts worldwide, ‘new champions’ are emerging regionally that force us to rethink solutions to global and industry challenges. How can old and new champions collaborate in a highly competitive global environment? Where are the natural areas of collaboration? World Economic Forum. Davos. 26 Jan 2008 ‘far behind’ ‘me-toos’ ‘low-cost’ Brazil sugar cane based ethanol the "Chang"solar-powered cell phone EBITDAs > 50% in all new champions Emerging markets Hardships Î Training ground to expand In Accenture 2008 In Accenture 2008 The new ‘JAGUARS’ EMERGING MULTINATIONALS FROM LATIN AMERICA • 334 of the top 500 Latin American MNCs > US$ 1 billion • OFDI (2006) US$40 billion (source: ECLAC 2007) • Phases • • • • 1: 1970 – 1982 Natural market 2: 1982 – 1990 Lost decade 3. 1990 – 2001 Privatization and deregulation: competition 4. 2002… China and India demand of commodities • Competition • Economic boom Joined IDB/INSEAD research project • From Multilatinas to Global Latinas. Ad hoc sample • Investments in US or EU • Excluded 100% state-owned, financial institutions • Variety of sectors, sizes, public/private and countries • Starting at the ’90s • Mexicans: América Móvil, Bimbo, Cemex • Brazilians: CVRD, Embraer, Petrobras • Emerging Global Latinas (SMEs) • Concha y Toro, Natura, Politec, Pollo Campero and Astrid y Gastón Not much public information about the companies/opacity 1. DRIVERS: Macro and firm • MACRO • • • • Economic volatility Liberalization policies Î competition at home Trade Agreements: NAFTA, Mercosur (FTAs very important) Economic bonanza since 2002: commodities, increase demand from China and India • Government role • FIRM • • • • Seeking (stable) markets Î growth Competition at home Î best defense is to attack Perception of an opportunity Learn • To compete • Competitive advantage Îvirtuous circle 2. International Strategies • Geographic diversification as hedging more than by product • Where? 1st phase: Natural Market: language, history, proximity 2nd phase: US/EU/Asia 3rd phase: Rediscovery of natural market • Brazilian companies more geographical diverse expansion (but started in Mercosur) than Mexicans (focused in US) • How • Domestic: Greenfield • International: Acquisitions, JV (oil-mining)- alliances-network 3. Global Latinas Uniqueness • • • • • • Dominant positions in home market Family owned conglomerates/’national champions’ Entrepreneurial drive Strong (and long) leadershipÎ fast centralized decision-making Beyond efficiency: Branding and Innovation Survive harsh environment, different perception of risk • Economic volatilily • Strong competition in home market: local and MNCs • Management: • Not always professionalized management (network or family control) • Stand alone international operations (not integrated) • Take advantage of crisis cheap assets from ‘foreign MNCs’ • To acquire competitive advantage CONCLUSIONS • Fierce competitors that excel at efficiency, innovation and risk management • Internationalization • • • • Tap new markets, Build economies of scale Spread risk geographically Compete with multinationals Access to knowledge: technology, cheaper capital Some questions for discussion • Should governments encourage Outward Foreign Direct Investment? • CVRD’s public discussion • Impact in host country • Will they cooperate more? • Will they have a development angle? • Do they owe anything to their home country?