Eur J Wildl Res DOI 10.1007/s10344-011-0541-y SHORT COMMUNICATION Point–count method for estimating rock ptarmigan spring density in the Pyrenean chain Evelyn Marty & Marc Mossoll-Torres Received: 8 October 2010 / Revised: 8 April 2011 / Accepted: 14 April 2011 # Springer-Verlag 2011 Abstract This paper describes a census technique that gives estimates of rock ptarmigan cocks’ number per unit area during the breeding season. This method originated from the need for an effective technique for estimating bird densities in mountainous and inaccessible zones like the Pyrenean chain. The bird census was carried out using a point–count method, which is recommended for uneven areas. To maximize sampling efficiency, we established sampling points at <500-m distances, in order to detect a maximum of calling birds within the sample areas. Birds localized at distances >250 m were excluded. We postulate that all birds are recorded in a 250-m radius around the observer. We carried out counts of calling rock ptarmigan cocks in the border between the Principality of Andorra and Ariège Department, France, from April to June during three consecutive years (2005–2007). The estimated spring density of 10.4 cocks per 100 ha was higher than densities reported in literature, in other parts of the Pyrénées and the Alps. Our study provides a useful reference for future monitoring of this species in its mountainous distribution range. Keywords Rock ptarmigan . Lagopus muta pyrenaica . Point–count method . Density . Pyrenees . Andorra . France Communicated by C. Gortázar E. Marty (*) Fédération Départementale des Chasseurs de l’Ariège, Le Couloumié, Labarre 09000 Foix, France e-mail: [email protected] M. Mossoll-Torres Asociación para la Conservación del Urogallo (ACU), Casa Cintet, Poblet d’Encamp, Principality of Andorra e-mail: [email protected] Introduction Climate change during the past century has resulted in a mean increase in global temperatures by 0.6°C, with particularly large changes during spring in temperate and arctic regions of the world (Houghton et al. 2001). Predictions for the future indicate dramatic impacts on polar and alpine environments (e.g. loss of biodiversity). In these environments, many plants and animals have already responded to this change by advancing their annual cycles (e.g. migration dates, timing of reproduction; Crick 2004; Root et al. 2002; Walther et al. 2002). So, high elevation sites represent very suitable regions for research into the impacts of climate change on wildlife. In general, these biotopes are not very rich in biodiversity. Only a few species breed in alpine and sub-alpine habitats. The rock ptarmigan Lagopus muta is an arctic-breeding bird with a Holarctic distribution (del Hoyo et al. 1994; Johnsgard 1983). It has adapted to the cold environments of the northern hemisphere, and more than two-dozen subspecies have been recognized (del Hoyo et al. 1994). The Pyrenean rock ptarmigan L. muta pyrenaica, one of these subspecies, inhabits mountain ranges in Andorra, France and Spain situated at elevations of 2,200 m above sea level (a.s.l.) or higher. The rock ptarmigan primarily breeds in rocky and stony areas above the tree line. It is the only year-round resident at this high elevation. Therefore, it represents an ideal candidate to follow climate changes. Paradoxically, population trends are largely unknown in many parts of the rock ptarmigan range (Storch 2007a, b). One major reason for this seems to be the lack of a suitable census method. Two techniques have been widely employed in ground surveys: the line-transect and point–count methods. The choice is generally based on the species behaviour, nature of the terrain, time and personnel available, number of Eur J Wildl Res habitats to be censused and accuracy of the density estimate required. In another study (Mossoll-Torres and Marty 2011), we have compared the two methods. We have found that a stationary observer spends more time searching for birds and detects more birds (the rock ptarmigan is a visually inconspicuous species in many circumstances), particularly in uneven terrain. Stationary observers also have less effect (noise disturbance) on bird activity. So, we have rejected the line-transect method, contrary to Pelletier and Krebs (1997) who found that this method provided good results with ptarmigan moderate population numbers in Canada. In this paper, we evaluated the applicability and efficiency of a point–count method for estimating breeding densities of the male rock ptarmigan. Study area The study was conducted in the southernmost edges of the rock ptarmigan distribution range, on the border between the Principality of Andorra and the Haute Ariège in France, totalling a surface area of about 39,590 ha (Fig. 1). It includes all the biotopes used by rock ptarmigans, which prefer treeless sub-alpine (above 1,800 m a.s.l.) to alpine areas (up to 3,000 m a.s.l.) and moderate to steep slopes vegetated with grasses and sparse shrubs, and partly rocky. The climate is highly changing from year to year. In February, at 1,640 m, the average minimum is −6.5°C, and the maximum is 3.8°C, while in July, the average minimum Fig. 1 Location of sample areas (in grey) in the census zone (39,590 ha) of the present study. The dashed line represents the frontier between France and Andorra is 5.9°C, and the maximum is 20.9°C (Panareda 1984). For a Pyrenean region, the importance of the rainfall is low (<1,000 mm per year); there is a Mediterranean influence, especially valleys exposed to the south. In the alpine zone, the snow cover generally appears in November or December, and the snowmelt does not really start until the month of May. Methods Since the pioneering work of Bossert (1977), estimates of rock ptarmigan densities are based on male counts during maximal bird-calling activity (Bossert 1980; Boudarel 1988; Favaron et al. 2006; Léonard 1992; Morscheidt 1994; Nopp-Mayr and Zohmann 2008; Novoa and Soler 1989; Sentilles et al. 2004; Zohmann and Wöss 2008). In early spring, the cocks choose calling locations with territorial borders following cliffs and ridges. They crowed frequently just before and after sunrise and are more likely to be located at this time (e.g. Bossert 1977). In a previous study, we have found that the calling activities peaked between 15 and 30 min before sunrise, whereas a maximum duration of more than 2 h was noted in the study area. So, for the current study, we performed all visits during morning hours, between 04:00 and 08:00 local time (02:00 to 06:00 hours GMT). Based on the results of research done in 2003–2005, we determined that weather conditions were critical to the Eur J Wildl Res success of surveys. Ptarmigans were most active in sunny and calm conditions, and also during foggy days, whereas birds were usually inactive during snowy days (Fig. 2, see also Mossop 1988). For the current study, counts were only done on days with appropriate weather conditions. Furthermore, among the numerous variables that can potentially influence point–count surveys, the total number of participating observers is of particular importance in uneven environments. Based on our experience and on the patchy distribution of displaying cocks in mountainous biotopes, it has become clear that a minimum number of five participants were necessary to cover a sampling area adequately. The current surveys were carried out from April to June in three consecutive years, from 2005 to 2007. Sampling points were randomly selected in the study area. In each sampling area (see Fig. 1), distances between stations were established in such a manner as to maximize the probability of detecting displaying cocks. The distance between sampling points depends on how far away a bird can be detected. It is generally accepted that calling cocks can be heard up to 1 km away (Bossert 1977; Watson 1972). Nevertheless, the detection distance varies greatly among sites, depending on topography, vegetation and weather conditions, among others. In a first step, the optimal distance has been arbitrarily fixed at 250 m (see also Mossoll-Torres and Marty 2006). So, the distribution of the observers respects a maximum distance of about 500 m. In the analysis, we determine the distance from the stations where the number of birds heard begins to decline (the break point) by plotting the number of individuals detected in concentric circles around the observers. With this method, we reject all observations outside of the circle of radius x (Fig. 1). The number of birds is then determined seasonal peak activity calling cocks’ number 14 Results 7 non-optimal weather conditions May stormy event 0 95 by compiling the number of individuals counted within the circle of radius x, dividing by the area and taking into account topographic breaks (acoustic barriers). The calling cock census results were then converted to density as ind./100 ha. At the time of the study, the plumage of the male was mimetic making them difficult to localize (Martin et al. 1995). Only about 15.20% of calling cocks were observed directly (or with the aid of binoculars) by observers. For the remaining calling cocks, direction and putative position were noted on a field book. As the method depends on how the distance between the bird and the observer can be accurately measured, precise localization of the displaying cock territories used by birds was crucial. At the end of the experiment, indices of bird presence (footprints or trails on the snow cover, feathers or faecal deposits) were searched out by each observer. The position of the displaying cock territories found was then measured by GPS and telemeter and reported on a 1/25,000 map. Positions of birds and observers were then mapped, and exact distances between recorded positions were later calculated using a computer programme (GIS). Beyond approximately 500 m from the observer, the exact position of cock territories was difficult to localize in uneven terrain. In each sampling area, we counted territorial male ptarmigans at a minimum of five sampling points, depending on personnel available. When multiple counts have been done, the maximum counts recorded from all visits were taken as the species abundance at a particular sampling point. After that, a nonlinear regression analysis was used to fit a predictive equation between birds’ density and distance from observer. Finally, the yearly abundance of ptarmigan cocks in the study area was calculated as the mean of point abundances. We used non-parametric tests in our analyses because densities of birds between the sample units were not normally distributed (Sokal and Rohlf 1995). All the statistical analyses were performed with XLSTAT 2009 (Addinsoft, USA). 105 115 125 135 145 155 165 Julian date (from April 6th to June 12th) Fig. 2 The calling cocks’ number over the entire breeding season in the same sampling area (data from a previous work done in 2004) Between 2005 and 2007, among 69 sampling days totalizing 418 sampling points, we selected 23 surveys (197 sampling points) from April 6 to June 12. Finally, during this 3-year survey, we detected the presence of 407 rock ptarmigan calling cocks during days of peaking activity. Among them, due to multiple counts and difficulties in precisely determining the exact position of displaying cock territories (see above), 122 birds were excluded from our database. Table 1 gives the detailed Eur J Wildl Res 0 Animal - Observer Distance (m) results for the 3 years. Up to seven calling cocks were detected per sampling point (one observer). Frequency distributions revealed no significant difference between years (two-sample Kolmogorov–Smirnov test: D=0.375 and p=0.660 for 2005 vs. 2006, D=0.375 and p=0.622 for 2006 vs. 2007, D=0.250 and p=0.970 for 2005 vs. 2007). Plotting the number of birds with distances from the observers (Fig. 3), we found a gradual decline in our ability to detect displaying cocks. In a first step, mainly subjective, we rejected all observations outside the circle of a radius of 250 m to estimate male densities. With this procedure, for the 3 years combined, the mean annual density is 10.4 cocks per 100 ha. Bird densities between the 3 years were compared by Kruskal–Wallis analysis of variance (H). Test results indicated that no significant difference in bird repartition was observed between years (Fig. 4; Kruskal–Wallis test: H=0.070, df=2, p=0.965). These results attest to the reproducibility of the census method used. 20 0 - 50 50 - 100 100 - 150 150 - 200 200 - 250 250 - 300 300 - 350 350 - 400 400 - 450 450 - 500 500 - 550 550 - 600 600 - 650 650 - 700 700 - 750 750 - 800 800 - 850 40 60 80 100 70.34% Break Point (mainly subjective) N = 408 cocks 0 20 40 60 80 100 Number of Calling Cocks Fig. 3 Plot of the number of cocks per circular band around observers in the study area (2005–2007). A decline in the number of cocks heard occurs at the fifth circle (250 m) Our data have indicated that the territorial male counts are affected by several environmental variables including time of year, time of day and current weather conditions. We have found that the number of cocks registered by four observers notably differed between days, ranging from 0 to 14 cocks for the same sampling area (see Fig. 2). The absence of calling bird activity the 2 days following stormy events is of special concern for our purpose. So, weather conditions, particularly after stormy events, are particularly detrimental and can greatly affect counting results. Counts should only be attempted when conditions are excellent (sunny or foggy days with no wind) from 1 h before to half an hour after sunrise. Furthermore, depending on available Table 1 Number of observers vs. number of cocks detected for 3 years Number of cocks Nb. Obs.-2005 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Total 9 12 16 10 8 3 2 1 61 Nb. Obs. Number of Observators Nb. Obs.-2006 27 17 19 11 6 4 1 0 85 Nb. Obs.-2007 8 7 12 12 6 2 3 1 51 participants, each sampling site should be counted at least twice during the optimum period (around mid-May). During the 3-year survey, estimated spring densities varied from 9.06 to 10.7 calling cocks per 100 ha (Fig. 4). Lower densities are generally recorded in other parts of the rock ptarmigan distribution range in mountainous areas (e.g. Bossert 1977; Desmet 1988; Favaron et al. 2006; Zohmann and Wöss 2008). In the Pyrenees, the same tendency is observed. Thus, Morscheidt (1994) reported densities from 2.9 to 3.75 calling cocks per 100 ha in the “Réserve domaniale du Mont Vallier, Ariège, France”, whereas Sentilles et al. (2004) estimated male Fig. 4 Box plots of calling cock density estimated for the three surveyed years. The horizontal line represents the median, whereas the circle indicates the mean. The horizontal ends of the box plot represent the 25th and 75th percentiles. The asterisk indicates data value outside fences 25 calling cocks’ density (number/100 ha) Discussion 24.11 20 2006 (n = 10) 15 10 5 2005 (n = 7) 0 2007 (n = 6) Eur J Wildl Res densities of about 4 individuals per 100 ha on average at the Massif du Canigou-Puigmal, Pyrénées Orientales, France. Our estimations are clearly higher than the estimates of all other studies. Several factors could explain this difference. Firstly, there was a really significant effect of the method used to calculate the surface covered by observers. It seems that all other surveys in mountainous environments are unlimited-radius counts, i.e. record all displaying cocks regardless of their distance from the observer. In our study, on average, each observer effectively detects birds in an 11-ha surface. Nevertheless, the effective detection radius or EDR is fundamental as it determines both the distance between the observers and the size of the census area (Hörnell and Willebrand 1998). One of the main learning aspects of this assignment has been the use of an EDR of 250 m. In our study, only 4.4% of the ptarmigans (18 calling birds) we detected were measured to have been >500-m distant from the observer. In our case, selection of a break point distance beyond which there is a large fall in observations was problematic. Our results showed that up to 70% of calling birds (287 cocks) are recorded under 250 m around the observers (see Fig. 3). Between distances of 250 and 300 m, the birds’ number decreased from 58 cocks (band 5: 200 to 250 m) to 36 cocks (band 6: 250 to 300 m), corresponding to a 37.9% decrease. Furthermore, it seems our data could be adjusted to a theoretical model (see Fig. 3). It became evident when we plotted the density of calling cocks per 100 ha vs. distances from the observers. We could superimpose a mathematical function to describe the relationship between distance and density of birds. Fig. 5 shows the observed data and the resulting regression fit, performed using built-in functions from XLSTAT. The relationship had R2 =0.99. A sharp decrease is evident between 150 and 200 m. Our data suggest that an integrated approach based on a detection function is, as a consequence, applicable. This function, used to compute Summary and conclusion Rock ptarmigans are difficult to study because of their uneven habitats that are often difficult to access. Estimates of true abundance were yet problematic because of the lack of quantitative information on factors that might affect the detection probability of birds. So, obtaining information about spatial and temporal differences in detection probability is a priority for researchers implicated in the monitoring and conservation of this bird. The aim at that time was mainly to design a standardized method that could authorize comparisons between years and 16 Numbers of cocks per 100 ha Fig. 5 Relationship between density of calling birds per 100 ha and distance from the observer for the 3-year survey. The dashed line indicates the best-fit theoretical model as determined by statistical analysis (with XLSTAT 2009) probability of detection, compensates for the fact that the calling birds’ detectability decreases with increasing distance from the observers. At that time, more data are necessary to adjust this function and to precisely determine the exact position of the break point (e.g. by using an equidistance between circles of 20 m). Secondly, time of year, weather and daytime also had significant effects on male density estimates (see above). We also found that differences between years in snow cover and mean temperatures strongly affect bird activity (unpublished data). We also pointed out a net reduction in bird activity in days following stormy events. We have attributed this fact to the birds’ need to rebuild their energy levels (the ptarmigans sighted were feeding). The situation could be as with the willow ptarmigan in which there are peaks of activity in the displaying season when the territories are established and when a female chooses a male for mating (Hörnell and Willebrand 1998). So, repeated counts from day to day are necessary in order to obtain a sound estimation of male density in the study sites. Nopp-Mayr and Zohmann (2008) lead to the same conclusion. Furthermore, the timing of the census count was adapted in order to gather maximum calling activity, from 1 h before to half an hour after sunrise. Current density of calling cocks 12 Theoretical model: Y = pr1 + (pr4 - pr1)/(1 + (X1/pr3)^pr2) with: 8 pr1 = 0.165115679582205 pr2 = 7.02365026112858 pr3 = 193.41250617195 pr4 = 14.9830580213847 4 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 Distance from observers X1 (m) 700 900 Eur J Wildl Res regions. In this report, we have presented data from a point–count method applied to uneven habitats of the rock ptarmigan in the Pyrenean chain during three consecutive years. The results obtained have led to an updating of the census conducting methods. Our data support some general ideas of the applicability of this method: Landry Riba, Jordi Sola and Jose-Maria Sanchez from the Andorran Government. We are enormously grateful to all those who have accompanied us throughout this experience and, in particular, Thomas Razat, Jean Bouilleau, Régis Didier, Gaèl Aleix Mata and Nicolas Archer for her patience in translating our texts. 1. The locations of sampling areas should be selected at random, with a minimum of five observers (5 sampling points per sampling area). 2. As weather conditions are critical to the success of surveys, counts might be limited to days of calm weather (sunny or foggy days). All counts may be conducted in the morning starting approximately 1 h before sunrise and ending one half hour after. 3. As there was considerable variability between days and observers, repeated surveys should be conducted at each sampling point. Bossert A (1977) Bestandesaufnahmen am Alpenschneehuhn (Lagopus mutus) im Aletchgebiet. Der Ornithologische Beobachter 74:95–98 Bossert A (1980) Winterökologie des Alpenschneehuhn (Lagopus mutus) im Aletchgebiet, Schweizer Alpen. Der Ornithologische Beobachter 77:121–166 Boudarel P (1988) Recherches sur l’habitat et le comportement spatial du Lagopède alpin (Lagopus mutus) dans les Pyrénées Occidentales françaises. Gibier Faune Sauvage 5:227–254 Buckland ST, Anderson DR, Burnham KP, Laake JL (1993) Distance sampling: estimating abundance of biological populations. Chapman & Hall, London Canut J, Garcia D, Parellada X (2004) Lagópodo Alpino Lagopus mutus. In: Libro Rojo de las Aves Amenazadas de Espana, SEO/Birdlife, Madrid Crick HQP (2004) The impact of climate change on birds. Ibis 146:48–56 Del Hoyo J, Elliott A, Sargatal J (1994) Handbook of the birds of the world (vol. 2): new world vultures to Guineafowl. Lynx edicions, Barcelona Desmet JF (1988) Densité de peuplement en période de reproduction du Lagopède alpin (Lagopus mutus helveticus, Thieneman 1829) en haute vallée du Giffre (Haute-Savoie). Gibier Faune Sauvage 5:447–458 Favaron M, Scherini GC, Preatoni D, Tosi G, Wauters LA (2006) Spacing behaviour and habitat use of rock ptarmigan (Lagopus mutus) at low density in the Italian Alps. J Ornithol 147:618–628 Hörnell M, Willebrand T (1998) Censusing spring population of willow grouse and rock ptarmigan. Länsstyrelsen I Västerbottens län, Umeå Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Xiaogu D (2001) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of working group I to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Johnsgard PA (1983) The grouse of the world. The University of Nebraska Press, USA Léonard P (1992) Premier comptage de lagopèdes alpines (Lagopus mutus helveticus) sur le massif du Pic de Foréant et la crête de la Taillante (Hautes-Alpes) mai-juin 1991. Bull Mens Off Natl Chasse 164:44–47 Martin K, Horn AG, Hannon SJ (1995) The calls and associated behavior of breeding willow ptarmigan in Canada. Wilson Bull 107(3):496–509 Morscheidt J (1994) Densités au printemps et succès de la reproduction chez le lagopède alpin Lagopus mutus dans la réserve domaniale du Mont Vallier (Ariège, France). Alauda 62 (3):123–132 Mossoll-Torres M, Marty E (2006) 2. Metodologías de trabajo. 2.1 Protocolos de censo. In: El lagópodo alpino (Lapopus muta pyrenaica) en el Parque Nacional de Aigüestortes i Estany de Sant Maurici, Jordana IA et al. (eds) Naturaleza y Parques Nacionales, Serie técnica, Madrid, pp 17–25 Mossoll-Torres M, Marty E (2011) Précisions apportées au protocole de dénombrement des mâles chanteurs de lagopède alpin. Faune Sauvage (in press) Estimation of bird density from point counts requires a fixed-sampling radius that describes the relationship between bird detectability and distance. Our data indicate that all the male ptarmigans could not be identified with certainty at distances >250 m or less (probably between 150 and 200 m), leading to a first estimation of a density of about 10.4 cocks per 100 ha. Taking into account an EDR reduction of 50 to 100 m, estimation of territorial rock ptarmigan cocks’ density could increase to about 14 individuals per 100 ha (see Fig. 5), far away from densities of four cocks per 100 ha generally advanced in literature by specialists for the Pyrenean chain (e.g. Canut et al. 2004; Novoa 2008; Vallance 2007). Another possibility consists in modelling the decline in observations and estimating the number missed (programme distance: Buckland et al. 1993; Thomas et al. 2010). Our data show that surveys of calling rock ptarmigans in spring without estimations of detectability give rise to underestimations of the true density of birds. The generalization of our methodology throughout the Pyrenean chain will bring precision to the Pyrenean population size and, in particular, will serve as a revision of the current distribution area of this species. In the context of global warming, the number of birds could decrease and even disappear on a local scale on the edge of the distribution areas, especially in the isolated massifs on the north- and south-facing slopes of the chain. Future investigations must give priority to these marginalised sectors. Acknowledgements This study was entirely financed by the Andorran Government and the Fédération Départementale des Chasseurs de l’Ariège (the hunting federation of Ariège, France). We are grateful to Dr. Philippe Mourguiart for his statistical assistance and for valuable comments on this manuscript. We would like to thank References Eur J Wildl Res Mossop DH (1988) Winter survival and spring breeding strategies of willow ptarmigan. In: Bergerud AT, Gratson MW (eds) Adaptive strategies and population ecology of northern grouse. Univ. of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, pp 330–378 Nopp-Mayr U, Zohmann M (2008) Spring densities and calling activities of Rock Ptarmigan (Lagopus muta helvetica) in the Austrian Alps. J Ornithol 149:135–139 Novoa C (2008) Le lagopède alpin (Lagopus mutus). In: Vallance M, Arnauduc J-P, Migot P (eds) Tout le gibier de France. 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