GISBORNE DISTRICT GROWTH MODEL March 2007 Gisborne District Council EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report is the basis for growth assumptions in the Long Term Council and Community Plan (Community Plan). Growth projections are subject to uncertainties as to the quantum, timing and location of growth and therefore regular reviews will be undertaken as a key component of planning future network and community infrastructure requirements. The growth model addresses three indicators of growth: resident population, households and gross floor area of non-residential activities. The population component of the growth model provides projections of resident population for each census year. The projections are divided into two general areas: (1) An area encompassing the city and the surrounding fringe areas referred to as the “Gisborne Urban Area”; and (2) the remainder of the District. Population The projections for the Gisborne Urban Area over the period 2006-2021 are the average of the “high” and “medium” series of Statistics New Zealand’s population projections for the Gisborne Urban Area (2001 base). The projections over the remainder of the projection period to 2051 are based on a nominal small increase of 140 persons per census period. The projections for the remainder of the District over the period 2006-2021 are taken from the medium series of Statistics New Zealand population projections and were calculated by subtracting the projections for the Gisborne Urban Area for the projections for the District as a whole. For the rest of the projection period it is assumed that population will remain constant. Households This component of the growth model provides projections of households in the District for each census year, divided into 34 localities. The projections reflect the population component of the growth model, as well as Statistics New Zealand average household size projections (calculated by dividing the medium series population projections by household projections). Consideration was also given to trends indicated in subdivision consent data and staff knowledge of potential development areas. Non-Residential Activities The third component of the growth model consists of projections for each census year for the period 2006-2051 of the gross floor area (in m2) for various types of nonresidential activities. As with the household projections, the projections for nonresidential activities are divided into 34 localities. The starting point in producing the projections was to estimate the existing gross floor area dedicated non-residential activities within each growth model locality (calculated from the District Valuation Register records, aerial photographs, etc.). It was then assumed that the gross floor area for each type of non-residential activity in the Gisborne Urban Area would increase at the same rate as population. This growth is allocated into localities according to assumptions about the distribution of growth. The exception is heavy industry and light manufacturing/services, which is assumed to increase at a greater rate than population within the next few years. For the remainder of the District it is assumed that non-residential activities within each locality will decline at the same rate as population, stabilising at around 2021. 1.0 Introduction 1.1 This report provides a model of growth in the Gisborne District for the period 2006-2051 and a summary of the methodology used to produce the model. The model is intended to provide a basis for projections of growth in the Long Term Council and Community Plan (Community Plan). In particular the model is intended to assist in infrastructural planning and the introduction of development contributions. 1.2 Projections are given for three broad indicators of growth: (1) resident population, (2) households and (3) gross floor area of non-residential activities. 1.3 The model refers to two general areas: the “Gisborne Urban Area” and the remainder of the District. The household projections, non-residential projections and HUE projections are also divided into 34 “localities” within the District, 24 of which are within the Gisborne Urban Area and 10 of which are within the remainder of the District. 1.4 It is intended that the household and non-residential components of the growth model will be converted into household-unit equivalents (HUEs), using assumed equivalence factors, to create projections of the growth in HUEs. These projections will then be used in the calculation of development contribution charges. Details of the equivalence factors used to produce the HUEs projections will be set out in the development contributions policy. 2.0 Growth Model Localities 2.1 Appendix One contains maps of the 34 localities used in the growth projections. Most of the localities correspond to Statistics New Zealand area units. However in some cases area units have been divided into two or more localities to allow for different infrastructure catchments and/or different growth rates. 2.2 The area described in this report as the “Gisborne Urban Area” is intended to cover the reticulated parts of the city, as well as fringe lifestyle areas. The growth model localities that make up the Gisborne Urban Area are listed in the tables at the back of this report. It is noted that the area described as the Gisborne Urban Area is not equivalent to the area defined as the Gisborne Urban Area in the Combined Regional Land and District Plan. Rather it corresponds more closely to the area defined by Statistics New Zealand as the Gisborne Urban Area, but with the addition of Tiniroto (A) and Tiniroto (B) localities. 3.0 Projection Period 3.1 The projection period extends to 2051 with projections given for each census year. For the purpose of development contributions it will be assumed that the projected figures for any particular census year correspond to the beginning of 1st of July of that year (i.e. the beginning of the financial year). 4.0 Population 4.1 The resident population component of the growth model (for the District as a whole and divided into two areas i.e. the Gisborne Urban Area and the remainder of the district) is illustrated by the following graph. The population is projected to increase in the Gisborne Urban Area from 32780 in 2001 to 34690 in 2051, while the population in the remainder of the district is projected to decrease from 12730 in 2001 to 10910 in 2026, after which it is projected to remain stable (refer to Appendix Two for the table of figures). Population Component of the Growth Model 50000 Gisborne Urban Area (GUA) Resident Population 45000 40000 Rest of District 35000 30000 Total for District 25000 20000 15000 10000 Year 20 01 (B a se Es ti m at e) 20 06 20 11 20 16 20 21 20 26 20 31 20 36 20 41 20 46 20 51 5000 4.2 1 The first step in producing the population component of the growth model was to consider Statistics New Zealand’s “high”, “medium” and “low” resident population projections for Gisborne Urban Area and the whole District (2001 base), from which their projections for the part of the District outside the Gisborne Urban Area could also be deducted by subtracting the projections for the Gisborne Urban Area from the projections for the whole District.1 The Statistics New Zealand projections are illustrated by the following graphs: The 2001 base projections were used because Statistics New Zealand’s next set of population projections, based on the 2006 census data, are not due to be released until mid 2007. Statistics New Zealand Resident Population Projections for Gisborne Urban Area Resident Population 37,000 35,000 33,000 High 31,000 Medium 29,000 Low 27,000 25,000 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 Year Statistics New Zealand Resident Population Projections for the Area outside the Gisborne Urban Area 13,000 Resident Population 12,000 High 11,000 Medium 10,000 Low 9,000 8,000 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 Year 4.3 2 Statistics New Zealand’s projected change in population over the period 20012006 was then compared against Statistics New Zealand’s estimate of the actual change in population for these areas (based on data collected on births, deaths, immigration etc.). This comparison indicates that the Gisborne Urban Area is growing at a rate somewhere between the medium and high series (but closer to the medium series), while the remainder of the District is declining faster than the low series. Secondly, the projected change in population between 2001 and 2006 for the Gisborne Urban Area and remainder of the District was compared to the actual change in census night counts between 2001 and 20062. This second comparison indicates that the population in the Gisborne Urban Area may be growing faster than the high series, while the remainder of the District is declining at a rate somewhere between the medium and low projection. (Refer to Appendix Five for the Statistics New Zealand projections and estimates) The 2006 census night counts were provisional only. The 2006 provisional census night counts can not be compared directly against the 2006 population projectios because the census counts are not adjusted to account for visitors, people out of the district, etc. Variance between projected % Change in Resident Population between 2001 and 2006 and % Change in Population Estimates between 2001 and 2006 10 Variance (Projected % Change - % Change in Estimated Population) Gisb Urb Area 5 Remainder of District 0 Low Series -5 Medium Series High Series Total Series Variance Between Projected % Change in Resident Population between 2001 and the % Change in Census Night Counts between 2001 and 2006 10 Variance (Projected % Change - % Change in Census Night Counts) Gisb Urb Area 5 Remainder of District 0 Low Series Medium Series High Series Total -5 -10 Series 4.4 On the basis of the two comparisons it is considered appropriate to use a “hybrid” projection for the Gisborne Urban Area over the period 2001-2026, which consists of the average of the high and medium series. 4.5 For the remainder of the District the growth it is considered appropriate to retain the Statistics New Zealand’s medium projection for the period 20012026 which is used in the current Long Term Council and Community Plan. While the comparison of the high, medium and low projections against population estimates indicates that the population may be declining somewhat faster than the low projection, the population estimates indicate that the population may be declining only slightly faster than the medium projection. 4.6 For the period following 2026 it is assumed that the Gisborne Urban Area population would continue to increase at nominal small rate of 140 persons per census period. For the remainder of the District it was assumed that continued decline of the population would not be sustained and the population would stabilise at 2026 levels. There is a high level of uncertainty about future population figures over this period and it is intended that the growth projections will be regularly reviewed. 5.0 Households 5.1 The household component of the growth model was developed in two groups: (1) localities within the Gisborne Urban Area and (2) localities outside the Gisborne Urban Area. Underlying the projections are the assumptions that the total number of households within each of the two general areas would reflect both the population component of the growth model, as well as the average household sizes indicated in the Statistics New Zealand projections. 5.2 The model projects an increase in the number of households in the Gisborne Urban Area from 12093 households in 2001 to 14444 households in 2051. This equates to a 19% increase over 50 years. The average projected increase is about 1% per annum for the first 20 years, after which the rate of increase is expected to be less. Much of the increase in the Gisborne Urban Area is driven by a projected decline in the average size of households, with the average size projected to reduce from 2.71 in 2001 to 2.38 by 2026. Some areas are projected to increase more quickly than others. It is projected that the fastest growing areas will be: • Wainui (which includes Sponge Bay and Okitu), with an estimated increase of 226 households from 2006-2026 (34% over 20 years or 2.8% per annum) • Makaraka (A) and Taruheru (A), which together encompass the Taruheru Subdivision Block. An increase of about approximately 430 households is projected over the next 20 years (112% over 20 years or 4.1% per annum). • Matokitoki localities and Makaraka localities, which are expected to be subject to continued rural-residential development. • Mangapapa and Whataupoko, which are expected to be subject to further infill as well as greenfield development. An increase of about 160 households is projected in these two localities over the next 20 years (5% over 20 years). 5.3 A small decrease in the number of households is projected for the remainder of the district, from 4357 households in 2001 to 4187 households in 2151 (4% decrease over 50 years). The projections are illustrated by the following graphs. Refer to Appendix Three for the table of figures and the full locality name. Household Component of the Growth Model for Gisborne Urban Area 2000 1800 1600 Number of Households 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 Year GA(A) GA(B) GA(C) GC KN KS MK(A) MK(B) MK(C) MK(D) MK(E) MP MT(A) MT(B) OK RD(A) RD(B) RD(C) TA TH TN(A) TN(B) WN WT Household Component of the Growth Model for the Localities Outside the Gisborne Urban Area Number of Households 1000 900 EC 800 MN PT 700 RT 600 TB 500 TK TM 400 TN(C) 300 TR 200 WH 100 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 Year Gisborne Urban Area 5.4 The first step in producing the Gisborne Urban Area household projections was to calculate average household size over the period 2001-2026 within each area unit in the Gisborne Urban Area, according to the Statistics New Zealand medium series, by dividing the population figures by the household figures. The Statistics New Zealand figures indicate a decline in average household size is expected in all area units, for example from 3.342 to 2.974 persons/household in Outer Kaiti and from 2.572 to 2.252 persons/household in Whataupoko. (Only the medium series were used to provide projections about declining household sizes because information was available for the high and low series). 5.5 The next step was to take the “hybrid” population projection between the Statistics New Zealand “medium” and “high” series for the period 2001-2026 (which was adopted for the population component of the growth model) and distribute the households into Statistics New Zealand area units on the basis of the distribution pattern anticipated by Statistics New Zealand. The average household sizes at each five yearly interval were then applied to the “hybrid” population projections distributed into area units to calculate the number of households within each area unit over the period 2001 to 2026. The figures for each area unit were then collated to give an indication of the total number of households for Gisborne Urban Area over the period. It is noted that this approach relied on the household distribution pattern shown in the Statistics New Zealand projections to calculate the total number of households, while the growth model ultimately uses a different distribution pattern. However the impact on the projection of the total population in the Gisborne Urban Area is not considered significant. 5.5 To “ground truth” the projected increase in households between 2001 and 2006 a comparison was made against subdivision data for this period. The comparison indicated that amount of consented development (which may or may not be occupied) was significantly more than the projected growth in households. Given that that the model is intended to be used for development contributions and development contributions are taken at the time of subdivision/building consent it was considered appropriate to increase the household figures for 2006 by about 250 households. Additional households were also added to subsequent years but the difference between the growth model and the initial projections was reduced over time. 5.5 The total household figures for the Gisborne Urban Area 2006-2026 were then distributed into growth model localities. The distribution pattern was based on a number of different factors, including: • The 2001 figures in the Statistics New Zealand medium household projections, which were used to develop the base distribution pattern between the growth model localities for 2001. • Subdivision consent data, which was used to analyse trends in the distribution of development e.g. between infill, greenfield residential and rural residential development. • Council knowledge of potential development areas and developer aspirations e.g. potential availability of land in the Wainui locality and the impact of potential reticulation, availability of large greenfield areas in Taruheu localities and the potential for further infill as well as Greenfield development in Mangapapa. 5.6 To extend the Gisborne Urban Area household projections for the remainder of the projection period the projected increase in the population (140 persons per census period) was divided by the average household size for the Gisborne Urban Area as a whole at 2021 according to the Statistics New Zealand medium series (2.383) to give an increase of 59 households per year. The approach assumes that household sizes will remain constant after 2021. This was the last year for which Statistics New Zealand have provided household projections and it is considered that there is a lack of information upon which to project any further changes in household size. The projected growth was then distributed between the localities. Wainui and Taruheru localities are projected to receive the majority of the new households due to the attractiveness of coastal areas and the availability of Greenfield sites respectively. Remainder of the District 5.7 The household figures for the remainder of the District for the period 20062021 were taken from Statistics New Zealand medium population projections for each area unit. This approach is consistent with the population component of the growth model, which is also based on Statistics New Zealand medium series. For the remainder of the projection period it is projected that the number of households within each locality outside of the Gisborne Urban Area would remain constant. The underlying assumptions are that population will remain constant (which is consistent with the population component of the growth model) and average house sizes will remain constant. Service Connection Variation 5.8 A variation on growth model localities Wainui (WN) and Makaraka (MK(C)) has also been produced in which the projected household figures are intended to reflect the number of households connected to wastewater and water supply services (with possible reticulation), rather than all households in the area. This projection is intended to be used for the purpose of calculating development contributions relating to these services. 6.0 Non-Residential Activities 6.1 The component of the growth model that addresses non-residential activities consists of projections, by locality, of the gross floor area for seven types of non-residential activities. The activity classifications used are: • Commercial, Administration and Government (C/A/G), which is intended to cover offices, retail, restaurants and other food services, property and business services, finance and insurance services, personal services (e.g. beauticians), government administration (e.g. courts, local government), commercial cultural and recreational services (e.g. tourism operators, cinemas) and services stations. • Health and Community Services (H&CS), which is intended to cover medical services (e.g. doctors, optometrists, hospitals), veterinary services, dental services, childcare services and community care services. • Residential Services (RS) e.g. Aged Care facilities • Visitor Acommodation (VA), which includes hotel conference facilities and associated offices, etc. but not public restaurants and retail associated with hotels. • Industry – Heavy Manufacturing (IHM) • Industry – Light Manufacturing/Servicing (ILM/S), which includes associated retail e.g. timber yards. • Industry – Warehousing. Refer to Appendix Four for the tables of figures. 6.2 The following graphs illustrate examples of the projections for non-residential activities: Gross Floor Area (m2) Example of Non-Residential Component of Growth Model - Commericial, Administration and Government in Gisborne Central 535000 530000 525000 520000 515000 510000 505000 500000 495000 490000 C/A/G 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 Year Gross Floor Area (m2) Example of Non-Residential Component of Growth Model - Heavy Industry in Tiniroto (B) 70000 60000 50000 40000 TN(B) 30000 20000 10000 0 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 Year 6.3 To develop the non-residential component of the growth model it was assumed that non-residential activities would generally increase or decrease at the same rate as the population component of the growth model. More specifically, it was assumed that non-residential activities in the Gisborne Urban Area would follow the same trend as population projections for the Gisborne Urban Area, while non-residential activities in the remainder of the District would follow the same trend as population in this area. This was considered a reasonable approach given the lack of information available. A project is currently being investigated which will provide growth estimates on an industry-by-industry basis and would assist in future reviews of the growth model. Exceptions from the general assumption that growth in nonresidential activities would follow population trends were made for Light and Heavy Industry, which is explained further below. 6.4 The first step was to estimate the total amount of existing (and recently consented) floor area used for the various types of non-residential activities within each locality. The estimates were based on the gross floor area and category classification data in the District Land Register records, which were collated by locality, re-categorised into the growth-model categories. Adjustments were made to reflect recent developments not yet shown on register records, multi use listings where it was assumed that only some of the floor area was used for non-residential purposes, etc. 6.5 The next step was to calculate the rates of increase in population for the Gisborne Urban Area (as a whole) and decrease in population for the remainder of the district (as a whole) between each census period from 20062051 according to the population component of the growth model. The rates were then applied to the base 2006 estimates of the gross floor area of nonresidential activities in the Gisborne Urban Area and the remainder of the District to give projections of the total gross floor area, by activity-type, for the two general areas from 2006-2051. 6.6 Growth in the Gisborne Urban Area was then allocated to localities. The projected distribution of growth was based on a range information and assumptions, for example: • Knowledge of potential developments e.g. expected retirement village expansion in Taruheru • Council promotion of the new industrial area for industry growth • The assumption that commercial activities will continue to locate primarily in the Gisborne Central locality • Perceived market gaps e.g. the potential for additional commercial activity in the Wainui locality to serve anticipated growth in population The “first cut” at the growth in the Gisborne Urban Area was then amended to reflect additional anticipated growth in Heavy Industry and Light Industry/Servicing in Tiniroto/Makaraka localities. 6.7 For the remainder of the District it was assumed that non-residential activities within each locality would decline at the same rate as the population in the remainder of the District, stabilising at 2026. 7.0 Review It is intended that the growth projections will be continually reviewed against development trends and as further information is available. Previous consultation around general planning issues and potential developments has been taken into account in the preparation of this report but more targeted consultation would be considered for future reviews of the growth model. On review of the growth model Council will also consider developing projections of the growth in impervious surfaces as a fourth component of the growth model to assist in the calculation of development contribution charges for stormwater. Appendix Two – Population Component of Growth Model 2001 (Base Estimate) Gisborne Urban Area (GUA) 32780 Incremental Increase from 2001 Increase from Base Year (2001) Rest of District 12,730 Incremental Increase from 2001 Increase from Base Year (2001) Total for District 45510 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 32990 33,295 33,635 33,850 33,990 34,130 34,270 34,410 34,550 34,690 210 305 340 215 140 140 140 140 140 140 210 12,210 515 11,790 855 11,530 1070 11,260 1210 10,910 1350 10910 1490 10910 1630 10910 1770 10910 1910 10910 -520 -420 -260 -270 -350 0 0 0 0 0 -520 45200 -940 45085 -1,200 45165 -1,470 45110 -1,820 44900 -1,820 45040 -1,820 45180 -1,820 45320 -1,820 45460 -1,820 45600 Appendix Three – Households Component of Growth Model GISBORNE URBAN AREA Code Full Locality Name GA(A) Gisborne Airport (A) (Residential) 2001 (Base Estimate) 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 950 954 956 960 964 966 968 970 972 974 976 60 60 58 63 67 68 68 68 68 68 68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1370 780 1458 783 1496 788 1533 795 1570 801 1573 803 1576 803 1579 803 1581 803 1582 803 1583 803 1010 1003 1003 1038 1072 1079 1085 1091 1097 1103 1109 13 14 87 159 233 243 255 269 282 293 317 60 80 100 112 123 125 126 131 136 141 146 138 155 167 198 230 233 236 237 241 245 250 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 127 1620 144 1646 154 1666 160 1695 168 1727 169 1733 170 1736 171 1737 172 1738 173 1739 174 1740 Gisborne Airport (B) GA(B) (Industrial/Rural) GA(C) Gisborne Airport (C) (Airport) GC Gisborne Central KN Kaiti North KS Kaiti South MK(A) Makaraka (A) (Taruheru Block) MK(B) Makaraka (B) (Rural-Residential) MK(C) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) MK(D) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A) MK(E) Makaraka (E) (Remainder) MP Mangapapa MT(A) Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) MT(B) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) OK Outer Kaiti RD(A) Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) RD(B) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) 72 83 93 103 113 115 117 119 121 123 125 78 760 95 761 105 762 110 771 115 780 117 782 119 782 120 782 121 782 122 782 123 782 140 330 370 338 440 342 512 347 586 352 596 357 607 357 621 357 633 357 646 357 646 357 0 760 1760 0 770 1778 0 790 1786 0 796 1795 0 800 1804 0 802 1806 0 802 1806 0 802 1806 0 802 1806 0 802 1806 0 802 1806 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 10 10 10 10 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 570 1480 12093 664 1528 12699 606 606 719 830 960 974 992 1002 1554 1573 1591 1594 1595 1596 13081 13563 14065 14144 14208 14267 382 482 502 79 64 59 988 1470 1972 2051 2115 2174 1012 1597 14327 60 2234 0 0 0 0 Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adjacent RD(C) Greenfields) Tamarau TA Te Hapara TH TN(A) Tiniroto (A) (Rural Industrial A) TN(B) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B) WN Wainui Whataupoko WT Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2001 Service Connection Variation Makaraka (C) – Makaraka MK(C)r (Reticulation) WNr Wainui (Reticulation) 0 80 198 780 230 895 233 910 236 920 237 927 241 937 1023 1032 1598 1599 14386 14444 59 58 2293 2351 245 948 250 957 REST OF DISTRICT 2001 (Base Estimate) 970 2006 920 2011 900 2016 900 2021 900 2026 866 2031 866 2036 866 2041 866 2046 866 2051 866 Manutuke 230 230 230 230 230 214 214 214 214 214 214 PT RT TB TK TM Patutahi Ruatoria Tolaga Bay Te Karaka Tokomaru Bay 120 270 300 190 180 120 260 310 190 180 130 250 330 180 180 130 260 340 180 180 130 260 340 180 180 126 257 333 169 172 126 257 333 169 172 126 257 333 169 172 126 257 333 169 172 126 257 333 169 172 126 257 333 169 172 TN(C) TR Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) Tarndale-Raukauro 787 600 757 560 757 550 778 570 792 580 776 568 776 568 776 568 776 568 776 568 776 568 WH Wharekaka Total for Rest of the District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2001 710 4357 710 4237 -120 -120 720 4227 -10 -130 730 4298 71 -59 730 4322 24 -35 706 4187 -135 -170 706 4187 0 -170 706 4187 0 -170 706 4187 0 -170 706 4187 0 -170 706 4187 0 -170 Code EC Full Locality Name East Cape MN Appendix Four – Non-Residential Activities Component of Growth Model 1. Commercial, Administration and Government (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA Code GA(A) GA(B) GA(C) Full Locality Zone Name Gisborne Airport General (A) (Residential) Residential General Gisborne Airport Industrial / (B) (Industrial/ Rural Res / Rural) Residential Rural Res / Gisborne Airport Rural P(with (C) (Airport) Airport Overlays) KN Inner Comm / Amenity Comm Gisborne Central / Fringe Comm / Outer Comm / Inner Res / General Resl General Kaiti North Residential KS Kaiti South GC MK(A) MK(B) MK(C) General Res/ Inner Res Makaraka (A) General (Taruheru Block) Residential Makaraka (B) Rural (Rural-Resl) Residential Makaraka (C) General (Makaraka) Residential 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 230 251 275 290 299 309 319 328 338 348 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 51 51 52 52 52 52 52 53 504753 509370 514519 517765 519869 521972 524076 526180 528283 530387 1110 1120 1132 1139 1143 1148 1153 1157 1162 1167 4810 4843 4880 4904 4919 4934 4949 4965 4980 4995 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2940 2962 2987 3003 3013 3023 3033 3043 3053 3064 MK(E) Makaraka (D) (Rural Ind A) Makaraka (E) (Remainder) Rural Ind A Rural Res/ Rural P MP Mangapapa General Res MT(A) Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) MK(D) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 40 54 62 71 80 89 97 106 1470 1484 1499 1508 1514 1520 1527 1533 1539 1545 Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MT(B) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) Rural Residential 150 151 153 154 155 155 156 156 157 158 OK Outer Kaiti General Res General Residential 70 71 71 72 72 72 73 73 73 74 2390 2412 2437 2452 2462 2472 2482 2492 2502 2512 General Residential 750 750 750 750 750 750 750 750 750 750 General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Residential 7460 7529 7605 7653 7685 7716 7747 7778 7810 7841 5900 5970 6047 6096 6128 6159 6191 6223 6255 6286 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 190 220 250 280 310 340 370 400 430 460 4210 536483 4244 541446 4963 4963 4283 546978 5532 10495 4307 550477 3498 13994 4323 552755 2278 16272 4338 555033 2278 18550 4354 557311 2278 20828 4370 559589 2278 23106 4385 561867 2278 25384 4401 564145 2278 27662 RD(A) RD(B) RD(C) Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adj Greenfields) TA Tamarau TH Te Hapara TN(A) TN(B) WN WT General Residential Tiniroto (A) (Rural Rural Industrial Industrial A) A Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B) Rural Ind B General Res / Wainui Rural Res Whataupoko Gen Resl Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT Code Full Locality Name EC East Cape MN Manutuke PT Patutahi RT Ruatoria TB Tolaga Bay TK Te Karaka TM TN(C) Tokomaru Bay Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) TR TarndaleRaukauro Zone 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 Rural General Rural P/ Rural Gl General Res/ Rural Res / Rural P General Residential General Residential General Residential General Residential Rural P/ Rural G 6450 6228 6091 5948 5763 5763 5763 5763 5763 5763 140 135 132 129 125 125 125 125 125 125 860 830 812 793 768 768 768 768 768 768 5740 5543 5420 5293 5129 5129 5129 5129 5129 5129 2895 2803 2747 2688 2611 2611 2611 2611 2611 2611 2539 2452 2398 2341 2269 2269 2269 2269 2269 2269 3490 3370 3296 3218 3118 3118 3118 3118 3118 3118 2059 1988 1944 1899 1840 1840 1840 1840 1840 1840 Rural General Rural Res / Rural G 2200 2124 2077 2029 1966 1966 1966 1966 1966 1966 1900 28273 1837 27311 -962 -962 1798 26715 -596 -1558 1758 26097 -619 -2176 1705 25295 -802 -2978 1705 25295 0 -2978 1705 25295 0 -2978 1705 25295 0 -2978 1705 25295 0 -2978 1705 25295 0 -2978 WH Wharekaka Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 2. Health and Community Services (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA Code Full Locality Name GA(A) Gisborne Airport (A) (Residential) GA(B) Gisborne Airport (B) (Industrial/ Rural) GA(C) Gisborne Airport (C) (Airport) GC Gisborne Central Zone General Residential General Industrial / Rural Residential / Residential Rural Res/ Rural P (with Airport Overlays) Inner Comm / Amenity Comm / Fringe Comm / Outer Comm / Inner Res / General Res 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6590 6651 6719 6762 6790 6818 6846 6874 6902 6930 350 353 357 359 361 362 364 365 367 368 KN Kaiti North General Residential KS Kaiti South General Residential / Inner Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Residential MK(A) Makaraka (A) (Taruheru Block) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MK(B) Makaraka (B) (Rural-Residential) Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MK(C) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Residential MK(D) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A) Rural Industrial A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MK(E) Makaraka (E) (Remainder) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MP Mangapapa 1570 1585 1601 1611 1618 1624 1631 1638 1644 1651 MT(A) Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MT(B) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OK Outer Kaiti Rural Residential General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RD(A) Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RD(B) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22070 22274 22501 22645 22739 22833 22926 23020 23114 23207 5800 5854 5913 5951 5976 6000 6025 6050 6074 6099 Rural Industrial A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Industrial B General Res / Rural Res General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 370 36750 0 373 37090 340 340 0 377 37469 379 719 0 380 37708 240 958 0 381 37864 156 1114 0 383 38020 156 1270 0 384 38176 156 1426 0 386 38332 156 1582 0 387 38488 156 1738 0 389 38644 156 1894 TN(B) Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adjacent Greenfields) Tamarau Te Hapara Tiniroto (A) (Rural Industrial A) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B) WN Wainui RD(C) TA TH TN(A) Rural Residential / Rural Production General Residential General Residential General Res General Res Whataupoko WT Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT Code Full Locality Name Zone 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 EC East Cape Rural General 3090 3090 3090 3090 3090 3090 3090 3090 3090 3090 MN Manutuke Rural Production / Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PT Patutahi General Residential / Rural Resl / Rural P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RT Ruatoria General Residential 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 TB Tolaga Bay General Residential 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 TK Te Karaka General Residential TM TN(C) Tokomaru Bay General Residential Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) Rural P/ Rural General 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 90 0 TR Tarndale-Raukauro Rural General Rural Residential / Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3880 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 0 3880 0 0 WH Wharekaka Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 3. Residential Services (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA Code Full Locality Name GA(A) Gisborne Airport (A) (Residential) GA(B) GA(C) GC Gisborne Airport (B) (Industrial/ Rural) Gisborne Airport (C) (Airport) Gisborne Central Zone General Residential General Industrial / Rural Residential / Residential Rural Residential/ Rural Production (with Airport Overlays) Inner Commercial / Amenity Commercial / Fringe Commercial / Outer Commercial / Inner Residential / General Residential General Residential General Residential / Inner Residential KN Kaiti North KS Kaiti South MK(A) Makaraka (A) (Taruheru Block) MK(B) Makaraka (B) (Rural-Residential) Rural Residential General Residential 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1270 1270 1270 1270 1270 1270 1270 1270 1270 1270 5610 5610 5610 5610 5610 5610 5610 5610 5610 5610 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 0 33 69 92 107 123 138 153 168 183 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MK(C) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) MK(D) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A) MK(E) MP MT(A) MT(B) OK RD(A) RD(B) RD(C) TA TH TN(A) TN(B) WN Makaraka (E) (Remainder) Mangapapa Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) Outer Kaiti Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adj Greenfields) Tamarau General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Industrial A Rural Residential / Rural Production General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Residential General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Res 0 44 92 123 143 163 183 204 224 244 General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Res General Res 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 4730 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 69 92 107 123 138 153 168 183 11820 11929 109 109 12051 122 231 12128 77 308 12178 50 358 12228 50 408 12279 50 459 12329 50 509 12379 50 559 12429 50 609 Te Hapara General Res Tiniroto (A) (Rural Industrial A) Rural Industrial A Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B) Rural Industrial B General Res / Wainui Rural Res Whataupoko General Res WT Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT Code Full Locality Name EC East Cape MN Manutuke Rural General Rural Production / Rural General PT Patutahi General Residential / Rural Res / Rural P RT Ruatoria TB TK TM TN(C) TR 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tolaga Bay General Resl Te Karaka Tokomaru Bay Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) General Res General Res Rural Production / Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Zone Tarndale-Raukauro Rural General Rural Residential / Wharekaka Rural General WH Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 4. Visitor Accommodation (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 560 581 604 618 628 637 646 656 665 675 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12565 0 12678 0 12805 0 12884 0 12936 0 12988 0 13040 0 13092 0 13144 0 13196 0 820 820 820 820 820 820 820 820 820 820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1090 1100 1112 1119 1124 1128 1133 1138 1143 1147 Rural Industrial A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Residential / Rural Production 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Code Full Locality Name Zone GA(A) Gisborne Airport (A) (Residential) General Residential GA(B) Gisborne Airport (B) (Industrial/ Rural) General Ind / Rural Res/ Res GA(C) Gisborne Airport (C) (Airport) GC Gisborne Central KN Kaiti North KS Kaiti South MK(E) Makaraka (A) (Taruheru Block) Makaraka (B) (Rural-Residential) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A) Makaraka (E) (Remainder) MP Mangapapa MK(A) MK(B) MK(C) MK(D) Rural Res / Rural P (with Airport Overlays) Inner Comm / Amenity Comm / Fringe Comm / Outer Comm / Inner Res / General Res General Res General Res / Inner Res General Residential Rural Residential General Residential MT(A) Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) MT(B) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) OK Outer Kaiti RD(A) RD(B) RD(C) TA TH TN(A) Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adjacent Greenfields) Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Residential General Residential General Residential General Residential 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 0 0 4530 General Residential General Resl General Res Tamarau Te Hapara Tiniroto (A) (Rural Industrial A) Rural Industrial A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TN(B) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B) Rural Industrial B 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WN Wainui General Res / Rural Residential 1840 1891 1949 1985 2009 2032 2056 2080 2103 2127 WT Whataupoko General Residential 130 22275 140 22481 206 206 152 22711 230 436 159 22856 145 581 164 22950 95 675 168 23045 95 770 173 23139 95 864 178 23234 95 959 183 23328 95 1053 187 23423 95 1148 Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT Code Full Locality Name Zone 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 EC East Cape 1554 1501 1467 1433 1389 1389 1389 1389 1389 1389 MN Manutuke 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PT RT Patutahi Rural Production / Rural General General Residential / Rural Residential / Rural Production Ruatoria General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TB Tolaga Bay General Res 1705 1646 1610 1572 1523 1523 1523 1523 1523 1523 TK Te Karaka General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TM Tokomaru Bay General Res 180 174 170 166 161 161 161 161 161 161 TN(C) Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) Rural Production / Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TR Tarndale-Raukauro Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1070 4509 1033 4354 -155 -155 1010 4258 -96 -155 987 4158 -100 -155 956 4029 -129 -155 956 4029 0 -155 956 4029 0 -155 956 4029 0 -155 956 4029 0 -155 956 4029 0 -155 Rural General Rural Residential WH Wharekaka / Rural General Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 5. Industry – Heavy Manufacturing (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA Code GA(A) Full Locality Name Gisborne Airport (A) (Residential) GA(B) Gisborne Airport (B) (Industrial/ Rural) GA(C) Gisborne Airport (C) (Airport) GC Gisborne Central Zone General Residential General Industrial / Rural Residential / Residential Rural Residential/ Rural Production (with Airport Overlays) Inner Commercial / Amenity Commercial / Fringe Commercial / Outer Commercial / Inner Residential / General Residential 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4068 4068 4068 4068 4068 4068 4068 4068 4068 4068 KN Kaiti North General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 KS Kaiti South General Residential / Inner Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MK(A) Makaraka (A) (Taruheru Block) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2628 2628 2628 2628 2628 2628 2628 2628 2628 2628 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MK(B) MK(C) General Residential Makaraka (B) (RuralResidential) Rural Residential Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) General Residential MK(D) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A) MK(E) Makaraka (E) (Remainder) Rural Industrial A Rural Residential / Rural Production MP Mangapapa MT(A) Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) MT(B) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) OK General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Outer Kaiti General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RD(A) Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RD(B) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) General Residential Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adjacent Greenfields) General Residential Tamarau General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RD(C) TA TH Te Hapara Tiniroto (A) (Rural Industrial A) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B) General Residential 0 0 Rural Industrial A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Industrial B 37580 62813 63500 64000 64500 64500 64500 64500 64500 64500 WN Wainui General Residential / Rural Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WT Whataupoko General Residential 300 44576 300 69809 25233 25233 300 70496 687 25920 300 70996 500 25920 300 71496 500 25920 300 71496 0 25920 300 71496 0 25920 300 71496 0 25920 300 71496 0 25920 300 71496 0 25920 TN(A) TN(B) Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Manutuke Rural Production / Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PT Patutahi General Residential / Rural Residential / Rural Production 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 RT Ruatoria General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TB Tolaga Bay General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TK Te Karaka General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TM Tokomaru Bay General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TN(C) Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) Rural Production / Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TR Tarndale-Raukauro Rural General 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Code Full Locality Name Zone EC East Cape MN Rural Residential / WH Wharekaka Rural General Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 6. Industry - Light Manufacturing, Servicing and Associated Retail (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA KN Full Locality Zone Name Gisborne Airport General (A) (Residential) Residential General Gisborne Airport Industrial / (B) (Industrial/ Rural Rural) Residential / Residential Rural Residential/ Gisborne Airport Rural (C) (Airport) Production (with Airport Overlays) Inner Comm / Amenity Comm / Fringe Comm / Gisborne Central Outer Comm / Inner Res / Gen Res Kaiti North General Res KS Kaiti South Code GA(A) GA(B) GA(C) GC MK(B) General Res / Inner Res Makaraka (A) General (Taruheru Block) Residential Makaraka (B) Rural (Rural-Res) Residential MK(C) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) MK(A) General Residential 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 93274 96154 99034 101914 101914 101914 101914 101914 101914 101914 0 720 1440 2160 2160 2160 2160 2160 2160 2160 90838 0 91200 0 91560 0 91920 0 91920 0 91920 0 91920 0 91920 0 91920 0 91920 0 50493 53370 56253 59133 59133 59133 59133 59133 59133 59133 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2615 8105 8465 8825 9185 9185 9185 9185 9185 9185 9185 MT(B) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A) Rural Ind A Makaraka (E) Rural Res / (Remainder) Rural P General Mangapapa Residential Matokitoki (A) Rural (small blocks) Residential Matokitoki (B) Rural (remainder) Residential OK Outer Kaiti General Res Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) General Residential General Residential Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adjacent Greenfields) General Residential Tamarau General Res General Resl TN(B) Te Hapara Tiniroto (A) (Rural Ind A) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Ind B) WN Wainui WT Whataupoko MK(D) MK(E) MP MT(A) RD(A) RD(B) RD(C) TA TH TN(A) 0 11520 23040 34560 34560 34560 34560 34560 34560 34560 4400 4400 4400 4400 4400 4400 4400 4400 4400 4400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 370 370 370 370 370 370 370 370 370 370 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 0 0 2535 Rural Ind A 0 11520 23040 34560 34560 34560 34560 34560 34560 34560 Rural Ind B General Res / Rural Res 0 5760 11520 17280 17280 17280 17280 17280 17280 17280 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1072 253687 1072 289686 35999 35999 1072 325689 36003 72002 1072 361689 36000 108002 1072 361689 0 108002 1072 361689 0 108002 1072 361689 0 108002 1072 361689 0 108002 1072 361689 0 108002 1072 364304 2615 110617 General Res Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT Code Full Locality Name Zone EC East Cape Rural General MN Manutuke PT RT TB TK 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 450 435 425 415 402 402 402 402 402 402 760 734 718 701 679 679 679 679 679 679 Patutahi Rural P/ Rural General General Res / Rural Res / Rural P 2690 2597 2540 2481 2404 2404 2404 2404 2404 2404 Ruatoria General Residential 2470 2385 2332 2278 2207 2207 2207 2207 2207 2207 Tolaga Bay General Residential 880 850 831 812 786 786 786 786 786 786 Te Karaka General Residential 2463 2378 2326 2271 2201 2201 2201 2201 2201 2201 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7580 7319 7158 6990 6773 6773 6773 6773 6773 6773 650 628 614 599 581 581 581 581 581 581 0 17943 0 17326 -617 -617 0 16944 -382 -999 0 16547 -397 -1396 0 16033 -514 -1910 0 16033 0 -1910 0 16033 0 -1910 0 16033 0 -1910 0 16033 0 -1910 0 16033 0 -1910 TM Tokomaru Bay TN(C) Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) TR TarndaleRaukauro General Residential Rural Production / Rural General Rural General Rural Residential / Rural General WH Wharekaka Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 7. Industry - Warehousing (Gross Floor Area in m2) GISBORNE URBAN AREA Code GA(A) GA(B) GA(C) GC Full Locality Name Zone Gisborne Airport General (A) (Residential) Residential General Gisborne Airport Industrial / Rural (B) (Industrial/ Rural) Residential / Residential Rural Residential/ Gisborne Airport Rural Production (with (C) (Airport) Airport Overlays) Inner Comm / Amenity Comm / Fringe Comm / Gisborne Central Outer Comm/ Inner Res / General Res KN Kaiti North KS Kaiti South General Residential General Residential / Inner Residential 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6002 6057 6119 6158 6184 6209 6235 6260 6286 6311 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12439 12554 12682 12763 12816 12869 12921 12974 13027 13080 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Makaraka (A) MK(A) (Taruheru Block) General Residential Makaraka (B) MK(B) (RuralMK(C) MK(D) MK(E) MP MT(A) MT(B) OK Residential) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka) Makaraka (D) (Rural Ind A) Makaraka (E) (Remainder) Mangapapa Matokitoki (A) (small blocks) Matokitoki (B) (remainder) Outer Kaiti Rural Residential General Residential 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1182 1193 1206 1213 1218 1223 1228 1233 1238 1243 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Res 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Res General Res General Res 0 0 5610 0 0 5662 0 0 5720 0 0 5756 0 0 5780 0 0 5804 0 0 5828 0 0 5851 0 0 5875 0 0 5899 Rural Ind A 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Ind B 0 0 0 25233 0 0 0 25466 233 233 0 0 0 25726 260 -227961 0 0 0 25891 164 -227796 0 0 0 25998 107 -227689 0 0 0 26105 107 -227582 0 0 0 26212 107 -227475 0 0 0 26319 107 -227368 0 0 0 26426 107 -227261 0 0 0 26533 107 -227154 Rural Ind A Rural Res / Rural P General Res Rural Residential Rural Residential General Res Riverdale (A) RD(A) (Taruheru Block) General Residential RD(B) RD(C) TA TH TN(A) TN(B) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale) Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adj Greenfields) Tamarau Te Hapara Tiniroto (A) (Rural Ind A) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Ind B) Wainui Whataupoko WN Res / Rural Res WT General Resl Total for GUA Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 REST OF DISTRICT Code EC Full Locality Name East Cape MN Manutuke PT Patutahi Rural /Rural G General Res / Rural Res / Rural P RT Ruatoria General Residential Tolaga Bay General Residential Te Karaka Tokomaru Bay General Res General Res TN(C) Tiniroto (C) (Remainder) Rural P/Rural G TR TarndaleRaukauro TB TK TM Zone Rural General Rural General Rural Res/ Rural G WH Wharekaka Total for Rest of District Increase Incremental Each Year Increase from Base 2006 2006 830 2011 801 2016 783 2021 765 2026 741 2031 741 2036 741 2041 741 2046 741 2051 741 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 240 232 227 221 214 214 214 214 214 214 0 0 3500 0 0 3380 0 0 3305 0 0 3228 0 0 3127 0 0 3127 0 0 3127 0 0 3127 0 0 3127 0 0 3127 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 87 85 83 80 80 80 80 80 80 0 4660 0 4499 -160 -13444 0 4400 -99 -13543 0 4297 -103 -13646 0 4164 -134 -13779 0 4164 0 -13779 0 4164 0 -13779 0 4164 0 -13779 0 4164 0 -13779 0 4164 0 -13779 Appendix One