Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 DOI 10.1007/s10584-010-9972-9 Indigenous perception of changes in climate variability and its relationship with agriculture in a Zoque community of Chiapas, Mexico Maria Silvia Sánchez-Cortés · Elena Lazos Chavero Received: 14 August 2009 / Accepted: 5 October 2010 / Published online: 22 December 2010 © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010 Abstract This study analyses the perceptions of Zoque indigenous men and women of changes in climate variability, indicated by rainfall and temperature records from the region. Peasant farmers perceive decreases in rainfall and increases in temperature as these factors are related to modifications in the corn planting season and the introduction of crops which were usually only found in hot regions. The climate changes in the zone are attributed to vegetation loss and the eruption of the Chichón volcano in 1982. The Zoque perception is structured according to cultural and individual experience, tied to agriculture and the annual weather calendar. The volcanic eruption offers a significant chronological reference point in order to explain different environmental transformations, such as climate, within Zoque territory. Perception is the mental picture of local climate variability changes and the responses in seasonal agriculture modifications, utilizing individual and cultural experiences which are vulnerable to economic and environmental change. 1 Introduction Scientific interest in the impact of anthropogenic climate change will be considered as lines of investigation while measuring mitigation and adaption, in particular those measures which involve vulnerable populations located in developing countries. The double exposure to the changes due to climatic and economic globalization (O’Brien and Leichenko 2000; Sokona and Denton 2001; Thomas et al. 2007) resonates in M. S. Sánchez-Cortés (B) Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad de Ciencias y Artes de Chiapas, Libramiento Norte Poniente s/n Col Lajas Maciel, Tuxtla Gutiérrez, 29039 Chiapas, México e-mail: [email protected] E. Lazos Chavero Instituto de Investigaciones Sociales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, México e-mail: [email protected] 364 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 the quality of their well being, in their health through exposure to diseases, in the changes of crop output, and in the decrease of the availability of water (IPCC 2001; Ebi et al. 2007; Tseng et al. 2008). In respect, sundry projections of climatic models have been carried out which put forward scenarios of regional changes and their possible socio-economic impact (Burton 1997; Smit et al. 2000; Kates 2000; Kelly and Adger 2000; Leary et al. 2008). However, these efforts enhance the conceptualization of the regional scale (Magaña et al. 1997; Gay et al. 2006; Chen et al. 2008) and yet few studies exist at the local level dedicated to knowing the viewpoints, experiences and practices of the persons directly involved, as is the case with seasonal farm workers. In this vein, the studies present two principle focal points, the first of which is dedicated to knowing and understanding the perception of climate change and its variability joined to the socio-economic context (Ringrose et al. 1996; Hageback et al. 2005). The second is focused on knowing and forecasts the weather, in particular by the indigenous peoples. It is recognized that rigorous coexistence with the agricultural, environmental and atmospheric aspects have much to contribute in the actual context of global climatic change in the same way as does historic modeling of the micro-climate. (Katz et al. 1998; Orlove and Tosteson 1999; Orlove et al. 2000, 2002; Conde et al. 2004; Leduc 2007; Green et al. 2010). The indigenous knowledge of climate in relation to its disruption of subsistence agriculture, in addition, could show how the human response has been previously to the climatic variability and its changes (Stigter et al. 2005). The majority of the indigenous studies on climate in Latin America have been made from the areas of ethnometeorology and ethnoclimatology (Lammel et al. 2008; Glockner 2001; Cabrera et al. 2001; García 2001; Orlove et al. 2002; Lorente and Fernández 2006) nevertheless little is known about indigenous perceptions of climate change and of the productive and socio-economic effects on their lives (Lammel et al. 2008). In Mexico, few studies which include these kinds of perceptions have been done as part of the investigations into the perceptions of environmental transformation and global change (Arizpe et al. 1993; Lazos and Paré 2000). Indigenous groups include climate as part of their world view and organize their daily activities in accordance with their view (Leduc 2007; Green et al. 2010). They expect the weather from meteorological phenomenon to agree with a particular calendar and the climate associated with the climatic and micro-climatic conditions of a specific location where altitude and zonal characteristics converge (Descola 1989; Lammel et al. 2008). Seasonal agriculture is strictly associated with the climate of a specific zone and is linked with the annual and transannual climatic variability for which indigenous farmers have evolved adaption and response practices to the climatic demands. For this reason it is considered fundamental to know and reevaluate the indigenous knowledge about climate and the changes detected by them in the climatic variability in the short and long term, in order to be incorporated into the studies of anthropogenic climatic change. In this sense it is necessary to correlate the anthropological investigation of climate in a dynamic context of global change with the directly involved community (Rudnev 1997; Lammel et al. 2008). Therefore, it is necessary to expand the understanding and local knowledge of the capability to respond and adapt by the local farmer to the variations and changes of climate (Meze-Hausken 2004; Conde 2006; Thomas et al. 2007). Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 365 The indigenous peoples have been marginalized both sociologically and economically, a situation that acerbates their confrontation with a rapidly changing world from a climatic, environmental, economic and cultural point of view. An example of this is their adaptations to climate variability developed over hundreds of years which is also now being challenged by the availability of access to the land and the emigration of the youth; risk factors that diminish the environmental and cultural resilience (Ángel 1995). This research forms part of a wider study on perceptions of environmental change carried out in two Zoque communities of Chiapas in 2006 and 2007. When different ejidatarios and their wives were asked about perceived changes in their community over the past 10, 20 and 30 years their perceptions of “climate change” were expressed as part of the environmental transformations. In particular, temperature increases, a reduction in rainfall, changes in the duration of the northerlies (winds from the north) and alterations to the agricultural calendar were mentioned. The causes are attributed to the eruption of the Chichón volcano in 1982 and also a reduction in vegetation cover on the surrounding mountains (cloud forest and mountain rainforest). The regularity of these answers led us to study these perceptions in greater depth. In this article we present a case study concerning the perception of climate and changes in climate variability by members of a Zoque indigenous community, with the aim of identifying their perceptions as well as their explanations and solutions regarding the changes detected. Our objectives are focused on identifying the existence of possible changes in the climate variability of the region through two sources of information, climate data on the region and perceptions of ejidatarios and their wives. The questions that formed the foundation of this study are: What do local inhabitants perceive as changes in climate variability? Who in particular perceives these changes? How do they explain these climate changes? And finally; how are climate perceptions linked to the environmental and cultural context of the community and Zoque territory? This study is based on environmental perceptions, wich are understood as an awareness and grasp of the environment by individuals and groups in the broader sense (Whyte 1977, 1985). Perceptions influence the type of questions, explanations, meanings and values that we give to the world within which we live. Thus people dynamically structure and orientate multiple possibilities for actions (Lazos and Paré 2000), such as representations and actions taken by local inhabitants in the presence of perceived changes in climate variability. We regard climate as the average conditions of the climate system that consists of the interaction between solar radiation, atmosphere, oceans, continents and diverse life forms. This climate system determines the average conditions of variables such as temperature, rainfall and winds, thus climate variability forms part of climate and the long term changes which can occur. Variability corresponds to climate fluctuations over a short period of time which can be annually or every decade. Climate change is defined by changes in meteorological conditions over long periods of time, usually over centuries, characterized by local and global manifestations. A possible change in climate can be detected by the alterations in means or extreme values of climate variables (Stehr and von Storch 1995; Smit et al. 2000; Hageback et al. 2005; Conde 2006). Our analysis of Zoque perceptions of changes in climate variability is based on this. 366 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 2 Case study The indigenous community of San Pablo Huacanó (17◦ 11 45 N; 93◦ 12 25 W; 1,630 m) is located in the municipality of Ocotepec in the mountains of northern Chiapas (Fig. 1). The majority of Zoque communities are concentrated in this zone identified as the “La Selva Zoque” (The Zoque Forest), typified by a high degree of biodiversity. It is one of the focal points for tropical and temperate forest conservation within the Mexican section of the Mesoamerican Biological Corridor (Corredor Biológico Mesoamericano México 2002). Topography is mountainous and the climate is tropical warm / temperate with a dry winter and summer rains A(C)w 1(w). Mountain cloud forest predominates (Rzedowski 1978; INEGI 2006a, b). In 2005, the population of San Pablo Huacanó was 1,278, 660 men and 618 women (INEGI 2006a, b), the majority bilingual (Zoque and Spanish). The municipality of Ocotepec (59.60 km2 ) is composed of 38 rural localities characterized by a high degree of marginalization and poverty, lacking in drinking water and drainage Fig. 1 The location of the climatologically regions and the community of San Pablo Huacanó in relation to the Chichón volcano (17◦ 36 N; 93◦ 23 W; 1,100 m) is a distance of 18.5 km. In the low lands, the Zoques of San Pablo frequently use two hot micro-climatic regions between 600 and 1,300 m, which are respectively the locations of Campeche and Simbac. There they cultivate varieties of short cycle corn (Zea mays L.), coffee (Cof fea arabica L.), banana trees (Musa sp L.), cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) and oranges (Citrus cinensis (L.) Osbeck). In the colder highlands such as San Pablo Huacanó (1,630 m) they cultivate long cycle corn, peaches (Prunus persica (L.) Batch) and avocado (Persea shiedeana Nees) Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 367 infrastructure. The average number of years in education is 2.3 years and only 50.7% of the population can read or write; 60.2% of houses do not have any commodities (INEGI 2002). The peasants who possess rights to farmland are named ejidatarios and belong to the Ocotepec Ejido which has an area of 7,840 ha, 90% of the land is dedicated to crops, 10% to cattle farming and there are 993 ha of cloud forest (INEGI 2006a, b). The VII Ejido Census (INEGI 2001) recorded 556 ejidatarios with individual land plots, 60 from San Pablo Huacanó (Com. pers. Agente Municipal, October 2006). Land access and distribution is unequal, varying between 1 and 100 ha. People who have insufficient land or are landless are forced to rent. Some plots are close to the town and others are dispersed throughout the Ejido. Corn (Zea mays L.) and beans (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) are cultivated for self-subsistence on steep mountainous land, making production difficult. Coffee is also grown to complement their inadequate income (Cof fea arabica L.) and a few people practice extensive cattle farming. In order to attain a climatological analysis of the zone and considering that San Pablo Huacanó lacks a meteorological station to analyse possible trends in temperature and rainfall changes data was used from various meteorological stations close to the community and located in the Mexican Gulf Climate Region (Vidal 2004). We selected the stations according to the continuity and representativeness of the data recorded. The stations were all located within the 17◦ latitude (Table 1), thus all receiving similar hours of daylight and as a result similar warming conditions that in turn influence rainfall patterns, temperatures throughout the year and thermal oscillations (Barry and Chorley 1999). The stations are: Reforma, Yamonhó-Tecpatán, San Joaquín Pichucalco and Ocotepec (Fig. 1). The daily temperature records are taken from the Computerized Climate Data Base (CLICOM) V 3.1 provided by the Comisión Nacional del Agua (National Water Commission) Chiapas Delegation. The aim of the data analysis was to identify changes in rainfall and temperature that were taking place. Rainfall (Figs. 2 and 3) was analysed by year1 and by season: winter (January to March); spring (April to June); summer (July to September) and autumn (October to December). The occurrence of dry seasons, when evaporation exceeds precipitation, was also determined. As well as analysing the annual thermal oscillation and maximum and minimum temperatures, the frequency of days with extreme temperatures was also revised. Extremely hot days are defined as days when the temperature exceeds the standard deviation of the mean annual maximum temperatures. Likewise, extremely cold days are defined as days when the temperature is below the standard deviation of the mean annual minimum temperatures (O’Brien 1998). Extreme temperature records can be considered as indicators of trends in changes of both variability and climate as a whole. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC (2007) indicates a probable increase in the highest maximum temperatures, more hot days, an increase in the heat index, the possibility of higher minimum temperatures and less cold days. 1 Annual Precipitation. Annual rainfall greater than 3,000 mm is higher than in other regions of Mexico and is found the in mountainous areas with slopes facing the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. 93◦ 10 93◦ 13 93◦ 08 93◦ 03 17◦ 13 17◦ 07 17◦ 52 17◦ 35 OCO YAM REF SJP 1400 325 558 21 Altitude (m) 6,467 9,110 74,590 46,087 Distance, in a straight line from San Pablo Huacanó (m) A(C)w 1(w) Af(w) Af(w) Af(m) Climate Type (INEGI 2008) Am(f)(i’)gw” Am(f)(i’)gw” Af(m)(i’)g Type of climate and sub climate (García 2004) 19.7◦ 26.2◦ 25.4◦ 25.1◦ Annual T ◦ C 3589.3 1041.6 3670.5 1932.9 Annual Pp (mm) Source: García (2004); Vidal (2004); Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (2006); INEGI (2008) Af hot wet; Af(m) excellent exposure to moist winds (trades and northerly winds ); Am hot wet with summer rains; Am(f) winter rainfall greater than 10.2%; A(C) hot wet/warm temperate; A(C)w summer rains Longitude Latitude Station Table 1 Meteorological stations 368 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 369 Fig. 2 Normal precipitation An analysis of the four meteorological stations revealed the following: 1. In Reforma there is a trend towards a reduction in annual rainfall over the years (R2 = 0.25) in both autumn (R2 = 0.56) and winter (R2 = 0.66); with a significant increase in the number of dry months per year (R2 = 0.69; Table 2). In southern México, the increase in frequency and intensity of “El Niño” during the last two decades could be the cause of a reduction in rainfall (Magaña et al. 2004). Thus, in this case, the analysis of rainfall in Reforma is in keeping with the expected scenario (Fig. 4) and the thermal oscillation (Fig. 5) has increased (R2 = 0.77), possibly due to the increase in the annual mean maximum temperature (R2 = 0.63). Fig. 3 Winter rainfall (January, February and March) and observed values for the meteorological stations 370 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 Table 2 Annual rainfall pattern Station Ocotepec YamonhóTecpatán Reforma San JoaquínPichucalco Years recorded % analysed Annual rainfall months R2 P Spring Summer Autumn Winter R2 R2 R2 R2 P P P P 1985–2005 92.46% 1972–1997 99.67% 0.01 0.09 0.59 0.10 0.19 0.00 0.70 0.00 0.72 0.00 0.72 0.13 0.02 0.46 0.02 0.48 0.10 0.11 0.00 0.86 1966–1996 96.23% 1963–1990 96.13% 0.25 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.67 0.01 0.62 0.56 0.01 0.66 0.01 0.33 0.00 0.87 0.00 0.64 0.03 0.38 0.06 0.23 Fig. 4 Pattern in the number of dry months. Reforma present a trend towards a temperature and dry months annual increase Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 371 Fig. 5 Pattern in the annual thermal oscillation. Reforma station shows the possible trend decreasing in thermal oscillation 2. The Yamonhó-Tecpatán station did not present any changes in rainfall patterns or thermal oscillation (Table 3). 3. In San Joaquín-Pichucalco there is a slight trend towards an increase in the annual thermal oscillation (R2 = 0.18). 4. Ocotepec presents a slight trend towards an increase in the annual thermal oscillation (R2 = 0.19). The daily rainfall data were incomplete, so we did not analyze them. There was no trend in an increase or decrease in the frequency of cold or hot days in the four stations. In addition, the inhabitant’s perceptions were interpreted by applying 69 semi structured interviews (Whyte 1977; Lazos and Paré 2000) to 39 men and 30 women, all farmers that sow corn, beans and in some cases coffee in their own, borrowed or rented fields. Educational level varies; adults and old people are illiterate or only went to school an average of 2 years. Regarding young interviewees, some are illiterate and others went to primary school just for a few years. A minority Table 3 Pattern in the frequency of extreme temperatures Station Ocotepec Yamonhó-Tecpatán Reforma San Joaquín-Pichucalco T◦ maximum No. hot days T◦ minimum No. cold days R2 P R2 P R2 P R2 P 0.23 0.38 0.63 0.11 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.09 0.39 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.33 0.41 0.81 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.39 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.03 0.56 0.97 0.24 0.40 372 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 studied secondary and high school. The interviews2 were transcribed into text so that the narration could be codified and interpreted and subject to a quantitative and qualitative analysis. Some women who could not speak fluent Spanish and were less used to outsiders, gave much shorter answers. The 69 interviewees were placed into three age categories so as to represent young people (15–25 years old), adults (26–59 years old) and elderly people (over 60). Thus, we have two large gender groups and six age groups. The questions were aimed at finding out if they remembered what the climate was like when they were around 15 years old. When referring to changes in temperature or rainfall they were given three options: the same, less cold or colder. They were also asked how they had recognized and what did they attribute these changes to. The questions were open-ended in order to avoid any influence or manipulation on the answers by the interviewer. From this group of 60 people, 12 were selected (eight men and four women) who were to be interviewed more extensively regarding the agricultural and weather calendar, corn and bean varieties as well as the relationship between the climate and snakes. Out of these 12, only three were chosen because of their knowledge expressed in the previous interviews whilst the others were selected randomly, taking into account there willingness to be interviewed. 3 Zoque Territory: knowledge and management San Pablo Huacanó was founded at the beginning of the twentieth century by people from Ocotepec. They cultivated the milpa (corn and beans) by shifting cultivation. This system implies a broad knowledge of nature, climate and crops varieties. In hot and lower locations “sowing rain”, known locally as tornamil (600– 1,300 m). Depending on each specific location, tornamil can be sown in November, December and even February, harvested in April, May and July respectively (Fig. 1). These crops are grown over 5 months. The corn varieties, which have a shorter growing season with an earlier harvest, as they have a short cycle, in the Zoques’ words are known as “early”. Another characteristic of these sites is that the higher temperatures, soil humidity and rain present from November to February permit them to obtain an additional harvest to those of colder climates. The traditional maize varieties, grown close to the town in cold locations (above 1,600 m), are sown in April and May and harvested in August and September. These varieties have a longer growing cycle. These crops are described by the inhabitants as “late” crops. In accordance with their agricultural practices the San Pablo Huacanó Zoques divide their territory into two climate types, namely hot and cold, determined by two altitudinal variants (Fig. 1). They recognize that “each place has its traditional variety”; each specific microclimate determining which is the most appropriate corn traditional to be sown. This knowledge allows peasant farmers to manage different crops with distinct climatic requirements as well as the seasonal collection of woodland and forest products (Descola 1989; Nates and Cerón 1997; Lammel et al. 2008; Velázquez 2001). 2 All the interviews were carried out by Spanish and recorded onto cassette tapes. Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 373 During the 1960s, the traditional agricultural model of shifting cultivation practiced in San Pablo Huacanó was in crisis. Due to the increase in population and an unequal land distribution, there was an increase in land fragmentation and overexploitation, making it difficult to preserve “acahuales” (recovering fallow land). The corn harvest suffered a dramatic reduction and the peasants had to buy corn. A short time after, in March and April 1982, the Chichón volcano erupted (Fig. 1), resulting in moderate damage caused by 20 cm of ash. Once the uncertainty regarding the germination and development of the crops had passed, the farmers saw a recovery in their corn crops and obtained plentiful harvests. They attributed this occurrence to the volcanic ash which when combined with the soil, “heated up” and fertilized the cropland. The local newspapers (SARH 1982), together with messages transmitted by radio, widely divulged to the population the benefits of the volcanic ash, which consists of non-toxic silicon, sulphates and nitrogen compounds suitable for agriculture. The eruption became a reference point for different events during the period, such as the corn recovery, decline in bean cultivation and the modification of the local climate that local inhabitants perceived through the effects on their crops. The farmers point out that the hot weather affects the cornfields so they avoid sowing in March, just as their parents and grandparents did 30 years ago. Today they sow in April and the first days of May and so have less time to wait before the rains commence. The lack of sufficient land to apply the traditional shifting cultivation model has resulted in a sharp decline in the altitudinal use of territory and therefore in the possibility of reducing impacts from strong winds or frosts. Furthermore, the peasant farmers lack alternative techniques in soil, pest and agricultural product management. The farmer’s strategy has been to rent land, work with their parents or migrate in order to obtain additional income to farm the land and satisfy their basic needs. 4 Weather calendar and ethno-meteorological knowledge In the Zoque culture the climate is connected to the agricultural and lunar cycles. Báez-Jorge (1979, 1983) identifies three climate seasons: the hot period “Ningo Po-ya” or hot moon; rainy season “Tucsawa Po.ya” or moon-wind-rain, and the cold season “Pacak Po.ya” or cold moon. The names of the seasons are associated with the moon (Po.ya), which plays a fundamental role in Zoque cosmology and in the agricultural calendar. The moon is seen as the Madre Luna (Mother Moon), the wife of Padre Sol (Father Sun) and is associated with fertility. The waning or waxing moon is taken into account in different daily activities and in crop sowing and harvesting. The waning moon signifies growth; the full moon or fourth quarter symbolizes maturity. If the corn is not sown or harvested during these respective lunar phases the corn does not grow or the grains are eaten by moths. The wind plays an important role in the climate; the Tucsawa or northerly wind season is associated with the presence of rain-wind-cold between June and October and the southerly wind, Hamansawa or Sun Wind is associated with hot weather (Fig. 6). When interviewing people over 40 years old about the weather calendar, they expressed some local variations to the names reported by Báez-Jorge (1979). They 374 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 Fig. 6 Time cycle. Sources: Báez-Jorge (1979, 1983) and fieldwork. S1 tornamil sowing Simbac; S2 tornamil sowing Campeche; S3 current sowing cold climate San Pablo Huacanó; S4 sowing 30 years ago cold climate; H1 harvest Simbac; H2 harvest Campeche; H3 current harvest cold climate; H4 harvest 30 years ago 30; SAB slash and burn of cropland. Local variants of the seasons: Tucsawa Po.ya Pakatsawa or Pomi.Tu; Ningo.poya Ikitsawa or Pictu Po.ya provided details of the succession and duration of climate events observed during each season and in each altitudinal space such as the presence of the southerly wind during the hot season which when strong, affects the corn crops in the hot region mountains towards Simbac located at lower altitudes (Fig. 1). The northerlies occur during the rainy season thus its possible effects are considered before sowing. In cold San Pablo Huacanó, the different traditional varieties and introduced corn are sown in April and the first days of May so that by the time June arrives, plants have more resistance against the winds and intense rain (Fig. 6). The interviewed people distinguished the downpour or “Modu” months defined as a short intense rain shower with a duration expressed in hours and where you cannot leave your house until the heavy rain stops. This rain is expected in May and June. They mention that the period of thunderstorms is in June and July. The Norte (northerlies) or “Nor yoe” rain is a less intense, light or moderate rain that lasts several days without stopping. The sun does not appear however it is possible to work in the fields. The northerlies usually take place from August to October. The indigenous farmers distinguish intermediary months between one season and Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 375 another, such as the hot season before the start of the rains or between the cold and hot season (Fig. 6). The dog days period (canícula) is expected between July 20 and August 20 and divided into two types, the water canícula so called because it will carry on raining and the hot canícula, a succession of hot days, a heavy shower and then hot again, a phenomenon that “heats up the earth and causes mainly stomach illnesses”. The Zoques consider that during this period the crops can become rotten or any wood that has been cut will get woodworm, thus these activities are avoided. Currently, the entire population does not take into account the relationship between the agricultural calendar and the moon. Some farmers adhere to these beliefs when sowing and wait for a waning moon, referred to as eight days after the appearance of the moon; others sow during the waxing moon. On moonless new moon days they avoid sowing, stating that “the corn stem thins out and grows taller3 or the corn drowns......it doesn’t sprout evenly”. The harvest takes place during a full moon so that the stored corn grain is not affected by pests. Not all farmers apply this traditional knowledge and attribute this situation to dependence on fertilizers and insecticides applied when the corn is stored. Coffee seedlings are planted during or two or three days after a full moon. Another aspect related to the climate seasonality is the presence and behaviour of particular bird species (Lammel et al. 2008). At the start of the sowing season during March and April the Tush tucu (Zoque)/dove (Columba sp), the Po’Ki,/Claycoloured Robin (Turdus grayi) and the turimpio start singing. The interviewed inhabitants explain that “the old people say that they sow the beans and corn when the calandria (Turdus grayi). They sings so that the corn and bean crops flower; they sing when the men are working” “the doves and robins nested in the acahuales ...when I was 12 years old I sowed in March, the birds sang all around, announcing that it was time for sowing beans, the elders would say that it is time to burn and prepare the ground for sowing, time to sow, the people prepared, I don’t know where the doves have gone, they have gone somewhere else, the dove is not seen here anymore.....” These examples demonstrate the Zoque vision of an environment where time, space and different living things interrelate with their daily activities, all linked to cyclic events such as agriculture and climate. Perception also provides evidence of changes that have occurred in the farmer’s territory, wildlife and landscape. Therefore, knowledge of how people experience variations in the weather and climate is essential, taking into account their local calendar which differs from the western calendar, with different time periods and atmospheric and environmental observations connected to agricultural production (Vedwan and Rhoades 2001; Orlove et al. 2002). The Zoques inhabit a climate zone characterized by rainfall and humidity. They differentiate types of rainfall in different seasons and their observations are more focused on rainfall duration rather than quantity in order to orientate their daily and agricultural activities. This observation is similar to that mentioned by Roncoli (2006) who considers that in climate and climate prediction 3 Under controlled conditions there are different responses of some plants to moonlight; an aspect related to different popular beliefs. For example “ seed bed seedlings exposed to a fourth quarter waning moon experience vegetative development whereas when exposed to a fourth quarter waxing moon, display less root or leaf development but flower earlier” (Elías and Castellví 2001:183). 376 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 research, more importance should be given to rainfall duration and seasonality variables than rainfall amounts. Climate knowledge interrelates with cosmology in order to explain meteorological phenomena and their control. Descriptions similar to those pointed out by BáezJorge (1979) who mentions the relationship between the rain, wind and cardinal points were made by the Zoques of San Pablo Huacanó. The people express that “when it is going to rain, a cold wind blows and clouds appear. The southerly wind blows towards the north and then returns with the rain. The southerly wind blows and prepares the clouds, this same wind returns as a cold northerly with the rain”. The short heavy showers and the northerlies are controlled by a supernatural being called “Don Rayo” (Mr Lightning), owner of the rain who lives in a place known as hamlet, in the northern mountains of Chiapas. This name is just a reference to a place and does not correspond to a specific geographic location. Here, the land is farmed for corn and diverse agricultural products, all of which are better and bigger than those consumed by other humans. Don Rayo is also associated with water and has three wives who change into frogs during the day. Julio Hernández an 80 year old man explains that “Don Rayo” gives permission to the heavy showers and the northerlies. He has seven pots where he keeps the clouds and seven large earthen water jars where the rain comes from. He possesses a walking stick which he moves to make the lightning and new clothes which he puts on when he goes to work (makes it rain). During the period of heavy showers he takes his walking stick out of his box and takes the lid off one two or three pots and two or three water jars, depending on the intensity of the rain and where it is going to rain and then he puts the clouds away. When it is time of the northerlies (several days’ rain) he takes the lids off the seven pots and water jars...(each year) the lightning starts in the east and as the days go by it moves all the way around the horizon until it returns to the place where it first appeared. Then it starts to thunder, but still far away, and goes around the horizon just like the lightning and then rumbles. When this has finished, it is the time of lightning and heavy showers, like in June. If the lightning starts in March it means that there will be good weather (enough rain for the crops), if there is no lightning, there isn’t going to be any good weather, When there is thunder, it begins in North America and then it follows its path all around the world”. The latter reasoning expresses the incorporation of new cultural elements that explain the rainy season. Some Zoque residents of San Pablo Huacanó migrate temporarily to the United Sate of America. Snakes are also associated with water, rain and lightning. There are many snakes in the hills which climb onto the clouds and wander around them in the form of lightning, such as the Neñaksumu (Báez-Jorge 1979). In San Pablo Huacanó the adults describe a huge horned snake, similar to a Boa constrictor. Its head and ears are similar to those of the “Mua” deer and is therefore called “Mua tzat”. When the snake moves or opens its mouth, which can trap people and large animals, it causes strong winds. Don Julio Hernández explains the presence of three snakes associated with the wind: the Mua tzat orAwuayuhua that has 12 horned heads, lives in the hills and the sea and can swallow people. According to Báez-Jorge et al. (1985) it takes a primordial place in the Zoque supernatural world; the Neñaksumu, a snake that makes the wind, climbs up trees and when it comes down it goes to the sea; and finally the Tzitzat snake that makes the rainbow or jungüwi’ts, the snakes breath, Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 377 which appears when it rains. These three snakes differ from Nawayomo, linked to the punishment of human unfaithfulness, capable of converting into other men and women, has three fingers and lives close to streams and gullies. This legend is present in various Zoque communities (Sulvarán 2007). In order to predict meteorological events that are close in time, the Zoques use the lunar phases. When it is a full moon “the rain goes away” and when it is waxing (1st and 2nd quarter) it “brings water”. The black “ori” bird is associated with the rain or northerlies (Báez-Jorge et al. 1985). In San Pablo Huacanó, the Zoques mention birds such as the cowboy bird, the Plain Chachalaca (Ortalis vetula) and the pi’ja that indicate rain or heavy showers. Other species such as the Spotted Wood Quail (Odontophorus gutatus) and the black odi and oti birds announce northerlies or a change in the weather. When found in peoples houses, the chicatana ant (Atta sp.) indicates a change in the weather. The seasonality of the rain and the association of the wind with the cardinal points are interrelated with cosmology and knowledge of the land. These aspects allow Zoques to place a cultural and practical significance to weather and climate interpretation, however, this knowledge and symbolic meanings are expressed differently, depending on generation, gender, agricultural practices and personal experience. The meteorological and climatic knowledge of the Zoques has commonalities with other indigenous groups of Mexico, although each group has its idiosyncrasies. For example, the association of snakes with rain and rainbows, the catching of rainwater in jars ( representing the mountains), wearing rain gear, and the differences between the dry and wet dog days. At times, they predict the weather based on the behavior of birds and ants (Lammel et al. 2008). 5 Perception of changes in climate variability The changes perceived refer to a decrease in rainfall, less duration of northerlies, an increase in temperature during the hot season and less cold in the winter months. Out of 69 people interviewed, 70% (N = 48) perceived a change in the climate, whereas 30% (N = 21) did not perceive any change (Fig. 7). It was difficult for the interviewees to remember particular years when referring to changes in climate variability so they used reference points such as when they were children or number of years before or after they were married. However, the most significant reference point for both adults and elderly people was the Chichón volcano eruption in 1982. 5.1 Rainfall Changes in rainfall are perceived by 59% (N = 28) of men and 23% (N = 11) of women. The perception of this variation has reference points such as the weather calendar where the presence of rainy or northerly wind months is expressed and personal experience (Table 4). The three main aspects regarding the perception of changes in rainfall are: 1. Decrease in duration of rain: 31% (N = 15) of the interviewees mention the lessor number of days with storms or northerlies today compared to the past. 378 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 Fig. 7 Perception of climate change. N 69 = 100%. No perception of climate change (subtotal N 21 = 30%): 15 to 25 years old (13%); 26 to 60 years old (8%) and More than 60 years old (9%). Perception climate change (subtotal N 48 = 70%): 15 to 25 years old (20%); 26 to 60 years old (26%) and More than 60 years old (24%). Percentages rounded up to 0 decimals Duration is connected to the daily activities during the rainy season, for example: “when I grew up and got married there was no corn or beans, we had to go to Copainala to buy it and also bring back salt, soap and sugar......we would go before the rainy season because sometimes the northerlies would last for more than 20 days”; “it used to rain 10 or 15 days, it’d rain a lot, nowadays it doesn’t rain like it used to, it just rains a little now”, “before the volcano exploded it was just rain, one would get bored with so much rain”. Table 4 Perceptions of changes in climate variability parameters Percentage of 48 people Rainfall Decrease in duration Decrease in amount Seasonality variations More rain No rain changes Temperature Less cold Warmer Less frost No temperature changes No change in degree of cold Young people Adults M W M W Elderly people M W 6 8 4 2 0 0 4 0 2 2 10 8 8 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 4 4 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 2 31 31 15 4 4 4 10 0 6 0 4 6 0 0 0 21 6 4 0 0 6 6 0 6 6 10 2 4 0 2 8 2 4 0 0 54 33 12 6 8 The percentages are rounded up to 0 decimal points; therefore the total is not always 100% Subtotal Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 379 Twenty years ago, there was no road leading to the community making it extremely difficult to travel to nearby communities, therefore the weather was an important factor when organizing during the rainy season. 2. Decrease in amount: 31% (N = 15) point out that it rains less. On several occasions, interviewees perception was associated with agricultural activities, an increase in temperature and related to the weather events calendar, for example: it rains less because “before we would go to the fields with my father, the corn would grow evenly and green, now they tell me that there is a lack of rain, and that it is very hot” “I noticed, as I am old. I knew in which season there weren’t any northerlies anymore ...and now the sun makes it hot”. 3. Variation or unpredictability in the rainy season: this was only expressed by men as they are more attentive to the start of the rainy season as it determines when they sow the fields. 15% (N = 7) of men mentioned these variations: “the rains no longer have a special time, anyone can be wrong, the clouds can appear whenever, there isn’t a specific time when they appear anymore”; “it’s variable; before, the time for northerlies was in September, October and November; this no longer happens,.......it rains for a while, then it’s hot again” (Table 4). These changes in rainfall duration, amount and variation are perceived mostly by interviewees aged between 26 and 60 years old and particularly men. 5.2 Temperature Changes in the temperature are perceived by 62% (N = 30) of men and 37% (N = 18) of women. They refer to (1) less cold, 54% (N = 27); (2) warmer, 33% (N = 16) and (3) less frost 12% (N = 6). The latter was only mentioned by several adults and elderly people (Table 4). The perception of changes in temperature reflect an important sensorial component, however, these are not mentioned in isolation. On different occasions, adults and elderly people gave their answers using personal experiences, referring to the weather calendar and using the volcano eruption as a reference point. For example: “before, there were more northerlies, it was colder and now it is warmer” “when I was a small it was very cold, even our bodies hurt in the cold, it changed because of the El Chichón volcano eruption, ...the cold period started in November and December, it was unbearable, now it starts in November but it doesn’t feel cold”; “when I was a kid it was colder, it rained continually for a week to 12 days, now it is warmer and it doesn’t rain so much.”; “before the eruption it was colder; in the night we used to use two or three blankets but after the eruption we realized we didn’t need extra blankets.” The perceived temperature changes are mentioned often by people aged between 26 and 60 years and especially men. 5.3 The causes of change The farmers and their wives mention the following as causes of changes in climate variability: the reduction in mountain vegetation 27% (N = 13); the eruption of the 380 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 Chichón volcano 42% (N = 20) and the heating up of the land, 17% (N = 8), 12% (N = 6) do not know the cause of these changes (Table 5). The Zoques refer to primary forest vegetation or fallow land (acahual) left to recover for a period of 40 years as “Mujatzama” or montaña (forest) associated with a wet, cool microclimate and soils that allow plants grow. The montaña is also cropland where previously farmed acahuales can recover and become forest again. Related to this, the Zoques have a cyclic perception of various natural events such as vegetation regeneration and a vision of continuity or continuum. Within the Zoque landscape, as in other indigenous cultures, there are no strong divisions between humans and nature, cropland and forest or domestic and wild (Descola 1992; Lazos 2008). In this context, people explain that in the montaña (forest), large trees attract clouds, fog and water; it rains more and is cooler than in deforested areas. Twentyone percent (N = 10) of men belonging to three generations and 6% (N = 3) of adult women view population increase and agriculture as the main causes of the deterioration and decrease in area of the montaña and therefore less chance for its recovery and continued existence. However, they recognize crop and cattle farming as essential subsistence activities, thus justifying forest degradation with the need to farm available land for survival. In most cases the interviewees did not directly mention the accumulation of land by individuals or how the land is used by cattle farmers. In addition to these problems there is a lack of production alternatives and appropriate reorientation of government policies towards a sustainable management of forest resources. The other cause of changes in climate variability is the Chichón volcano eruption, a perception expressed by 23% (N = 11) of men and 19% (N = 9) of women belonging to the adult and elderly age categories. The structure of and attachment to this perception is connected to personal experience during and after this important geological event. The inhabitants experienced environmental changes such as variations in annual temperatures and changes in soil fertility. In 1982, the Chichón volcano eruption produced K-alkaline magma and formed a 27 km high plinian column (Medina-Martínez 1982; Sigurdsson et al. 1984) which dispersed in a northeasterly direction injecting sulphur aerosols into the stratosphere (Matson 1984; Rye Table 5 Perceptions of causes and consequences of climate variability Percentage of 48 people Causes Eruption of Chichón volcano The heating up or the land Decrease in vegetation Don’t know Consequences Changes to sowing and harvest period Introduction of cacaté Introduction of bananas Introduction of squash Introduction of coffee Young people Adults M W M W M W 0 0 10 6 0 0 0 2 13 10 2 4 6 0 6 0 10 2 8 0 13 4 0 0 42 16 27 12 0 0 6 2 13 2 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 8 6 2 0 4 2 12 12 14 12 Percentages rounded up to 0 decimal points Elderly people Subtotal Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 381 et al. 1984). The global surface temperature decreased by 1◦ C followed by a sharp increase during the summer of 1983 (Seoánez 2001). In addition to the greenhouse effect, due to the reflection of terrestrial radiation and ash in the atmosphere, the affected zone experienced high rainfall, temperature and humidity. These effects accelerated the germination, growth and recuperation of the secondary vegetation, particularly grasses (Cervantes-Borja et al. 1983). The Zoques interpreted the fall of volcanic ash in two ways. The first is related to the soil whereby the mixing of “the sand” with the soil in the fields modified fertility. At first, this was considered to be beneficial for the corn production, but currently it is perceived as having a negative effect, as they blame the ash for the presence of different weeds and pests such as the “lorito” (parrot) insect (Diphalauca sp.) that affects bean production. The second is related to the perception of the heating up or the land which is associated with local changes in climate variability and their diverse repercussions. According to the Zoques, the climate became warmer as a consequence of the eruption. In addition, the ash is considered hot because it comes from a volcano. 5.4 Consequences and responses to changes in climate variability The perception of climate variability is interrelated with the indigenous farmer’s agricultural experiences and their annual corn sowing calendar. The Zoques perceive local climate changes and the heating up of the land, together with their consequences and responses within the sphere of their daily agricultural activities and resulting modifications. The Zoques perceive today’s climate as warmer than more than 30 years ago. The logic in explaining the change is based on climate and altitudinal knowledge, in particular the differentiation between cold and hot territory, together with climate requirements for the sowing and development of different crops such as corn which plays a fundamental subsistence role. 5.5 The heating up or the land and the displacement of the agricultural calendar When the San Pablo Huacanó Zoques argue that “the earth has heated up” they are describing the fact that their community, characterized as “cold land” has experienced climate changes. Their arguments are backed up by changes in the sowing calendar. Thirty years ago, in cold zones, they sowed during March and April and harvested in August or September (Fig. 6). They point out that today the varieties of corn with long cycles “have moved forward”; that they require less time to develop as in the “hot land” the short cycle corn varieties. The interviewed farmers grow the native Mexican “criollo” (traditional) corn variety that was sown by their ancestors, locally known as “bacal grande” as well as the “bacalito” variety, smaller but with more grains and introduced during the last few decades. Both of these varieties are currently sown during April and May and harvested in August and September respectively (Fig. 6). The peasants mention that for both varieties “the time of sowing is different but the harvest period is the same”. Regarding corn cultivation, the Zoques constantly observe changes in the agricultural calendar and climate. The farmers have put the sowing period back one month when compared with their parents or grandparents to ensure that the seedlings receive rain and do not die prematurely due to a lack of water and heat (Table 5). 382 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 Other consequences expressed by 50% (N = 26) of adult and elderly interviewees related to “the heating up or the land” is the introduction in their homegardens of plants from warmer climates such as coffee, banana (Musa sapientum L.) and orange (Citrus sinensis (L.) Osbeck). They also mention that due to a warmer climate they can now grow squash (Cucurbita pepo L.) in the fields near to the village, when years before they could only harvest chilacayote (Cucurbita f icifolia Bouche) which is more resistant to cold weather (Table 5). A recently cultivated species is cacaté (Oecopetalum mexicanum Greenm. & Thomps), grown in the coffee fields near to the village. Years before, the seeds were collected in semi-warm areas. According to collection data (Medina 2000), in Veracruz, the distribution of O. mexicanum corresponds to hot and temperate climates, with an average annual temperature of 17◦ C to 26◦ C and a average minimum temperature of 2◦ C to 12◦ C at altitudes between 0 and 2,000 m, indicating that its climate requirements do not limit it to hot areas. The Zoques of San Pablo Huacanó argue that before the eruption they planted this tree in their village but it did not yield any fruit. 6 Discussion The analysis of the climate stations close to San Pablo Huacanó showed possible trends in changes in micro regional climate variability. However, as the four stations did not present similar trends, no determining conclusions can be made. The possible temperature changes differ between stations. Reforma (R2 = 0.77) present an increasing trend in thermal oscillation. An increase in the annual mean maximum temperature is evident in Reforma (R2 = 0.63) and Yamonhó-Tecpatán (R2 = 0.38). None of the four stations presented an increase or decrease in extreme temperature frequency. Changes related to an increase in temperature and decreases in rainfall are particularly evident in Reforma. Annual rainfall shows an increase in dry months per year (R2 = 0.69). The decrease in rainfall is more significant in autumn (R2 = 0.56) and winter (R2 = 0.66). These trends are consistent with the perceptions expressed by the Zoques of San Pablo Huacanó who stated that the sowing season had been displaced from March and April to April and early May in the cold zone regardless of the maize variety (bacal and bacalito). The peasant farmers reveal that the heat affects the sown corn so they try to expose the corn seedlings as little as possible. This is related to changes in soil humidity, probably derived from an increase in temperature that favours the absorption of water vapour. The decrease in winter rainfall is also evident in observations related with agriculture. Thomas et al. (2007) states that variations in the means of climate variables is not sufficient to identify attributes of climate impact observed and experienced by local inhabitants, as it is only they that have a day to day relationship with the weather and climate and can distinguish continuities or variants as regards the local climate, something which is not visible in statistics. Hence, an understanding of responses by local actors to the different magnitudes and frequencies of changes in climate variability is fundamental. Changes in micro-regional climate variability perceived by the Zoque farmers come to light when they describe the displacement of the Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 383 sowing season and the introduction of crops from warmer zones used for household subsistence rather than increasing economic productivity, as is the case in other studied communities (Hageback et al. 2005; Thomas et al. 2007). In order to optimize corn cultivation, affected by negative factors such as climate events, erosion or a lack of available land, the indigenous farmers have put various interrelating strategies into practice which act as a “buffer” against these pressures and help ensure an adequate subsistence harvest. Depending on their possibilities of access to their own or rented land, the Zoques do not restrict themselves to just one area of cropland. They sow on both “cold land” and “hot land” thus increasing their options and providing a safeguard against the effects of damages caused by the weather or climate events. Furthermore, cultivating crops in two distinct microclimate zones allows harvests at different times of the year, again reducing the risk of losses due to the climate or weather events as well as ensuring that food availability is not limited to just one particular period. The selection of corn varieties is in function of the farmer’s preferences and a process of trial and error with different varieties which provide benefits in various aspects. Long-cycle “criollo” traditional corn, “bacal grande” or short-cycle “bacalito” corn is grown. Although the Zoques have experimented with other corn varieties such as Tuxpeño or those promoted by the government, the interviewees mention that the majority of the farmers opt for the varieties that ensure a harvest and an increase in yield. The vulnerability of the Zoques, farmers that depend on the seasons, is not entirely due to climate (Roncoli 2006). It is also related to their socio-economic context and the corn production environment, as this is their staple subsistence crop. Currently, regional and international migration also plays an important role. This difficult situation is exacerbated when there are no other economically viable crops that can provide additional income, such as coffee 20 years ago. In San Pablo Huacanó and the 38 communities that comprise the Municipality of Ocotepec, corn is grown on steep mountain slopes and on soils that are not suitable for agriculture. This makes farming tasks difficult and limits productivity. The farmers cultivate between 0.5 and 3 ha, on average they sow 20 kg of corn and obtain a harvest of 800 a 1,000/ha, a reflection of the impact of erosion, weeds, pests and a lack of agricultural inputs (fertilizers, pesticides etc). Another aspect which contributes to vulnerability is migration which Mertz et al. (2008) considers as having an impact on adaptation to climate change. All the young people temporally migrate from San Pablo Huacanó. Some return during the sowing or harvest season. Another significant factor is the lack of access to available land, an aspect that reduces the options for the altitudinal use of territory and thus causes a loss of knowledge and experience in the management of microclimates for agriculture. This makes season dependent farmers, in particular landless young farmers or peasants, more vulnerable when faced with the foreseen changes in climate variability. There is a decline in adaptation options, linked to culture, agricultural and environmental experience, as well as a certain amount of learning involved in this process (Smith and Wandel 2006). The question regarding who perceives changes in climate variability, leads us to differential perceptions between interviewees. Adult and elderly men refer to the changes with greater frequency, a situation associated with there inherent nexus to agriculture. Women circumscribe their activities to the domestic household, homegardens and depending on time or needs, in the fields helping with the harvest. 384 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 These differences in daily activities give rise to a degree of heterogeneity between genders and age groups. The women mention climate change less than any other group. Although Arizpe et al. (1993) did not find any gender differences regarding perception; she established a rural/urban dichotomy whereby rural inhabitants were directly linked to the climate through their farming experiences. Comparisons between the actual climate and the idealized weather calendar (expected weather) intervene in the structure of climate change perception (Rebetez 1996; Vedwan and Rhoades 2001). The adult groups and especially the elderly, resort to the ethno-climatology calendar in order to compare changes detected in climate variability. Young Zoques do not clearly mention this calendar or their ethno-meteorological knowledge in predicting the weather. The generational rupture is present in the role of significant events such as the Chichón volcano eruption that orientate perceptions of environmental change. The temporary increase in temperature and soil fertility are immediate consequences of the eruption over 27 years ago and are contrasted with current changes namely in the climate, erosion, an increase in weeds and pests as well as a drastic decline in flora and fauna, all to a certain degree a consequence of rapid deforestation. The inhabitants of the San Pablo Huacanó area look to the past to account for present events; the future is judged relative to the past and people’s experiences. Concurring with these principles, the eruption as a singular event creates social ties between individual people, connecting individual experiences played out during the event. In the present, experience forms part of the logic of meaning to explain current environmental changes, including climate. The eruption, as well as orientating the meaning of experience, is part of the historic context of perceptions and their differential inter-generational expression. The young Zoque farmers also use their personal experience when they reveal that the deterioration and fragmentation of the montaña(forest) is the principal cause of climate change. They express perceptive elements of their experiences visiting the forest, comparing the cool climate associated with the vegetation and the permanent mist. It is also likely that part of the discourse related to forest conservation taught in the school classroom or present in similar discussions is incorporated into their explanations (Lammel et al. 2008). The adults and elderly mention the same aspects referred to by the younger inhabitants and also refer to changes related to the seasonal presence of specific bird species (Columba sp) in their old acahuales which are now deforested, thus manifesting the environmental deterioration of their territory over time. Zoque perception connects perceptive and practical experience to their personal knowledge. At the same time, these elements are associated with environmental cyclic processes, experienced by the Zoques in their daily activities. It is an articulated perception where the climate is one more component, not isolated from the social and environmental context. The perception of the weather and climate is related to diverse environmental elements. With Zoque peasant farmers, their own perception is not based on isolated signs it is part of a general world view (Lammel et al. 2008) but on a grouping together of many parameters that are not consciously articulated (Roncoli 2006). This is evident in the case of biological indicators used by the Zoques to predict the weather, such as bird and ant behaviour linked to heavy showers or northerlies. Other indicators used to explain the perceived changes in climate variability are specific plants, widely known through farming or collection. The farmers can use Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 385 them to identify productivity when compared with other environments and their microclimate characteristics (coffee, squash, bananas, oranges and cacaté). The farmers mention that they have grown these plants for years on land on their property located in the “tierras frías” and “calientes” (cold and hot land). Roncoli (2006) refers to plants that African farmers use for predicting local climate. People’s agricultural perceptions and knowledge are founded on observation carried out over many years and linked to their productive and subsistence experience, thus converting into local empirical indicators of both climate and changes in climate variability. This aspect needs to be taken into account in scientific studies on climate change and variability. Another possible climate indicator that needs further research is the perception that there has been a reduction in the degree of cloudiness in the mountains associated with vegetation loss and a cause of temperature increase. Finally, these aspects, at times, are incorporated in the perception of specific climatic indicators, such as cloudiness, wind or types of precipitation, on the part of the farmers (Meze-Hausken 2004). 7 Conclusions The modification of the local farming calendar in subsequence to their experiences is found in the knowledge Zoque of the changes in the climatic variability of the region. These modifications have had immediate association with the eruption of the Chichón volcano and possibly with a variation in the temperature for at least the last 30 years. The indigenous knowledge and experiences should be considered not only in studies of anthropogenic changes, if not also in the discussion and the planning of international, national and local efforts. Principally in the measures directed for the mitigation and the adaptation in seasonal agriculture, where the indigenous population ought to be a priority due to their vulnerability to social and economic risks. Another aspect on the part of science is to consider the value of the indigenous knowledge of climate and the ecological aspects of the territory, both expressing an integrated vision of nature. In the variances of these elements one finds an important view by the local indigenous inhabitants of environmental change. The perception of changes in the climatic variability from the point of view of this Zoque community, who inhabit a region that isn’t characterized by periods of severe drought, contribute elements to expand micro-regional studies of climate, as in those of the agricultural meteorologists, in order to understand the interaction between the climate and the varieties of native and introduced corn. This Zoque knowledge can orient the appropriate mitigation and adaptation measures for the region by considering the interrelation of indigenous knowledge, scientific and technical involvement in the management of soils, the support of the diversification of agricultural products or the management of plant pests and diseases. The indigenous Zoques know their land, weather and climate going back many generations. The anthropogenic climate changes present a considerable risk because it is expected to be present for a short period of time and should be reflected concurrently by an actual response in their seasonal agricultural practices. The affects on the territory, as in the destruction of the forests, has cultural and environmental consciences for the Zoques, an indication that the custodians of the animals and the cultivars have abdicated. The reduction of the fauna or in the harvest yield 386 Climatic Change (2011) 107:363–389 is attributed to that reason. These cultural beliefs are principally found in the elderly. In their own way, the adolescents and adults consider that the times have changed and in small measure bestow an explanation from their cultural perspective. This tell us about the fragmentation of cultural beliefs through factors of intruding western education, the media of communication, the ways life is experienced in other places, the changes to customs, etc. The challenges to current generations will be to understand environmental and climatic changes stemming from the cultural transformation which involves the fragmentation of the culture, countryside and language. The lack and fragmentation of land has caused the youth for the last 30 years to look for economic avenues through emigration. Even though it has been recent, the abandonment of agriculture by the youth reduces the formation of agricultural experiences, agricultural and ecological knowledge of the land, the climate and the variety of harvested corn. In effect the migration and its consequences began to shift the balance toward the abandonment of the countryside while sufficient alternatives for employment, agricultural support or development of sustainability do not exist. Acknowledgements We thank the Biological Science Postgraduate Department of the National Autonomous University of México (UNAM) and the National Council for Science and Technology (CONACyT) for the research grant provided (number 181674). We especially thank the people of San Pablo Huacanó who provided us with their viewpoints and support during the fieldwork. We are grateful to Diego Díaz Bonifaz in charge of the Southern Border College Geographical Information Laboratory (ECOSUR-SCL) for the drawing of the required maps, also Fabiola Gumeta Gómez and Jesús Pérez Acua for help with the climate data analysis. 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