! "#$ #%! &'()& “EL MERCADO DE AGUAS: ANÁLISIS TEÓRICO Y EMPÍRICO” María Angélica Alegría Calvo (1) [email protected] ! "# $ %&''(() * &'(+() ,% &''(( - Fernando Valdés Hernández (2) [email protected] . $ / ( +/ "# $ %'& -'+- ,% &0 +)() Adrián Lillo Zenteno (3) [email protected] ! "# $ %&''(() * &'(+() ,% &''(( - Dirección General de Aguas – Ministerio de Obras Públicas . (1) Ingeniera Jefe Area Evaluación de Recursos Hídricos, Depto. Estudios y Planificación DGA (2) Abogado Departamento Legal DGA (3) Ingeniero Area Evaluación de Recursos Hídricos, Depto. Estudios y Planificación DGA * + #-( " 1". 5 ; ", 9! " &- "# 12. " " (+ " 312# " "# . # " # "342# "# " . " " "6 7 8 -- 3.2 . "# 9 ! " !1 :1" ; 6 .!"8 . < = 2.!9 ", 3. " 6 . !> <" " " 1 .?1# ' + "# !1 =!" " # 5 9 " " "# " . " 1". 5 " "6 7 " " ". " (&(8 # 1# 9 ! . <9 3 ." " 1 "." " . . < " " 9< 63 # ? # # "= 2 3 ."#! 2". " 3 "." 1" . 3 ?" . " "3 "<2. 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K 1 8 INSCRIPCIONES Y TRANSFERENCIAS DESDE 1982 A 2001 EN EL CBR DE SAN ANTONIO 50 45 INSCRIPCIONES (196) TRANSFERENCIAS (72) 43 40 35 30 Nº 25 22 21 20 18 17 15 15 12 Tendencias 9 10 11 9 10 7 5 2 3 3 1 1983 3 5 1984 1985 1986 3 3 2 0 1982 3 4 1987 1988 1 1 1989 1990 3 1 1991 1992 1993 4 5 6 3 2 3 1 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 AÑ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ÁN E AS Y S U P E R F IC IAL E S E N C B R SAN AN T O N IO 19 18 18 17 16 S up e rfic ial (6 8) 15 S ub terráne a (3 ) 14 13 12 N° 11 10 10 9 8 7 T e nd e ncia (S up e rfic ia l) 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 AÑ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romedios Móviles cada 30 años PP anual Estación Carmen de las Rosas 500 Pp (mm) 400 y = -0.2888x + 433.03 R2 = 0.0697 300 200 100 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 1966 1964 1962 1960 0 Año Promedios Móviles cada 10 años. PP anual Estación Melipilla 600 550 500 450 350 300 250 y = -8.1155x + 477.18 R2 = 0.6815 200 150 100 50 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 0 1983 Pp (mm) 400 Años 34 Promedios Móviles cada 30 años, PP anual Estación Cerrillos de Leyda 500 450 400 Pp (mm) 350 y = 2.9422x + 323.72 2 R = 0.7378 300 250 200 150 100 50 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 1966 1964 1962 0 Año Promedios Móviles cada 10 años PP anual Estación San Antonio (Pta. Panul) 600 550 500 450 350 300 y = -6.3957x + 487 2 R = 0.5461 250 200 150 100 50 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 0 1982 Pp (mm) 400 Año 35 Precipitación anual Estación Carmen de Las Rosas 1000 900 1982 800 1987 1984 700 1997 1972 1992 1977 1978 Pp (mm) 600 TENDENCIA 500 400 300 1991 1986 1974 1971 1973 2000 1980 1981 1979 1983 1994 1989 1993 1995 1999 1976 1975 1985 200 1988 1996 1990 100 1998 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 2005 0 Año Precipitación Anual Estación Melipilla 900 800 1982 1997 1984 700 1987 1977 + 500 1991 1978 1972 400 1980 1979 1983 1986 1994 1995 300 1989 1976 200 1999 1993 1985 1996 1988 1975 100 2000 1992 1981 1990 1971 1998 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 0 1965 Pp (mm) 600 Años 36 Precipitación Anual Estación Cerrillos de Leyda 1000 1982 900 1997 800 1984 700 1972 1977 600 1986 1978 TENDENCIA 1991 500 2000 1974 1983 1979 1981 400 1971 300 1993 1995 1973 1985 200 1989 1988 1975 1994 1999 1996 1990 1976 100 1998 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 0 1965 Pp (mm) 1992 1987 1980 Año 37 Precipitación anual Estación San Antonio 900 800 1987 1997 700 1986 1972 1992 1982 1980 Pp (m) 600 1977 TENDENCIA 500 1974 1984 1978 2000 1991 1983 400 1993 1979 1985 300 1973 1989 1981 200 1975 100 1988 1995 1996 1994 1999 1990 1971 1998 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 0 Año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ÓN DEL VALOR DE 1l/s EN EL RÍO MAIPO (CBR SAN ANTONIO) 80,00 VALOR PROMEDIO DE 1 l/s =27.82 U.F. 68,92 70,00 60,00 54,84 50,00 52,47 50,12 49,30 U.F./(l/s) 47,00 41,05 40,00 38,75 Promedio=27,82 UF 30,00 27,82 20,00 15,00 10,00 8,57 4,30 2,18 0,00 1995 1995 3,78 3,68 1996 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1999 3,16 1,97 1999 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 AÑO ". " ; .! . . ; !" ". 3 ". . " # :1" " 2". = " # !1" " 2#% ) &60 . ". " 39 FOLIO DERECHOS ORIGINARIOS Q (l/s) 321 250 330 1200 FOLIO 1998 306 180 1998 ------ 53 60 2001 50,12 1998 U.F./(l/s) 48 125 2001 4,3 52 120 2001 1,97 78 400 1995 2,18 64 210 1998 52,47 68,92 63 90 1998 51 200 2001 3,16 301 100 1998 ------ 77 100 1995 8,57 326 50 1990 74 25 1996 54,84 325 600 1997 300 600 1999 3,68 47 150 2001 15,0 59 100 1999 47,0 305 60 1998 49,3 316 = " TRANSFERENCIAS Q (l/s) AÑO AÑO 350 . " 1# 3 ." FOLIO 1985 3". <" "# # " TRANSFERENCIAS Q (l/s) AÑO 307 55 1998 41,95 308 24 1998 38,75 58 55 1999 3,78 50 350 2001 ----- " ". < .# 3. " ; ". " ; % # 1# " # DERECHOS ORIGINARIOS y 1as TRANSF Q (l/s) 1#. " ; U.F./(l/s) FOLIO 321 250 1998 306 180 1998 330* 1200 1998 306 180 1998 ------ 2001 50,12 53 60 Qremanente 0 48 125 2001 4,3 52 120 2001 1,97 Qremanente 0 <> 3,14 78 400 1995 2,18 64 210 1998 52,47 68,92 63 90 1998 51 200 2001 3,16 301 100 1998 ------ AÑO Qremanente 200 <> 31,68 77 100 1995 8,57 78 400 1995 Qremanente 300 1996 54,84 326* 50 1990 1999 3,68 325 600 1997 300 600 1999 74 25 Qremanente 25 300 600 Qremanente 0 47 150 2001 15,0 59 100 1999 47,0 305 60 1998 49,3 307 55 1998 41,95 38,75 308 24 1998 Qremanente 211 <> 38,4 58 55 1999 3,78 307 55 1998 Qremanente 0 50 350 2001 ----- 316 350 1985 Qremanente 0 * = Corresponde al mismo titular original 40 " 3" " # ' !1" "% ". " ; 12 " " " "#. ? 3 N° FOLIO Q (l/s) AÑO 1 321 10 1998 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 53 60 2001 Compraventa 48 125 2001 Compraventa 52 120 2001 Compraventa 330 200 1998 Compraventa 78 300 1995 Compraventa 64 210 1998 Compraventa 63 90 1998 Compraventa 51 200 2001 Compraventa 301 100 1998 Compraventa Compraventa 1 " # # " " "# INSCRIPCIÓN Derecho originario 77 100 1995 326 25 1990 Compraventa 74 25 1996 Compraventa 300 211 1999 Compraventa 47 150 2001 Compraventa 59 100 1999 Compraventa 305 60 1998 Compraventa 308 24 1998 Compraventa 58 55 1999 Compraventa 50 350 2001 Adquirido en remate 318 200 1998 Traslado 319 25 2001 Traslado 320 45 2001 Traslado 322 1000 1998 Derecho originario 327 1000 1990 Derecho originario 323 400 1998 Derecho originario 324 1000 1998 Derecho originario 331 7000 s/i Derecho originario 328 600 1997 Derecho originario 329 100 s/i Derecho originario 332 400 1997 Derecho originario 333 400 s/i Derecho originario 334 40 s/i Derecho originario 335 400 s/i Derecho originario 336 600 1997 Derecho originario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o 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 53 No 48 No Corresponden al traslado del derecho folio 306 52 No Res DGA V R N°10,30/9/98 330 No Compraventa 78 No Compraventa 64 No Compraventa 63 No Compraventa 51 No 301 Sí 77 No Compraventa 326 No Compraventa 74 No Compraventa 300 No Compraventa 47 No Compraventa 59 No 305 No 308 No 58 No 50 No 318 Sí 319 Sí 320 Sí 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 Sí 327 COMENTARIO " " " # N° 322 EXTRACCIÓN CONSTRUIDA ". " ; INSCRIPCIÓN Derecho originario Compraventa Compraventa Compraventa Compraventa Trasladó ejercicio, Res DGA V R N°11, 2/10/98*** Compraventa Compraventa Trasladó ejercicio, Res DGA V R N°5, 30/9/98 Compraventa Compraventa Compraventa Era una merced temporal, adquirida por compraventa Adquirido en remate Traslado Son traslados del CBR de Melipilla *** Traslado Derechos de EAP Regional, tienen BT común, se aforaron 550 l/s en oct/2001, capacidad canal=1500 l/s Derecho originario Traslado Derecho originario 323 No Derecho originario 324 No 331 No 328 Sí EAP local Derecho originario 329 No Derecho de EAP de otra Región Derecho originario 332 No Derecho originario 333 No Derecho originario 334 No Derecho originario 335 No Derecho originario 336 No Derecho originario Derechos del FISCO, no inxcritos Derecho originario Derecho originario *** = Tienen captación unificada en el río " :1?31" " 2" "." "# 4<". " A 1. " # . " " :1" . . " 3 " #+ L "# # " ". " ; 1# " # -+ ". " ; ; "@ ". 8 44 Q (l/s) AÑO INSC 329 100 s/i 331 7000 s/i 3 333 400 s/i 4 334 40 s/i 5 335 400 s/i AÑOS SIN EJERCICIO --------------------- 6 326 25 1990 11 7 77 100 1995 6 8 78 300 1995 6 N° FOLIO 1 2 9 74 25 1996 5 10 332 400 1997 4 4 11 336 600 1997 12 321 10 1998 3 13 63 90 1998 3 14 64 210 1998 3 15 305 60 1998 3 16 308 24 1998 3 17 323 400 1998 3 18 324 1000 1998 3 19 330 200 1998 3 20 58 55 1999 2 21 59 100 1999 2 22 300 211 1999 2 23 47 150 2001 0 24 48 125 2001 0 25 50 350 2001 0 26 51 200 2001 0 27 52 120 2001 0 28 53 60 2001 0 SUMA Q= 12755 " 1" 2 " # ", " " . ". " & " "# # ; " . .# # # !1 = :1" 1 #" "#. " 1. ;?. 1. " 3". ? " "<3 " . " -6 A 3". ?; 11. 11 " # 3.3" " ; !1 # :1" # " ; 3". < = " ". # 3. " 3 . 2. " "#3.<" " -08+8 8* B # *D < " <1" . 1 9% 45 FOLIO TRANSFERENCIAS Q (l/s) AÑO U.F./(l/s) ------ 306 53 180 60 1998 2001 78 64 63 51 301 400 210 90 200 100 1995 1998 1998 2001 1998 <> 31,68 74 25 1996 54,84 47 59 305 150 100 60 2001 1999 1998 15,0 47,0 49,3 307 55 1998 41,95 308 24 1998 38,75 <> 38,4 DERECHOS ORIGINARIOS y 1as TRANSF Q (l/s) FOLIO AÑO 321 250 1998 330* 1200 1998 326* 50 1990 300 600 1999 50,12 2,18 52,47 68,92 3,16 ------ * = Corresponde al mismo titular original # <" " 6 "# 3.39 " " ". < . "# <3 . <" " # . ". " . " " # . ". ? ; .# 9! "# 1" " ># " " 1 9# ; .#!? "#. ? 3 " "# " . . "3. " " 3 .# " 9 C ? 3 " 2<2 2" $ " # =. 9 "# 1 # 1 #" "#. ? " " (++ # A - 8 Promedios Móviles cada 10 años Caudal medio diario anual Estación Maipo en Cabimbao 180 160 140 120 y = -3,6776x + 159,67 R2 = 0,7654 /s) 100 3 Q (m 80 60 40 20 0 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 97 19 98 19 99 Año . 3 "." 2# " ".# . "# 9 " ; " # ". " ; " !1 " . " (( 6- 8 " 21= # " " " # 3. " 46 VARIACIÓN DEL VALOR DE 1l/s EN EL RÍO MAIPO (CBR SAN ANTONIO) 80,00 68,92 70,00 60,00 54,84 50,00 52,47 50,12 49,30 U.F./(l/s) 47,00 41,05 40,00 38,75 30,00 20,00 15,00 10,00 8,57 4,30 0,00 1995 1995 3,78 3,68 2,18 1996 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1999 3,16 1,97 1999 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 AÑ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ÓN DEL VALOR DE UNA ACCIÓN EN EL TRANQUE CERRILLOS DEL ESTERO SAN JUAN (CBR SAN ANTONIO) 1000,00 VALOR PROMEDIO DE 1 ACCIÓN = 100,6 U.F. 712,14 709,63 128,37 100,00 42,71 Promedio = 100,6 UF U.F./acción 10,00 7,26 7,26 1,00 0,34 0,26 0,26 0,26 0,24 0,26 0,26 0,16 0,13 0,10 0,07 0,01 1986 1986 1987 1987 1987 1987 1988 1988 1989 1997 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 2001 AÑO " 1 9 " " " :1" ", " 1 < < 2. " 3 9 B "<2 #"D6 1 < < 2. " " . "! B # " " . "! D3 . # . "! " 61 < < . ! 5 9 :1" < . 6 .216 " B 9 " # <1 " !1 . :1" ". .# # " #I # " D .5 9 3 .# 1 # "2". ? ", .1 <" . ? " # 3. " 1 9 :1" " "8 3 . 1#. " ". " " ; " < 6." . " # Q6# !1" " . ". " " "# 3. " " # -Q . ". " <" <" " < 6 . " < " 2". = " # 2# !1" "% 49 Trans. Nº 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 1 2 Folio Año U.F./acc Acciones 92 54 1987 2001 0,26 0,13 10 10 <> 0,19 Qr = 0 299 65 1998 1998 0,07 7,26 18 8,36 66 1998 7,26 9,64 <> 4,86 Qr = 0 11 310 1986 0,34 311 1997 42,71 6 67 1998 712,14 0,5 68 1998 709,63 0,5 <> 366,20 Qr = 4 16 95 1986 0,16 88 1988 128,37 16 <> 64,26 Qr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desde 1996 A OCTUBRE DEL 2001 EN EL CBR DE LA SERENA 90 78 80 INSCRIPCIONES (363) 68 70 TRANSFERENCIAS (199) 63 61 60 55 50 N° 43 43 47 46 43 40 30 28 27 20 10 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 AÑO "# # " # . ". " ; 2. " !1 12". . >" 8 ". " 13". . " # 5 # " "#. " "#('L B+ *((D . . " 3 " 0L B)*((D . . " 3 " !1 51 TRANSFERENCIAS DE AGUAS SUBTERRÁNEAS Y SUPERFICIALES EN EL CBR DE LA SERENA 60 50 50 Superficial (185) 43 Subterránea (14) 39 40 N° Tendencia (Superficial) 30 27 24 20 10 Tendencia (Subterránea) 2 5 3 2 3 1 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 AÑ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romedios Móviles cada 10 años PP anual Estación La Serena (Escuela Agrícola) 120 100 Pp (mm) 80 60 y = 0.534x + 75.659 2 R = 0.1695 40 20 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 0 Año Promedios Móviles cada 30 años. PP Anual Estación El Almendral 100 90 80 Pp (mm) 70 y = 0.0387x + 81.467 2 R = 0.0013 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Año 53 Promedios Móviles cada 30 años PP anual Estación Rivadavia 120 100 y = 0.3356x + 91.121 2 R = 0.3573 60 40 20 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 0 Año Precipitación anual Estación La Serena ( Escuela Agrícola) 300 250 1992 1997 1972 200 1987 Pp (mm) Pp (mm) 80 1983 150 1984 1991 TENDENCIA 100 1976 1971 1977 1981 1975 50 0 1970 2000 1980 1973 1974 1978 1986 1985 1980 1996 1989 1988 1979 1975 1999 1993 1982 1985 1994 1990 1990 1998 1995 1995 2000 Año 54 Preciptación anual Estación El Almendral 350 1997 300 250 1984 Pp (mm) 1987 200 1991 150 100 1983 1972 TENDENCIA 1973 50 1980 2000 1982 1981 1975 1977 1978 1976 1974 1992 1986 1985 1999 1990 1988 1979 0 1971 1976 1981 1986 1993 1996 1994 1989 1991 1998 1995 1996 2001 Año Precipitación anual Estación Rivadavia 400 350 1984 1997 300 Pp (mm) 250 200 1991 1992 1983 1980 150 1972 TENDENCIA 1971 1982 1976 1973 1975 1986 1977 1981 1974 1985 1990 1989 1988 1979 0 1970 2000 1978 100 50 1987 1975 1980 1994 1999 1996 1993 1998 1995 1985 1990 1995 2000 Año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ÓN DEL VALOR DE UNA ACCIÓN EN EL RÍO ELQUI (CBR LA SERENA) 900 VALOR PROMEDIO DE 1 ACCIÓN =103,399 U.F. 800 700 U.F./acción 600 500 400 300 200 Promedio=103,399 UF 100 19 97 19 97 19 97 19 97 19 97 19 97 19 97 19 97 19 98 19 98 19 98 19 98 19 99 19 99 19 99 19 99 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 00 20 01 20 01 20 01 20 01 20 01 0 AÑO # 1 # 3. " 3! 3. " " =#. " <163 2# 8 3. " 3 ; < !$ " "!4 <" " 1 < < # " " 3. " " " # !1" " CANAL LA PAMPA Folio Año U.F./Acc Accs N° 151 221 1998 2000 47,27 21,35 60 7,77 1 2 225 2000 32,47 1 3 279 2001 83,59 0,6 4 281 288 2001 2001 83,17 83,26 0,6 0,6 5 6 289 2001 83,26 0,6 7 290 2001 83,26 0,6 8 291 2001 83,26 0,6 9 <> 66,77 57 CANAL COQUIMBITO Folio Año U.F./Acc Accs N° 203 2000 2,26 440 1 234 237 2000 2000 64,83 64,93 0,5 0,5 3 <> 44,01 Folio 117 Año 1997 U.F./Acc 49,80 Accs 6,4 N° 119 1997 132,72 0,59 2 134 140 1997 1997 114,54 29,96 6,4 0,49 3 4 142 1998 60,59 7,1 5 143 1998 250,80 6,4 6 137 147 1997 1998 61,81 363,99 7,1 0,45 7 8 153 1998 122,22 0,45 9 172 1997 96,98 5,9 10 2 CANAL ALTOVALSOL 1 173 1997 58,03 5,9 11 250 2000 30,64 0,42 12 167 1998 124,52 0,55 13 177 1999 200,34 0,34 14 253 2000 123,67 0,52 15 190 1999 161,69 0,5957 16 192 1999 82,79 0,42126 17 210 2000 186,69 0,17 18 211 2000 40,43 0,814 19 222 2000 192,92 0,34 20 204 2000 20,99 6,31 21 205 2001 42,11 0,786 22 270 2001 156,76 0,43 23 228 2000 111,13 0,582 24 272 2001 150,55 0,42 25 235 2000 126,66 1,02 26 240 2000 24,13 6,31 27 241 2000 159,95 0,53 28 238 2000 136,48 0,71 29 242 2000 129,09 0,50 30 248 2000 322,85 1,04 31 280 2001 62,53 1 32 287 298 2001 2000 2,44 153,99 6,4 0,42 33 34 <> 120,14 58 CANAL SAN PEDRO NOLASCO Folio Año U.F./Acc Accs 108 1997 37,75 1 N° 1 109 215 1997 2000 37,75 36,59 1 1 2 <> 37,36 Folio Año U.F./Acc Accs N° 131 255 1997 2000 18,84 837,78 1,95 0,45 1 <> 428,31 Folio Año U.F./Acc Accs N° 150 1998 72,83 6,865 1 185 1999 58,82 8,5 2 193 213 1999 2000 27,69 48,36 0,5 6,865 3 <> 51,93 3 CANAL CUTÚN Y LAS ROJAS 2 CANAL ROMERO 4 59 CANAL LA HERRADURA Folio Año U.F./Acc Accs 107 1997 36,80 1,84 1 111 1997 27,55 5,44 2 1 . " 1<" N° 112 1997 9,70 10,84 3 113 1997 28,25 10,63 4 114 1997 3,26 11,50 5 115 1997 46,89 4 6 118 1997 25,09 1 7 129 1997 728,15 0,07447 8 135 1997 36,63 2 9 136 1997 45,40 1,613 10 154 1998 69,60 6 11 158 1998 326,05 0,054200 12 164 1998 66,50 18,84 13 170 1997 63,86 0,5 14 171 1997 52,43 0,5 15 174 1999 67,07 0,5 16 252 2000 175,52 0,74 17 178 1999 86,94 4 18 182 1999 67,86 0,5 19 191 1999 33,85 4 20 200 1999 112,58 0,3 21 196 1999 54,32 0,25 22 199 1999 134,02 0,5 23 216 2000 65,39 0,5 24 217 218 219 2000 2000 2000 13,42 24,71 89,08 5,5 5,44 1 25 26 27 220 2000 98,82 7,086 28 223 2000 23,44 7,075 29 208 2000 66,11 5,59 30 209 2000 59,59 5 31 231 2000 65,09 0,5 32 232 2000 325,44 0,5 33 233 2000 64,92 0,5 34 229 2000 65,09 0,5 35 230 2000 65,09 0,5 36 243 286 2000 2001 1,86 20,82 26 3 37 <> 88,08 "# 38 ". . " " " " # 2# !1" "% 60 " 3" " # 3. " # !1 ". " ; " . ". " 3". 2 Transf Nº CANAL <U.F./Acc> La Pampa 66.77 N° Transacc 9 Alto Valsol La Herradura 120.14 88.08 34 38 Coquimbito 44.01 3 San Pedro Nolasco 37.36 3 Romero Cutún y Las Rojas 51.93 44.64 4 2 3. 9 3! 3 .# 1" = . 2 " " =#. " <> 2" 3 . "@ 3 . " =. 2# " " . "" !. 13 8 Folio Año 111 1997 218 2000 <> U.F./acc 27,55 24,71 26,13 Accs 5,44 5,44 137 1997 142 1998 <> 61,81 60,59 61,20 7,1 7,1 0,00 Alto Valsol Alto Valsol 178 1999 191 1999 <> 86,94 33,85 60,39 4 4 0,00 La Herradura La Herradura 1 2 216 2000 229 2000 <> 65,39 65,09 65,24 0,5 0,5 0,00 La Herradura La Herradura 1 217 2000 232 2000 286 2001 <> 13,42 325,44 20,82 119,90 5,5 0,5 3 2,00 La Herradura La Herradura La Herradura 221 2000 225 2000 <> 21,35 32,47 26,91 7,77 1 6,77 La Pampa La Pampa 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 Accs remanentes ". " !. 13 0,00 " " Canal La Herradura La Herradura "# ". .3 . ? # 1." :1" :1" " <3. ". " ; " "#. ? # :1 " !" ".# # =" " 1 =#. <#.6 :1" # !. =. 2# " 3. " . "! . " "2". ?" " :1" ", " . < 9 ". " # =#. " :1" " . # " 8 #< 6. 4<". " . " . "! . :1? " <3 . 9 "#. ? 3 "# . :1" ". .# # " "2". ? :1" " " " 1" ", " 1 . " " # " 16 ." . 1 1. 3". <"1 .# . "# =<" " " # # 6. >3 6 "<> # ", " "1 K 1 " !# 8 61 . . 3 ." 6 "#3.39 " " ". < ."# <3 . <" " # . ". " . " " # . ". ? ; .# 9! "# 1" " ># " " 1 9# ; .#!? "#. ? # :1 . "3. " " 3 .# " 9 C ? # :1 " # !. .2 # 2" $ " # =. 9 "# 1 # 1 #" "#. ? " " (0+ # A - 8 Promedios Móviles cada 30 años, Caudal medio Anual, río Elqui en Algarrobal 14 12 Q (m3/s) 10 8 y = 0,1951x + 7,2672 2 R = 0,9318 6 4 2 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 0 Año . 3 "." 2# " ".# . "# 9 " ; " # ". " ; " !1 " . " (( 6- 8 " 21= # " " " # 3. " 62 VARIACIÓN DEL VALOR DE UNA ACCIÓN EN EL RÍO ELQUI (CBR LA SERENA) 900 800 700 U.F./acción 600 500 400 300 200 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 1999 1999 1999 1999 1998 1998 1998 1998 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 0 1997 100 AÑ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