Population growth model for Gisborne region

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GISBORNE DISTRICT
GROWTH MODEL
March 2007
Gisborne District Council
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report is the basis for growth assumptions in the Long Term Council and
Community Plan (Community Plan). Growth projections are subject to uncertainties
as to the quantum, timing and location of growth and therefore regular reviews will be
undertaken as a key component of planning future network and community
infrastructure requirements. The growth model addresses three indicators of growth:
resident population, households and gross floor area of non-residential activities.
The population component of the growth model provides projections of resident
population for each census year. The projections are divided into two general areas:
(1) An area encompassing the city and the surrounding fringe areas referred to as
the “Gisborne Urban Area”; and (2) the remainder of the District.
Population
The projections for the Gisborne Urban Area over the period 2006-2021 are the
average of the “high” and “medium” series of Statistics New Zealand’s population
projections for the Gisborne Urban Area (2001 base). The projections over the
remainder of the projection period to 2051 are based on a nominal small increase of
140 persons per census period.
The projections for the remainder of the District over the period 2006-2021 are taken
from the medium series of Statistics New Zealand population projections and were
calculated by subtracting the projections for the Gisborne Urban Area for the
projections for the District as a whole. For the rest of the projection period it is
assumed that population will remain constant.
Households
This component of the growth model provides projections of households in the
District for each census year, divided into 34 localities. The projections reflect the
population component of the growth model, as well as Statistics New Zealand
average household size projections (calculated by dividing the medium series
population projections by household projections). Consideration was also given to
trends indicated in subdivision consent data and staff knowledge of potential
development areas.
Non-Residential Activities
The third component of the growth model consists of projections for each census
year for the period 2006-2051 of the gross floor area (in m2) for various types of nonresidential activities. As with the household projections, the projections for nonresidential activities are divided into 34 localities.
The starting point in producing the projections was to estimate the existing gross floor
area dedicated non-residential activities within each growth model locality (calculated
from the District Valuation Register records, aerial photographs, etc.). It was then
assumed that the gross floor area for each type of non-residential activity in the
Gisborne Urban Area would increase at the same rate as population. This growth is
allocated into localities according to assumptions about the distribution of growth.
The exception is heavy industry and light manufacturing/services, which is assumed
to increase at a greater rate than population within the next few years.
For the remainder of the District it is assumed that non-residential activities within
each locality will decline at the same rate as population, stabilising at around 2021.
1.0
Introduction
1.1
This report provides a model of growth in the Gisborne District for the period
2006-2051 and a summary of the methodology used to produce the model.
The model is intended to provide a basis for projections of growth in the Long
Term Council and Community Plan (Community Plan). In particular the
model is intended to assist in infrastructural planning and the introduction of
development contributions.
1.2
Projections are given for three broad indicators of growth: (1) resident
population, (2) households and (3) gross floor area of non-residential
activities.
1.3
The model refers to two general areas: the “Gisborne Urban Area” and the
remainder of the District.
The household projections, non-residential
projections and HUE projections are also divided into 34 “localities” within the
District, 24 of which are within the Gisborne Urban Area and 10 of which are
within the remainder of the District.
1.4
It is intended that the household and non-residential components of the
growth model will be converted into household-unit equivalents (HUEs), using
assumed equivalence factors, to create projections of the growth in HUEs.
These projections will then be used in the calculation of development
contribution charges. Details of the equivalence factors used to produce the
HUEs projections will be set out in the development contributions policy.
2.0
Growth Model Localities
2.1
Appendix One contains maps of the 34 localities used in the growth
projections. Most of the localities correspond to Statistics New Zealand area
units. However in some cases area units have been divided into two or more
localities to allow for different infrastructure catchments and/or different
growth rates.
2.2
The area described in this report as the “Gisborne Urban Area” is intended to
cover the reticulated parts of the city, as well as fringe lifestyle areas. The
growth model localities that make up the Gisborne Urban Area are listed in
the tables at the back of this report. It is noted that the area described as the
Gisborne Urban Area is not equivalent to the area defined as the Gisborne
Urban Area in the Combined Regional Land and District Plan. Rather it
corresponds more closely to the area defined by Statistics New Zealand as
the Gisborne Urban Area, but with the addition of Tiniroto (A) and Tiniroto (B)
localities.
3.0
Projection Period
3.1
The projection period extends to 2051 with projections given for each census
year. For the purpose of development contributions it will be assumed that
the projected figures for any particular census year correspond to the
beginning of 1st of July of that year (i.e. the beginning of the financial year).
4.0
Population
4.1
The resident population component of the growth model (for the District as a
whole and divided into two areas i.e. the Gisborne Urban Area and the
remainder of the district) is illustrated by the following graph. The population
is projected to increase in the Gisborne Urban Area from 32780 in 2001 to
34690 in 2051, while the population in the remainder of the district is
projected to decrease from 12730 in 2001 to 10910 in 2026, after which it is
projected to remain stable (refer to Appendix Two for the table of figures).
Population Component of the Growth Model
50000
Gisborne
Urban Area
(GUA)
Resident Population
45000
40000
Rest of
District
35000
30000
Total for
District
25000
20000
15000
10000
Year
20
01
(B
a
se
Es
ti m
at
e)
20
06
20
11
20
16
20
21
20
26
20
31
20
36
20
41
20
46
20
51
5000
4.2
1
The first step in producing the population component of the growth model was
to consider Statistics New Zealand’s “high”, “medium” and “low” resident
population projections for Gisborne Urban Area and the whole District (2001
base), from which their projections for the part of the District outside the
Gisborne Urban Area could also be deducted by subtracting the projections
for the Gisborne Urban Area from the projections for the whole District.1 The
Statistics New Zealand projections are illustrated by the following graphs:
The 2001 base projections were used because Statistics New Zealand’s next set of
population projections, based on the 2006 census data, are not due to be released until mid
2007.
Statistics New Zealand Resident Population Projections for Gisborne Urban
Area
Resident Population
37,000
35,000
33,000
High
31,000
Medium
29,000
Low
27,000
25,000
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
Year
Statistics New Zealand Resident Population Projections for the Area outside
the Gisborne Urban Area
13,000
Resident
Population
12,000
High
11,000
Medium
10,000
Low
9,000
8,000
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
Year
4.3
2
Statistics New Zealand’s projected change in population over the period 20012006 was then compared against Statistics New Zealand’s estimate of the
actual change in population for these areas (based on data collected on births,
deaths, immigration etc.). This comparison indicates that the Gisborne Urban
Area is growing at a rate somewhere between the medium and high series (but
closer to the medium series), while the remainder of the District is declining
faster than the low series. Secondly, the projected change in population
between 2001 and 2006 for the Gisborne Urban Area and remainder of the
District was compared to the actual change in census night counts between
2001 and 20062. This second comparison indicates that the population in the
Gisborne Urban Area may be growing faster than the high series, while the
remainder of the District is declining at a rate somewhere between the medium
and low projection. (Refer to Appendix Five for the Statistics New Zealand
projections and estimates)
The 2006 census night counts were provisional only. The 2006 provisional census night counts can
not be compared directly against the 2006 population projectios because the census counts are not
adjusted to account for visitors, people out of the district, etc.
Variance between projected % Change in Resident
Population between 2001 and 2006 and % Change in
Population Estimates between 2001 and 2006
10
Variance
(Projected %
Change - %
Change in
Estimated
Population)
Gisb Urb
Area
5
Remainder
of District
0
Low Series
-5
Medium
Series
High Series
Total
Series
Variance Between Projected % Change in Resident
Population between 2001 and the % Change in Census
Night Counts between 2001 and 2006
10
Variance
(Projected %
Change - %
Change in Census
Night Counts)
Gisb Urb
Area
5
Remainder
of District
0
Low Series
Medium Series
High Series
Total
-5
-10
Series
4.4
On the basis of the two comparisons it is considered appropriate to use a
“hybrid” projection for the Gisborne Urban Area over the period 2001-2026,
which consists of the average of the high and medium series.
4.5
For the remainder of the District the growth it is considered appropriate to
retain the Statistics New Zealand’s medium projection for the period 20012026 which is used in the current Long Term Council and Community Plan.
While the comparison of the high, medium and low projections against
population estimates indicates that the population may be declining
somewhat faster than the low projection, the population estimates indicate
that the population may be declining only slightly faster than the medium
projection.
4.6
For the period following 2026 it is assumed that the Gisborne Urban Area
population would continue to increase at nominal small rate of 140 persons
per census period. For the remainder of the District it was assumed that
continued decline of the population would not be sustained and the population
would stabilise at 2026 levels. There is a high level of uncertainty about
future population figures over this period and it is intended that the growth
projections will be regularly reviewed.
5.0
Households
5.1
The household component of the growth model was developed in two groups:
(1) localities within the Gisborne Urban Area and (2) localities outside the
Gisborne Urban Area. Underlying the projections are the assumptions that
the total number of households within each of the two general areas would
reflect both the population component of the growth model, as well as the
average household sizes indicated in the Statistics New Zealand projections.
5.2
The model projects an increase in the number of households in the Gisborne
Urban Area from 12093 households in 2001 to 14444 households in 2051.
This equates to a 19% increase over 50 years. The average projected
increase is about 1% per annum for the first 20 years, after which the rate of
increase is expected to be less. Much of the increase in the Gisborne Urban
Area is driven by a projected decline in the average size of households, with
the average size projected to reduce from 2.71 in 2001 to 2.38 by 2026.
Some areas are projected to increase more quickly than others. It is
projected that the fastest growing areas will be:
• Wainui (which includes Sponge Bay and Okitu), with an estimated
increase of 226 households from 2006-2026 (34% over 20 years or 2.8%
per annum)
• Makaraka (A) and Taruheru (A), which together encompass the Taruheru
Subdivision Block. An increase of about approximately 430 households is
projected over the next 20 years (112% over 20 years or 4.1% per
annum).
• Matokitoki localities and Makaraka localities, which are expected to be
subject to continued rural-residential development.
• Mangapapa and Whataupoko, which are expected to be subject to further
infill as well as greenfield development. An increase of about 160
households is projected in these two localities over the next 20 years (5%
over 20 years).
5.3
A small decrease in the number of households is projected for the remainder
of the district, from 4357 households in 2001 to 4187 households in 2151 (4%
decrease over 50 years). The projections are illustrated by the following
graphs. Refer to Appendix Three for the table of figures and the full locality
name.
Household Component of the Growth Model for Gisborne
Urban Area
2000
1800
1600
Number of Households
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051
Year
GA(A)
GA(B)
GA(C)
GC
KN
KS
MK(A)
MK(B)
MK(C)
MK(D)
MK(E)
MP
MT(A)
MT(B)
OK
RD(A)
RD(B)
RD(C)
TA
TH
TN(A)
TN(B)
WN
WT
Household Component of the Growth Model for the
Localities Outside the Gisborne Urban Area
Number of Households
1000
900
EC
800
MN
PT
700
RT
600
TB
500
TK
TM
400
TN(C)
300
TR
200
WH
100
2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051
Year
Gisborne Urban Area
5.4
The first step in producing the Gisborne Urban Area household projections
was to calculate average household size over the period 2001-2026 within
each area unit in the Gisborne Urban Area, according to the Statistics New
Zealand medium series, by dividing the population figures by the household
figures. The Statistics New Zealand figures indicate a decline in average
household size is expected in all area units, for example from 3.342 to 2.974
persons/household in Outer Kaiti and from 2.572 to 2.252 persons/household
in Whataupoko. (Only the medium series were used to provide projections
about declining household sizes because information was available for the
high and low series).
5.5
The next step was to take the “hybrid” population projection between the
Statistics New Zealand “medium” and “high” series for the period 2001-2026
(which was adopted for the population component of the growth model) and
distribute the households into Statistics New Zealand area units on the basis
of the distribution pattern anticipated by Statistics New Zealand. The average
household sizes at each five yearly interval were then applied to the “hybrid”
population projections distributed into area units to calculate the number of
households within each area unit over the period 2001 to 2026. The figures
for each area unit were then collated to give an indication of the total number
of households for Gisborne Urban Area over the period. It is noted that this
approach relied on the household distribution pattern shown in the Statistics
New Zealand projections to calculate the total number of households, while
the growth model ultimately uses a different distribution pattern. However the
impact on the projection of the total population in the Gisborne Urban Area is
not considered significant.
5.5
To “ground truth” the projected increase in households between 2001 and
2006 a comparison was made against subdivision data for this period. The
comparison indicated that amount of consented development (which may or
may not be occupied) was significantly more than the projected growth in
households.
Given that that the model is intended to be used for
development contributions and development contributions are taken at the
time of subdivision/building consent it was considered appropriate to increase
the household figures for 2006 by about 250 households. Additional
households were also added to subsequent years but the difference between
the growth model and the initial projections was reduced over time.
5.5
The total household figures for the Gisborne Urban Area 2006-2026 were
then distributed into growth model localities. The distribution pattern was
based on a number of different factors, including:
• The 2001 figures in the Statistics New Zealand medium household
projections, which were used to develop the base distribution pattern
between the growth model localities for 2001.
• Subdivision consent data, which was used to analyse trends in the
distribution of development e.g. between infill, greenfield residential and
rural residential development.
• Council knowledge of potential development areas and developer
aspirations e.g. potential availability of land in the Wainui locality and the
impact of potential reticulation, availability of large greenfield areas in
Taruheu localities and the potential for further infill as well as Greenfield
development in Mangapapa.
5.6
To extend the Gisborne Urban Area household projections for the remainder
of the projection period the projected increase in the population (140 persons
per census period) was divided by the average household size for the
Gisborne Urban Area as a whole at 2021 according to the Statistics New
Zealand medium series (2.383) to give an increase of 59 households per
year. The approach assumes that household sizes will remain constant after
2021. This was the last year for which Statistics New Zealand have provided
household projections and it is considered that there is a lack of information
upon which to project any further changes in household size. The projected
growth was then distributed between the localities. Wainui and Taruheru
localities are projected to receive the majority of the new households due to
the attractiveness of coastal areas and the availability of Greenfield sites
respectively.
Remainder of the District
5.7
The household figures for the remainder of the District for the period 20062021 were taken from Statistics New Zealand medium population projections
for each area unit. This approach is consistent with the population
component of the growth model, which is also based on Statistics New
Zealand medium series. For the remainder of the projection period it is
projected that the number of households within each locality outside of the
Gisborne Urban Area would remain constant. The underlying assumptions
are that population will remain constant (which is consistent with the
population component of the growth model) and average house sizes will
remain constant.
Service Connection Variation
5.8
A variation on growth model localities Wainui (WN) and Makaraka (MK(C))
has also been produced in which the projected household figures are
intended to reflect the number of households connected to wastewater and
water supply services (with possible reticulation), rather than all households in
the area. This projection is intended to be used for the purpose of calculating
development contributions relating to these services.
6.0
Non-Residential Activities
6.1
The component of the growth model that addresses non-residential activities
consists of projections, by locality, of the gross floor area for seven types of
non-residential activities. The activity classifications used are:
• Commercial, Administration and Government (C/A/G), which is intended
to cover offices, retail, restaurants and other food services, property and
business services, finance and insurance services, personal services
(e.g. beauticians), government administration (e.g. courts, local
government), commercial cultural and recreational services (e.g. tourism
operators, cinemas) and services stations.
• Health and Community Services (H&CS), which is intended to cover
medical services (e.g. doctors, optometrists, hospitals), veterinary
services, dental services, childcare services and community care
services.
• Residential Services (RS) e.g. Aged Care facilities
• Visitor Acommodation (VA), which includes hotel conference facilities
and associated offices, etc. but not public restaurants and retail
associated with hotels.
• Industry – Heavy Manufacturing (IHM)
• Industry – Light Manufacturing/Servicing (ILM/S), which includes
associated retail e.g. timber yards.
• Industry – Warehousing.
Refer to Appendix Four for the tables of figures.
6.2
The following graphs illustrate examples of the projections for non-residential
activities:
Gross Floor
Area (m2)
Example of Non-Residential Component of Growth Model
- Commericial, Administration and Government in
Gisborne Central
535000
530000
525000
520000
515000
510000
505000
500000
495000
490000
C/A/G
2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051
Year
Gross Floor Area (m2)
Example of Non-Residential Component of Growth
Model - Heavy Industry in Tiniroto (B)
70000
60000
50000
40000
TN(B)
30000
20000
10000
0
2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051
Year
6.3
To develop the non-residential component of the growth model it was
assumed that non-residential activities would generally increase or decrease
at the same rate as the population component of the growth model. More
specifically, it was assumed that non-residential activities in the Gisborne
Urban Area would follow the same trend as population projections for the
Gisborne Urban Area, while non-residential activities in the remainder of the
District would follow the same trend as population in this area. This was
considered a reasonable approach given the lack of information available. A
project is currently being investigated which will provide growth estimates on
an industry-by-industry basis and would assist in future reviews of the growth
model. Exceptions from the general assumption that growth in nonresidential activities would follow population trends were made for Light and
Heavy Industry, which is explained further below.
6.4
The first step was to estimate the total amount of existing (and recently
consented) floor area used for the various types of non-residential activities
within each locality. The estimates were based on the gross floor area and
category classification data in the District Land Register records, which were
collated by locality, re-categorised into the growth-model categories.
Adjustments were made to reflect recent developments not yet shown on
register records, multi use listings where it was assumed that only some of
the floor area was used for non-residential purposes, etc.
6.5
The next step was to calculate the rates of increase in population for the
Gisborne Urban Area (as a whole) and decrease in population for the
remainder of the district (as a whole) between each census period from 20062051 according to the population component of the growth model. The rates
were then applied to the base 2006 estimates of the gross floor area of nonresidential activities in the Gisborne Urban Area and the remainder of the
District to give projections of the total gross floor area, by activity-type, for the
two general areas from 2006-2051.
6.6
Growth in the Gisborne Urban Area was then allocated to localities. The
projected distribution of growth was based on a range information and
assumptions, for example:
• Knowledge of potential developments e.g. expected retirement village
expansion in Taruheru
• Council promotion of the new industrial area for industry growth
• The assumption that commercial activities will continue to locate primarily
in the Gisborne Central locality
• Perceived market gaps e.g. the potential for additional commercial activity
in the Wainui locality to serve anticipated growth in population
The “first cut” at the growth in the Gisborne Urban Area was then amended to
reflect additional anticipated growth in Heavy Industry and Light
Industry/Servicing in Tiniroto/Makaraka localities.
6.7
For the remainder of the District it was assumed that non-residential activities
within each locality would decline at the same rate as the population in the
remainder of the District, stabilising at 2026.
7.0
Review
It is intended that the growth projections will be continually reviewed against
development trends and as further information is available. Previous
consultation around general planning issues and potential developments has
been taken into account in the preparation of this report but more targeted
consultation would be considered for future reviews of the growth model. On
review of the growth model Council will also consider developing projections
of the growth in impervious surfaces as a fourth component of the growth
model to assist in the calculation of development contribution charges for
stormwater.
Appendix Two – Population Component of Growth Model
2001
(Base
Estimate)
Gisborne Urban
Area (GUA)
32780
Incremental Increase
from 2001
Increase from Base
Year (2001)
Rest of District
12,730
Incremental Increase
from 2001
Increase from Base
Year (2001)
Total for District
45510
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
32990
33,295
33,635
33,850
33,990
34,130
34,270
34,410
34,550
34,690
210
305
340
215
140
140
140
140
140
140
210
12,210
515
11,790
855
11,530
1070
11,260
1210
10,910
1350
10910
1490
10910
1630
10910
1770
10910
1910
10910
-520
-420
-260
-270
-350
0
0
0
0
0
-520
45200
-940
45085
-1,200
45165
-1,470
45110
-1,820
44900
-1,820
45040
-1,820
45180
-1,820
45320
-1,820
45460
-1,820
45600
Appendix Three – Households Component of Growth Model
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
Code
Full Locality Name
GA(A) Gisborne Airport (A) (Residential)
2001 (Base
Estimate)
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
950
954
956
960
964
966
968
970
972
974
976
60
60
58
63
67
68
68
68
68
68
68
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1370
780
1458
783
1496
788
1533
795
1570
801
1573
803
1576
803
1579
803
1581
803
1582
803
1583
803
1010
1003
1003
1038
1072
1079
1085
1091
1097
1103
1109
13
14
87
159
233
243
255
269
282
293
317
60
80
100
112
123
125
126
131
136
141
146
138
155
167
198
230
233
236
237
241
245
250
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
127
1620
144
1646
154
1666
160
1695
168
1727
169
1733
170
1736
171
1737
172
1738
173
1739
174
1740
Gisborne Airport (B)
GA(B) (Industrial/Rural)
GA(C) Gisborne Airport (C) (Airport)
GC
Gisborne Central
KN
Kaiti North
KS
Kaiti South
MK(A) Makaraka (A) (Taruheru Block)
MK(B) Makaraka (B) (Rural-Residential)
MK(C) Makaraka (C) (Makaraka)
MK(D) Makaraka (D) (Rural Industrial A)
MK(E) Makaraka (E) (Remainder)
MP
Mangapapa
MT(A) Matokitoki (A) (small blocks)
MT(B) Matokitoki (B) (remainder)
OK
Outer Kaiti
RD(A) Riverdale (A) (Taruheru Block)
RD(B) Riverdale (B) (Riverdale)
72
83
93
103
113
115
117
119
121
123
125
78
760
95
761
105
762
110
771
115
780
117
782
119
782
120
782
121
782
122
782
123
782
140
330
370
338
440
342
512
347
586
352
596
357
607
357
621
357
633
357
646
357
646
357
0
760
1760
0
770
1778
0
790
1786
0
796
1795
0
800
1804
0
802
1806
0
802
1806
0
802
1806
0
802
1806
0
802
1806
0
802
1806
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
10
10
10
10
6
6
6
4
4
4
4
570
1480
12093
664
1528
12699
606
606
719
830
960
974
992 1002
1554 1573 1591 1594 1595 1596
13081 13563 14065 14144 14208 14267
382
482
502
79
64
59
988 1470 1972 2051 2115 2174
1012
1597
14327
60
2234
0
0
0
0
Riverdale (C) (Hospital & Adjacent
RD(C) Greenfields)
Tamarau
TA
Te Hapara
TH
TN(A) Tiniroto (A) (Rural Industrial A)
TN(B) Tiniroto (B) (Rural Industrial B)
WN
Wainui
Whataupoko
WT
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2001
Service Connection Variation
Makaraka (C) – Makaraka
MK(C)r
(Reticulation)
WNr
Wainui (Reticulation)
0
80
198
780
230
895
233
910
236
920
237
927
241
937
1023 1032
1598 1599
14386 14444
59
58
2293 2351
245
948
250
957
REST OF DISTRICT
2001 (Base
Estimate)
970
2006
920
2011
900
2016
900
2021
900
2026
866
2031
866
2036
866
2041
866
2046
866
2051
866
Manutuke
230
230
230
230
230
214
214
214
214
214
214
PT
RT
TB
TK
TM
Patutahi
Ruatoria
Tolaga Bay
Te Karaka
Tokomaru Bay
120
270
300
190
180
120
260
310
190
180
130
250
330
180
180
130
260
340
180
180
130
260
340
180
180
126
257
333
169
172
126
257
333
169
172
126
257
333
169
172
126
257
333
169
172
126
257
333
169
172
126
257
333
169
172
TN(C)
TR
Tiniroto (C) (Remainder)
Tarndale-Raukauro
787
600
757
560
757
550
778
570
792
580
776
568
776
568
776
568
776
568
776
568
776
568
WH
Wharekaka
Total for Rest of the District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2001
710
4357
710
4237
-120
-120
720
4227
-10
-130
730
4298
71
-59
730
4322
24
-35
706
4187
-135
-170
706
4187
0
-170
706
4187
0
-170
706
4187
0
-170
706
4187
0
-170
706
4187
0
-170
Code
EC
Full Locality Name
East Cape
MN
Appendix Four – Non-Residential Activities Component of Growth Model
1.
Commercial, Administration and Government (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
Code
GA(A)
GA(B)
GA(C)
Full Locality
Zone
Name
Gisborne Airport General
(A) (Residential) Residential
General
Gisborne Airport
Industrial /
(B) (Industrial/
Rural Res /
Rural)
Residential
Rural Res /
Gisborne Airport Rural P(with
(C) (Airport)
Airport
Overlays)
KN
Inner Comm /
Amenity Comm
Gisborne Central / Fringe Comm
/ Outer Comm /
Inner Res /
General Resl
General
Kaiti North
Residential
KS
Kaiti South
GC
MK(A)
MK(B)
MK(C)
General Res/
Inner Res
Makaraka (A)
General
(Taruheru Block) Residential
Makaraka (B)
Rural
(Rural-Resl)
Residential
Makaraka (C)
General
(Makaraka)
Residential
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
230
251
275
290
299
309
319
328
338
348
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
51
51
52
52
52
52
52
53
504753
509370
514519
517765
519869
521972
524076
526180
528283
530387
1110
1120
1132
1139
1143
1148
1153
1157
1162
1167
4810
4843
4880
4904
4919
4934
4949
4965
4980
4995
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2940
2962
2987
3003
3013
3023
3033
3043
3053
3064
MK(E)
Makaraka (D)
(Rural Ind A)
Makaraka (E)
(Remainder)
Rural Ind A
Rural Res/
Rural P
MP
Mangapapa
General Res
MT(A)
Matokitoki (A)
(small blocks)
MK(D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19
40
54
62
71
80
89
97
106
1470
1484
1499
1508
1514
1520
1527
1533
1539
1545
Rural
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MT(B)
Matokitoki (B)
(remainder)
Rural
Residential
150
151
153
154
155
155
156
156
157
158
OK
Outer Kaiti
General Res
General
Residential
70
71
71
72
72
72
73
73
73
74
2390
2412
2437
2452
2462
2472
2482
2492
2502
2512
General
Residential
750
750
750
750
750
750
750
750
750
750
General
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General
Residential
7460
7529
7605
7653
7685
7716
7747
7778
7810
7841
5900
5970
6047
6096
6128
6159
6191
6223
6255
6286
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
190
220
250
280
310
340
370
400
430
460
4210
536483
4244
541446
4963
4963
4283
546978
5532
10495
4307
550477
3498
13994
4323
552755
2278
16272
4338
555033
2278
18550
4354
557311
2278
20828
4370
559589
2278
23106
4385
561867
2278
25384
4401
564145
2278
27662
RD(A)
RD(B)
RD(C)
Riverdale (A)
(Taruheru Block)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
Riverdale (C)
(Hospital & Adj
Greenfields)
TA
Tamarau
TH
Te Hapara
TN(A)
TN(B)
WN
WT
General
Residential
Tiniroto (A) (Rural Rural Industrial
Industrial A)
A
Tiniroto (B) (Rural
Industrial B)
Rural Ind B
General Res /
Wainui
Rural Res
Whataupoko
Gen Resl
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
Code
Full Locality
Name
EC
East Cape
MN
Manutuke
PT
Patutahi
RT
Ruatoria
TB
Tolaga Bay
TK
Te Karaka
TM
TN(C)
Tokomaru Bay
Tiniroto (C)
(Remainder)
TR
TarndaleRaukauro
Zone
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
Rural General
Rural P/ Rural
Gl
General Res/
Rural Res /
Rural P
General
Residential
General
Residential
General
Residential
General
Residential
Rural P/ Rural
G
6450
6228
6091
5948
5763
5763
5763
5763
5763
5763
140
135
132
129
125
125
125
125
125
125
860
830
812
793
768
768
768
768
768
768
5740
5543
5420
5293
5129
5129
5129
5129
5129
5129
2895
2803
2747
2688
2611
2611
2611
2611
2611
2611
2539
2452
2398
2341
2269
2269
2269
2269
2269
2269
3490
3370
3296
3218
3118
3118
3118
3118
3118
3118
2059
1988
1944
1899
1840
1840
1840
1840
1840
1840
Rural General
Rural Res /
Rural G
2200
2124
2077
2029
1966
1966
1966
1966
1966
1966
1900
28273
1837
27311
-962
-962
1798
26715
-596
-1558
1758
26097
-619
-2176
1705
25295
-802
-2978
1705
25295
0
-2978
1705
25295
0
-2978
1705
25295
0
-2978
1705
25295
0
-2978
1705
25295
0
-2978
WH
Wharekaka
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
2.
Health and Community Services (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
Code
Full Locality
Name
GA(A)
Gisborne Airport
(A) (Residential)
GA(B)
Gisborne Airport
(B) (Industrial/
Rural)
GA(C)
Gisborne Airport
(C) (Airport)
GC
Gisborne Central
Zone
General
Residential
General Industrial
/ Rural
Residential /
Residential
Rural Res/ Rural
P (with Airport
Overlays)
Inner Comm /
Amenity Comm /
Fringe Comm /
Outer Comm /
Inner Res /
General Res
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6590
6651
6719
6762
6790
6818
6846
6874
6902
6930
350
353
357
359
361
362
364
365
367
368
KN
Kaiti North
General
Residential
KS
Kaiti South
General
Residential /
Inner Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General
Residential
MK(A)
Makaraka (A)
(Taruheru Block)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MK(B)
Makaraka (B)
(Rural-Residential) Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MK(C)
Makaraka (C)
(Makaraka)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General
Residential
MK(D)
Makaraka (D)
(Rural Industrial A) Rural Industrial A
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MK(E)
Makaraka (E)
(Remainder)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MP
Mangapapa
1570
1585
1601
1611
1618
1624
1631
1638
1644
1651
MT(A)
Matokitoki (A)
(small blocks)
Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MT(B)
Matokitoki (B)
(remainder)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OK
Outer Kaiti
Rural Residential
General
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RD(A)
Riverdale (A)
(Taruheru Block)
General
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RD(B)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
General
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
22070
22274
22501
22645
22739
22833
22926
23020
23114
23207
5800
5854
5913
5951
5976
6000
6025
6050
6074
6099
Rural Industrial A
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Industrial B
General Res /
Rural Res
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
370
36750
0
373
37090
340
340
0
377
37469
379
719
0
380
37708
240
958
0
381
37864
156
1114
0
383
38020
156
1270
0
384
38176
156
1426
0
386
38332
156
1582
0
387
38488
156
1738
0
389
38644
156
1894
TN(B)
Riverdale (C)
(Hospital &
Adjacent
Greenfields)
Tamarau
Te Hapara
Tiniroto (A) (Rural
Industrial A)
Tiniroto (B) (Rural
Industrial B)
WN
Wainui
RD(C)
TA
TH
TN(A)
Rural Residential
/ Rural Production
General
Residential
General
Residential
General Res
General Res
Whataupoko
WT
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
Code
Full Locality Name
Zone
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
EC
East Cape
Rural General
3090
3090
3090
3090
3090
3090
3090
3090
3090
3090
MN
Manutuke
Rural Production / Rural
General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
PT
Patutahi
General Residential /
Rural Resl / Rural P
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RT
Ruatoria
General Residential
620
620
620
620
620
620
620
620
620
620
TB
Tolaga Bay
General Residential
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
TK
Te Karaka
General Residential
TM
TN(C)
Tokomaru Bay
General Residential
Tiniroto (C) (Remainder)
Rural P/ Rural General
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
90
0
TR
Tarndale-Raukauro
Rural General
Rural Residential / Rural
General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3880
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
0
3880
0
0
WH
Wharekaka
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
3.
Residential Services (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
Code
Full Locality
Name
GA(A)
Gisborne Airport
(A) (Residential)
GA(B)
GA(C)
GC
Gisborne Airport
(B) (Industrial/
Rural)
Gisborne Airport
(C) (Airport)
Gisborne Central
Zone
General
Residential
General Industrial /
Rural Residential /
Residential
Rural Residential/
Rural Production
(with Airport
Overlays)
Inner Commercial /
Amenity
Commercial /
Fringe Commercial
/ Outer
Commercial / Inner
Residential /
General
Residential
General
Residential
General
Residential / Inner
Residential
KN
Kaiti North
KS
Kaiti South
MK(A)
Makaraka (A)
(Taruheru Block)
MK(B)
Makaraka (B)
(Rural-Residential) Rural Residential
General
Residential
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1270
1270
1270
1270
1270
1270
1270
1270
1270
1270
5610
5610
5610
5610
5610
5610
5610
5610
5610
5610
210
210
210
210
210
210
210
210
210
210
0
33
69
92
107
123
138
153
168
183
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MK(C)
Makaraka (C)
(Makaraka)
MK(D)
Makaraka (D)
(Rural Industrial A)
MK(E)
MP
MT(A)
MT(B)
OK
RD(A)
RD(B)
RD(C)
TA
TH
TN(A)
TN(B)
WN
Makaraka (E)
(Remainder)
Mangapapa
Matokitoki (A)
(small blocks)
Matokitoki (B)
(remainder)
Outer Kaiti
Riverdale (A)
(Taruheru Block)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
Riverdale (C)
(Hospital & Adj
Greenfields)
Tamarau
General
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Industrial A
Rural Residential /
Rural Production
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Residential
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General Res
0
44
92
123
143
163
183
204
224
244
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General Res
General Res
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
4730
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
69
92
107
123
138
153
168
183
11820
11929
109
109
12051
122
231
12128
77
308
12178
50
358
12228
50
408
12279
50
459
12329
50
509
12379
50
559
12429
50
609
Te Hapara
General Res
Tiniroto (A) (Rural
Industrial A)
Rural Industrial A
Tiniroto (B) (Rural
Industrial B)
Rural Industrial B
General Res /
Wainui
Rural Res
Whataupoko
General Res
WT
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
Code
Full Locality
Name
EC
East Cape
MN
Manutuke
Rural General
Rural Production /
Rural General
PT
Patutahi
General
Residential / Rural
Res / Rural P
RT
Ruatoria
TB
TK
TM
TN(C)
TR
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Tolaga Bay
General Resl
Te Karaka
Tokomaru Bay
Tiniroto (C)
(Remainder)
General Res
General Res
Rural Production /
Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Zone
Tarndale-Raukauro Rural General
Rural Residential /
Wharekaka
Rural General
WH
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
4.
Visitor Accommodation (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
560
581
604
618
628
637
646
656
665
675
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12565
0
12678
0
12805
0
12884
0
12936
0
12988
0
13040
0
13092
0
13144
0
13196
0
820
820
820
820
820
820
820
820
820
820
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1090
1100
1112
1119
1124
1128
1133
1138
1143
1147
Rural Industrial A
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Residential
/ Rural Production
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Code
Full Locality Name Zone
GA(A)
Gisborne Airport
(A) (Residential)
General
Residential
GA(B)
Gisborne Airport
(B) (Industrial/
Rural)
General Ind /
Rural Res/ Res
GA(C)
Gisborne Airport
(C) (Airport)
GC
Gisborne Central
KN
Kaiti North
KS
Kaiti South
MK(E)
Makaraka (A)
(Taruheru Block)
Makaraka (B)
(Rural-Residential)
Makaraka (C)
(Makaraka)
Makaraka (D)
(Rural Industrial A)
Makaraka (E)
(Remainder)
MP
Mangapapa
MK(A)
MK(B)
MK(C)
MK(D)
Rural Res / Rural
P (with Airport
Overlays)
Inner Comm /
Amenity Comm /
Fringe Comm /
Outer Comm /
Inner Res /
General Res
General Res
General Res /
Inner Res
General
Residential
Rural Residential
General
Residential
MT(A)
Matokitoki (A)
(small blocks)
MT(B)
Matokitoki (B)
(remainder)
OK
Outer Kaiti
RD(A)
RD(B)
RD(C)
TA
TH
TN(A)
Riverdale (A)
(Taruheru Block)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
Riverdale (C)
(Hospital &
Adjacent
Greenfields)
Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Residential
General
Residential
General
Residential
General
Residential
740
740
740
740
740
740
740
740
740
740
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
0
0
4530
General
Residential
General Resl
General Res
Tamarau
Te Hapara
Tiniroto (A) (Rural
Industrial A)
Rural Industrial A
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TN(B)
Tiniroto (B) (Rural
Industrial B)
Rural Industrial B
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
WN
Wainui
General Res /
Rural Residential
1840
1891
1949
1985
2009
2032
2056
2080
2103
2127
WT
Whataupoko
General
Residential
130
22275
140
22481
206
206
152
22711
230
436
159
22856
145
581
164
22950
95
675
168
23045
95
770
173
23139
95
864
178
23234
95
959
183
23328
95
1053
187
23423
95
1148
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
Code
Full Locality Name Zone
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
EC
East Cape
1554
1501
1467
1433
1389
1389
1389
1389
1389
1389
MN
Manutuke
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
PT
RT
Patutahi
Rural Production /
Rural General
General
Residential /
Rural Residential
/ Rural Production
Ruatoria
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TB
Tolaga Bay
General Res
1705
1646
1610
1572
1523
1523
1523
1523
1523
1523
TK
Te Karaka
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TM
Tokomaru Bay
General Res
180
174
170
166
161
161
161
161
161
161
TN(C)
Tiniroto (C)
(Remainder)
Rural Production /
Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TR
Tarndale-Raukauro Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1070
4509
1033
4354
-155
-155
1010
4258
-96
-155
987
4158
-100
-155
956
4029
-129
-155
956
4029
0
-155
956
4029
0
-155
956
4029
0
-155
956
4029
0
-155
956
4029
0
-155
Rural General
Rural Residential
WH
Wharekaka
/ Rural General
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
5.
Industry – Heavy Manufacturing (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
Code
GA(A)
Full Locality Name
Gisborne Airport (A)
(Residential)
GA(B)
Gisborne Airport (B)
(Industrial/ Rural)
GA(C)
Gisborne Airport (C)
(Airport)
GC
Gisborne Central
Zone
General Residential
General Industrial /
Rural Residential /
Residential
Rural Residential/
Rural Production
(with Airport
Overlays)
Inner Commercial /
Amenity Commercial
/ Fringe Commercial /
Outer Commercial /
Inner Residential /
General Residential
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4068
4068
4068
4068
4068
4068
4068
4068
4068
4068
KN
Kaiti North
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
KS
Kaiti South
General Residential /
Inner Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MK(A)
Makaraka (A)
(Taruheru Block)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2628
2628
2628
2628
2628
2628
2628
2628
2628
2628
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
MK(B)
MK(C)
General Residential
Makaraka (B) (RuralResidential)
Rural Residential
Makaraka (C)
(Makaraka)
General Residential
MK(D)
Makaraka (D) (Rural
Industrial A)
MK(E)
Makaraka (E)
(Remainder)
Rural Industrial A
Rural Residential /
Rural Production
MP
Mangapapa
MT(A)
Matokitoki (A) (small
blocks)
MT(B)
Matokitoki (B)
(remainder)
OK
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Outer Kaiti
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RD(A)
Riverdale (A)
(Taruheru Block)
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RD(B)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
General Residential
Riverdale (C) (Hospital
& Adjacent
Greenfields)
General Residential
Tamarau
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RD(C)
TA
TH
Te Hapara
Tiniroto (A) (Rural
Industrial A)
Tiniroto (B) (Rural
Industrial B)
General Residential
0
0
Rural Industrial A
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Industrial B
37580
62813
63500
64000
64500
64500
64500
64500
64500
64500
WN
Wainui
General Residential /
Rural Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
WT
Whataupoko
General Residential
300
44576
300
69809
25233
25233
300
70496
687
25920
300
70996
500
25920
300
71496
500
25920
300
71496
0
25920
300
71496
0
25920
300
71496
0
25920
300
71496
0
25920
300
71496
0
25920
TN(A)
TN(B)
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Manutuke
Rural Production /
Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
PT
Patutahi
General Residential /
Rural Residential /
Rural Production
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
RT
Ruatoria
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TB
Tolaga Bay
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TK
Te Karaka
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TM
Tokomaru Bay
General Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TN(C)
Tiniroto (C)
(Remainder)
Rural Production /
Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TR
Tarndale-Raukauro
Rural General
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Code
Full Locality Name
Zone
EC
East Cape
MN
Rural Residential /
WH
Wharekaka
Rural General
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
6.
Industry - Light Manufacturing, Servicing and Associated Retail (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
KN
Full Locality
Zone
Name
Gisborne Airport General
(A) (Residential) Residential
General
Gisborne Airport Industrial /
(B) (Industrial/ Rural
Rural)
Residential /
Residential
Rural
Residential/
Gisborne Airport Rural
(C) (Airport)
Production (with
Airport
Overlays)
Inner Comm /
Amenity Comm
/ Fringe Comm /
Gisborne Central
Outer Comm /
Inner Res / Gen
Res
Kaiti North
General Res
KS
Kaiti South
Code
GA(A)
GA(B)
GA(C)
GC
MK(B)
General Res /
Inner Res
Makaraka (A)
General
(Taruheru Block) Residential
Makaraka (B)
Rural
(Rural-Res)
Residential
MK(C)
Makaraka (C)
(Makaraka)
MK(A)
General
Residential
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
93274
96154
99034
101914
101914
101914
101914
101914
101914
101914
0
720
1440
2160
2160
2160
2160
2160
2160
2160
90838
0
91200
0
91560
0
91920
0
91920
0
91920
0
91920
0
91920
0
91920
0
91920
0
50493
53370
56253
59133
59133
59133
59133
59133
59133
59133
2600
2600
2600
2600
2600
2600
2600
2600
2600
2600
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2615
8105
8465
8825
9185
9185
9185
9185
9185
9185
9185
MT(B)
Makaraka (D)
(Rural Industrial
A)
Rural Ind A
Makaraka (E)
Rural Res /
(Remainder)
Rural P
General
Mangapapa
Residential
Matokitoki (A)
Rural
(small blocks)
Residential
Matokitoki (B)
Rural
(remainder)
Residential
OK
Outer Kaiti
General Res
Riverdale (A)
(Taruheru Block)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
General
Residential
General
Residential
Riverdale (C)
(Hospital &
Adjacent
Greenfields)
General
Residential
Tamarau
General Res
General Resl
TN(B)
Te Hapara
Tiniroto (A)
(Rural Ind A)
Tiniroto (B)
(Rural Ind B)
WN
Wainui
WT
Whataupoko
MK(D)
MK(E)
MP
MT(A)
RD(A)
RD(B)
RD(C)
TA
TH
TN(A)
0
11520
23040
34560
34560
34560
34560
34560
34560
34560
4400
4400
4400
4400
4400
4400
4400
4400
4400
4400
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
370
370
370
370
370
370
370
370
370
370
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
0
0
2535
Rural Ind A
0
11520
23040
34560
34560
34560
34560
34560
34560
34560
Rural Ind B
General Res /
Rural Res
0
5760
11520
17280
17280
17280
17280
17280
17280
17280
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1072
253687
1072
289686
35999
35999
1072
325689
36003
72002
1072
361689
36000
108002
1072
361689
0
108002
1072
361689
0
108002
1072
361689
0
108002
1072
361689
0
108002
1072
361689
0
108002
1072
364304
2615
110617
General Res
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
Code
Full Locality
Name
Zone
EC
East Cape
Rural General
MN
Manutuke
PT
RT
TB
TK
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
450
435
425
415
402
402
402
402
402
402
760
734
718
701
679
679
679
679
679
679
Patutahi
Rural P/ Rural
General
General Res /
Rural Res /
Rural P
2690
2597
2540
2481
2404
2404
2404
2404
2404
2404
Ruatoria
General
Residential
2470
2385
2332
2278
2207
2207
2207
2207
2207
2207
Tolaga Bay
General
Residential
880
850
831
812
786
786
786
786
786
786
Te Karaka
General
Residential
2463
2378
2326
2271
2201
2201
2201
2201
2201
2201
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7580
7319
7158
6990
6773
6773
6773
6773
6773
6773
650
628
614
599
581
581
581
581
581
581
0
17943
0
17326
-617
-617
0
16944
-382
-999
0
16547
-397
-1396
0
16033
-514
-1910
0
16033
0
-1910
0
16033
0
-1910
0
16033
0
-1910
0
16033
0
-1910
0
16033
0
-1910
TM
Tokomaru Bay
TN(C)
Tiniroto (C)
(Remainder)
TR
TarndaleRaukauro
General
Residential
Rural
Production /
Rural General
Rural General
Rural
Residential /
Rural General
WH
Wharekaka
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
7.
Industry - Warehousing (Gross Floor Area in m2)
GISBORNE URBAN AREA
Code
GA(A)
GA(B)
GA(C)
GC
Full Locality
Name
Zone
Gisborne Airport General
(A) (Residential) Residential
General
Gisborne Airport Industrial /
Rural
(B) (Industrial/
Rural)
Residential /
Residential
Rural
Residential/
Gisborne Airport Rural
Production (with
(C) (Airport)
Airport
Overlays)
Inner Comm /
Amenity Comm
/ Fringe Comm /
Gisborne Central
Outer Comm/
Inner Res /
General Res
KN
Kaiti North
KS
Kaiti South
General
Residential
General
Residential /
Inner
Residential
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
2051
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6002
6057
6119
6158
6184
6209
6235
6260
6286
6311
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12439
12554
12682
12763
12816
12869
12921
12974
13027
13080
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Makaraka (A)
MK(A) (Taruheru Block) General
Residential
Makaraka (B)
MK(B) (RuralMK(C)
MK(D)
MK(E)
MP
MT(A)
MT(B)
OK
Residential)
Makaraka (C)
(Makaraka)
Makaraka (D)
(Rural Ind A)
Makaraka (E)
(Remainder)
Mangapapa
Matokitoki (A)
(small blocks)
Matokitoki (B)
(remainder)
Outer Kaiti
Rural
Residential
General
Residential
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1182
1193
1206
1213
1218
1223
1228
1233
1238
1243
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General Res
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
General Res
General Res
General Res
0
0
5610
0
0
5662
0
0
5720
0
0
5756
0
0
5780
0
0
5804
0
0
5828
0
0
5851
0
0
5875
0
0
5899
Rural Ind A
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Rural Ind B
0
0
0
25233
0
0
0
25466
233
233
0
0
0
25726
260
-227961
0
0
0
25891
164
-227796
0
0
0
25998
107
-227689
0
0
0
26105
107
-227582
0
0
0
26212
107
-227475
0
0
0
26319
107
-227368
0
0
0
26426
107
-227261
0
0
0
26533
107
-227154
Rural Ind A
Rural Res /
Rural P
General Res
Rural
Residential
Rural
Residential
General Res
Riverdale (A)
RD(A) (Taruheru Block) General
Residential
RD(B)
RD(C)
TA
TH
TN(A)
TN(B)
Riverdale (B)
(Riverdale)
Riverdale (C)
(Hospital & Adj
Greenfields)
Tamarau
Te Hapara
Tiniroto (A)
(Rural Ind A)
Tiniroto (B)
(Rural Ind B)
Wainui
Whataupoko
WN
Res / Rural Res
WT
General Resl
Total for GUA
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
REST OF DISTRICT
Code
EC
Full Locality
Name
East Cape
MN
Manutuke
PT
Patutahi
Rural /Rural G
General Res /
Rural Res / Rural
P
RT
Ruatoria
General
Residential
Tolaga Bay
General
Residential
Te Karaka
Tokomaru Bay
General Res
General Res
TN(C)
Tiniroto (C)
(Remainder)
Rural P/Rural G
TR
TarndaleRaukauro
TB
TK
TM
Zone
Rural General
Rural General
Rural Res/ Rural
G
WH
Wharekaka
Total for Rest of District
Increase Incremental Each Year
Increase from Base 2006
2006
830
2011
801
2016
783
2021
765
2026
741
2031
741
2036
741
2041
741
2046
741
2051
741
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
240
232
227
221
214
214
214
214
214
214
0
0
3500
0
0
3380
0
0
3305
0
0
3228
0
0
3127
0
0
3127
0
0
3127
0
0
3127
0
0
3127
0
0
3127
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
90
87
85
83
80
80
80
80
80
80
0
4660
0
4499
-160
-13444
0
4400
-99
-13543
0
4297
-103
-13646
0
4164
-134
-13779
0
4164
0
-13779
0
4164
0
-13779
0
4164
0
-13779
0
4164
0
-13779
0
4164
0
-13779
Appendix One
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