178 Evolutionary Anthropology ARTI CLES The Social Brain Hypothesis Robin I.M. Dunbar Conventional wisdom over the past 160 years in the cognitive and neurosciences has assumed that brains evolved to process factual information about the world. Most attention has therefore been focused on such features as pattern recognition, color vision, and speech perception. By extension, it was assumed that brains evolved to deal with essentially ecological problem-solving tasks.1 Th e con cen su s view h as tradition ally been th at brain s evolved to process in for m a tion of ecologica l r elevan ce. Th is view, h owever, ign ores an im portan t con sideration : Brain s are exceedin gly expen sive both to evolve an d to m ain tain . Th e adu lt h u m an brain weigh s abou t 2% of body weigh t bu t con su m es abou t 20% of total en ergy in take.2 In th e ligh t of th is, it is difficu lt to ju stify th e claim th at prim ates, an d especially h u m an s, n eed larger brain s th an oth er species m erely to do th e sam e ecological job. Claim s th at prim ate ecological strategies in volve m or e com p lex p r ob lem -solvin g 3,4 are plau sible wh en applied to th e beh aviors of particu lar species, su ch as term ite-extraction by ch im pan zees an d n u t-crackin g by Cebu s m on keys, b u t fa il to exp la in wh y a ll prim ates, including those that are conventional folivores, require larger brains than those of all other m am m als. An altern ative h ypoth esis offered du rin g th e late 1980s was th at prim ates’ large brain s reflect th e com pu - Robin Dunbar is Professor of Evolutionary Psychology and Behavioural Ecology at the University of Liverpool, England. His research primarily focuses on the behavioral ecology of ungulates and human and nonhuman primates, and on the cognitive mechanisms and brain components that underpin the decisions that animals make. He runs a large research group, with graduate students working on many different species on four continents. Key Words: brain size, neocortex, social brain hypothesis, social skills, mind reading, primates tation al dem an ds of th e com plex socia l system s th a t ch a r a cter ize th e order.5,6 Prim a facie, th is su ggestion seem s plau sible: Th ere is am ple eviden ce th at prim ate social system s are m ore com plex th an th ose of oth er species. Th ese system s can be sh own to in volve processes su ch as tactical deception 5 an d coalition -form ation ,7,8 wh ich are rare or occu r on ly in sim pler form s in oth er taxon om ic grou ps. Becau se of th is, th e su ggestion was rapidly du bbed th e Mach iavellian in telligen ce h ypoth esis, alth ou gh th ere is a growin g preferen ce to call it th e social brain h ypoth esis.9,10 Plau sible as it seem s, th e social brain h ypoth esis faced a problem th at was recogn ized at an early date. Specifically, wh at qu an titative em pirical eviden ce th ere was ten ded to favor on e or th e oth er of th e ecological h ypoth eses,1 wh ereas th e eviden ce addu ced in favor of th e social brain h ypoth esis was, at best, an ecdotal.6 In th is article, I sh all first sh ow h ow we can test between th e com petin g h ypoth eses m ore con clu sively an d th en con sider som e of th e im plication s of th e social brain h ypoth esis for h u m an s. Fin ally, I sh all briefly con sider som e of th e u n derlyin g cogn itive m ech an ism s th at m igh t be in volved. TESTING BETWEEN ALTERNATIVE HYPOTHESES To test between th e com petin g h ypoth eses, we n eed to force th e h ypoth eses in to con flict in su ch a way th at th eir prediction s are m u tu ally con tradictory. Th is allows th e data to dis- cr im in a te u n equ ivoca lly b etween th em . In th e presen t case, we can do th is by askin g wh ich h ypoth esis best predicts th e differen ces in brain size across th e prim ate order. To do so, we n eed to iden tify th e specific qu an titative prediction s m ade by each h ypoth esis an d to determ in e an appropriate m easu re of brain size. Th e fou r classes of h ypoth eses th at h ave been pu t forward to explain prim ate brain evolu tion are epiph en om en al, developm en tal, ecological, an d social in orien tation (Table 1). Th e epiph en om en al an d developm en tal h ypoth eses sh are th e assu m ption th at evolu tion of th e brain (or brain part) is n ot a con sequ en ce of extern al selection pressu res bu t rath er sim ply a con sequ en ce of som eth in g to do with th e way biological growth processes are organ ized. Th e epiph en om en al h ypoth eses th u s argu e th at brain evolu tion is a m ere byprodu ct of body size evolu tion , an d th at brain part size is, in tu rn , a byprodu ct of total brain evolu tion .11 Th e developm en tal version s differ on ly in th at th ey provide a m ore specific m ech an ism by presu m in g th at m atern al m etabolic in pu t is th e critical factor in flu en cin g brain developm en t. Th is claim is given credibility by th e fact th at th e bu lk of brain growth in m am m als occu rs pren atally. In deed, it appears to be th e com pletion of brain developm en t th at precipitates birth in m am m als, with wh at little postn atal brain growth occu rs bein g com pleted by th e tim e an in fan t is wean ed. From th is, th e con clu sion is drawn th at brain evolu tion m u st be con strain ed by th e spare en ergy, over an d above h er basal m etabolic requ irem en ts, th at th e m oth er h as to ch an n el in to fetal developm en t.12–14 Som e eviden ce in su pport of th is claim com es from th e fact th at fru givorou s prim ates h ave larger adu lt brain s relative ARTI CLES Evolutionary Anthropology 179 TABLE 1. Hypotheses Used to Explain the Evolution of Large Brains in Primates Hypothesis A. Epiphenomenal hypotheses 1. Large brains (or brain parts) are an unavoidable consequence of having a large body (or brain) B. Ecological hypotheses 2. Frugivory imposes higher cognitive demands than folivory does 3. Brain size constrains the size of the mental map: (a) constraint on size of home range (b) constraint on inertial navigation (day journey length) 4. Extractive foraging hypothesis C. Social hypotheses 5. Brain size constrains size of social network (group size): (a) constraint on memory for relationships (b) constraint on social skills to manage relationships D. Developmental hypotheses 6. Maternal energy constraints determine energy capacity for fetal brain growth Sources 11, 70 1, 65 1 3, 4 6, 71, 72 12, 13 46, 55, 73 to body size th an do folivorou s prim ates.1 Th is h as been in terpreted as im plyin g th at fru givores h ave a rich er diet th an folivores do an d th u s h ave m ore spare en ergy to divert in to fetal growth . Large brain s are th u s seen as a kin d of em ergen t epigen etic effect of spare capacity in th e system . Both kin ds of explan ation s su ffer from th e problem th at th ey ign ore a fu n dam en tal prin ciple of evolu tion ary th eory, wh ich is th at evolu tion is th e ou tcom e of th e balan ce between costs an d ben efits. Becau se th e cost of m ain tain in g a large brain is so great, it is in trin sically u n likely th at large brain s will evolve m erely becau se th ey can . Large brain s will evolve on ly wh en th e selection factor in th eir favor is sufficien t to overcom e th e steep cost gradien t. Developm en tal con strain ts are u n dou btedly im portan t, bu t rath er th an bein g cau sal th eir role is th at of a con strain t th at m u st be overcom e if larger brain s are to evolve. In addition , Pagel an d H arvey15 h ave sh own th at th e en ergetic argu m en ts do n ot add u p: Precocial m am m als do n ot h ave h igh er m etabolic rates th an do altricial m am m als despite th e fact th at th ey h ave n eon atal brain sizes th at are, on average, twice as large. We th erefore do n ot n eed to con sider eith er epiph en om en al or developm en tal h ypoth eses an y fu rth er in th e con text of th is article. Th is does n ot n ecessarily m ean th at th ese explan ation s are wron g. Both kin ds of explan ation m ay be tru e in th e sen se th at th ey correctly iden tify developm en tal con strain ts on brain growth , bu t th ey do n ot tell u s wh y brain s actu ally evolved as th ey did. Th ey m ay tell u s th at if you wan t to evolve a large brain , th en you m u st evolve a large body in order to carry th e en ergetic costs of doin g so or a diet Because the cost of maintaining a large brain is so great, it is intrinsically unlikely that large brains will evolve merely because they can. Large brains will evolve only when the selection factor in their favor is sufficient to overcome the steep cost gradient. th at en su res sufficien t en ergy to provide for fetal brain developm en t. No su ch allom etric argu m en t can ever im ply th at you h ave to evolve a large brain or a large body. Th e large brain or brain part is a cost th at an im als m u st factor in to th eir calcu lation s wh en con siderin g wh eth er or n ot a large body or a large brain is a sen sible solu tion to a p a r ticu la r ecologica l problem . Sh ifts to m ore en ergy-rich or m ore easily processed diets m ay be essen tial precu rsors of sign ifican t in creases in brain or brain part size.2 Th is wou ld explain wh y fru givores h ave larger brain s th an folivores do an d wh y h om in ids h ave larger brain s th an great apes do. Th is leaves u s with ju st two classes of h ypoth eses, th e ecological an d th e social. At least th ree version s of th e form er can be iden tified, wh ich I will term th e dietary, m en tal m aps, an d extractive foragin g h ypoth eses. In essen ce, th ese argu e, respectively, th at prim ate species will n eed larger brain s if (i) th ey are fru givorou s becau se fru its are m ore eph em eral an d patch y in th eir distribu tion th an leaves are, an d h en ce requ ire m ore m em ory to fin d; (ii) th ey h ave larger ran ges becau se of th e greater m em ory requ irem en ts of large-scale m en tal m aps; or (iii) th eir diet requ ires th em to extract resou rces from a m atrix in wh ich th ey are em bedded (e.g., th ey m u st rem ove fru it pu lp from a case, stim u late gu m flow from a tree, extract term ites from a term itariu m , or h u n t species th at are cryptic or beh ave evasively). For obviou s reason s, I u sed th e percen tage of fru it in th e diet as an appropriate in dex for th e dietary h ypoth esis. I u sed th e size of th e ran ge area an d th e len gth of th e day jou rn ey as altern ative in dices for th e m en tal m appin g h ypoth esis, th ou gh I presen t th e data on ly for th e first of th ese h ere. Th e first in dex correspon ds to th e case in wh ich an im als h ave to be able to m an ipu late in form ation abou t th e location s of resou rces relative to th em selves in a E u clidean space (an exam ple wou ld be th e n u t-crackin g activities of th e Taı̈ ch im pan zees 16 ); th e secon d correspon ds to th e possibility th at th e con strain t lies in th e n eeds of som e aspect of in ertial n avigation . Th e extractive foragin g h ypoth esis is less easy to ch aracterize in qu an titative term s becau se th ere is n o objective m easu re of th e degree to wh ich diets vary in th eir extractiven ess. H owever, Gibson 4 provided a classification of prim ate species in to fou r categories of diet th at differ in th eir degree of extractiven ess. We can test th is h ypoth esis by askin g wh eth er th ere is a con sisten t variation in brain size am on g th ese fou r categories, with th e species h avin g th e m ore extractive diets h avin g larger brain s th an th ose with th e less extractive diets. Fin ally, we n eed an in dex of social com plexity. In m y origin al an alyses, I u sed social grou p size as a sim ple m easu re of social com plexity. Alth ou gh at best rath er cru de, th is m easu re n on eth eless captu res on e aspect of th e ARTI CLES 180 Evolutionary Anthropology th e brain su ch as th e m edu lla, th e n eocortex sh ows dram atic an d in creasin g expan sion across th e ran ge of prim ates (Fig. 1). Th e n eocortex is app r oxim a tely th e sa m e size a s th e m edu lla in in sectivores; h owever, it is abou t 10 tim es larger th an th e m edu lla in prosim ian s an d 20–50 tim es larger in th e an th ropoids, with th e h u m an n eocortex bein g as m u ch as 105 tim es th e size of th e m edu lla. Th is su ggests th at rath er th an lookin g at total brain size, as previou s stu dies h ave don e, we sh ou ld in fact be con siderin g th e brain system , n am ely th e n eocortex, th at h as been m ain ly respon sible for th e expan sion of th e prim ate brain . From th e poin t of view of all th e h ypoth eses of prim ate brain evolu tion , th is m akes sen se: Th e n eoFigure 1. Neocortex volume as a ratio of medulla volume in different groups of primates (after Passingham19). Source: Stephan et al29 com plexity of social grou ps, th e fact th at in form ation -processin g dem an ds can be expected to in crease as th e n u m ber of relation sh ips in volved in creases. More im portan tly, perh aps, th is m easu re h as th e distin ct m erit of b ein g ea sily qu a n tified a n d wid ely available. Alth ou gh it is possible to con ceive of a n u m ber of better m easu res of social com plexity, th e appropriate data are rarely available for m ore th an on e or two species. Th e secon d problem con cern s th e m ost appropriate m easu re of brain evolu tion . H ith erto, m ost stu dies h ave con sidered th e brain as a sin gle fu n ction al u n it. Th is view h as been rein forced by Fin lay an d Darlin gton ,11 wh o argu ed th at th e evolu tion in brain part size closely correlates with th e evolu tion of total brain size an d can be explain ed sim ply in term s of allom etric con sequ en ces of in creases in total brain size. H owever, Fin lay an d Darlin gton failed to con sider th e possibility th at ch an ges in brain size m igh t actu ally be driven by ch an ges in its parts rath er th an in th e wh ole brain . Th is is especially tru e of th e n eocortex, for its volu m e accou n ts for 50% to 80% of total brain volu m e in prim ates. Th u s, ch an ges in th e volu m e of th e n eocortex in evitably h ave a large direct effect on apparen t ch an ge in brain volu m e th at m ay be qu ite u n related to ch an ges in oth er brain com pon en ts. Th is poin t is given weigh t by th e fact th at Fin lay an d Darlin gton th em selves sh owed th at n eocortex size is an expon en tial fu n ction of brain size, wh ereas oth er brain com pon en ts are n ot. Fin la y a n d Da r lin gton 11 n otwith stan din g, th ere is eviden ce th at brain evolu tion h as n ot been a h istory of sim p le exp a n sion in tota l volu m e. Rath er, brain evolu tion h as been m osaic in ch aracter, with both th e rate an d th e exten t of evolu tion h avin g varied between com pon en ts of th e system . MacLean 17 poin ted ou t m an y years ago th at prim ate brain evolu tion can be viewed in term s of th ree m ajor system s (h is con cept of th e triu n e brain ). Th ese system s correspon d to th e basic reptilian brain (h in d- an d m idbrain system s), th e m am m alian brain (palaeocortex, su bcortical system s), an d th e prim ate brain (broadly, th e n eocor tex). A m or e im p or ta n t poin t, perh aps, is th at variation s can be fou n d with in th ese broad categories in th e rates at wh ich differen t com pon en ts expan ded, wh ich , in at least som e cases, h ave been sh own to correlate with ecological factors. 10 Partiallin g ou t th e effects of body size on th e size of brain com pon en ts su ggests th at th e story m ay be m ore com plex th a n Fin la y a n d Da r lin gton 11 su p posed, with som e rem odelin g of brain growth pattern s occu rrin g in th e tran sition s between in sectivores, prosim ian s, an d an th ropoids.18 Th e im portan t poin t in th e presen t con text is th at, as Passin gh am 19 n oted, relative to th e m ore prim itive parts of . . . brain evolution has not been a history of simple expansion in total volume. Rather, brain evolution has been mosaic in character, with both the rate and the extent of evolution having varied between components of the system. cortex is gen erally regarded as bein g th e seat of th ose cogn itive processes th at we associate with reason in g an d con sciou sn ess, an d th erefore m ay be expected to be u n der th e m ost in ten se selection from th e n eed to in crease or im prove th e effectiven ess of th ese processes. On e addition al problem n eeds to be resolved. In h is sem in al stu dy of brain evolu tion , Jerison 20 argu ed th at brain size can be expected to vary with body size for n o oth er reason th an fu n dam en tal allom etric relation sh ips associated with th e n eed to m an age th e ph ysiological m ach in ery of th e body. Wh at is of in terest, h e su ggested, is n ot absolu te brain size, bu t th e spare brain capacity over an d above th at n eeded to m an age body m ech an ism s. ARTI CLES For th is reason , Jerison derived h is en ceph alization qu otien t. All su bsequ en t stu dies h ave u sed body size as th e appropriate baselin e again st wh ich to m easu re relative deviation s in brain size. H owever, a problem h as sin ce em erged: Brain size is determ in ed early in developm en t an d, com pared to m an y oth er body system s, appears to be h igh ly con servative in evolu tion ary term s. As a resu lt, body size can often ch an ge dram atically both on togen etica lly a cr oss p op u la tion s in r espon se to local en viron m en tal con dition s 21 and p h ylogen etica lly 22,23 with ou t cor r esp on d in g ch a n ges in brain size. Th is is particu larly con spicu ou s in th e case of ph yletic dwarfs (e.g., callitrich ids an d perh aps m odern h u m an s an d h ylobatids 22 ) an d species in wh ich body size m ay h ave in creased in respon se to predation pressu re followin g th e occu pation of m ore open terrestrial h abitats (e.g., papion ids 24 ). Th e lability of body size th erefore m akes it a poor baselin e, th ou gh on e th at probably is adequ ate for an alyses on th e m ou se-eleph an t scale. Con sequ en tly, it is n ecessary to fin d an in tern ally m ore con sisten t baselin e for taxon om ica lly fin e-gr a in ed a n a lyses. Willn er 22 su ggested th at eith er m olar tooth size or brain size m ay be su itable becau se both are developm en tally con servative. Becau se we are con cern ed with brain part size, som e aspect of brain size seem s th e m ost appropriate. At th is poin t, th ree option s are available. On e is to com pare th e n eocortex, th e brain part of in terest, with th e wh ole brain ; th e secon d is to u se th e rest of th e brain oth er th an th e part of in terest; th e th ird is to u se som e less variable prim itive com pon en t of th e brain , su ch as th e m edu lla, as a baselin e. Two option s are in tu rn available a s m ech a n ism s for con tr ollin g for brain size in each of th ese cases. On e is to u se residu als from a com m on regression lin e again st th e baselin e (e.g., th e residu al of n eocortex volu m e on total brain volu m e or m edu la volu m e). Th e oth er ch oice is to u se ratios. We h ave con sidered an d tested all th ese option s 10,24 (see Box 1). Th e resu lts are virtu ally iden tical irrespective of wh ich m easu re is u sed. On e explan ation for th is m ay be th at all th ese m easu res actu ally in dex th e sam e Evolutionary Anthropology 181 th in g, absolu te n eocortex size, m ain ly becau se th e n eocortex is su ch a large com pon en t of th e prim ate brain . In deed, th e u se of absolu te n eocortex size produ ces resu lts th at are sim ilar to th ose obtain ed from relativized in dices of n eocor tex volu m e. 24,25 Th is m akes som e sen se in com pu tation al term s: As Byrn e 26 h as poin ted ou t, a 10% in crease in th e processin g capacity of a sm all com pu ter is worth a great deal less in in form ation -processin g term s th an is a 10% in crease in a large com pu ter. Alth ou gh residu als from a com m on regression lin e wou ld con ven tion ally be con sidered th e safest m easu re, an d h ave been u sed in m an y recen t an alyses,27,28 I sh all con - The neocortex is generally regarded as being the seat of those cognitive processes that we associate with reasoning and consciousness, and therefore may be expected to be under the most intense selection from the need to increase or improve the effectiveness of these processes. tin u e to u se m y origin al ratio in dex becau se it provides th e best predictor (see Box 1). Fin ally, it is n ow widely appreciated th at com parative an alyses n eed to con trol for th e effects of ph ylogen etic in ertia. Closely related species can be expected to h ave sim ilar valu es for m an y an atom ical an d beh avioral dim en sion s m erely by virtu e of h avin g in h erited th em from a recen t com m on an cestor. In su ch cases, plottin g raw data wou ld resu lt in pseu doreplication , artificially in flatin g th e sam ple size by assu m in g th at closely related species are actu ally in depen den t evolu tion ary even ts. Th e ways of dealin g with th is problem in clu de plottin g m ean s for h igh er taxon om ic u n its, perform in g n ested an alyses of varian ce u sin g ph ylogen etic levels as factors, com parin g m atch ed pairs of species, an d m akin g in depen den t con trasts th at con trol directly for ph ylogen y. E ach m eth od h as its own advan tages an d disadvan tages, bu t th e first an d th ird procedu res are particu larly associated with loss of in form ation an d sm all sam ple sizes. I sh all u se th e first an d last m eth od, th e last becau se it allows in dividu al species to be com pared, bu t th e first becau se it allows grade sh ifts with in data sets to be iden tified (a problem th at in depen den t-con trasts m eth ods h ave difficu lty dealin g with ). I sh all take th e gen u s as a su itable basis for an alysis becau se gen era typically represen t differen t reprodu ctive or ecological radiation s an d th u s are m ore likely to con stitu te in depen den t evolu tion ary even ts. Th e resu ltin g an alyses are relatively straigh tforward: Figu re 2 presen ts th e data for n eocortex ratio for th e an th ropoid prim ate species in th e data base of Steph an , Frah m , an d Baron .29 Neocortex size, h owever m easu red, does n ot correlate with an y in dex of th e ecological h ypoth eses, bu t does correlate with social grou p size. Sim ilar fin din gs were reported by Sawagu ch i an d Ku do,30 wh o fou n d th at n eocortex size correlated with m atin g system in prim ates. Barton an d Pu rvis 31 h ave con firm ed th at u sin g both residu als of n eocortex volu m e on total brain volu m e an d th e m eth od of in depen den t con trasts yields th e sam e resu lt. Both Barton 10 an d T. Joffe (u n pu blish ed) h ave repeated th e an alyses u sin g th e m edu lla as th e baselin e for com parison . More im portan tly, Barton an d Pu rvis 31 h ave sh own th at wh ile relative n eocortex volu m e correlates with grou p size bu t n ot th e size of th e ran gin g area, th e reverse is tru e of relative h ippocam pu s size. A correlation between ran ge area an d h ippocam pu s size is to be expected becau se of h ippocam pal in volvem en t in spatial m em ory.32,33 Th is correlation dem on strates th at it is n ot sim ply total brain size th at is im portan t (a poten tial problem , given th e overwh elm in g size of ARTI CLES 182 Evolutionary Anthropology Box 1. How to Measure Brains R. Dunbar and Tracey H. Joffe The different ways of measuring relative brain size have raised doubts as to the most appropriate technique to use.65 Many researchers have preferred to use residuals from the common regression line of best fit for the data set concerned. This provides a measure of the extent to which brain (or brain part) volume deviates from what would be expected for an average member of the relevant taxon of the appropriate size. Although ratios have been used to compare the relative size of brain components,29,66 this has been criticized on the grounds that trade-offs within the brain may mean that a given index simply measures total brain size (or the size of a brain part) and thus does not remove the effects of absolute size. Ratios may also be prone to autocorrelation effects, especially when the baseline is taken to be the whole brain and, as in the case of the neocortex, the part in question is a major volumetric component of the brain. Although there are likely to be some trade-offs of this kind within the brain, the fact that neocortex volume increases progressively across the primate order suggests that such constraints are less likely to have a significant effect on a ratio measure. Of course the residuals procedure is itself a ratio: Encephalization-type indices are calculated as actual volume divided by predicted volume (which, when data are logged, becomes the conventional actual minus predicted values). Thus, ratio measures per se may not be the problem. Rather, the substantive objection is whether or not a ratio partials out the allometric effects of body size. In fact, it seems that neocortex ratios are not correlated with the basal brain (i.e., brain volume excluding the neocortex) within major taxonomic groups (unpublished analyses). Consequently, this criticism has less force than it might appear to have th e prim ate n eocortex). Moreover, it poin ts to th e specific in volvem en t of th e n eocortex. on first sight. Moreover, any index that uses the whole brain as its base is likely to suffer from autocorrelation effects. Because the neocortex is such a large proportion of the brain in primates, residuals of neocortex from total brain size may simply be a measure of neocortex plotted against itself. To consider the problem in more detail, we ran a stepwise regression analysis on the 24 species of anthropoid primates, including humans, on the data base of Stephan, Frahm, and Baron,29 with group size as the dependent variable and nine indices of relative brain or brain-part volume as independent variables. In addition to neocortex ratio, these included total brain volume as well as telencephalon and neocortex volume, each taken as absolute volume and as a residual from both body mass and brain volume. All variables were log10-transformed for analysis. In both cases, neocortex ratio was selected as the variable of first choice. We carried out both regressions on generic plots and independent contrast analyses. For the contrasts analysis, the best fit least-squares regression equation through the origin was: dently of all other confounding measures, suggests that more detailed consideration needs to be given to its significance and meaning. It may be, for example, that body size, rather than being a determinant20 is simply a constraint on neocortex size: A species can evolve a large neocortex only if its body is large enough to provide the spare energy capacity through Kleiber’s relationship for basal metabolic rate to allow for a larger than average brain. This interpretation is implied by the Aiello and Wheeler2 ‘‘expensive tissue hypothesis.’’ It would also be in line with Finlay and Darlington’s11 claim that in mammals the evolution of brain-part size is driven, developmentally at least, by the evolution of the whole brain, thus generating very tight correlations between brain-part size and total brain size. Contrast in log10 (group size) 5 3.834 21.72 0.101 * Contrast in log10 (neocortex ratio) (r 2 5 0.395, F1,22 5 15.39, P 5 0.001). With all other variables held constant, none of the other eight indices made a significant contribution to the variability in group size in either analysis. Table 2 gives the results for the independent contrasts analysis. Neocortex ratio is thus the single most powerful predictor of group size in these species. While the biological significance of this variable remains open to interpretation, the fact that it provides the best predictor, indepen- Th e va lid ity of th is r ela tion sh ip cou ld be tested directly by u sin g it to predict grou p sizes in a sam ple of TABLE 2. Stepwise Regression Analysis of Indices of Brain Component Volume as Predictors of Group Size in Anthropoid Primates, Based on Independent Contrasts Analysis* Independent Variable t P Absolute brain volume Residual of brain volume on body mass Absolute telencephalon volume Residual of telencephalon volume on body mass Residual of telencephalon volume on brain volume Absolute neocortex volume Residual of neocortex volume on body mass Residual of neocortex volume on brain volume Neocortex ratio (against rest of brain) 21.69 0.107 20.91 0.371 0.61 0.546 1.69 0.107 21.70 0.104 0.56 0.583 1.60 0.136 3.79 0.001 *Sample: 24 species of anthropoid primates from Stephan, Frahm, and Baron.29 species for wh ich brain volu m etric data were n ot available in th e origin al sa m p le of Step h a n , Fr a h m , a n d ARTI CLES Evolutionary Anthropology 183 Figure 2. Relative neocortex size in anthropoid primates plotted against (a) percentage of fruit in the diet, (b) mean home-range size scaled as the residual of range size regressed on body weight (after Dunbar24), (c) types of extractive foraging (after Gibson4), and (d) mean group size. ((a), (b), and (d) are redrawn from Dunbar24, Figures 6, 2 and 1, respectively; (c) is from Dunbar,35 Figure 2.) Baron .29 I did th is by exploitin g th e fact th at n eocortex ratios can be predicted from total brain volu m e,34 a resu lt th at, in fact, follows directly from th e Fin lay an d Darlin gton 11 fin din gs. Th e resu lt was a sign ifican t fit between predicted n eocortex ratio an d observed m ean grou p size for a sam ple of 15 New an d Old World m on key species.35 Ba r ton 27 n oted th a t th e or igin a l an alyses of Du n bar 24 seem ed to im ply th at variation in n eocortex size was m u ch greater th an variation in grou p size in th e prosim ian s. Usin g Du n bar’s 24 data on grou p size, Barton su ggested th at th e relation sh ip between n eocortex an d grou p size did n ot apply in th e case of prosim ian s. H owever, th e data on prosim ian grou p sizes in th is sam ple su ffered from a pau city of data, particu larly for th e n octu rn al species. Becau se m an y of th ese are described as sem i-solitary, it was con servatively assu m ed in th e Du n bar 24 database th at th eir grou p size was on e. More recen t field stu dies h ave produ ced m arkedly im proved es- tim ates of th e sizes of social grou ps an d, in th e case of th e sem i-solitary species, daytim e n est grou ps.36 Rean alysis of th e data for prosim ian s u sin g th ese im proved estim ates of social grou p size su ggests th at th ese species do in fact adh ere to th e sam e relation sh ip between n eocortex an d grou p size as th at wh ich pertain s for oth er prim ates.25 More im portan tly, th e regression lin e for th is taxon is parallel to, bu t sh ifted to th e left of, th at for oth er an th ropoid prim ates (Fig. 3). Th is r ela tion sh ip h a s n ow b een sh own to h old for at least fou r oth er m am m alian orders: bats,10 carn ivores an d in sectivores,37,38 an d odon tocete cetacean s.39,40 In th e case of th e in sectivores, th e data poin ts are sh ifted far to th e left of th ose for th e prim ates, as m igh t be expected of a taxon om ic grou p th at is con sidered to be broadly represen tative of th e an cestral m am m als.37 H owever, th e relation sh ip is weak in th is case, probably becau se estim ates of grou p size are particu larly u n certain for in sectivores. Su rprisin gly, th e data for th e carn ivores m ap directly on to th ose for th e sim ian prim ates, th at is, th e regression lin es for th e two data sets do n ot differ sign ifican tly. H owever, th e carn ivores do n ot exh ibit as wide a ran ge of n eocortex ratios or grou p sizes as do an th ropoid prim ates. Th e fact th at th e prosim ian s lie to th e left of both th ese taxon om ic grou ps im plies th at th e carn ivores represen t an in depen den t evolu tion ary developm en t alon g th e sam e prin ciples as th e an th ropoid prim ates, th e differen ce bein g th at th ey ju st h ave n ot taken it as far as prim ates h ave. On e reason for th is m ay be th at th e carn ivore social world is olfaction dom in ated rath er th an vision -dom in ated, as in th e case of th e prim ates. Barton 10,27,41 h as poin ted ou t th at th e sh ift to a diu rn al lifestyle based on color vision , perh aps in itially dietdriven , bu t leadin g to a sh ift in to vision -based com m u n ication , m ay be th e key featu re th at h as spu rred on th e dram atic developm en t of th e prim ate n eocortex. ARTI CLES 184 Evolutionary Anthropology size of th e cortical processin g m ach in ery in creases, at least relative to th e opportu n ity cost of takin g cortical n eu ron s away from oth er cogn itive processes. It seem s equ ally u n likely th at th e problem lies with a pu re m em ory con strain t, th ou gh m em ory capacity obviou sly m u st im pose som e kin d of u pper lim it on th e n u m ber of relation sh ips th at an an im al can h ave. Th ere are th ree reason s for th is claim . First, in h u m an s at least, m em ory for faces is an order of m agn itu de larger th an th e predicted cogn itive grou p size: H u m an s are said to be able to attach n am es to arou n d 2,000 faces bu t h ave a cogn itive grou p size of on ly abou t Figure 3. Mean group size plotted against neocortex ratio for individual genera, shown separately for prosimian, simian, and hominoid primates. Prosimian group size data, from Dunbar and Joffe,25 include species for which neocortex ratio is estimated from total brain volume. Anthropoid data are from Dunbar.24 Simians: 1, Miopithecus; 2, Papio; 3, Macaca; 4, Procolobus; 5, Saimiri; 6, Erythrocebus; 7, Cercopithecus; 8, Lagothrix; 9, Cebus; 10, Ateles; 11, Cercocebus; 12, Nasalis; 13, Callicebus; 14, Alouatta; 15, Callimico; 16, Cebuella; 17, Saguinus; 18, Aotus; 19, Pithecia; 20, Callicebus. Prosimians: a, Lemur; b, Varecia; c, Eulemur; d, Propithecus; e, Indri; f, Microcebus; g, Galago; h, Hapalemur; i, Avahi; j, Perodictus. REFINING THE RELATIONSHIP Th e social brain h ypoth esis im plies th at con strain ts on grou p size arise from th e in form ation -processin g capacity of th e prim ate brain , an d th at th e n eocortex plays a m ajor role in th is. H owever, even th is proposal is open to several in terpretation s as to h ow th e relation sh ip is m ediated. At least five possibilities can be u sefu lly con sidered. Th e con strain t on grou p size cou ld be a resu lt of th e ability to recogn ize an d in terpret visu al sign als for iden tifyin g eith er in dividu als or th eir beh avior; lim itation s on m em ory for faces; th e ability to rem em ber wh o h as a relation sh ip with wh om (e.g., all dyadic relation sh ips with in th e grou p as a wh ole); th e ability to m an ipu late in form ation abou t a set of relation sh ips; an d th e capacity to process em otion al in form ation , particu larly with respect to recogn izin g an d actin g on cu es to oth er an im als’em otion al states. Th ese are n ot all n ecessarily m u tu ally exclu sive, bu t th ey do iden tify differen t poin ts in th e cogn itive m ech an ism th at m igh t be th e cru cial in form ation processin g bottlen eck. Alth ou gh visu a l m ech a n ism s a r e likely to be im portan t for social in teraction , an d m ay well h ave been th e in itial kick for th e evolu tion of large brain s in prim ates,10 it seem s in trin sically u n likely th at th e u ltim ate con strain t lies in th e m ech an ism s of th e visu al system itself.28 Alth ou gh th ere is a correlation between th e relative size of th e visu al cortex an d grou p size in an th ropoid prim ates, th e fit is m u ch poorer, an d th e slope sign ifican tly sh allower th an th at between th e n on visu al n eocortex an d grou p size (r2 5 0.31 vs r2 5 0.61, respectively) (Fig. 4). Partial correlation an alysis in dicates th at on ly th e correlation for th e n on visu al relation sh ip rem ain s sign ifican t wh en th e oth er com pon en t is h eld con stan t 28 (th ou gh th is is n ot tru e for prosim ian s 25 ). A m ore im portan t poin t is th at th e volu m e of th e lateral gen icu late n u cleu s, a m ajor su bcortical way station in visu al processin g, does n ot correlate with grou p size at all, in dicatin g th at pattern recogn ition per se is u n likely to be th e issu e.28 It m ay be of som e sign ifican ce th at th e absolu te size of th e visu al cortex seem s to reach an asym ptotic valu e in th e great ape clade, wh ereas th e n on visu al n eocortex con tin u es to in crease in size. On e in terpretation of th is is th at visu al processin g does n ot n ecessarily con tin u e to im prove in defin itely as th e The social brain hypothesis implies that constraints on group size arise from the information-processing capacity of the primate brain, and that the neocortex plays a major role in this. However, even this proposal is open to several interpretations as to how the relationship is mediated. 150. Secon d, th ere is n o in trin sic reason to su ppose th at m em ory per se is th e issu e. Th e social brain h ypoth esis is abou t th e ability to m an ipu late in form ation , n ot sim ply to rem em ber it. Th ird, an d perh aps m ost sign ifican tly, m em ories appear to be stored m ain ly in th e tem poral lobes,42 wh ereas recen t PE T scan stu dies im plicate th e prefron tal n eocortex, n otably Brodm an area 8, as th e area for social skills a n d, specifically, th eory of m in d. 43 Frith 44 h as su ggested th at m em ories a n d r ep r esen ta tion s for ob jects or even ts m ay in volve in teraction s between several levels of th e n eocortex depen din g on th e kin ds of operation s ARTI CLES Evolutionary Anthropology 185 th e rates with wh ich tactical deception a r e u sed cor r ela te with n eocor tex size.26 Species with large n eocortex ratios m ake sign ifican tly m ore u se of tactical deception , even wh en th e differen tial frequ en cies with wh ich th ese large-brain ed species h ave been stu died are taken in to accou n t. Th ir d , Pa wlowski, Du n b a r, a n d Lowen 47 h ave sh own th at am on g polygam ou s prim ates th e m ale ran k correlation with m atin g su ccess is n egatively related to n eocortex size (Fig. 5). Th is is ju st wh at we wou ld predict if th e lower ran kin g m ales of species with larger n eocortices were able to u se th eir greater com pu tation al capacities to deploy m ore soph isticated social skills, su ch as th e u se of coalition s a n d ca p ita lizin g on fem a le m a te ch oice, to u n derm in e or circu m ven t th e power-based strategies of th e dom in an t an im als. Figure 4. Independent contrasts in mean group size plotted against contrasts in the visual cortex and the volume of the rest of the neocortex (nonvisual neocortex) for individual anthropoid species. Note that the visual cortex is here defined as visual area V1; the nonvisual cortex is the non-V1 volume of the neocortex and thus includes some higher order visual processing components (e.g., visual area V2). Unfortunately, the data base of Stephan, Frahm, and Baron29 does not allow us to define our measure of the nonvisual area any more finely than this. (Reprinted from Joffe and Dunbar,28 Fig. 1.) in volved. Th ese in teraction s cou ld occu r between th e sen sory an d association cortices (perceivin g an object), between th e association an d fron tal cortices (rem em berin g an object), an d am on g all th ree (bein g aware of perceivin g an object). It is worth n otin g in th is con text th at alth ou gh social skills are com m on ly disru pted by dam age to th e p r efr on ta l cor tex, m em or y for even ts an d people is n ot.42 It seem s u n likely th at em otion al respon ses per se are th e su bstan tive con strain t. Alth ou gh th e correct em ission an d in terpretation of em otion al cu es is of sin gu lar im portan ce in th e m an agem en t of social relation sh ips,45 th ere is little eviden ce th at th e su bcortical areas prin cipally associated with em otion a l cu in g (for exa m p le, th e am ygdala in th e lim bic system ) correlate in an y way with social grou p size.28 In deed, Kevern e, Martel, an d Nevison 46 poin t ou t th at th ere h as been progressive redu ction in th e relative sizes of th e ‘‘em otion al’’ cen ters in th e brain (th e h ypoth alam u s an d septu m ) in favor of th e ‘‘execu tive’’ cen ters (th e n eocortex an d striate cortex) du rin g prim ate evolu tion . Th ey in ter- pret th is in term s of a sh ift away from em otion al con trol of beh avior to m ore con sciou s, deliberate con trol. Th e on ly rem ain in g altern ative is th at th e m ech an ism s in volved lie in th e ability to m an ipu late in form ation abou t social relation sh ips th em selves. Th is claim is su pported by six addition al lin es of eviden ce th at poin t to th e fu n dam en tal im portan ce of social skills in th e detailed m an agem en t of social relation sh ips. On e is th e fact th at close an alysis of th e data on grou p size an d n eocortex volu m e su ggests th at th ere are, in fact, distin ct grades even with in th e an th ropoid prim ates (Fig. 3). Apes seem to lie on a separate grade from th e m on keys, wh ich in tu rn lie on a separate grade from th e prosim ian s. Th e slope coefficien ts on th ese separate regression lin es do n ot differ sign ifican tly, bu t th e in tercepts do. It is as if apes requ ire m ore com pu tin g power to m an age th e sam e n u m ber of relation sh ips th at m on keys do, an d m on keys in tu rn requ ire m ore th an prosim ian s do. Th is gradation correspon ds closely to th e perceived scalin g of social com plexity. Th e secon d lin e of eviden ce is th at . . . there is no intrinsic reason to suppose that memory per se is the issue. The social brain hypothesis is about the ability to manipulate information, not simply to remember it. Th e fou rth lin e of eviden ce is Joffe’s 48 dem on stration th at adu lt n eocortex size in prim ates correlates with th e len gth of th e ju ven ile period, bu t n ot with th e len gth of gestation , lactation , or th e reprodu ctive life span , even th ou gh total brain size in m am m als correlates with th e len gth of th e gestation period.49,50 Th is su ggests th at wh at is m ost im portan t in th e developm en t of a large n eocortex in prim ates is n ot th e em b r yologica l d evelop m en t of brain tissu e per se, wh ich is associated m a in ly with gesta tion len gth , b u t rath er th e ‘‘software program m in g’’ th at occu rs du rin g th e period of social learn in g between wean in g an d adu lth ood. Fifth , Ku do, Lowen , an d Du n bar 51 h ave sh own th at groom in g cliqu e size, a su rrogate variable th at in dexes alli- ARTI CLES 186 Evolutionary Anthropology gives prim ate social grou ps th eir in tern al stru ctu re an d coh eren ce, th is can be seen as a cru cial basis for prim ate sociality. Fin ally, Kevern e, Martel, an d Nevison 46 h ave su ggested th at th e n eocortex an d striate cortex, th ose areas of th e prim ate brain th at are respon sible for execu tive fu n ction , are u n der m atern ally rath er th an patern ally im prin ted gen es (i.e., gen es th at ‘‘kn ow’’ wh ich p a r en t th ey ca m e fr om ), wh ereas th e con verse is tru e for th e lim bic system , th ose parts of th e brain m ost closely a ssocia ted with em otion al beh avior. Th ey in terpret th is in relation to th e cogn itive dem an ds of th e m ore in ten se social life of fem ales in m atrilin eal fem ale-bon ded societies. IMPLICATIONS FOR HUMAN GROUPS Figure 5. Independent contrasts in the Spearman rank correlation (rs) between male rank and mating success plotted against contrasts in neocortex size for two different male cohort sizes (4 to 8, and 9 to 30 males) for individual species. The regression equations for the two cohort sizes are significantly different from b 5 0. The species sampled are C. apella, P. entellus, C. aethiops, M. fuscata, M. mulatta, M. radiata, M. arctoides, P. cynocephalus, P. anubis, P. ursinus, and P. troglodytes. (Redrawn from Pawlowski, Dunbar, and Lowen,47 Fig. 1.) an ce size, correlates rath er tigh tly with relative n eocortex an d social grou p size in prim ates, in clu din g h u m an s (Fig. 6). Th e h u m an data derive from two sa m p les: h a ir-ca r e n etwor ks am on g fem ale bu sh m en 52 an d su pport cliqu es am on g adu lts in th e Un ited Kin gdom .53 Wh at is rem arkable is h ow closely th e h u m an data fit with th e d a ta fr om oth er p r im a te sp ecies. Groom in g cliqu es of th is kin d in variably fu n ction as coalition s in prim ate grou ps. Coalition s are fu n ction ally cru cial to in dividu als with in th ese grou ps becau se th ey en able th e an im als to m in im ize th e levels of h arassm en t an d com petition th at th ey in evitably su ffer wh en livin g in close proxim ity to oth ers.54 Coalition s essen tially allow prim ates to m an age a fin e balan cin g act between keepin g oth er in dividu als off th eir backs wh ile at th e sam e tim e avoidin g drivin g th em away altogeth er an d th ereby losin g th e ben efits for wh ich th e grou ps form ed in th e first place. Th ese resu lts can th u s probably be in terpreted as a direct cogn itive lim itation on th e n u m ber of in dividu als with wh ich an an im al can sim u ltan eou sly m ain tain a relation sh ip of su f- ficien t depth th at th ey can be relied on to provide u n stin tin g m u tu al su pport wh en on e of th em is u n der attack. Becau se th is is th e core process th at Th e fact th at th e relation sh ip between n eocortex size an d wh at I will term th e cogn itive grou p size h olds u p so well in so m an y differen t taxon om ic grou ps raises th e obviou s qu estion of wh eth er or n ot it also applies to h u m an s. We can easily predict a valu e for grou p size in h u m an s. Doin g so, wh ich is sim ply a m atter of u sin g th e h u m an n eocor tex volu m e to extr a p ola te a valu e for grou p size from th e prim ate Figure 6. Mean grooming clique size plotted against mean neocortex ratio for individual primate genera. The square is Homo sapiens. Species sampled are L. catta, L. fulvus, Propithecus, Indri, S. sciureus, C. apella, C. torquatus, A. geoffroyi, A. fusciceps, P. badius, P. entellus, P. pileata, P. johnii, C. campbelli, C. diana, C. aethiops, C. mitis, E. patas, M. mulatta, M. fuscata, M. arctoides, M. sylvana, M. radiata, P. anubis, P. ursinus, P. cynocephalus, P. hamadryas, T. gelada, P. troglodytes, P. paniscus. (Redrawn from Kudo, Lowen, and Dunbar,51 Fig. 4a.) ARTI CLES Evolutionary Anthropology 187 Figure 7. Mean sizes for different types of groups in traditional human societies. Individual societies are ordered along the bottom, with data for three main types of social groups (overnight camps, clans or villages, and tribes). Societies include hunter-gatherer and settled horticulturalists from Australia, Africa, Asia, and North and South America. The triangles give mean group sizes for three contemporary United States samples: mean network size from small-worlds experiments (N 5 2),67 mean Hutterite community size,68 and the size of an East Tennessee mountain community.69 The value of 150 predicted by the primate neocortex size relationship (from Fig. 1d) is indicated by the horizontal line, with 95% confidence intervals shown as dashed lines. equ ation , produ ces a valu e in th e order of 150. Th e real issu e is wh eth er h u m an s really do go arou n d in grou ps of th is size. Id en tifyin g th e r eleva n t level of grou pin g to m easu re in h u m an s is difficu lt becau se m ost h u m an s live in a ser ies of h ier a r ch ica lly in clu sive grou ps. Th is, in itself, is n ot especially u n u su a l: H ier a r ch ica lly str u ctu r ed grou ps of th is kin d are ch aracteristic of prim ates 54 an d m ay be typical of m an y m am m als an d birds.55 At least in th e case of th e diu rn al prim ates, it seem s th at, with a few n otable exception s, th e variou s species’ grou pin g pattern s exh ibit an overt level of stability at rou gh ly th e sam e position in th e h ierarch y across a wide ran ge of taxa. Moreover, becau se th e variou s layers of th is h ierarch y appear to be in tim ately related to each oth er, probably th rou gh bein g part of a series of cau sean d-con sequ en ce ch ain s,51 it wou ld n ot m atter wh ich particu lar grou pin g level (for exam ple, stable social grou p, n etwor k, or gr oom in g cliqu e) wa s taken to be th e grou pin g criterion . Th e problem with respect to h u m an s is th at it is difficu lt to iden tify wh ich of th e m an y poten tial grou pin g levels is fu n ction ally or cogn itively equ ivalen t to th e particu lar level of grou pin g th at I h appen ed to u se for prim ates. Th is difficu lty is particu larly in tru sive in th is case becau se h u m an s live in a dispersed social system som etim es referred to as a fission -fu sion system . In order to get arou n d th is problem , I adopted th e con verse strategy in m y origin al an alysis,56 askin g wh eth er th ere was an y grou p size con sisten tly ch aracteristic of h u m an s th at was of abou t th e requ isite size an d, if so, wh eth er its in trin sic psych ological ch aracteristics were sim ilar to th ose fou n d in prim ate grou ps. Becau se of th e stru ctu ral com plexity of postagricu ltu ral societies, I con sidered on ly tradition al h u n ter-gath er er a n d sm a ll-sca le h or ticu ltu r a l societies. Alth ou gh cen su s data on su ch societies are lim ited, th ose th at are available su ggest th at th ere is in deed a con sisten t grou p size in th e region of 150 in dividu als (Fig. 7). E xcept am on g settled h orticu ltu ralists, wh ere th e village seem s to be th e relevan t u n it, th is typically in volves th e set of in dividu als from wh om overn igh t cam ps are easily an d regu larly form ed. Su ch grou ps are n ot often con spicu ou s as ph ysical en tities (th ey do n ot often appear togeth er in on e place at on e tim e), bu t th ey do in variably h ave im portan t ritu al fu n ction s for th e in dividu als con cern ed. Am on g Au stralian aborigin als, for exam ple, th e relevan t grou p is th e clan , wh ich m eets from tim e to tim e in jam borees wh ere th e ritu als of life (m arriages an d rites of passage) are en acted an d tales of th e old tim es are reh earsed to rem in d everyon e wh o th ey are an d wh y th ey h old a particu lar relation sh ip to each oth er. In deed, th is gen u in ely seem s to be th e largest grou p of people wh o kn ow everyon e in th e grou p as in dividu als at th e level of person al relation sh ips. Th is is essen tially th e defin ition th at h olds in th e case of prim ates. A m ore exten sive exploration of h u m an grou ps in oth er con texts su ggests th at grou pin gs of th is size are widespread an d form an im portan t com pon en t of all h u m an social system s, bein g presen t in stru ctu res th at ran ge from bu sin ess organ ization s to th e arran gem en t of farm in g com m u n ities.56 E stim ates of com m u n ity size for two tradition al farm in g com m u n ities in th e Un ited States, H u tterites an d an E ast Ten n essee m ou n tain com m u n ity, an d of actu al social n etwork sizes (from sm all-worlds experim en ts) (sh own as trian gles on th e righ t side of Fig. 7) fit very closely with in th e relevan t ran ge of grou p sizes. It is easy, of cou rse, to play th e n u m erologist in th is con text by fin din g grou ps th at fit wh atever grou p size on e wish es to prom ote. Th e im portan t featu re to n ote h ere, h owever, is th at th e variou s h u m an grou ps th at can be iden tified in an y society seem to clu ster rath er tigh tly arou n d a series of valu es (5, 12, 35, 150, 500, an d 2,000) with virtu ally n o overlap in th e varian ce arou n d th ese ch aracteristic valu es. Th ey seem to represen t poin ts of stability or clu sterin g in th e degrees of fam iliarity with in th e broad ran ge of ARTI CLES 188 Evolutionary Anthropology Box 2. A Beginner’s Guide to Intensionality Computers can be said to know things because their memories contain information; however, it seems unlikely that they know that they know these things, in that we have no evidence that they can reflect on their states of ‘‘mind.’’ In the jargon of the philosophy of mind, computers are zero-order intensional machines. Intensionality (with an 2s) is the term that philosophers of mind use to refer to the state of having a state of mind (knowing, believing, thinking, wanting, understanding, intending, etc). Most vertebrates are probably capable of reflecting on their states of h u m an relation sh ips, from th e m ost in tim ate to th e m ost ten u ou s. COGNITIVE MECHANISMS Th e su ggestion th a t th e m ech a n ism s in volved in th ese processes m ay be con cern ed with social skills raises th e issu e allu ded to by th e origin al Mach iavellian in telligen ce h ypoth esis, n am ely to wh at exten t cogn itively soph isticated m ech an ism s con ferrin g th e ability to ‘‘m in d-read’’ m igh t be in volved. Tactical deception , in its stron g sen se, im plies th e ability to h old false beliefs an d, th u s, th e presen ce of th e ability kn own as ‘‘th eory of m in d’’ (ToM). Of cou rse, tactical deception as practiced by prim ates on a daily basis m a y n ot, a s Byr n e 26 h im self h a s poin ted ou t, be qu ite as soph isticated as first im pression s su ggest. A m ore con ven tion a l b eh a vior ist a ccou n t based on sim ple associative learn in g can in variably be given for alm ost all exam ples reported in th e literatu re. Non eth eless, con vin cin g eviden ce su ggests th at h u m an s at least do u se ToM in execu tin g som e of th eir m ore m a n ip u la tive socia l a ctivities. An d wh ile we m ay n ot wish to attribu te fu ll ToM to all prim ates, at least circu m stan tial eviden ce su ggests th at basic ToM is presen t in great apes an d th at m on keys m ay aspire to a level th at Byrn e 26 h as described as level 1.5 in ten tion ality (fu ll ToM bein g level 2 in ten tion ality) (see Box 2). Th e differen ce h a s b een su m m ed u p r a th er mind, at least in some crude sense: they know that they know. Organisms of this kind are first-order intensional. By extension, second-order intensional organisms know that someone else knows something, and third-order intensional organisms know that someone else knows that someone else knows something. In principle, the sequence can be extended reflexively indefinitely, although, in practice, humans rarely engage in more than fourth-order intensionality in everyday life and probably face an upper limit at sixth-order (‘‘Peter knows that Jane believes that Mark thinks that Paula graph ically by Ch en ey an d Seyfarth ’s 57 observation th at apes seem to be good psych ologists in th at th ey are good at readin g m in ds, wh ereas m on keys are good eth ologists in th at th ey are good at readin g beh avior—or at least at m akin g in feren ces abou t in ten tion s in th e everyday sen se, even if n ot in th e . . . apes seem to be good psychologists in that they are good at reading minds, whereas monkeys are good ethologists in that they are good at reading behavior . . . ph ilosoph ical sen se of belief states. E viden ce th at ch im pan zees aspire to at least a basic form of ToM is provided by th eir perform an ce on experim en tal false-belief tasks.58–61 Th ese stu dies h ave attem pted to develop an alogu es of th e classic false-belief tasks u sed with ch ildren .62 Th ou gh it is clear th at ch im pan zees do n ot perform to th e level at wh ich fu lly com peten t ch ildren perform , O’Con n ell’s 61 experim en ts at least su ggest th at th ey can perform at th e level of ch ildren wh o wants Jake to suppose that Amelia intends to do something’’). A minimum of fourth-order intensionality is required for literature that goes beyond the merely narrative (‘‘the writer wants the reader to believe that character A thinks that character B intends to do something’’). Similar abilities may be required for science, since doing science requires us to ask whether the world can be other than it is (a second-order problem at the very least) and then ask someone else to do the same (an additional order of intensionality). stan d on th e th resh old of acqu irin g ToM. More im portan tly, ch im pan zees do better th an au tistic adu lts, on e of wh ose defin in g featu res is th e lack of ToM, on th e sam e tests. Th at m in d-readin g, th e basis of ToM, is difficu lt to do h as been sh own by experim en ts on n orm al adu lts tested on ‘‘advan ced’’ ToM tasks, u p to fifth order in ten tion ality.62 Th ese data su ggest th at n orm al h u m an s fin d tasks of greater th an fou rth -order in ten tion ality exceedin gly h ard to do. Th e h igh error rates at th ese levels do n ot reflect a m em ory reten tion problem : All su bjects pass th e tests th at assess m em ory for th e story lin e. Moreover, th e sam e su bjects sh ow con siderable com peten ce on reason in g tasks th at in volve cau sal ch ain s of u p to th e sixth order. Th e difficu lty seem s gen u in ely to be som eth in g to do with operatin g with deeply em bedded m en tal states. On e possibly sign ifican t observation in th is con text is th at th e visu al an d n on visu al com pon en ts of th e prim ate n eocortex do n ot in crease isom etrically. Alth ou gh in itially th ere is a m ore or less lin ear in crease in th e visu al area V1 with in creasin g size of th e rest of th e n eocortex, th is drops off with in th e great ape clade. From gorillas th rou gh h u m an s, in creases in th e size of th e visu al area progress m ore slowly th an do in creases in th e size of th e rest of th e n eocortex.28 We in terpret th is as im plyin g th at beyon d a certain poin t th e acu ity of th e visu al system does ARTI CLES Evolutionary Anthropology 189 n ot in crease lin early with size. Becau se th e total size of th e n eocortex is lim ited by em bryological an d en ergetic factors, th is m ean s th at disprop ortion ately m ore capacity can be dedicated to n on visu al areas of th e n eocortex on ce th e volu m e is above th e cru cial th resh old. Th is m igh t explain wh y apes appear to be capable of th e addition al cogn itive processin g associated with m in d readin g, wh ereas m on keys are n ot. It m igh t also explain wh y h u m an s are better at it th an apes. For h u m an s, on e im portan t aspect of ToM con cern s its relevan ce to lan gu age, a com m u n ication m ediu m th at cru cially depen ds on u n derstan din g in terlocu tors’ m en tal states or in ten tion s. Th e kin ds of m etaph orical u ses of lan gu age th at ch aracterize n ot on ly ou r rath er telegraph ic everyday exch an ges (in wh ich ‘‘you kn ow wh at I m ean ?’’ is a com m on term in al clau se) bu t also lies at th e very h eart of th e m etaph orical featu res of lan gu age. As stu dies of pragm atics h ave am ply dem on strated,63 a great deal of lin gu istic com m u n ication is based on m etaph or: Un derstan din g th e in ten tion s beh in d a m etaph or is cru cial to su ccessfu l com m u n ication . Failu re to u n derstan d th ese in ten tion s com m on ly resu lts in con fu sion or in appropriate respon ses. In deed, with ou t th ese abilities it is dou btfu l wh eth er literatu re, n otably poetry, wou ld be possible. Ou r con versation s wou ld be con fin ed to th e ban ally factu al; th ose fin e n u an ces of m ean in g th at create both th e am bigu ities of politen ess an d th e su btleties of pu blic relation s wou ld n ot be possible.64 REFERENCES 1 Clu tton -Brock TH , H arvey PH (1980) Prim ates, brain s an d ecology. J Zool Lon d 190:309–323. 2 Aiello LC, Wh eeler P (1995) Th e expen sive tissu e h ypoth esis. 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