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CENTRO LATINOAMERICANO DE DEMOGRAFIA
CELADE-SAN JOSE
TRABAJO DE INVESTIGACION
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA; CONSECUENCIAS FUTURAS DE LA DINAMICA
DE LA POBLACION
AUTORES
PROFESOR
BEATRIZ JIMENEZ SOBRINO
JORGE L.CANALES
BEATRIZ ERVITI DIAZ
ABELARDO FERNANDEZ CARVAJAL
A
X CURSO REGIONAL INTENSIVO DE DEMOGRAFIA
SAN JOSE. DICIEMBRE DE 1987
CELADE - S I S T E M A
D O C Ü ^;
DOCPAL
r - " Io N
...x..--; aN
L A T Í N A
INDICE
I.- INTRODUCCION
II.- OBJETO Y METODOLOGIA EMPLEADA.
III.- ESCENARIOS UTILIZADOS.
IV.- ANALISIS DE LOS RESULTADOS.
V.- CONCLUSIONES,
VI. ANEXOS.
I „ -■ :tNTF-<ÜDUCClON„
Eln la
actualidad, es
csitfa vez
de mayor i m po rt an ci a e n foc ar los
pro blemas que se presentan en la práctica desde un punto de vista
si stèmico
Es
obvio,
que
cua ndo
se
a na liz a la población y el de sa rr ol l o
s o c io e c o n ó m i c o , no puede verse desde otro
punto de? vista que? no
sea med iante su es tre ch a interacción.
La nece?5idad
y utilid ad
de las p r oye cc ion es de población surgen
al acome te?r la ela\bo ración
de un
plan de
d e s a rr o l l o económico,
tanto a
corto como
a m e dia no y largo plazo, en que es neces ari o
conoce:;r la población futura en su
doble asptecto
económico: como
productora de bie?ne?s mateiriales y s e rv ic ios y como c o n su m i d or a de
los mismos.
Los cambio s en
el
c om po r t a m i e n t o 'demográfico
de
la población
in f 1uy en en 1a c om pos i c i ón d e 1a po b 1ación q ue? produc e 1os b i en es
y serv ic ios y mo dif ic a rá por tanto las ne c es i d a de s
de la pro d uc ­
ción y los servicios.
F-‘or otra
parte, los nivelesi de d e s a rr o l l o que alcan ce un país de
la
mane ra
d et er m in an t e
en
e?l c o m p o r t a m i e n t o
demográ ico
de
población. Asi mi ent ra s más d e s a r r o ll a d o sea un pais, sus n ive 1es
de mortalidad y fecundidd tienden a ser más bajos.
Por ende, es necesairio r ealizar esitudios que pongan de m a n i fi es t o
los efectos que tendría un de?terminad o volumen de población sobre
la demand a de s e r v ic io s
so ci a l es y
económicos, a
partir de una
proyección de
población a
largo plazo . y del e?s tablee imiento de
det erm in ad a s po líticas s o ci a l es y económicas.
Fista posibilidad viene
dad ai en
e?l mod el o
LRPM- PC
(Modelo de
Pl ani fic ac ión a
largo plazo, para m i c r o - c o m p u t a d o r a s ), que tiene
como ve ntajas fundaxrnentales la interre 1ación de sus m ó dul os
y la
dife ren cia ci ón por se;-;os.
En
el
trabatjo
se
prese?ntan los resul ta dos pr el im i na r e s de las
co n se cu e n c i a s futuras de la di ná m i ca de población de la Repúb li ca
Domi.rii.í:::ana , s:-obi-e? 1os sec t or e s e d uc ac ión y salud, para el período
1980-2000,
I I . . - “ O B JEITO
V IÌE IT 0 D 0 E -.0 6 IA
EM PLEADA,
El pre sente tratjcijo tiene
el
ob je t i vo
de
pro no sti ca r
los requer iniien tos
de
d i f er e n t e s
s e c t or e s
socioeconómicos
dada
la
influtjncia que la di nám ica d e m og r á f ic a ejerce
en sus pob lac ion es
especiales, para fa cilitar con fines de p la nif ic aci ón .la efi cie nc i a e n e 1 función a m ie n to f u t u rx> del s i s t e rna .
Con e ste p ro pós it o se
c o n si d e r a
la
población
de
la R e p úbl ic a
Dominicana, basada
en el Censo de Pobl ac ión y vivi en das de 1981,
proyecciones de población y pr oy ec c io n e s d e m o g r á fi c a s
por sexos,
grupos do:? edade?s y zonas de resid en cia con ario base en 1980; así
como su pites tos qi.te se
e s tab le cen
en
relación
a
las políticas
sectoriales.
El al cance de Las p ro yec ci one s que se pretenden realizar se fijan
como limite el año 2000, haciendo uso el
sistema LETPM--PC (Modelo
de E-'1an i f icac ión
a largo
plazo, versión para m i c r o - c o m p u t a d o r a )
in tegrado por ocho m ód ulo s inte?rrelacionados (ver Anexo 1).
Las p r oye cc ion es
s e c t o r ia l e s
de pe nde n
en
gran
m e d i d a ’ de los
su p ue st os
e s t a b l ec id o s
y
de
la
política
que siga el país en
relación a cada sector, dichos r es ult ad os
reflejan las n e c e s i d a ­
des
de
recursos
y
se r vi ci os
en
los
años proyectados, si la
población tuviera re almente la di ná m i ca esperada.
El sistema tiene la venta jai de
ser diferencial
por sexos
y sus
módulos se
i n t e r r e i acionan entre
sí formando
un siste ma único,
además es
más
rápido
y
ef i c i en t e
c o mp a r a t i v a m e n t e
a métodos
t r a d.i.c"i.tjn ale ís , El
efecto
unidirec ci ona l
de
la
di ná mic a
de
p o b 1ac ión e 11 el d es ar r o l l o s o ci o e c o n ó m i c o puede
c o n s i d e ra r se una
limitación del
modelo, ya
que no considerai la relación inversa,
de interesantes impl ic aciones en las vairialrjles de mográf i c a s .
E n e 1 t r a ba j o s e
r e ¿3.1i z an c:om pa r ac i.on es
seíc t o r i a 1es , basadas en
dos varia nt es de la di ná mi c a demográfica, ccjnsiderando solo una
política educacional, de saili.id, etc. Debido a las li mi taciones de
in form-Hción y
tiempo, no
fue posible
re alizar c o mp a r a c i o n e s en
base
a
una
misma
proyección demográfica, si g u i en d o di fer en te s
pla 1 í t i.cas edi,.ii;::ac::;i.tjna1es , de sa 1ud , e t c .
H0DUL.0 DE=;M(:H3f<AF IC(J.
El modelo
utili za el
mét o do de
pro'/ección de
c o (ítp a n e n tes;;, i..tt i 1 iza n do los si gu ie n t e s i n s u m os :
-■ F-'o b 1a c;:xó n B a sse .
Número de aPíos que «sse desea proyectar
Número de cohortess quint^uena 1e s .
•■■■• Tipo.de i r'it e r p o 1a c i ó n .
la población
por
la población
f-'ara in terpolar una población se suelen usair m é t o d o s maitemé tic os
¡suponiendo una relación de tipo lineal,
exponencial o logística;
c o n e s te p ro p ó ¡ai t q s e a sume Ltn c o m p o r t a m i e n t o lineal.
[£n cuanto
a los
supu est os de
fecundidad, el modelo admite como
insumos tasas
e s p e cí f ic a s de
fecundidad punt ua les
(para un año
del quinquenio),
por periodos quinquenales, de Na ci o n es Unid as o
tasas netas de r e p r o d u c c i ó n . Para
el
trabajo
se
usaron tasas
es pe cí f ic as de fecundidad por quinquenio.
La proyección de la mo rtalidad puede hacerse a través de r e la c i o ­
nes de su pe r vi ve n ci a puntuales, tasas e s p ec í f i ca s
de mortalidad,
tablas de
vida de
Coale y
Dem en y b de otro tipo pro po rci ona das
por el
u su ar io o
tasas de
s u p e r v i v e nc i a por
períodos. En este
trabajo
se
c on sid er ó
la
essperanza
de vida al nacer por sexos
calculatdas en base a
una función
logística y
la es tr uc t u ra fue
tomada de las tablas de Coaleo y Demeny, modeelo oeste.
Al
rea lizar
las
p ro ye cc io ne s
de población se supone población
cerrada, dado que a largo plazo
e?s difícil
hacer una proyección
ac ertada del nivel de la migr ac ión internacional.
E'l último insumo de este mó d ul o es, la relación de ma sc ul i ni d ad al
n a c.:i m i e n t c:), q i..ie s e c o n s i d e r ó
p a r a to d o
el período
de iO 5 na c i ­
mientos m a s cu li n os por cad¿^ 100 n a c im i e n to s femeninos.
El
p r c>c e i m ie n t o
e m p 1e a d o
al
p r o y e c t a r la p o b 1a c ió n para cada
grupo c:|uinc:ii..i.enal en cada qui.nc:|uen 1,o f ue e 1 siguien te :
,i
,i+s
. ."t+s
^
ovvie:
i,i 4-5
2
V|Í+3
,
asVa
So’^^ívíVvICW.cií^.
,.t + s
-sNo
^ftA.al^A»evATo
^ CS Vo». íe.Voi.C¿OsA.
%o<K
Vas
V«
W yaV)VtxaÍK\ >^(p»*A«iíuAa
MODULO DE P R O Y E C CI ON E S DE P O B LA C I O N URB AN A Y RURAL
Una ves pr oyectada la población total, se procede a su d e s a g r e g a ­
ción en
zonas urbana
y rural, para lo cual es ne c es a r i o conocer
la distri bu ció n por eda de s y se>:os de la
población , el po re ent j e <:ie
po b ].ac: ión u r bari a “ en eí1 »no b a s e , a s i c cdmo un c r i t e r-i o
pcira proyecta^" la población urb an a
y
rural , en
este
caso, se
supuso' un
cr ec im i en to
logístico
del
porcen ta je
de población
urbana.
E 1 procedi.miento para hacer
siguiente:
7o iJ
(?o«le :
la
pr oyección
por
estai
via
es el
--------- r--
X as
i- ^
.1 A y«<;a<A.j5i is
0 , «.í A
01.VV.0 W .'iG
, 1 a i A o.'Áo ^ « \
\va|[\e>c*ow
MODULO DE P O B L AC I ON ES ESPECIALES,
Como
po bla ciones
eíspeciales
se definen di fe re n t e s su b g ru po s de
población, obten i dais ai pairtir
de? lai población total proyectada,
s e p u e d e n c o n s id e r air p o r e j e m p 1o :
- Fuerza de trabajo.
- C o n s u m id o r e s e c o n ó m ic o s .
- Población be?nefic.iariai del se;rvicio de salud.
- C o n s u iTiid o r e s d ez a 1 i m e n to s .
- Población en edad escolar.
En
el
presen te
trabajo
se
proyectan
los s u b gr u p o s fuerza de
trabajo y población en edad escolar. En el
caso de
la fuerza de
trabajo,
son
n e c es ar i a s
las tasas es p ec i f i ca s de partici pa ció n
por sexos y grupos de edades. Por su -parte, la
po blación en edad
e í5c o 1a I r e q u i e r e
del a
d e f i n i c i ó n de los nivel es e d u c a c i o n a 1e s ,
aBi comD 1as eda des que
co m p r en d e
cada
n i v e 1,
c a l c u l á nd os e la
población
en
edad
e sc ola r
a
través de los m u í t i p l i c ad o re s de
Spraque.
Las p ro ve cei on es son
hechas de si g u i en t e
forma:
!
CaOW
acioA tijpecuA
^
1
«.Tío O
/
^
«^.vio
o
í\ 0.^0 X.
MODU LO DE E DU CAC IO N
F-'ara fines de planif ic aci ón es ne c es a r i o prever el impacto que la
futura población
de sa g r eg a d a pcjr
zonas urb an a
y rural , pudiera
ejercer en la oferta y deman da de se r vi c i o s educacionales.
Se de finieron dos nivel es e d u c a c i o n a l e s : primaria y' secundaria, y
como s er vic io s las relac io nes alumrtos\aula y a 1u m n o s Xm a e st ro s por
lo que se obtienen 16 resultados,
y el
e s que ma qu ed arí a confof—
mado de la si g u ie nt e forma:
Í^BLftClOP VAWAnTe 1
•í!)6tAClOP V a ^VAPTE 2
KDRftL
tiüRAL
Se
/ V
/ \
Sí
/ \
Ov\
Sí ^
S í
^2
■
Vr
r
CtÁpCCXCUSvA
S I S 2 S íS 2
fVKW^'T MX
CCc.xv'.^sx.tfcvx,
S\«.5 «\
^ec"(o/
í.
Los
insumos
ne ces ar i o s
son
la
tasa de co b e r tu r a del ser vic io
e d u c a c io rta 1 y 1o s c o s t o s f i.,)o s de inversión y
operación. A pesar
de que
el r es ult ad o
final se
desee por
gru po s q u i n q u en a le s el
sistema hace las pr oye cc i o n es internzímente año por año, además la
población en edad escol ar no esi desagregadax por sexos.
L^ p royec ci ón se r e a 1 i 2 a d e 1a sig ui ente forma;
"La población
u su ar ia se
c a lcu la me diante
el productc
población en edad escol ar y la tasa de matrícula.
"El niimero de Liriidades de servjcio
la
po!::i 1 a c i ó i ' i
tis u a ria
v
la
ta c a
de
L'i
tO Cjfe*
,'i■ Ciria¿u.í por mx 1 .
t . , r d i . . „d , ; ■'
:
•r*
e^ í''s i5-
“Las nuevas
un idades d e • serv ic io se
c a l c u l a n p o r la d i f e r e n c i a
e n t r e l a s u n i d a d e s d e s e r v i c i a e n el a ñ o t y l a s d e l a ñ o t - i .
“Las uni dades a reemplazar son d e te r m i na d a s por el
las un idades de se rvi ci o y la tasa de reemplazo.
pr od uct o entre
■L.c:)s (::ort.os de
inversión
son
<:::omputados me di ant e el producto
entre las un id a de s n u e v a s , a ireemplazar y los cost os unitarios, de
inversión.
-Los
co st os
de
o pe rac ió n
son c o m p ut a d o s a través del product o
entre las u n i da de s de se rv ic i o y
los co s to s
u n i t a ri o s de o p e r a ­
ción .
“ Los costos
de^ inversión
y dcí opérate i ón estáin a f ec ta dos por
costcTB gener-ales y fijos (en el caso de que e s t o s existan).
los
MODULÜ E3ALUD F-UBLICA
Para proyectar el sec tor
de
salud
pública
se
de fi ni e r o n solo
serv ic ios
para
1¿^ zona
urbanas
m é dic os
y
camas. Además, se
definió un tercer se rv i c io para la zona rurals postas médicas.
Los datos para el año base fueron tomados de un
es t u d io reciente
elabor ado por
el Instituto de Es tu d i os de P o bl ac ión y D e sa r r o l l o
titulado “Pobl aci ón y Salud en Re p úb l i c a Dominicana". En
el caso
del año 2000 se co nsi d er a r o n las metas que se propone el g o b i er n o
para esta fecha, por lo que se toma como pol.ítica un m e jo r a mi e nt o
de las
condiciones, o
sea, un
aumen to de la co b e r tu r a 'y de los
ga st os en ese servicio.
11 :i:,-- ESCEN AR IOS UTIL. I Z ADOS ,
P RO YE C C IO N DE PO B L AC IO N
La proyección de población de la FÄ'epública D om ini ca na
se realiza
med ian te dos
variantes, d i fe r e n c i a l e s a partir de c o n s id e r ar dos
niveles --medio y e-ílto- de d e s c e n so
de la\ fecundidad, y
de las
tasas
e sp ec íf ica s
de
fecundidad p r oy e ct ad as por períodos q u i n ­
quenales.
Las va ri an tes de proyección de población
c on sid er an la población
base en
el ano 1980 (Ane;;o 2), con un alcan ce hasta el año 2000,
ut ili za nd o 15
cohorteís
de
gr u po s
quinquenales;
de
edad, c o n ­
sider an do que
la población
futura tendrá un c r e c i m ie n t o de tipo
lineal, ya
que el
cree i «liento de
1 ai pobla\ción
de la Rep úb li ca
Do min ic an a aún
no presenta
un compor tanmien to
log ist ico, ni tan
acelerado como el que d e s c r i be una función e x p o n e n c i a l .
En la Va ria nt e 1 se presenta
una
h.iipótesiis de
descenso' de la
fecundidad des;de
4.7 hijos; por mujer en 19fl0 a 3 hijos por mujer
en 1995 y a 2.19 hijosi por mujer
en el
año final
de la pro y ec ­
ción, lo que representa un des;censo de un 53% (ver Anexo 3).
La
Va ri ant e
2,
de nom i n ad a
alta,
re presenta un d e s c en s o de la
fecundidad en el período de un
4óX, pa rtiendo
de 4.7
hijos por
mujer, se
estima que se llegaría en el año 2000 a 2.56 hijos por
mujer. Estas dos vari ant es fueron tomadas de las
pr oy ec c i on es de
1a
fe c u n d ;i.d a d
que
s i r v ie r o n
de
base
a
la
p r"o y e c c ió n de 1a
población de
R ep úbl ic a
Dominicana
para
el
período 1950-2025,
r eal iz ada s por
CELA DE y la O N E (O f i c in a Nacional de Estadísticas)
en 1985 (ver A nex o 3).
Ambas vari ant es suponen
el
ccjmportamiento
de
la
mortal ida d a
partir
de
una
esp era nza
de
vida
al nacer cr e c i en t e en forma
l o g í s t i c a , que se muest ra en el A ne xo 4.
En el trabajo no se c on sid era migr ac ión internacional ’ en ninguna
de las
dos vari ant es
y se apl ic a la relación de m a scu li nid ad al
nacimiosnto de 105 hombres p o r cada JLOO mujeres.
P R O YE-C C I O N
DE
U R B A N I Z A C IO N
E.'n cada v£:U'iante
se
es t i m ó
un
c o mp o r t a m i e n t o
simil ar
e^n los
ind ica dores
de
u r b a n i z a c i ó n , c o n s i d e r a n d o que el po rc en t aj e de
población urbana crece de
forma
logistica,
sien do
en
1980 de?
50.5“
/,, te-íniendo
como as íntota
supcerior el
valor 69.0
“
/. y como
punto de inflexión el ario 1990, como se presenta en el Anexo 5.
P O B L A C I ONES E S P E C I A L E S ,
En el caso de
las
po bl aciones
esp£?ciales,
se
utiliz ar on para
ambas v ar ian te s
los mis mo s
s u pu es tas y
subgrupos, es decir, la
fut?rza de trabajo y la población en edad escolar.
Con relación a la fuerza de trabajo* se
utilizan tasas e s p e c í f i ­
cas de
participau::ión parai
1980 y
2000, tomadas de p r oy ecc ion es
r eal iz ada s por el Instituto de Es tu dio s de Pob la ció n y D es á r rol lo
(ver Anexo 6),
Se definieron
dos n iv ele s
ed ucacionales; pr imaria y secundaria,
con poblaciones c o m p r e nd i d a s entre los 6-11 y 12-18
años respectiva\mente.
PR O YE C C I O N DE EDUCACION.
Los
nivele s
e du ca c i o n a l e s
s e l e c c i o n ad o s definen como ser vi cio s
dos relaciones; al umn o s/ a u l a y a 1u m n o s / m a e s t r o s , trab aj ánd ose con
una misma
hipótesis paira
las dos vari an tes de población pro'yectadas.
Por la poc£H información d i sp o n i b l e paira este sector,
fue n e c e s a ­
rio
suponer
que
el
Dis t ri t o
Naicional
era re pr es e nt a t iv o del
comportaimiento de la zonai urbaina del país y
qug, a
su vez, éste
representaiba lai cuarta parte
da? la población total. A partir de
estos s up ues to s se
ob tu v o
lai información
por
zonas
urba na y
rural.
Además, solo
se? en con tró
infórmale ión
sobre g ais tos
para el el
se?ctor primario, por lo que se sup us o que los gaistos en el sector
s ecu nd ari o
eran
un
50
%
m a yo r e s
que los ga s to s en el sector
pr imario (Ver Anexo 7).
Se cons ide ra como po 1ít.ic:a\ futura, que;
las c o n di c i o ne s e d u c a c i o ­
nales tenderán a mejor ar en el tiempo, en el s e nti do de una mayor
cobertur¿:( de la ed ucación y un aiumento des los gas to s de inversión
y operación en el sector.
Se tuvieron en cuenta
los s i g u ie n t e s supuestos:
Eíe espera que la matrí cu la educacional tiende a a m pl ia rse en el
tiempo, con un ai relación a^lumnos por aula decreciente, supjoniendo
que m ejore la calidad de la educación.
- Líí tasa
de
re emplazo
asií
como los cos to s de inversión
oper ac ión se su|;.ionen c o n s t¿mtes en el tiempo.
y de
- En el sector
primario
la
taisa\ de
servicio,
los
costos de
i n V e rs i ó n y d e o p e r a c i ó n s o n i n f e r io i-e s al s e c t o r s e c u n da r io , sin
embairgo. La tasax de
re emplazo
de
maiestros
es
su pe rio r
en el
s e c t o r p r im a r i o .
- La' tasa
r io .
de s e r r vi ci o
de aulas es su pe rio r en el sector
- La tasa de reempílazo
educacional,
de
las
aulas es
prima-
i n de p en di ent e del nivel
- Los cos tos
de inversión
y de
oper ac ión de a u 1as en el sector
se cun da ri o son su per io r e s al primario. .
PFÍÜ YE C C IO N
En
e s ta '
Va r i a ri t e
Se
DE
S E R V IC IO S
pjrí j y e c c i ó n
s-
< e
d e f i n i e r ori
d cjs
h a b i t a n t e s .
p a ra
la
z o n a
zo n a
La
q u e
la s
p io lí t ic a
m e ta s
lo s
r u r a l ,
u n a
m is m a
os
d o s
u rb a n o s :
s e r v i c i o s
la
h i p ó t e s i s
p a ra
la s
d o s
p o b 1ac i ón ,
a dem ás
m o s t r a r í a
d e l
de
de
z ori a s
p a ís
s a lu d
de
d e
un
p r e s e n c ia
p o r
e s p je ra d a
la
en
P o b la c ió n
c r e c i e n t e
c o s ta s
t i empie
la s
s e r v i c i
E s to s
p iro y e c ta d a s
E s t u d io s
c o b e r t u r a
q u e
d e
m é d ic o s
y
ca m a s
p o r
c ad a
f u e r o n
i n c l u i d o s
ta m b ié n
t e r c e r o
d e n o m in a d a
" p o s ta s
d e l
s e r v i c i o
m é d ic o
en
la
r u r a l „
c o n d ic io n e s
de
SALUD,
u t i l i z a
p r ■o y e c c i o r i e s
1 0 0 00
m é d ic a s " ,
se
DE
d e
lo s
y
y
la s
i'- u r a 1
t r a b a jo s
D e s a r r o llo ,
e l
in v e r s i ó n
t a n t o
u r Iz a ri a í ;
p ia ra
e s tá
p o b la c ió n ,
s e r v i c i o
y
d e
ta s a s
s o ri
d i r i g i d a
f ijá n d o s e
r e a liz a d o s
p o r
lo
s a lu d ,
o p ie ra c ió n
de
a
s e r v i c i o
c i'" e c i e n t e s .
m e jo r a r
p a ra
p)or
q u e
a s í
e l
e l
s e
com o
a ñ o
la s
2 0 0 0
I n s t i t u t o
s u p o n e
una
c o n s id e r a r
se
in c r e m e n ta n
d e
m é d ic o s
y
en
e l
ca m a s
en
■v; V,
En la proyección se e st ab le ce n
en
i::)roporf:;- i ó n d e la
e 1 área urbana " ■
"■ L a s
en 1a
potai a c i ó n
tasas de se r v icio
zoiia i..irbana «
y
de
costo
de
o p e r a e ión
un
se
por
cutaie r t a
re e m p l a z o
- El c o s t o d e la f o r íiiac: i.ó n d e
fu t u r a z o n a d e in f l u e n c i a .
. El
los s i g u ie n t e s supuestos;
de
1o s
es
médico
c o n s i d e i-■a
el
servicio
mé d ic o s
es
son
m a y o r■es
ind e p e n d i e n t e
su per ior
en
mayor
las
de
su
z o n |£1S
urbanas.
-- Las tasas
urbanas.
del
se rv i c i o
camas
son
“ Las tasas de re emplazo son m a yor es en
s u p e ri o r e s
en
las zonas
las zonas rurstles.
- Los costos
de inversión
y de oper ac ión en la región
superi or es e inferi ore s r e s p ec t i v am e n t e con relación
urbana.
rural s o n ■■
la región-
Es de n o t a r , la d e s p r o p o r c i o n a d a d i fe r e n c i a que se presenta entre
las zonas u rb an as y rurales en cuanto a
la relación
de m é di co s y
camas
cada
10000
habitanteís,
siendo
la
cantidad
de médic os
rurales l^j quinta o se;-;tct parte de los
que prestan
se r v i ci o s en
zonas
urban as
para
ambas
variantes,
sie nd o
más notoria esta
desi gu al dad en la va ri a n te 2. En el año 2000 esté ind-icador es 16
veces mayor para la zona ur b an a que ,para la rural .
Esta d ife re nci a no es tan ev id e n te en el se rv ici o camas que es en
promedio dos veces superior en las zonas urbanas.
CLomparativamien te
la
variisnte
2
co nl lev a
mayor es
e s fu er zos
en c am in ado s al
d e s ar ro ll o del sector de salud pública, debi do ,al
efec to de una magnitud de paoblación más ele?vada como co ns ec u en c ia
de
un
nivel
de
fecundidad
su pe rio r
y
de una es tr uc t ur a más
d i 1atada.
10
LIMITACIONES
DE
LA
INFORMACION.
En rigor, en R ep úbl ic a
D om ini ca na no
hay su fi ci e n t e información
disponi bl e
para
realizar
un
trabajo
de
la
magnit ud
e
im­
plic aci on es del que se presenta, debido a la mala calidad
de sus
estad i.st i.t::a s «
>
El Censo
Nacional de población y vi v i e nd a s de 1981 aún seis años
despué s no ha sido totalm en te publicado, por lo que no
hay datos
piara todas las regiones.
En
t?l sízctor
educacional
fue donde se presentaron las mayore s
dificultades, de bi do a que no se en co n t ró información d e sa gre ga da
por zonas urbana y ruraxl , ni tarnpioco para el sector sescundario.
No obstante,
se estima
que los
supu es tos que n e ce s a r i a m e n t e se
tuvieron que foriíiular, no afecten en
gran medida
la calidad del
trabajo, que
en d e f in it i v a
es un ensayo de las po s ib i l i da d es de
t r'a tia j o d e 1, íüi íb te ena L...R F-'ti.
11
IV.-- A N A L I S I S
de: l o s
r e :s u l ï a d ü s
.
Ten ien do
en
cue nta
que
para
ambas va r i a nt e s se tomó la misma
población bas6í, los mismos
su p u e st a s
de
mortalidad,
se supuso
aus encia
de
mig rac ió n
into^írnac:ion« 1 y
solo
fue di f e r en t e el
com por ta mi e nt o ap lic ad o a la fecundidad, se
puede decir
que las
diferenci¿is
entre
las
dos
va r i a nt e s
proyect ad as se deben e;-;elu si va m en te a c am bi os en la fecundidad.
Estas dif er e nc ia s como monto ab so l u ta se muestrfan a co nt in u ac i ón ;
DIFERENC IA S A B S O LU T AS DE LA
P O B LA C I O N TOTAL
PARA LA
VA RI A N TE
CON REL ACI ON A LA VA RIA NT E : . P E RI O D O 1 9 8 5 - 2 0 0 0 . ( M I L E S ) .
Años
TOTAL
HOMBRES
MUJERES
1985
1990
1995
2 C)00
57.0
16 2, 7
309.4
484.2
2 9 .0
8 2 .7
15 7, 3
24 6. 1
2 8 .0
7 9 ,9
152.0
238.0
i
A medida
que avanza
el tiempo, son más ev i de n t e s los e f ect os de
una dis min uci ón de la fecundidad más réipida en la va ri a n te
1, en
el sentid o
de que
se ag randan las d i f e r e nc i a s entre las v a r i a n ­
tes . Esto es más ev id e nt e en el sexo masculino.
T a m b i é n e s c o n s e c u e n c i a de la
a p lic ac ión
de
unos
s u pu es to s de
f e c u n d i d a d m á s b a j o s en la va ri a n te 1, que ésta presen te una tasa
brutci d e n a t a l i d a d y una tasa brut ci d e reprcjducc ión menor
que la
segund a v a r i a n t e . La edad media- de esta población pasa de ser un
0 . 7 7 % m a y o r e n 1985 .a s e r un -3 . 5 % ma yo r en el año 2 0 0 0 ; en este
caso se a m p l í a n también las d i f e r e n c i a s .
La tasa de crecimierito de esta primera va ri a n te es en el año 200u
un 11.3 % (lienor que en la va ri a n te 2.
La distri bu ció n
reCLativa de
la población
ta^mbién tiene ca-imbios
importantes, según
se? siga uncí u otra vari ¿inte de proyección, lo
que se obser va en el s ig ui en te cuadrci:
DI ST RIB UC ION RE LA T IV A DE LA P O B L A CI O N TOTAL
Í3RUP0S DE EDADES. ANOS 1980 Y 2000.
GRUP OS DE
.... - 1980
--EDADES
H OM BR ES
MUJERES
(I) - i 4
15.Ó9
7 0
y
-1-
?1 .¿Hi­
le .50
0.87
POR SEXOS
Y GRAND ES
------ -- ----- 2 0 0 0 --------------VA RI AN T E 1
VA RI A N T E 2
H O MB R E S
M U JER ES
H O MBR ES
MUJER ES
10.80
17 „¿1-6
0.93
17.52
31.91
1.02
12
16,95
31 .¿1-4
1,16
18.92
30.58
0.97
18.29
30.14
1.10
A pes£\r
de que en el aiño 2000, la d i st ri buc ió n en c)eneral apunta
a una mayor proporción de personas en el grupo de
0 a
14 años a.
cuenta de los otros dos grupos, esto se hace más ev id e n te para la
var iante 1, que a c on se c u e n c ia de una menor
fecundidad, tiende a
envejecer .más r á p i d o .
PR O YE C C I O N DE LA PO B L AC IO N URB AN A Y RURAL.
Debido a
que fue
usada una rnismai hipótesis de migr ac ión interna
para las dos variantes, las
d i f er e n c ia s
entre
el
ifionto de la
población
urbana
y
rural
y
la mi gración r u r a 1- u r b a n a , vienen
dadas por las propias d i f er e n c ia s de
los mont os
de la población
total, que
a su. vez vinieron d e t e r m i na d o s por 1¿ís di f er e n c i as de
1a fecund i d a d .
Si la población siguiera t?! comportamiento
de la variante 1, en
el año 2 0 0 0 habr.ían c e ; re a de
se;is millones de personas residien­
do en el área urbana del
país, mientras
que por
la variante 2,
estos serian
unos -315000 más. F-‘or
<su parte, la población rural
estaria con for mada por una po b1ac ión de t res mi 1 Iones de habitante;s, según
1<
va ria nt e
1 '/ su pe rad a
en unos 169000 por
la
vari an te;
La e s t ru c tu r a de la poblac ión rural
de edadeís
e;s similá\r
a la
de la
período.
y u r ban a
población
por sexos
y grupos
total
para todo el
PO B LA CI ON ES ESPECIALES.
En el caso de las pob lac ion es espe?ci£^les se o b se r v a que
a medida
que av anza
la proyección,
aiumenta la pr oporción de población en
edad 1albora 1, y que e?sto ocu rr e en mayor medid ai para
la v ¿iri ante
1, donde
la pob 1aición
es más
enve;iecida, que; en el caso de la
variante 2.
Líi fuearzai de
trabajo
rnaisizul ina
y
femeninai
di s m i nu y e
su peso
relativo
en
las
tzdades
eextremáis
y
lo
aumen ta e;n las edades
jóve'neis y adult as jó vean es, ¿i pe;s£ir de que parai la población rural
en los
grupos de; edcides de
,1.0-19 se o b ser va una di sm inu ció n en
números absiolutos.
Dado
que; el
grado
de
ur barniz ación
de lai
población aiumenta
en el
tiempo, e;stai sit ua ció n na ocurre con la
zona urbana.
En la va ria nt e 1 se llega al 'año 2000 con c a nt i d a de s de población
cla s if ic ad a como fuerza de ti-abcijo infísriores a 1¿ib de la va r"i an ­
te 2, debido a la mayor población que se alcan za por esta segund a
v¿ir i ¿inte?.
13
DI ST RIB UC ION
R E LA T IV A
DE
LA
FUE RZ A DE TRABAJO, SEGUN ZONAS DE
RESIDENCIA, POR SEXOS Y GRUPOS DE EDADES. ANOS 1980 Y 2 0 0 0 . (X),
URBANO
1980
TO TAL
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
¿■ >0-64
65-69
7 0 y "I"
H
100„00
N
100.00
2.40
11.35
16.30
1520
12.59
10.22
8.68
7,13
ó . J.0
3.74
2,72
1. SO
1.77
2.41
11,45
19.90
17.04
13.72
10.82
8.17
6,01 ^
4.29
2.41
1.64
1.01
1.08
••200O"
Va r i a n i E 1
H
M
1 0 0 . <1)0 1 0 0 . 0 0
1.73
1.52
7,86
6.14
16,99
12.63
15.12
,18.83
16,27
15.03
13,61
14.57
11.00
10.47
6.45
8.36
6.14 '
3.82
3.70
2.16
2.38
1.33
1, y,3
0.79
1,17
0.65
VARIANTE 2
M
hl
K l x j . <I)<I) i C ) 0 . <;)<:)
1.91
a .29
12.54
15,02
14.93
13.52
10.92
a . 30
6.10
3,68
2.31
1,32
1,16.
1.6 7
6.48
16.91
18.73
16.18
14.49
10.42
6.42
3 . SO
2.15
1.32
0.. 7 9
t.). 6 4
l^'URAL
1980
TÜ TAL
10-14
15-19
2 0 .2 4
25-29
.
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70 y +
l<j(j. <I)<I)
7,78
14-01
16,09
13,23
10.71
b . 50
7.15
5.92
5,27
3.55
2.88
2.19
2.70
M
l<."xj, 0<I)
1 i , 64
16.->19
14.39
11,81
9.76
7.97
6.88
2.40
4.84
3.25
2.63
1,92
2.75
?000VARIANTE 1
H
M
K l x j , 00
100.00
5,11
7.33
10,02
1 1 . SO
12.42
13.50*
13.28
12.32
12.91
12.19
11.46
1<;).96
8.92
9.17
7.03
6.94
5.39
4,96
3 . 8é)
4.02
3.07
3.0 5
■•"i
“7
2.19
2.98
2.84
VARIANTE O
H
M
i c j o . <:xj
1 <1x1. <;xj
5.59
7.98
10.93
12,33
13.34
12.23
13.13
12.14
12.76
12,01
11.33
10,79
9.06
8.78
6,956.83
5.35
4.89
3.97
3-80
3.03
3.00
2.17
2.23
2.81
2.94
F 'a ra
l a
v a r i a n t e
t í c: i ( . l a c i o n
e s t e
l a
d e
m is m o
f u e r z a
d e
t a s a
l a
p o b l a c i ó n
l o
h a c e
e l
d e
t r a b a j o
en
m ás
e d a d
1 9 9 0 ,
s e
1 ,
r e l a t i v o
d e
p r i m a r i a
com o
p o b l a c i ó n
a
l a
en
l a
v a r i a n t e
.1,
que?
E n
e l
p r i m e r
a
l a
l a
m e n o r e s
d e
i 4
i .
a
d e
a u m e n t a r ,
p e r o
2 ,
d e
e d a d
c o n
l a b o r a l .
r e s p e c t o
v a r i a n t e s ,
l o s
m a y o r e s
m a y o r
e n v e j e c i m i e n t o
d e
6 4
h a s t a
m e d id a
l a
a
p e r o
d e
d e p e n d e n c i a
e n
p a r ­
p a r t i c i p a c i ó n
e n
l a
d e
v a r i a n t e
d o s
P a r a
d e
t a s a s
l a
a ñ o s
l a s
d i s m i n u c i ó n
m a y o r
a
p o b l a c i ó n
v a r i a n t e
l a
a l c a n z a n
t<asa
en
s o n
t r a b a j a
l a
p o b l a c i ó n ,
l o s
v a r i a n t e
D E
r u r a l
d e
i
y
a v a n z a
p e r o
u n a
en
p o b l a c i ó n
e s t o
C R E C I M I E N T O
D E
L A
o c u r r e
d e
m ás
m a y o r
q u e
e n
e d a d
en
m e d id a
m av'or
d e
l a
c o n
v a r i a n t e
E N
e l
e ? n v e j e c id a .
r a p i d e z
P O B L A C I O N
t o t a l
p o r
p e r í o d o
l a
e s c o l a r
a l
t i e m p o ,
c r e c i m i e n t o
s e g u r> d o
c o n
la b o r 'a l
en
r e l a c i ó n
e l
p o b l a c i ó n
e 1
d e c r e c e
e d a d
c o n
en
d i f e r e n c i a l e s
e n
u r b a n a
d i s m i n u y e
s e
p r e s e n t a
s i m i l a r e? s ;
f u e r a
D I F E R E N C l A L E S
q u e
p o b l a c i ó n ,
d e c e n i o
v a r i a n t e s
d e
c o n
s e c u n d a r i a ,
m e d id a
d e
p o b l a c i ó n
s e
s u p e r i o r e s
d i s m i n u y e
u n a
e 1
l a
e n v e j e c i m i e n t o
la
l o s
en
arios
o b s e r v a d o .
pEvso
l a
d e
c o m i e n z a
t a n t o
d e
o c u r r e
l a b o r a l
p o r
l o s
t r a i b a j o
r e l a c i ó n
o b s e r v a
d o n d e
a n t e r i o r m e n t e
,
d e
r á p i d a m e n t e
V a r i a n t e
E l
t o d o s
c o n
d e p e n d e n c i a
t a m b i é n
a ñ o
1 a
en
fu e r z a t
c o m p o r t a m i e n t o
L a
a ñ o s ,
i
l a
a m b a s
f u e r z a
d e
r e l z í c i ó n
a
2 .
E D A D
L A B O R A L - E D A D
I N A C T I V A . (% )
A N O S
V A R I A N T E
1
V A R I A N 1E
I
1 9 9 0 - 1 9 9 0
9 . 7 1
9 . 7 1
1 9 9 0 - 2 0 0 0
9 . 9 7
9 . 9 3
P R Ü Y E C
CION
D E
S A L U D
P U B L. I C A
PmR IE. RUf'ílJL
E i' i
e 1
c a s o
" u s u a r i o s “
c o n
d e
I'" e 1 a c i. ó n
u n a
u n o s
s e
q u e
-.iO
a
a
l a
en
a
en
l a
iíi a
ziu
l a
r e l a c i ó n
v a r i ¡ante
y o r .
1 )
y
u n a
o b t i e n e
u n a
m ¿iyor
p u ib li c a
( 8 4 6 0 0
rnáis
e s t o
s e
d e b e
q u e
v e z ,
s e
p o s t a
a
n e c e s i t a n
m é d i c a
en
c a n t i d a d
e l
a ñ o
t a m b i é n
e n
e l
p a r t e
a ñ o
a d i c i o n a l e s
d e
2:000
21000
a
l o s
1
c o s t o s
d e
a ñ o
1 9 9 0
1
en
1 3 7 0
s e
s u
y
v a r i a n t e
y
2;
s a l u d
A
("ama
l o s
e l
i n v e r t i r
d e
v a r ' i a n t e
i. O ri
n e c e ? s ita n
en
v a r i a n t e
s i s t e m a
m e d ic c ís ,
n e c e s i t a
de
l a
p? o b 1 a c
n e c e s i t a d
C o n
d e
d e l
i n v e r s i ó n
u n o s
76t)
e l
ario
21000
izeso s
m ás
q u e
opje raciO n,
1.5
e n
p e s íjs
s o n
en
l a
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U R B A N A
2Í33600
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1 5 3 3 0
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3 5 0 0 0
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1 9 9 0 ,
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2 0 0 0
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q u e
de;
s u p e r a r í a n
s e r í a n ,
en
i a n
p r o y e c c i ó n
a l
e d u c a c i ó n
en
er
a 1 u m n o s / m a e s t r o ,
de;
s u p e r i o r
P a r a
a 1
s
5.52%.
un
i n d i c a d o t*'
parra
l o s
t o d o s
m a y o r e s
s o n
l o s
2
p a r a
e l
s u p e r i o r e s
L o s
m o n t o s
s u p e r i o r e s
arnos
s a l a r i o s
p ro v ^ e c d e
l o s
ma e?s t r' c;>s
l a
L o s
z o n a
e i'i
c o s t o s
v a r i a n t e
2
un
en
9 .3 %
c o s t o s
L o s
di3
z o
na
i.ar b a
t o t a l e s
c o n
e l
na
con
r' e 1 a c i ó n
l a
u n
a c u m u la id o B
en
d e
s u p e r i o r e s
r e c u r s o s
l a
p a r a
z o n a
e l
s i s t e m a
2 0 0 0 ;
a l u m n o s / m a e s t r o
d i f e r e n c i a
s e r v i c i o
af"io
y
s o n
s e r v i c i o
d e l
r e l a c i ó n
i n v e r s i ó n
c o s t o s
n o s / a u l a
m ás
l a
e s t e
m is m o
i n d i c a d o r
d e
r u r a l .
e d u c a t i v o
v a r i a n t e
d e
l o s
5 .2 7 %
t o d o
en
a
en
r u r a l ,
s e r v i c i o
a n a l i z a d o .
Í9
un
en
un
d e
p e r i o d o
v a r i a n t e
3 . 1 % .
l a
z o n a
s u p e r i o r e s
l a
r e g i ó n
p a r a
c u a l e s
c o s t o s
e l
l a
1
s o n
1 7 . 3 1 %
e n
l a
u r b a n a
en
c o r r e s p o n d e
a
o p e r a c i ó n .
p a r a
2
en
e l
un
E s t o
u r b a n a
a l u m n o s / a u l a
q u e
s e r v i c i o
5 . 2 1 % ,
y
s i g n i f i c a
s e
v a n
p a r a
a
e l
a l u m ­
p a r a
q u e ,
e l
a
r e q u e r i r
s e g u n d o
V . - C G IM CL US I Ü N E S .
L u e g o
d e
m ;i, e n t o
a n a l i z a r
d e
1 a
s i t (,.(a c 1 ó n
y
d e n t r o
parsi
e l
y
y
d e
q u e
s u
p o b l a c i ó n
m o n t o s
d e
p o b l a c i ó n
t . e n d i- í a
y a
v a r i a n t e
q u e
d e
p o r
n o
n e c e s a r i o
o t r o
d e l
a l
m i..indo
o
d e
e n
c r e c i - -
c u e n t a
la
s i.ib d e s a r ro lla d o ,
s e r í a
r i t m o
o b t e n i d o s
i n v e r t i r
e l
un
4 . 0
7.
c r e c i m i e n t o
e z i s t e n
p r o p i o
en
n o
d e
p a í s
c o m p a r a r
n o
h i j o s
m ás
c o n v e n i e n t e
p r o y e c t a d o
p o r
l a
p o r
e ste i
m e n o s
f u e r a
d e
v a r i a n t e ,
e l
g a s t o s
e l
d e
e d u c a ­
o b t e n i d o
p o r
la '
a
c o n
e s t o s
p a r t i d a ,
d i f e r e n c i a l ,
m u j e r
p o r
d i f e r e n c i a s
d e
y
e s t a
l o s
en
l a
d e
u n a
d e c i r ,
s i e n d o
en
s e g u n d a
r a z ó n
m o n t o s
e n t r e
e s
que*,
a
v a r i a n t e
e l
l a
n i v e l
p r i m e r a
v a r i a n t e
d e
p e s a r
d e
e x i s t i r
s u s
c o s t o s ,
s e r v i c i o s
y
2 . 5 6
e l e v a d o s .
q u e
e n
p o r
l a s
e n
e n r i q u e c e r
va\r i an t e ,
r e s p e c t o
a
r e s u l t a d o s
p r o y e c c i o n e s
f a l t a
i::sr e s e n t a d o s
a d e m á s ,
c: a\ d a
m uy
p o r
p r o f u n d i z a r
fueroi"i
g r a n d e s
s u p u e s t o
e s
E s
c u a n t o
t a n
s e c t o r e s ,
p u d ie ra n
d e n t r o
n o
e l
2 . 1 6
s o n
d o
S e
s i
m u j e r .
E s
ci i e n t e
q u e
q u e
d i f e r e n c i a s
e s t o s
q u e
f e c u n d i d a d ,
h i j o s
el
D o m i n i c a n a ,
c r e c i e r a
v a r i a n t e s
t e n i e n d
v a r i a n t e ,
n o t a r
l a
l'i:epLib 1 i c a
d o s
y
1,
s a l u d
o t r a ,
d e
l a
l a s
c t a d a s ,,
qi.ie^ a t r a v i . e s a
p a í s
l o s
s e g u n d a
E s
í3(")c .1 o e c : o n ó í n i c a
oye
é s t e ,
g o b i e r n o
c i ó n
p i'"
d e
v a r i a n t e
Segi..in
c o m p a r a t i v a m e n t e
p o t) 1 a c i <í) ri
d e
e l
t r a b a j o .
e l
t r a b a j o
u n a
t e n d e n c i a i
l o s
s e c t o r e s
c o n
1 o £i
q u e
o b t e n i d a s ,
t i e m p o
e
to m a n d o
c o n s t a n t e
s e
h a n
s u f i ­
c o m o
s u p u e s t o
l a
p o l í t i c a
e n
s o c i o e c o n ó m i c o s ,
a q (..i í
u t i l i z a n ­
i n f o r m a c i ó n
p a r a
p o d e r
p r e s e n t a d o .
BIBLIOGRAFIA
C E L A
DE
.
r< e p á ta I i c a
D a mi n i c
p o b l a c i ó n ,
1 9 5 0 - -2 0 2 5 .
d e s a r r o l l o
i n t e r n a c i o n a l , .
C E L A D E .
Ce?nso
LR i-'M /P C .
N a c i o n a l
D o (j) i n i. c:: a n a ,,
C O N S E J O
U s e r ' s
d e
;
El s t i ít>a c i ó n
C a n a d i e n s e
M a y o ,
y
p
p a r a
raya
c c i ó n
d e
e l
1 9 8 5 .
m a n u a l .
F 'o b l a c i ó n
v o 1 i..i m e n
N A C I O N A L
y
a. n a
A g e n c i a
y
V i v i e n d a i s ,
1 9 8 1 .
R e p ú b l i c a
1 .
D E
P O B L A C I O N
p ro b le e m a s
V
e c o n ó m i c a s
F A M I L I A .
en
l a
T e n d e n c i a s
F ;e p ú b l i c a
d e m o g r á f i c a s
D o m i n i c a n a .
J u l i o ,
1 9 8 1 .
I N S T I T U T O
B a 1 u d
D E
e ri
I N S T I T U T O
E S T U D I O S
D E
E S T U D I O S
p r o f a m i l i a ,
d e
d e
D E
B o l e t í n
6?n
y
c j s i;:)e
a n d
R A M IF 7 E Z ,
D E
R .
P O B L A C I O N
y
D E S A R R O L L O .
Y
P o b l a c i ó n
D E S A R R O L L O -
d e s a r r o l l o .
P O B L A C I O N
D o m i n i c a n a .
em piezo
c tsi
s o c i a l
y
Y
U n a
B o l e t í n
D E S A R R O L L O .
y
e n t i d a d
1 6 ,
d e
d i c i e m b r e
P o b l a c i ó n
F-'erspec t i v a s
d e s E ím p le o
D E
en
#
en
eíl
d e
l a
p e r i o d o
y
m ano
f u e r z a
d e
1 9 8 0 - 1 9 9 0 .
y
N ew
r e v i. s e d
D e p a r t m e n t
Y o r k ,
o f
a s
o f
1 9 8 4 - 8 5 .
i n t e r n a t i o n a l
19 E Í7.
F ^ e p ú b lic a
D o m i n i c a n a
en
X I .
S i t u a c i ó n
1 9 5 C)
U r b a n i z a t i on
1 0 1 -
E S T A D I S T I C A S .
D o m i n i c: a n a -
N EILS O N
D o ffl i n i c a n a
Wo r 1 d
a f f a i r s .
9 o 1 um en
N E'.LSO N .
FI'.
o f
S t u d i e s
N A C I O N A L
c:: i f r a s , 1 9 8 4 .
1 a
Y
2 .
"i" l i p r
R A M I R E Z ,
l a
d e l
F ' o p u l a t i o n
O F I C I N A
D E
F Y :)b la c ió n
E S T U D I O S
o b r a
t r a b a j o
e c o n o m ic
P O B L A C I O N
1 9 6 8 .
I N S T I T U T O
N N U U .
D E
I-';. D o m i n i c a n a .
y
S a n t o
o t r o s .
t e n d e n c i a s
D o mi n g o ,
F -'o b la c ió n
1 9 8 5 ,
M a y o
21
d e
y
1 9 8 5 .
d e m o g r á f i c a s
a c t u a l e s
19715 .
d e s a r r o l l o
d e
l a
R .
en
R E S U L T A D O S DE L A S P R O Y E C C I O N E S
P R O Y E C C I O N E S D E ’POB L A C I O N
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Base year:
ttt
1980
m
Nuaber of years in projection: 20
f,
Kuiber of 5-year age groups:
15
m
Interpolation:
1
m
0 = Stepped
1 = Arithaetic
International aigration:
2 = Geoaetric
0
0 = None
1 = Percentages of each cohort
2 = Cohort weights, absolute nuabers of aigrants
3 = Cohort weights, proportions of total population
Test 1
BIRTH RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-VEAfi INTERVALS
n
AGE GROUP
tl5 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »40 TO 44,»45 TO 49
n
PERIOD
19B0-19B4
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.0880
.0745
.0683
.0648
.2245
.2070
.1943
.1867
.2025
.1855
.1723
.1647
.1475
.1310
.1187
.1123
.0925
.0785
.0695
.0645
.0320
.0255
.0220
.0200
.0095
.0070
.0058
.0052
Test 2".
PERIOD
»»
AGE GROUP
»»
»15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.0957
.0868
.0809
.0768
.2377
.2292
.2230
.2175
.2143
.2035
.1947
.1892
.1552
.1423
.1334
.1281
.0975
.0851
.0777
.0734
.0338
.0277
.0245
.0227
.0098
.0074
.0063
.0056
REPUpLICA OQHINICANA
«EST LIFE TABLE CHOSEN
SURVIVAL RATES HITH LIFE EXPECTANCIES fXOBENOUS
SCHEDULE 1
--A6E—
INFANT
1 TO 4
5 TO 9
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
50 TO 54
55 TO 59
60 TO 64
65 TO 69
OVER 69
LIFE EXPECTANCY
AT BIRTH
HALE
FEHALE
SCHEDULE 2
HALE
FEHALE
SCHEDULE 3
HALE
FEHALE
SCHEDULE 4
HALE
FEHALE
.9353 .9482 .9443 .9575 .9525 .9654 .9595 .9714
.9845 .9873 .9878 .9908 .9906 .9934 .9924 .9950
.9935 .9946 .9945 .9959 .9954 .9969 .9961 .9975
.9924 .9940 .9934 .9953 .9944 .9963 .9951 . .9971
.9886 .9913 .9900 .9930 .9913 .9945 .9924 .9957
.9863 .9891 .9881 .9911 .9897 .9929 .9911 .9945
.9851 .9872 .9871 .9894 .9890 .9914 .9904 .9932
.9823 .9847 .9846 .9872 .9868' .9894 .9884 .9913
.9769 .9811 .9797 .9837 .9821 .9861 .9841 .9881
.9677 .9751 .9708 .9779 .9736 .9804 .9761 .9827
.9529 .9653 .9565 .9684 .9597 .9713 .9627 .9742
.9301 .9502 .9343 .9540 .9380 .9576 .9417 .9612
.8961 .9256 .9009 ,9306 .9054 .9352 .9100 .9401
.8466 .8851 .8523 ,8914 ,8576 ,8972 .8633 .9037
.7750 .8201 .7813 ,8275 .7873 .8344 .7941 .8427
.5431 .5767 .5487 .5835 .5541 .5900 .5601 .5975
¿2.19
66.11
63.B6
YEAR TO NHICH SURVIVAL RATES APPLY
SCHEDULE 1— -1960
SCHEDULE 2-— 1985
SCHEDULE 3— -1990
SCHEDULE 4— -1995
68.06
65.42
69.81
66.80
71.36
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 1
RATIO QF HALE TQ FEHALE BIRTHS = l.OSOOOO
BIRTH RATES
REPUBLICA DOHIHICANA
"AGE—
19B0 BASE POPULATION (THOUSANDS)
AGE
HALES
FEHALES
PROPORTION OF
TOTAL POPULATION
MALES FEMALES
0 TO 4
5 TO 9
10 TQ 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
50 TO 54
55 TO 59
60 TO 64
65 TO 69
OVER 69
TOTAL
429.55
403.24
380.67
347.12
281.69
221.13
176.58
140.00
118.43
98.75
89.06
60.43
50.14
39.35
49.74
2893.88
415.29
391.84
378.30
336.82
271.27
211.50
170.08
136.48
116.05
97.94
84.07
57.08
. 46.98
35.83
53.46
2802.99
.0754
.0708
.0682
.0609
.0494
.0388
.0310
.0246
.0208
.0173
.0156
.0106
.0088
.0069
.0087
.5080
NUMBER
TOTAL POPULATION =
5696.87
.0729
.0688
.0664
.0591
.0476
.0371
.0299
.0240
.0204
.0172
.0148
.0100
.0082
.0063
.0094
.4920
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TQ 44
45 TO 49
SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE
1
2
3
4
.0970
.2330
.2100
.1550
.1000
.0360
.0110
.0790
.2160
.1950
.1400
.0850
.0280
.0080
.0700
.1980
.1760
.1220
.0720
.0230
.0060
.0630
.1830
.1610
.1090
.0620
.0190
.0050
CRUDE
BIRTH RATE)
.0326
.0291
.0260
.0236
6RQSS
REPRODUCTION
RATE»
2.0537
1.8317
1.6268
1.4683
TOTAL
FERTILITY
RATE!
4.2100
3.7550
3.3350
3.0100
YEAR TO NHICH BIRTH RATES APPLY
SCHEDULE 1---- 1960
SCHEDULE 2-— 1985
SCHEDULE 3— -1990
SCHEDULE 4---- 2000
t 1980 POPULATION BASE
DEN0e2.3/DEHC
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
01-01-1980 01:15
Test 1
PROJECTION SUMMARY
YEAR
TOTAL
MALES
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2893.9
3276.5
3689.0
4123.8
4572.2
;YEAfi
AVERA6E
AGE
1980
1985
1990
4995
2000
22.712
23.419
24.207
25.091
26.046
OVERALL 6RQUTH RATE =
TOTAL
TOTAL
FEMALES POPULATION
BIRTHS
2803.0
3187.0
3601.8
4039.3
4490.9
974.9
1039.5
1090.7
1138.7
5696.9
6463.5
7290.8
8163.1
9063.1
PER CENT POP. DECADE POP.
GRQNTH RATE GROWTH RA'
2.557
2.438
2.286
2.114
2.349
2.498
2.362
2.200
DEATHS
CRUDE
BIRTH
RATE
CRUDE
DEATH
RATE
208.2
2,12.2
218.4
238.7
.0321
.0302
.0282
.0264
.0068
.0062
.0057
.0055
LIFE EXPECTANCY
6R0SS
AT BIRTH
REPRODUCTION
RATE
FEMALE
MALE
63.02
64.63
66.11
66.80
67.08
68.93
70.58
71.36
1.943
1.729
1.587
1.508
PERIOD
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 1
01-01-1980 01:15
HALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000 •
YEAR
I960
1985
1990
1995
2000
A6E 6R0UP
44
» 0 TO 4 4 5 TO 9 410 TO 14 415 TO 19 420 TO 24 425 TO 29 430 TO 34 435 TO 39
429.5
469.3
505.0
534.1
559.6
403.2
423.6
464.2
500.7
530.0
388.7
400.8
421.5
462.2
498.7
347.1
385.9
398.4
419.3
460.0
281.7
343.4
382.3
395.1
416.1
221.1
278.1
339.6
378.6
391.6
176.6
218.1
274.8
336.1
375.0
tt
A8E GROUP
440 TO 44 445 TO 49 450 TO 54 455 TO 59 460 TO 64 465 TO 69 4 OVER 69
118.4
137.0
170.3
211.3
267.0
98.8
114.8
133.1
166.0
206.3
89.1
94.3
110.0
128.0
159.9
60.4
03.0
88.3
103.4
120.5
50.1
54.3
75.0
80.1
94.1
39.3
42.6
46.4
64.5
69.2
140.0
173.7
214.9
271.4
332.2
44
49.7
57.8
65.3
73.1
92.2
FEMALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS
H
' AGE GROUP
44
YEAR
4 0 TO 4 4 5 TO 9 410 TO 14 415 TO 19 420 TO 24 425 TO 29 430 TO 34 435 TO 39
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
415.3
453.1
487.5
515.2
539.6
391.8
410.7
449.6
484.7
512.7
378.3
390.0
409.2
448.3
483.5
336.8
376.3
388.4
407.9
447.0
271.3
334.2
373.9
386.5
406.2
•
211.5
268.6
331.5
371.6
384.3
170.1
209.0
266.0
329.0
369.0
44
AGE GROUP
440 TO 44 445 TO 49 450 TO 54 455 TO 59 460 TO 64 465 TO 69 4 OVER 69
116.1
134.1
165.2
203.9
260.3
97.9
113.3
131.3
162.1
200.4
84.1
94.7
109.9
127.7
157.9
57.1
80.0
90.5
105.4
122.8
47.0
53.0
74.7
84.9
99.1
35.8
41.7
47.4
67.2
76.7
T
53.5
60.5
70.2
81.4
105.3
136.5
167.7
206.6
263.4
326.1
44
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 1
01-01-1980 01:15
HALE POPULATION
A6E PROFILE
A6E GROUP
U
» o TO 4 » 5 TO 9 *10 TO 14 *15 TO 19 *20 TO 24 *25 TO 29 *30 TO 34 *35 TO 39
n
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
PROFILE YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000 .
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.0754
.0726
.0693
.0654
.0617
.0708
.0655
.0637
.0613
.0585
.0682
.0620
.0578
.0566
.0550
.0609
.0597
.0546
.0514
.0508
.0494
.0531
.0524
.0484
.0459
.0388
.0430
.0466
.0464
.0432
.0310
.0337
.0377
.0412
.0414
**
AGE GROUP
*40 TO 44 *45 TO 49 *50 TO 54 *55 TO 59 *60 TO 64 *65 TO 69 * OVER 69
.0208
.0212
.0234
.0259
■ .0295
.0173
.0178
.0183
.0203
.0228
.0156
.0146
.0151
.0157
.0176
.0106
.0128
.0121
.0127
.0133
.0088
.0084
.0103
.0098
.0104
.0069
.0066
.0064
.0079
.0076
.0246
.0269
.0295
.0332
.0367
**
.0087
.0089
.0090
.0090
.0102
FEHALE POPULATION
**
**
AGE GROUP
* 0 TO 4 » 5 TO 9 <10 TO 14 *15 TO 19 <20 TO 24 *25 TO 29 *30 TO 34 *35 TO 39
.0729
.0701
.0669
.0631
.0595
.0688
.0635
.0617
.0594
.0566
.0664
.0603
.0561
.0549
.0534
.0591
.0582
.0533
.0500
.0493
.0476
.0517
.0513
.0473
.0448
.0371
.0416
.0455
.0455
.0424
.0299
.0323
.0365
.0403
.0407
**
AGE GROUP
*40 TO 44 *45 TO 49 *50 TO 54 *55 TO 59 *60 TO 64 *65 TO 69 * OVER 69
1
.0204
.0207
.0227
.0250
.0287
.0172
.0175
.0180
.0199
.0221
.0148
.0147
.0151
.0156
.0174
.0100
.0124
.0124
.0129
.0135
.0082
.0082
.0102
.0104
.0109
.0063
.0065
.0065
.0082
.0085
.0094
.0094
.0096
.0100
.0116
.0240
.0259
.0283
.0323
.0360
**
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 1
01-01-1980 O lilS
SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL—
PERIOD
t
tt
AGE GROUP
tt
* INFANT » 1 TO 4 * 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39
1980-1984
.9398
1985-1989
.9484
1990-1994 • .9560
1995-1999
.9595
.9862
.9892
.9915
.9924
.9940
.9950
.9958
.9961
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.9692
.9722
.9748
.9761
.9547
.9581
.9612
.9627
.9322
.9361
.9399
.9417
SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL-—
-
.9929
.9939
.9947
.9951
.9893
.9906
.9919
.9924
.9872
.9889
.9904
.9911
.9861
.9881
.9897
.9904
.9835
.9857
.9876
.9884
»»
AGE GROUP
1
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
PERIOD
PERIOD
MALE
.8985
.9031
.9077
.9100
.8494
.8549
.8604
.8633
.7781
.7843
.7907
.7941
.9783
.9809
.9831
.9841
»»
.5459
.5514
.5571
.5601
FEMALE
»»
AGE GROUP
»»
» INFANT » 1 TO 4 » 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 3‘
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
PERIOD
.9529
.9615
.9684
.9714
.9890
.9921
.9942
.9950
.9953
.9964
.9972
.9975“
.9946
.9958
.9967
.9971
o
.9922
.9938
.9951
.9957
.9901
.9920
.9937
..9945
.9883
.9904
.9923
.9932
.9860
.9883
.9903
.9913
»»
AGE GROUP
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
»»
t
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.9765
.9791
.9816
.9827
.9669
.9699
.9728
.9742
.9521
.9558
.9594
.9612
.9281
.9329
.9377
.9401
.8882
.8943
.9004
.9037
.8238
.8310
.8386
.8427
.5801
.5868
.5937
.5975
.9824
.9849
.9871
.9881
REPUBLICA
D O H Ik lC m
Test 2
RATIO OF HALE TO FEHALE BIRTHS = 1,050000
LRPH/PC 01-Ö1-B0 02:13 RD02 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
DEHQ6RAPH1C DOl
BIRTH RATES
„
age-
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
CRUDE
BIRTH RATE»
GROSS
REPRODUCTION
RATE»
TOTAL
FERTILITY
RATE»
SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE
1
3
4
2
Nuiber of years in projection: 20
»»»
Nuiber of 5-year age groups:
15
»»»
Interpolation:
1
»»»
0
.1008
.2429
.2189
.1620
.1046
.0375
.0114
.0905
.2326
.2097
..1485
.0903
.0300
.0082
.0830
.2258
.1974
.1360
,0799
.0254
.0066
.0748
.2147
.1865
.1255
.0713
.0218
.0053
.0340
.0316
.0296
.0276
»»»
19B0
Base year:
= Stepped
Internatioeal tigration:
1 = Aritheetic
2 = Geoeetric
0
0 ® None
1 = Percentages of each cohort
2 = Cohort Heights, absolute nuibers of ti^grants
3 = Cohort weights, iproportions of total population
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 02:13 RDÖ2 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
DEMOGRAPHIC D02
2.1417
4.3905
1.9751
< 1980 POPULATION BASE
1.7071
Birth rates:
4.0490
YEAR TO WHICH BIRTH RATES APPLY
SCHEDULE 1---- 1980
SCHEDULE 2— -1985
SCHEDULE 3---- 1990
SCHEDULE 4-— 2000
1.8393
3.7705
3.4995
1
1 = Exogenous point rates
2 = UN Fertility patterns
4 = Exogenous period rates
5 = Target net reproduction rates
Ratio of tale to feaale births:
1.05
Survival rates:
4
1 = Exogenous point rates
2 - Model life tables, death rates
3 3 Model life tables, feiale life expectancies
4 = Model life tables, lale and feiale life expectancies
5 = Exogenous period rates
DEH062.3/DEMC
REPU6LICA DQHINICANA
Test 2
Ol-ai-1980 02sl5
PROJECTION SUHHARY
YEAR
TOTAL
HALES
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2893.9
3305.5
3771.7
4281.1
4818.3
YEAR
AVERAGE
AGE
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
22.712
23.237
23.771
24.395
25.127
OVERALL 6R0UTH RATE =
TOTAL
TOTAL
FEHALES POPULATION
BIRTHS
2803.0
3215.0
3681.7
4191.3
4728.9
1035.1
1150.8
1244.2
1321.3
5696.9
6520.5
7453.5
8472.5
9547.3
PER CENT POP. DECADE POP.
6R0NTH RATE GRONTH RATE
2.738
2.711
2.596
2.417
2.615
2.724
2.653
2.507
DEATHS
CRUDE
BIRTH
RATE
CRUDE
DEATH
RATE
211.5
217.8
225.2
246.5
.0339
.0329
.0313
.0293
.0069
.0062
.0057
.0055
LIFE EXPECTANCY
6R0SS
AT BIRTH
REPRODUCTION
HALE
FEHALE
RATE
63.02
64.63
66.11
66.80
67.06
68.93
70.58
71.36
2.058
1.907
1.806
1.740
PERIOD
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
^ REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
01-01-1980 02:15
MALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS
tt
AGE GROUP
tt
YEAR
I 0 TO 4 < 5 TO 9 tlO TO 14 tl5 TO 19 »20 TO 24 125 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
429.5
498.3
559.0
609.2
649.4
403.2
423.6
492.9
554.2
604.6
388.7
400.8
421.5
490.8
552.1
347.1
385.9
398.4
419.3
488.4
281.7
343.4
382.3
395.1
416.1
221.1
278.1
339.6
378.6
391.6
176.6
218.1
274.8
336.1
375.0
»»
AGE GROUP
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
118.4
137.0
170.3
211.3
267.0
98.8
114.8
133.1
166.0
206.3
89.1
94.3
110.0
128.0
159.9
60.4
83.0
88.3
103.4
120.5
39.3
42.6
46.4
64.5
69.2
50.1
54.3
75.0
80.1
94.1
140.0
173.7
214.9
271.4
332.2
»»
49.7
57.8
65.3
73.1
92.2
FEMALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS
»»
»»
AGE GROUP
» 0 TO 4 » 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39
YEAR
1
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
415.3
481.1
539.7
587.8
626.1
391.8
410.7
477.3
536.6
584.8
378.3
390.0
409.2
476.0
535.3
336.8
376.3
388.4
407.9
474.6
271.3
334.2
373.9
386.5
406.2
211.5
268.6
331.5
371.6
384.3
170.1
209.0
266.0
329.0
369.0
»»
AGE GROUP
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
116.1
134.1
165.2
203.9
260.3
97.9
113.3
131.3
162.1
200.4
84.1
94.7
109.9
127.7
157.9
57.1
80.0
90.5
105.4
122.8
47.0
53.0
74.7
84.9
99.1
•
35.8
41.7
47.4
67.2
76.7
53.5
60.5
70.2
81.4
105.3
136.5
167.7
206.6
263.4
326.1
»»
REPUBLICA DQHINICANA
Test 2
01-01-1980 02:15
AGE PROFILE
HALE POPULATION
It
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
AGE PROFILE
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
I
O TO 4
.0754
.0764
.0750
.0719
.0680
I
AGE GROUP
'
It
5 TO 9 no TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39
.0708
.0650
.0661
.0654
.0633
.0682
.0615
.0565
.0579
.0578
.0609
.0592
.0534
.0495
.0512
.0494
.0527
.0513
.0466
.0436
.0388
.0426
.0456
.0447
.0410
.0310
.0334
.0369
.0397
.0393
It
AGE GROUP
140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 t55 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 t OVER 69
.0208
.0210
.0229
.0249
.0280
.0173
.0176
.0179
.0196
.0216
.0156
.0145
.0148
.0151
.0167
.0106
.0127
.0118
.0122
.0126
.0088
.0083
.0101
.0095
.0099
.0069
.0065
.0062
.0076
.0072
.0246
.0266
.0288
.0320
.0348
It
.0087
.0089
.0088
.^086
.0097
FEHALE POPULATION
it
It
AGE GROUP
I 0 TO 4 I 5 TO 9 no TO 14 tl5 TO 19 Í20 TO 24 t25 TO 29 Í30 TO 34 135 TO 39
.0729
.0738
.0724
.0694
.0656
.0688
.0630
.0640
.0633
.0613
.0664
.0598
.0549
.0562
.0561
.0591
.0577
.0521
.0481
.0497
.0476
.0513
.0502
.0456
.0425
.0371
.0412
.0445
.0439
.0403
.0299
.0321
.0357
.0388
.0387
tt
AGE GROUP
140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TD 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 t OVER 69
.0204
.0206
.0222
.0241
.0273
.0172
.0174
.0176
.0191
.0210
.0148
.0145
.0147
.0151
.0165
.0100
.0123
.0121
.0124
.0129
.0082
.0081
.0100
.0100
.0104
.0063
.0064
.0064
.0079
.0080
.0094
.0093
.0094
.0096
.0110
.0240
.0257
.0277
.0311
.0342
tt
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 2
OÍ-01-1980 02sl5
SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL—
PERIOD
tt
A6E SROUP
t»
I INFANT t 1 TO 4 1 5 TO 9 110 TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.9398
,9484
.9560
.9595
.9862
.9892
.9915
.9924
.9940
.9950
.9958
.9961
.9929
.9939
.9947
.9951
.9893
.9906
.9919
.9924
.9872
.9889
.9904
.9911
.9861
.9881
.9897
.9904
44
A6E GROUP
440 TO 44 445 TO 49 450 TO 54 455 TO 59 460 TO 64 465 TO 69 4 OVER 69
PERIOD
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.9692
.9722
.9748
.9761
.9547
.9581
.9612
.9627
.9322
.9361
.9399
.9417
SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL—
PERIOD
HALE
.8985
.9031
.9077
.9100
.8494
.8549
.8604
.8633
.7781
.7843
.7907
.7941
.9835
.9057
.9876
.9884
.9783
.9809
.9831
.9841
44
.5459
.5514
.5571
.5601
FEMALE
44
44
AGE GROUP
t
1
T
O
4
4 INFANT
t 5 TO 9 tlO TO 14 tl5 TO 19 t20 TO 24 t25 TO 29 t30 TO 34 t35 TO 39
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
PERIOD
1980-1984
1985-1989
1990-1994
1995-1999
.9529
.9615
.9684
.9714
.9890
.9921
.9942
.9950
.9953
.9964
.9972
.9975
.9946
.9958
,9967
.9971
.9922
.9938
.9951
.9957
.9901
.9920
.9937
.9945
.9883
.9904
.9923
.9932
tt
AGE GROUP
t40 TO 44 t45 TO 49 t50 TO 54 t55 TO 59 t60 TO 64 t65 TO 69 t OVER 69
.9765
.9791
.9816
.9827
.9669
.9699
.9728
.9742
.9521
.9558
.9594
.9612
.9281
.9329
.9377
.9401
.8882
.8943
.9004
.9037
.8238
.8310
.8386
.8427
.5801
.5868
.5937
.5975
.9860
.9883
.9903
.9913
tt
.9824
.9849
.9871
.9881
P R O Y E C C I O N E S DE P O B L A C I O N U R B A N A Y RURAL
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 02:21 RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
RURAL/URBAN H16RATI0N ROI
Per cent urban in base year:
50.50
Initial age profile:
0
0 = sate profile for rural and urban populations
1 = profiles to be input
1
Projection tethod:
1 = logistic
2 = growth-rate difference
3 = constant rural rate 4 = not currently used
5 = all aethods
Hethod to be used
for subsequent todules:
1
(only if option 5 above is selected)
LRPM/PC 01-01-80 02:22 RD02 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
RURAL/URBAN H16RATI0N R04
Projection Method: Logistic curve
Asytptotic per cent urban: „69.00
Second point in logistic curve
Per cent urban:
60.38
Year:
1990
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 1
PER CENT URBAN IN BASE YEAR = .505
LOGISTIC CURVE ESTIMATE (METHOD 1);
AA AND AB COEFFICIENTS =
TERMINAL ASYMPTOTE =
URBAN SHARE IN 1990 =
-.99Í83 -.00634
.69000
.60380
YEAR
TOTAL
POPULATION
URBAN
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
5696.9
6463.5
7290.8
8163.1
9063.1
2876.9
3656.1
4402.2
5154.6
5898.4
t
t
RURAL
URBAN
SHARE
2820.0
2807.4
2888.6
3008.4
3164.7
.5050
.5656
, .6038
.6315
.6508
RURALURBAN
MIGRATION
392.0
278.1
225.8
175.5
SUMMARY TABLE
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
RURAL MALES
1432.5
1423.2
1461.6
1519.8
1596.5
RURAL FEMALES
1387.5
1384.3
1427.0
1488.6
1568.1
TOTAL RURAL
2820.0
2807.4
2888.6
3008.4
3164.7
2975.7
2227.4
2604.0
1853.4
1461.4
URBAN MALES
2922.7
1802.7
2174.8
2550.6
1415.5
URBAN FEMALES
5898.4
5154.6
3656.1
4402.2
2876.9
TOTAL URBAN
TOTAL
5696.9
6463.5
7290.8
8163.1
9063.1
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
01-01-1980 01:32
Test i
URBAN POPULATION -
MALE
n
YEAR
tt
AGE GROUP
1 0 TO
1980
4 1 5 TO
2 1 6 .9
9 no
2 0 3.6
TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39
1 9 6 .3
1 4 2 .3
1 7 5 .3
1 1 1.7
8 9 .2
,
7 0 .7
1985
2 6 5.4
2 3 9 .6
2 2 6.7
2 1 8 .3
1 9 4 .2
1 5 7.3
1 2 3 .3
9 8 .2
1990
3 0 4.9
2 8 0.3
2 5 4 .5
2 4 0 .5
2 3 0 .8
2 0 5 .0
1 6 5 .9
1 2 9 .8
1995
3 3 7.2
3 1 6 .1
2 9 1.9
2 6 4 .7
2 4 9 .5
2 3 9.1
212.2
1 7 1 .3
2000
3 6 4.2
3 4 4 .9
3 2 4 .6
2 9 9.4
'2 7 0 . 8
2 5 4 .9
2 4 4 .1
2 1 6 .2
6
II
tt
A E GROUP
140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 I OVER 69
YEAR
1980
4 9 .9
5 9 .8
4 5 .0
3 0 .5
1 9 .9
2 5 .3
2 5 .1
1985
7 7 .5
6 4 ,9
5 3 .3
4 7 .0
3 0 .7
2 4 .1
1990
1 0 2.9
8 0 .4
6 6 .4
5 3 .3
4 5 .3
2 8 .0
3 9 .4
1995
1 3 3 .4
1 0 4 .9
8 0 .8
6 5 .3
5 0 .6
4 0 .7
4 6 .1
2000
1 7 3 .8
1 3 4 .2
1 0 4.0
7 8 .4
6 1 .2
4 5 .0
6 0 .0
URBAN POPULATION -
3 2 .7
FEMALE
AGE GROUP
t
YEAR
1980
O TO
2 0 9.7
9
4 t 5 TO
1 9 7 .9
lio
U
TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39
1 9 1.0
1 7 0 .1
1 3 7 .0
1 0 6.8
8 5 .9
6 8 .9
1985
2 5 6 .3
2 3 2 .3
220,6
212.8
1 8 9.0
1 5 1 .9
1 1 8.2
9 4 .9
1990
2 9 4 .4
2 7 1.4
2 4 7.1
2 3 4 .5
2 2 5 .8
200.2
1 6 0 .6
1 2 4 .7
1995
3 2 5 .4
3 0 6.1
2 8 3.1
2 5 7 .6
2 4 4 .0
2 3 4 .6
2 0 7 .7
1 6 6 .4
2000
3 5 1 .2
3 3 3.7
3 1 4.7
2 9 0 .9
2 6 4 .3
2 5 0 .1
2 4 0 .2
212.2
1
tt
YEAR
1980
AGE GROUP
tt
140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 1 6 5 TO 69 t OVER 69
4 9 .5
5 8 .6
4 2 .5
2 8 .8
2 3 .7
1 8 .1
2 7 .0
1985
7 5 .8
6 4 .1
5 3 .6
4 5 .3
3 0 .0
2 3 .6
1990
9 9 .7
7 9 .3
6 6 .4
5 4 .7
4 5 .1
2 8 .6
4 2 .4
1995
1 2 8 .8
1 0 2 .4
8 0 .6
5 3 .6
4 2 .5
5 1 .4
2000
66.6
1 6 9 .4
1 3 0 .4
102.8
7 9 .9
6 4 .5
4 9 .9
6 8 .5
M IB R A T 2 .2
0 1 - 0 1 - 1 9 8 0 0 1 :3 2
I C E L A D S - S !3T^f.1A
I
D
O C Ü
-A-
'
•
^ r
A
DOCPAL
C
i O
.AAAC!
A
L -A X jf N a A
N
Í.M
3 4 .2
V
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 1
0 1 -0 M 9 8 Ü
RURAL POPULATION -
tí
t
VEAR
HALE
tt
ABE 6R0UP
O TO
4 I
212.6
1980
0 1 :3 2
5 TO
9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 » 2 0 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »3 0 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »
1 9 9 .6
1 9 2 .4
1 7 1.8
1 3 9 .4
1 0 9 .5
0 7 .4
6 9 .3
1985
2 0 3 .8
1 8 4 .0
1 7 4 .1
1 6 7 .6
1 4 9 .2
9 4 .7
7 5 .4
1990
200.1
120.8
1 8 3 .9
1 6 7 .0
1 5 7 .8
1 5 1 .5
1 3 4 .5
1 0 8 .9
8 5 .2
1995
1 9 6 .8
1 8 4 .5
1 7 0 .4
1 5 4 .5
1 4 5 .6
1 3 9 .5
1 2 3 .9
100.0
2000
1 9 5 .4
1 8 5 .1
1 7 4 ,1
1 6 0 .6
1 4 5.3
1 3 6 .7
1 3 0 .9
1 1 6 .0
»»
»»
ABE BROUP
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 6 9
YEAR
1980
4 8 .9
5 8 .6
1985
5 9 .5
4 9 ,9
1990
6 7 .5
1995
2000
4 4 .1
1 9 .5
2 4 .6
2 3 .6
1 8 .5
5 2 .8
4 3 .6
3 5 .0
2 9 .7
1 8 .4
2 5 .9
7 7 .9
6 1 .2
4 7 .2
3 8 .1
2 9 .5
2 3 .8
2 6 .9
9 3 .2
7 2 .0
5 5 .8
4 2 .1
3 2 .8
2 4 .1
3 2 .2
2 5 .1
FEHALE
»»
ABE BROUP
» 0 TO
1980
2 4 .8
3 6 .1
RURAL POPULATION -
VEAR
2 9 .9
4 0 .9 ,
“
2 0 5 .6
4 » 5 TO
1 9 4 .0
»»
9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 » 2 5 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »
1 8 7.3
1 6 6 .7
1 3 4 .3
1 0 4 .7
8 4 .2
6 7 .6
1985
1 9 6 .8
1 7 8 .4
1 6 9 .4
1 6 3 .4
1 4 5 .2
1 1 6 .7
9 0 .8
7 2 .8
1990
1 9 3.2
1 7 8 .1
1 6 2 .1
1 5 3 .9
1 4 8 .1
1 3 1 .3
1 0 5 .4
8 1 .8
1995
1 8 9.9
1 7 8 .6
1 6 5 .2
1 5 0,3
1 4 2.4
1 3 6 .9
121.2
9 7 .1
2000
1 8 8 .4
1 7 9.0
1 6 8.8
1 5 6 .1
1 4 1.8
1 3 4.2
1 2 8 .9
1 1 3 .9
»»
YEAR
1980
ABE BROUP
»»
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
5 7 .4
4 8 ,5
4 1 .6
2 8 .3
2 3 .3
1 7 .7
2 6 .5
1985
5 8 .2
4 9 .2
4 1 .1
3 4 .8
2 3 .0
1 8 ,1
1990
6 5 .4
5 2 .0
4 3 .5
3 5 .9
2 9 .6
1 8 .8
2 7 .8
1995
7 5 .2
5 9 .7
4 7 .1
3 8 .9
3 1 .3
2 4 .8
3 0 .0
2000
9 0 .9
7 0 .0
5 5 .1
4 2 .9
3 4 .6
2 6 .8
3 6 .8
2 6 .3
01-01-1980 02:22
REPUBLICA DOHIN
Test 2
PER CENT URBAN IN BASE YEAR =>
.SO S
L O G IS T IC CURVE E ST IM A T E (NETHOO 1 ) :
AA AND AB C O E F F IC IE N T S =
-.9 9 6 8 3
-.0 8 6 3 4
TERM INAL ASYMPTOTE =
.6 9 0 0 0
URBAN SHARE IN 1990 =
.6 0 3 8 0
RURAL-
t
t
POPULATION
URBAN
URBAN
MIG RATIO N
YEAR
TOTAL
URBAN
RURAL
SHARE
1980
5 6 9 6 .9
2 8 7 6 .9
2 8 2 0 .0
.5 05 0
1985
6 5 2 0 .5
3 6 8 8 .3
2 8 3 2 .2
.5 6 5 6
1990
7 4 5 3 .5
4 5 0 0 .4
2 9 5 3 .1
.6 0 3 8
2 8 4 .4
1995
8 4 7 2 .5
5 3 5 0 .0
3 1 2 2 .5
.6 3 1 5
2 3 4.3
2000
9 5 4 7 .3
6 2 1 3 .5
3 3 3 3 .8
.6 5 0 8
1 8 4 .8
’
3 9 5 .5
SUHHARY TABLE
RURAL H ALES
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 4 3 2 .5
1 4 3 5 .8
1 4 9 4 .4
1 5 7 7 .8
1 6 8 2 .5
RURAL FEM ALES
1 3 8 7 .5
1 3 9 6 .4
1 4 5 8 .7
1 5 4 4 .7
1 6 5 1 .3
TOTAL RURAL
2 8 2 0 .0
2 8 3 2 .2
2 9 5 3 .1
3 1 2 2 .5
3 3 3 3 .8
URBAN MALES
1 4 6 1 .4
1 8 6 9 .8
2 2 7 7 .4
2 7 0 3 .3
3 1 3 5 .Í
URBAN FEM ALES
1 4 1 5 .5
1 8 1 8 .6
2 2 2 3 .0
2 6 4 6 .6
3071
TOTAL URBAN
2 8 7 6 .9
3 6 8 8 .3
4 5 0 0 .4
5 3 5 0 .0
6211
TOTAL
5 6 9 6 .9
6 5 2 0 .5
7 4 5 3 .5
8 4 7 2 .5
9 5 4 7 .:
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
01-01-1980 02:22
RURAL POPULATION -
HALE
U
YEAR
A SE 6R0UP
I O TO
4 I
212.6
1980
5 TO
It
9 110 TO 14 115 TO 19 120 J O 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 I
1 9 9 .6
1 9 2 .4
1 7 1.8
1 3 9 .4
8 7 .4
1 0 9 .5
6 9 .3
1985
2 1 6 .4
1 8 4 .0
1 7 4 .1
1 6 7 .6
1 4 9.2
120.8
9 4 .7
7 5 .4
1990
2 2 1 .5
1 9 5 .3
1 6 7.0
1 5 7.8
1 5 1 .5
1 3 4.5
1 0 8.9
8 5 .2
1995
2 2 4 .5
2 0 4.3
1 8 0 .9
1 5 4 .5
1 4 5 .6
1 3 9.5
1 2 3 .9
2000
211.1
100.0
2 2 6 .8
1 9 2.8
1 7 0 .5
1 4 5 .3
1 3 6 .7
1 3 0 .9
1 1 6 .0
It
YEAR
AGE GROUP
It
140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 -155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 I OVER 69
1980
5 8 .6
4 8 .9
4 4 .1
2 9 .9
2 4 .8
1 9 .5
2 4 .6
1985
5 9 .5
4 9 .9
4 0 .9
3 6 .1
2 3 .6
1 8 .5
1990
6 7 .5
5 2 .8
4 3 .6
3 5 .0
2 9 .7
1 8 .4
2 5 .9
1995
7 7 .9
6 1 .2
4 7 .2
3 8 .1
2 9 .5
2 3 .8
2 6 .9
2000
9 3 .2
7 2 .0
5 5 .8
4 2 .1
3 2 .8
2 4 .1
3 2 .2
RURAL POPULATION -
FEMALE
1 0 TO
1980
4 1 5 TO
2 0 5 .6
1985
It
AGE GROUP
It
YEAR
2 5 .1
2 0 9 .0
9 no
1 9 4 .0
1 7 8 .4
TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 1
1 8 7 .3
1 6 9 .4
1 6 6.7
1 3 4.3
1 4 5.2
1 6 3 .4
8 4 .2
1 0 4 .7
6 7 .6
1 1 6 .7
9 0 .8
7 2 .8
1 3 1 .3
1 0 5 .4
8 1 .8
1990
2 1 3 .8
1 8 9 .1
1 6 2 .1
1 5 3.9
1 4 8 .1
1995
2 1 6 .6
1 9 7 .7
1 7 5 .4
1 5 0.3
1 4 2 .4
1 3 6 .9
121.2
9 7 .1
1 4 1.8
1 3 4.2
1 2 8 .9
1 1 3 .9
2000
2 1 8 .6
2 0 4.2
1 8 6 .9
1980
1985
1990
It
AGE GROUP
It
YEAR
1 6 5 .7
140 TO 44 145 TO 49 1 5 0 TO 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 1 OVER 69
5 7 .4
5 8 .2
6 5 .4
4 8 .5
4 9 .2
5 2 .0
4 1 .6
4 1 .1
4 3 .5
2 8 .3
2 3 .3
2 6 .5
1 7 .7
■
2 6 .3
3 4 .8
2 3 .0
1 8 .1
3 5 .9
2 9 .6
1 8 .8
2 7 .8
2 4 .8
3 0 .0
2 6 .6
3 6 .8
1995
7 5 .2
5 9 .7
4 7 .1
3 8 .9
3 1 .3
2000
9 0 .9
7 0 .0
5 5 .1
. 4 2 .9
3 4 .6
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
01-01-1980 Ú2s22
URBAN POPULATION - - «ALE
tt
t
YEAR
1980
tt
A6E GROUP
O TO
4 I
2 1 6 .9
5 TO
9 no
2 0 3 .6
TO 14 »15 TO 19 * 2 0 TO 2 4 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »
1 9 6 .3
1 7 5.3
1 4 2 .3
1 1 1.7
8 9 .2
7 0 .7
1985
2 8 1.8
2 3 9 .6
2 2 6 .7
2 1 8 .3
1 9 4 .2
1 5 7.3
1 2 3.3
9 8 .2
199Q
3 3 7 .5
2 9 7 .6
2 5 4 .5
2 4 0 .5
2 3 0 .8
2 0 5 .0
1 6 5 .9
1 2 9 .8
1995
3 8 4.7
3 5 0 ,0
3 0 9 .9
2 6 4 .7
2 4 9 ,5
2 3 9.1
212.2
1 7 1 .3
2000
4 2 2 .6
3 9 3 .5
3 5 9 .3
3 1 7 .8
2 7 0 .8
2 5 4 .9
2 4 4 .1
2 1 6 .2
»»
YEAR
AGE GROUP
»»
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
1980
5 9 .8
4 9 .9
4 5 .0
3 0 .5
2 5 .3
1 9 .9
2 5 .1
1985
7 7 .5
6 4 .9
5 3 .3
4 7 .0
3 0 .7
2 4 .1
1990
1 0 2 .9
8 0 .4
6 6 .4
5 3 .3
4 5 .3
2 8 .0
3 9 .4
1995
1 3 3 .4
1 0 4 .9
8 0 .8
6 5 .3
5 0 .6
4 0 .7
4 6 .1
2000
1 7 3 .8
1 3 4 .2
1 0 4.0
7 8 .4
6 1 .2
4 5 .0
6 0 .0
URBAN POPULATION -
FEMALE
»»
YEAR
AGE GROUP
» 0 TO
'2 0 9 . 7
1980
3 2 .7
4 » 5 TO
1 9 7.9
»»
9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »
1 9 1 .0
1 7 0 .1
1 3 7.0
1 0 6.8
8 5 .9
6 8 .9
1985
2 7 2.2
2 3 2 .3
220.6
212.8
1 8 9 .0
1 5 1.9
1 1 8 .2
9 4 .9
1990
3 2 5.9
2 8 8 .2
2 4 7.1
2 3 4 .5
2 2 5 .8
200.2
1 6 0.6
1 2 4 .7
1995
3 7 1 .2
3 3 8 .8
3 0 0 .6
2 5 7 ,6
2 4 4 .0
2 3 4 .6
2 0 7 ;7
1 6 6 .4
2 4 0 .2
212.2
2000
4 0 7 .5
3 8 0 .6
3 4 8,4
1980
2 6 4 .3
2 5 0 .1
»»
AGE GROUP
»»
YEAR
3 0 8.9
»40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69
5 8 .6
4 9 .5
6 4 .1
4 2 .5
1985
7 5 .8
1990
9 9 .7
7 9 .3
6 6 .4
1995
1 2 8 .8
1 0 2 .4
2000
1 6 9 .4
1 3 0,4
«1G RA T2.2
2 8 .8
1 8 .1
2 7 .0
3 4 .2
3 0 .0
2 3 .6
5 4 .7
4 5 .1
2 8 .6
4 2 .4
8 0 .6
66.6
5 3 .6
4 2 .5
5 1 .4
102.8
7 9 ,9
6 4 .5
4 9 .9
6 8 .5
5 3 .6
4 5 .3
2 3 .7
0 1 -0 1 -1 9 8 0 0 2 s22
REPUBLICA DQHINICANA
Test 2
01-01-1980 02:22
URBAN POPULATIOt» -
MALE
H
YEAR
» 0 TO
4 » 5 TQ
216.9
281.11
337.1)
384. Í
422.0
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
9
203.6
239.6
297.6
350.0
393.5
tío TO
196.3
226.7
254.5
309.9
359.3
14 115
A6E 6R0UP
TO 19 t20 TO
175.3
218.3
240.5
264.7
317.8
142.3
194.2
230.8
249.5
270.8
tt
24
t25 TO
111.7
157.3
205.0
239.1
254.9
29
t30 TO
34 135
89.2
123.3
165.9
212.2
244.1
TO
70.7
98.2
129.8
171.3
216.2
1
AGE GROUP
YEAR t40 TO »4 t45 TO 49 t50 TO 54 t55 TO 59 t60 TO 64 t65 TO 69 t OVER 69
tt
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
49.9
64.9
80.4
104.9
134.2
59.B
77.5
102.9
133.4
173,8
45.0
53.3
66.4
80.8
104.0
30.5
47.0
53.3
65.3
78.4
25.3
30.7
45.3
50.6
61.2
19.9
24.1
28.0
40.7
45.0
39 I
tt
25.1
32.7
39.4
46.1
60.0
URBAN POPULATION - FEMALE
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
tt
t
0 TO
209.;
272,2
325 9
371,2
407,5
4
t
5 TO
A6E 6R0UP
tt
9 tlO TO 14 tl5 TO 19 t20 TO 24 t25 TO 29 t30 TO 34 t35 TO 39 t
197.9
232.3
288.2
338.8
380.6
191.0
220.6
247.1
300.6
348.4
170.1
212.8
234.5
257.6
308.9
137.0
189.0
225.8
244.0
264.3
106.8
151.9
200.2
234.6
250.1
85.9
118.2
160.6
207i7
240.2
tt
AGE GROUP
YEAR t40 TO 44 t45 TO 49 t50 TO 54 t55 TO 59 t60 TO 64 t65 TO 69 t OVER 69
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
49.5
58.6
75.8
64.1
99.7
79.3
102.4
126.8
169.4
130.4
HGRAT2.2
42.5
53.6
66.4
80.6
102.8
28.8
45.3
54.7
66.6
79.9
23.7
27.0
18.1
30.0
34.2
23.6
42.4
45.1 ,
28.6
51.4
42.5
53.6
49.9
68.5
64.5
01-01-1980 02:22
¿8 .9
9 4 .9
124.7
166.4
212.2
tt
P R O Y E C C I O N E S DE P O B L A C I O N E S E S P E C I A L E S
'
REPUBLICA DOMÌNICANA
Test 1
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 1
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATES
URBAN FEMALE LABOR FORCE 6T ASE liRQUPS
SECTOR - 1 URBAN POPULATION
ASE
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
8.9
41.0
100.9
101.8
77.2
59.9
42.9
28.3
18.8
12.1
8.0
4.0
3.9
10.2
42.8
112.9
125.3
102.2
82.5
57.3
37.1
22,5
14.0
8,9
5.5
4.2
11.3
45.7
126.4
140.1
121.0
108.4
77.9
48.0
28.4
16.1
9.9
5.9
4.8
507.7
625.4
743.9
1980
,
V
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
50 TO 54
55 TO 59
¿0 TO Ó4
65 TO 69
OVER 69
SUBiOTAL
6.9
32.B
57.0
4S.B
39.3
31.0
23.4
17.2
12.3
6.9
4,7
2.9
3.1
286.4
7.9
39.2
81.6
73.3
55.4
44.1
31,5
22.6
15.3
10.4
5,6
3.5
3.6
394.1
ASE
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
SO TO 54
55 TO 59
60 TO 64
65 TO 69
OVER 69
MALE
2000
FEMALE
.079
.417
.738
.877
.910
.930
.935
.920
.873
.790
.690
.582
.455
.036
.193
.416
.457
.457
.450
.400
.347
.290
.240
.200
.160
.115
MALE
FEMALE
.079
.388
.689
.877
.910
:930
.935
.920
.873
.697
.562
.437
.286
.036
.157
.478
.560
.504
.511
.460
.368
.276
.201
.154
.118
.070
RURAL FEMALE LABOR FORCE BY ASE SROUPS
SECTOR - 2 RURAL POPULATION
ASE
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1980
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
50 TO 54
55 TO 59
60 TO 64
65 TO 69
OVER 69
27.9
38.8
34.5 •
28.3
23.4
19.1
16.5
14.1
11.6
7,8
6.3
4.6
6.6
24.6
38.1
37.8
31.9
25,6
20.9
17.0
14.5
11,4
9.6
6.3
4,7
6.6
22.9
35.9
39.0
36.3
30.0
23.7
19.3
15.5
12.1
9.9
8.0
4.9
7.0
22.8
35.0
38.0
38.3
35.0
28.5
22.4
18.1
13.1
10.8
8.5
6.5
7.5
22.6
36.4
38.3
38.0
37,6
33.8
27.5
21.4
15.3
11.9
’ 9.4
7.0
9.2
SUBTOTAL
239.7
248.9
264.7
284.4
308.4
ABE
,
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 24
25 TO 29
30 TO 34
35 TO 39
40 TO 44
^5 TO 49
SO TO 54
55 TO 59
60 TO 64
65 TO 69
OVER 69
MALE
.312
.629
.890
.933
.945
.947
.942
.935
.924
.915
.894
.869
.844
2000
FEMALE
.149
.233
.257
.270
.278
.283
.286
.291
,278
.277
.272.
.262
.250
MALE
.281
.598
.890
.930
.945
.947
.942
.935
.924
.915
.894
.869
.844
FEMALE
.134
.233
.270
.283
.292
.297
.302
.306
,278
.277
.272
,262
.250
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 1
6
NQRK-A E POPULATION ( 1 5 - 6 4 )
RATIO TO TOTAL POPULATION
YEAR POPULATION
5 6 9 6 .9
1980
6 4 6 3 .5
1985
7 2 9 0 .8
1990
8 1 6 3 .1
1995
2000
URBAN HALE
AGE
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
9 0 6 3 .1
0 TO 14 « 15 TO 64
2 4 0 6 .9
2 5 4 7 .6
2 7 3 7 .0
2 9 4 5 .2
3 1 2 4 .1
3 1 1 1 .6
3 7 1 3 .4
4 3 2 4 .6
4 9 3 1 .6
5 5 9 5 .7
6 6RDUPS
1980
• 1985
1990
1 9 95
2000
1 5 .5
1 7 .9
20.1
2 3 .1
2 5 .6
8 9 .4
9 6 .8
1 0 4.6
1 1 6.1
20 TO 24
1 0 5.0
1 4 1.0
1 6 4 .7
1 7 5 .0
1 8 6.6
2 5 TO 29
9 7 .9
1 3 8 .0
1 7 9 .8
2 0 9 .7
2 2 3.5
30 TO 54
8 1 .1
112.2
1 5 1.0
1 9 3 .1
3 5 TO 39
6 5 .8
9 1 .4
1 2 0 .7
1 5 9 .4
40 TO 44
45 TO 49
50 TO 54
55 TO 59
5 5 .9
4 5 .9
3 9 .3
7 2 .4
5 9 .7
4 6 .6
9 6 .2
7 4 .0
5 8 .0
1 2 4 .8
9 6 .5
7 0 .6
222.1
2Ó1.1
1 6 2.5
1 2 3 .5
9 0 .8
2 4 .1
3 6 .0
60 TO 64
1 7 .5
20.2
2 8 .3
3 0 .0
3 4 .4
6 5 TO 69
11.6
1 3 .1
1 4 .3
1 9 .3
1 9 .7
OVER 69
1 1 .4
SUBTOTAL
6 4 4.1
1 3 .5
8 5 1 .5
3 9 .6
1 4 .6
1 0 5 8 .1
t
0 TO 14 » 15 TO 64
OVER 64
202.6
2 2 9 .2
2 8 6 .2
3 4 3 .3
4 7 .0
1 5 .2
1 2 6 8 .2
5 4 .7
1 7 .3
1 4 7 7 .9
10
.031
.5 4 6
.4 2 2
1 7 8 .4
RURAL HALE
LABOR FORCE BY A E
7 3 .1
--------------------- a g e —
---------------------AGE-----------------------
TOTAL
.3 94
.5 7 5
.0 3 1
.3 7 5
.5 9 3
.031
.361
.6 04
.0 3 5
.3 45
.617
.0 3 8
LABOR FORCE BY AGE GROUPS
AGE
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
TO 14
4 9 .5
4 9 .2
4 8 .9
6 0 .0
5 3 .0
15 TO 19
1 0 8 .1
1 0 4 .1
9 6 .8
9 3 .6
9 6 .0
20 TO 24
1 2 4 .1
1 3 2.8
1 3 4.8
1 2 9 .6
1 2 9 .3
25 TO 29
102.1
112.6
1 2 5 .3
1 2 9.9
1 2 7 .2
30 TO 34
8 2 .6
8 9 .5
1 0 2 .9
1 1 7 .1
1 2 3.7
3 5 TO 39
6 5 .6
7 1 .4
8 0 .6
9 4 .7
1 0 9 .8
40 TO 44
5 5 .2
5 6 .0
6 3 .6
7 3 .4
8 7 .8
45 TO 49
4 5 .7
4 6 .6
4 9 .3
5 7 .2
6 7 .3
50 TO 54
4 0 .7
3 7 .8
4 0 .3
4 3 .6
5 1 .6
55 TO 59
2 7 .4
3 3 .0
3 2 .0
3 4 .9
3 8 .5
60 TO 64
22.2
21.1
2 6 .6
2 6 .4
2 9 .4
•
65 TO 69
1 6 .9
1 6 .1
1 6 .0
2 0 .7
20.8
21.2
21.8
21.0
OVER 69
2 2 .7
2 7 .2
SUBTOTAL
7 7 1 ,5
795.2
8 3 9 .5
8 9 2 .8
9 5 7 .8
KbPUIiLltH UUniNlUflnH
Test 1
TOTAL
PQPULATIQN AGES 5 TO 24
6
1980
1985
1990
1 9 95
2000
N
8 1 .3
8 7 .4
9 6 .5
1 0 3.0
1 0 8,3
F
7 9 .4
3 4 .6
9 3 .3
9 9 .6
1 0 4.7
N
8 1 .1
8 5 .9
9 4 .7
101.6
1 0 7 .2
F
7 8 .8
8 3 .2
9 1 .7
9 8 .3
1 0 3 .6
A E SEX
5
6
7
8
9
-
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
H
8 0 .6
8 4 .5
9 2 .9
100.2
1 0 6 .0
F
7 8 .3
8 2 .0
8 9 ,9
9 7 .0
102.6
N
8 0 .1
8 3 .4
9 1 .0
9 8 .7
1 0 4 .8
F
7 7 .9
8 0 .9
88.2
9 5 .6
1 0 1 .5
N
7 9 .7
8 2 .4
8 9 .2
9 7 .2
1 0 3 .6
F
7 7 .5
8 0 .0
8 6 .4
9 4 .2
1 0 0 .3
H
7 9 .3
8 1 .5
8 7 .3
9 5 .7
F
7 7 .2
7 9 .2
8 4 .7
9 2 .8
1 0 2 .4 •
7 8 .9
8 0 .6
8 5 .5
9 4 .2
101.2
F
7 6 .8
7 8 .4
8 2 .9
9 1 .4
9 8 .1
H
7 8 .2
8 0 .0
' 8 3 .9
9 2 .6
9 9 .9
F
7 6 .2
7 7 .8
8 1 .5
8 9 .8
9 6 .8 ;
N
. 7 7 .0
7 9 .5
8 2 .8
9 0 .8
9 8 .4
F
7 4 .9
7 7 .4
8 0 .4
88.1
9 5 .4
H
7 5 .3
7 9 .2
8 1 .9
8 8 .9
9 6 .9 .
F
7 3 .2
7 7 .2
7 9 .7
3 6 .3
9 4 .0
N
7 3 .6
7 8 .8
8 1 .1
8 7 .0
9 5 .3
F
7 1 .5
7 6 .3
7 8 .9
8 4 .5
9 2 .5
H
7 1 .8
7 8 .4
3 0 .2
8 5 .1
9 3 .8
F
6 9 .8
7 6 ,5
7 8 .1
8 2 .7
9 1 .1
H
6 9 .8
7 7 .7
7 9 ,5
8 3 .5
9 2 ,2
F
6 7 .7
7 5 .7
7 7 .5
8 1 .2
8 9 .6
N
6 7 .3
7 6 .4
7 9 .0
8 2 .3
9 0 .3
F
6 5 .2
7 4 .5
7 7 .1
8 0 .1
3 7 .8
N
6 4 .6
7 4 .7
7 8 .6
8 1 .4
8 8 .3
F
6 2 .5
7 2 .8
7 6 .8
7 9 .4
3 6 .0
N
6 1 .8
7 2 .9
7 8 .2
8 0 .5
8 6 .4
F
5 9 .7
71.1
7 6 .4
7 8 .6
8 4 ,2
H
5 9 .0
7 1 .1
7 7 .7
7 9 .6
8 4 .5
F
5 6 .9
6 9 .3
7 6 .0
7 7 .8
8 2 .4
H
5 6 .2
6 9 ,0
7 6 .9
7 8 .8
8 2 .8
F
5 4 .1
6 7 .2
7 5 .3
7 7 .1
8 0 .9
M
5 3 .6
6 6 .5
7 5 ,6
7 3 .3
8 1 .6
F
5 1 .5
7 4 .0
7 à .7
W 9 .8
u
e 4
64.7,
/T n
T T
T7
n
n
¡5
nA
n
H
4 1 .3
F
4 0 .1
6
N
4 1 .0
F
3 9 .8
7
«
4 0 .7 -
F
3 9 .5
3
H
4 0 .4
F
3 9 .3
9
H
4 0 .2
F
3 9 .1
10
H
4 0 .0
F
3 9 .0
11
N
3 9 .9
F
3 8 .8
12
N
3 9 .5
F
3 8 .5
13
N
3 8 .9
F
3 7 .8
14
tt 3 8 . 0
F
3 7 ,0
15
«
3 7 .2
F
3 6 .1
1
9 9 .2
H
4
8
A E SEX 1980
16
H 3 6 .3
F
3 5 .2
17
N
3 5 .2
F
3 4 .2
13
H 3 4 .0
19
H 3 2 .6
20
H 3 1 .2
21
H 2 9 .8
22
P 2 8 .4
23
n 2 7 .1
F
F
F
F
f
3 2 .9
3 1 .6
3 0 .2
2 8 .7
2 7 .3
F
2 6 .0
M
a
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
REPUBLICA DQHINICANA
Test I
URBAN
Test í
RURAL
POPULATION ASES.5 TO 24
m
1985
1990
1995
2000
49.5
47.9
48.Ó
47.1
4 7.8
46.4
47.2
45.8
46.6
45,3
46.1
44.8
4 5.6
44.4
45.2
44.0
45.0
43.8
44.8
43.6
44.6
43.4
44.4
43.2
43.9
42.8
43.2
42.1
42.2
41.2
41,2
40.2
40.2
39.2
39.0
38.0
37.6
36.6
IL i
58.3
56.4
57.2
55.3
56.1
54.3
55.0
53,2
53.8
52.2
52.7
51.1
51.6
50.1
50.7
49.2
50.0
48.6
49.5
48.1
49.0
47.6
48.4
47.2
48.0
46.8
47.7
46.5
47.5
46.4
47.2
46.1
46.9
45.9
46.4
45.4
45.6
44.7
6 5.0
62.9
64.2
62.1
63.3
61.2
62,3
60.4
61.4
59.5
6 0.4
58.6
59.5
57.7
58.5
56.7
57.3
55.6
56.1
54.5
54.9
53.3
53.7
52.2
52.7
51.3
52.0
50.6
51.4
50.1
50.8
49.6
50.2
49.1
49.8
48.7
49.4
48.4.
10 '
>
70.5
68.1
6 9.8
6
67.4
69.0
7
66.7
68.2
8
66.0
67.4
9
65.3
66.7 10
64.6
65.8 11
63.8
6 5.0 12
63.0
64.0 13
62.1
63.0 14
61,2
62.0 15
60,2
61.1 16
59.3
60,0 17
58.3
58.8 18
57,2
57.5 19
56.0
56.2 20
54.8
55.0 21
53.6
53.9 22
52.6
53.1 23
51.9 I
so s *a «
áí
L
POPULATION AGES 5 TO 24
SEX 1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
40.5
39.3
40.1
39.0
39.9
38.8
39.6
38.6
39.4
38.4
39,2
38.2
39.1
38.0
38.7
37.7
38.1
37.1
37.3
36.3
36.4
35.4
35.6
34,6
34.5
33.5
33,3
32.3
32.0
30.9
30.6
29.6
29.2
28.1
27.8
26.8
26.5
25.5
38.0
36.8
37.3
36.1
36.7
35.6
36.2
35.1
3 5.8
34.7
35.4
34.4
35.0
34.1
34.7
33.8
34,5
33.6
34,4
33,5
34.2
33.4
34.1
33.2
33.7
32.9
33.2
32.3
32.4
31.6
31.7
30,9
30.9
30.1
30.0
29.2
28.9
28.1
38.2
37.0
37.5
36.3
36.8
35.6
36.1
34.9
35.3
34.3
34.6
33.6
33.9
32.9
33.2
32.3
32.8
31.9
32.5
31.6
32.1
31.3
31.8
30.9
31.5
30.7
31,3
30.5
31.1
30.4
31.0
30.3
30.8
30.1
30.5
29.8
30.0
29.3
37,9
36.7
37.4
36.2
36.9
35.7
36.4
35.2
35.8
34.7
35.3
34.2
34.7
33.7
34.1
33.1
33.5
32.5
32.7
31.8
32.1
31.1
31.4
30.5
30.8
29,9
30.3
29.5
30.0
29.3
29.7
29.0
29.3
28.7
29.0
28.4
28.9
28.3
3 7,8
3 6.6
37.4
36.2
3 7.0
35.8
3 6.6
3 5.4
3 6 .2
35.0
3 5.8
34.6
3 5,3
34.2
3 4 .9
33.8
3 4.4
3 3.3
3 3.8
32.8
3 3.3
3 2.3
3 2.8
31.8
3 2.2
31.3
3 1 .5
30.7
3 0.8
30.0
30.2
29.4
29,5
28.8
2 8 .9
28.2
2 8.5
27.9
H
F
N
F
N
F
N
F
H
F
N
F
H
F
N
F
H
F
H
F
H
F
N
F
N
F
«
F
«
F
H
F
N
F
M
F
N
F
u
PUBLICA DQHINICANA
Test 1
URBAN
TOTAL
SCHOOL ABE POPULATION SUHHARY
SCHOOL ABE POPULATION SUHHARY
6
SCHOOL A E POPULATION SUNKARV
RURAL
SCHOOL ABE POPULATION
SCHOOL ACE POPULATION
SCHOOL ABE POPULATION
PRIHARY
6
SECONDARY
TO 11
PRIHARY
6
12 TO 18
m tm m tm m m tm m m tm tm t
YEAR
1980
PRIHARY
6
12 TO 18
ttttmtmtmttut tmmmmtmt
R A T IO TO
R A T IO TO
R A T IO TO
R A T IO TO
R A T IO TO
TOTAL
URBAN
URBAN
RURAL
RURAL
.1 6 6
NUHBER POPULATION
1012.
.1 7 8
NUHBER POPULATION
478.
.1 6 6
NUHBER POPULATION
5 1 1.
NUHBER POPULATION
.1 7 8
468.
.1 6 6
982.
.1 5 2
1 0 86 .
.1 6 8
555.
.1 5 2
614.
.1 6 8
427.
1990
1 0 64 .
.1 46
1122 .
.154
643.
.1 46
677.
.1 54
422.
1995
1157.
.1 4 2
1 2 03 .
.147
“ 7 3 1.
2000
1 2 30 .
.1 36
1 3 14 .
.1 4 5
801.
RA TIO TO
t
RA T IO TO NQRK-ACE
*
POPULATION (1 5 -6 4 1
» LABOR
TOTAL » POPULATION I
FORCE
t
t
.1 52
.1 68
.1 4 6
444.
.1 5 4
760.
.147
426.
.1 4 2
443.
.147
855.
.1 4 5
430.
.1 3 6
459.
.1 4 5
------------ABE------------
0
.3 4 0 8
.6 2 4 0
ACE
HEIGHT
TO 14 1 OVER 64
.7 7 3 5
.1 7 8
4 7 2.
.142
10 TO 14
1.00
1.00
1.00
15 TO 19
1.00
2 0 TO 64
1.00
1.00
0 TO
1 9 4 1 .6
50 1 .
EQ UIVALENT ECONOHIC CONSUHER H EIGHTS
------ LABOR FO R C E-—
I
NUHBER POPULATION
.1 3 6
o
LABOR FORCE SUHHARY
1980
12 TO 18
TOTAL
1985
YEAR
SECONDARY
TO 11
RA T IO TO
NUHBER POPULATION
946.
SECONDARY
TO 11
.0 5 7 3
1985
2 2 8 9 .7
.3 5 4 3
.6 1 6 6
.6861
.0 5 4 6
1990
2 6 7 0 .0
.3 6 6 2
.6 17 4
.6 3 2 9
.0 5 3 0
1995
3 0 7 0 .8
.3 7 6 2
.6 22 7
.5 9 7 2
.0 58 0
2000
3 4 8 8 .0
.3 8 4 9
.6 2 3 3
.5 5 8 3
.0 61 4
5 TO
4
9
OVER 64
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
LABOR FORCE P A R T IC IP A T IO N RATES
URBAN FEHALE LABOR FORCE
6Y
AGE GROUPS
'
SECTOR - 1 URBAN POPULATION
F l- H E L P F2-R U N F3-B RO N SE F 4 -P R IN T F 5 -S A V E H o ie - ls t H E N U Pq
AGE
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2000
1980
10.8
6.9
7.9
8 .9
15 TO 19
3 2 .8
3 9 .2
4 1 .0
4 2 .8
4 8 .5
20 TO 24
5 7 .0
8 1 .6
1 0 0 .9
1 1 2 .9
1 2 6 .4
25 TO 29
4 8 .8
7 3 .3
101.8
1 2 5 .3
1 4 0 .1
30 TO 34
3 9 .3
5 5 .4
7 7 .2
102.2
121.0
35 TO 39
3 1 .0
4 4 .1
5 9 .9
8 2 .5
1 0 8 .4
15 TO 19
.4 1 7
.1 9 3
.3 8 8
.1 57
40 TO 44
2 3 .4
3 1 .5
4 2 .9
5 7 .3
7 7 .9
20 TO 24
.7 38
.4 16
.6 89
.4 7 8
ÍO TO 14
1 2 .5
AGE
HALE
FEHALE
HALE
FEHALE
,
10 TO 14
.0 79
.0 36
.0 79
.0 36
45 TO 49
1 7 .2
22.6
2 8 .3
3 7 .1
4 8 .0
25 TO 29
.877
.4 57
.8 7 7
.5 6 0
50 TO 54
1 2 .3
1 5 .3
1 8 .8
2 2 .5
2 8 .4
30 TO 34
.9 10
.457
.9 1 0
.5 04
55 TO 59
6 .9
1 0 .4
1 4 .0
1 6 .1
35 TO 39
.9 3 0
.4 5 0
.9 3 0
.511
¿ 0 TO Ó4
4 .7
5 .6
8.9
9 .9
40 TO 44
.9 3 5
.4 0 0
.9 3 5
.4 6 0
12.1
8.0
65 TO 69
2 .9
3 .5
4 .0
5.5
5.9
45 TO 49
.9 2 0
.3 4 7
-.92 0
.368
OVER 69
3 .1
3 .6
3 .9
4.2
4 .8
50 TO 54
.8 7 3
.2 90
.8 7 3
.2 7 6
SUBTOTAL
2 8 6 .4
3 9 4 .1
5 0 7 .7
6 2 6 .0
7 4 7.9
55 TO 59
.7 9 0
.2 4 0
.6 9 7
.201
60 TO 64
.6 9 0
.200
.5 6 2
.1 5 4
6 5 TO 69
.5 8 2
.1 6 0
.4 37
.1 18
OVER 69
.4 5 5
.1 1 5
.2 8 8
.0 7 0
RURAL FEHALE LABOR FORCE BY AGE GROUPS
SECTOR - 2
AGE
1980
1985
1990
1995
RURAL POPULATION
2000
2000
1980
10 TO 14
2 7 .9
2 4 .6
2 2 .9
2 4 .2
2 5 .0
15 TO 19
3 8 .8
3 8 .1
3 5 .9
3 5 .0
3 6 .6
20 TO 24
3 4 .5
3 7 .8
3 9 .0
3 8 .0
3 8 .3
AGE
HALE
FEHALE
25 TO 29
2 8 .3
3 1 .9
3 6 .3
3 8 .3
3 8 .0
30 TO 34
2 3 .4
2 5 .6
3 0 .0
3 5 .0
3 7 .6
35 TO 39
1 9 .1
2 0 .9
2 3 .7
2 8 .5
3 3 .8
15 TO 19
.6 2 9
.2 3 3
40 TO 44
1 6 .5
1 7 .0
1 9 .3
2 2 .4
2 7 .5
20 TO 24
.6 9 0
4 5 TO 49
1 4 .1
1 4 .5
1 5 .5
1 8 .1
2 1 .4
25 TO 29
50 TO 54
11.6
1 1 .4
12.1
1 3 .1
1 5 .3
30 TO 34
10.8
1 1 .9
8 .5
9 .4
■
55 TO 59
7.8
9 .6
9 .9
60 TO 64
6 .3
6 .3
8.0
10 TO 14
>
.3 12
HALE
.1 4 9
.281
.
FEHALE
.1 34
.5 9 8
.2 3 3
.2 5 7
.8 90
.2 7 0
.9 33
.2 70
.9 3 0
.283
.9 4 5
.2 78
.9 45
.2 9 2
35 TO 39
.9 4 7
.2 8 3
.9 4 7
.2 9 7
40 TO 44
.9 4 2
.2 8 8
.9 4 2
.3 0 2
65 TO 69
4 .6
4 .7
4 .9
6 .5
7.0
45 TO 49
.9 3 5
.291
.9 35
.3 06
OVER 69
6.6
6.6
7 .0
7 .5
9 .2
50 TO 54
.9 24
.2 7 8
.924
.2 7 8
SUBTOTAL
2 3 9 .7
2 4 8 .9
2 6 4 .7
2 8 5 .8
3 1 3 .1
55 TO 59
.9 1 5
.2 7 7
.9 15
.2 77
60 TO 64
.8 9 4
.2 7 2
.8 9 4
.2 7 2
65 TO 69
.8 69
.2 6 2
.8 69
.2 62
OVER 69
.844
.2 5 0
.8 4 4
.2 5 0
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 2
W0RK-A6E POPULATION ( 1 5 - 6 4 )
RA TIO TO TOTAL POPULATION
TOTAL
YEAR POPULATION
1960
URBAN HALE
5 6 9 6 .9
—
0 TO 14 I
2 4 0 6 .9
AGE---------
—
15 TO 64 t OVER 64
3 1 1 1 .6
AGE--------
0 TO 14 t 15 TO 64 4 OVER 64
1 7 8 .4
.4 22
.031
.5 4 6
202.6
.3 99
.5 6 9
4 3 2 4 .6
2 2 9 .2
.3 8 9
.5 80
.031
3 2 5 4 .6
4 9 3 1 .6
2 8 6 .2
.384
.5 8 2
.034
3 5 5 2 .3
5 6 5 1 .7
3 4 3.3
.3 7 2
.5 92
.036
1985
6 5 2 0 .5
2 6 0 4 .5
3 7 1 3 .4
1990
7 4 5 3 .5
2 8 9 9 .6
1995
8 4 7 2 .5
2000
9 5 4 7 .3
•
'
6
LABOR FORCE ST A E 6R0U PS
RURAL HALE
2000
AGE
1980
1985
1990
1995
10 TO 14
1 5 .5
1 7 .9
20.1
2 4 .5
2 8 .4
AGE
.031
LABOR FORCE B y AfiE 6R0UPS
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
4 9 .5
5 2 .2
5 4 .2
•
0
10 TO 14
6 0 .0
5 3 .0
15 TO 19
7 3 .1
8 9 .4
9 6 .8
1 0 4 .6
1 2 3 .3
15 TO 19
1 0 8 .1
1 0 4 .1
9 6 .8
9 3 .6
20 TO 24
1 0 5 .0
1 4 1.0
1 6 4.7
1 7 5 .0
1 8 6.6
102.0
20 TO 24
1 2 4 .1
1 3 2 .8
1 3 4.8
112.6
1 2 9.3
25 TO 29
102.1
1 2 9 .6
1 2 5.3
1 2 9 .9
1 2 7 .2
30 TO 34
8 2 .6
'8 9 . 5
1 0 2.9
1 1 7 .1
1 2 3 .7
25 TO 29
9 7 .9
1 3 8 .0
1 7 9 .8
2 0 9.7
30 TO 34
8 1 .1
112.2
1 5 1 .0
1 9 3 .1
2 2 3 .5
35 TO 39
6 5 .8
9 1 .4
1 2 0 ,7
1 5 9 .4
222.1
201.1
35 TO 39
6 5 .6
7 1 .4
8 0 .6
9 4 .7
A V f •y
40 TO 44
5 5 .9
7 2 .4
9 6 .2
1 2 4 .8
1 6 2.5
40 TO 44
5 5 .2
5 6 .0
6 3 .6
7 3 .4
45 TO 49
8 7 .8
4 5 .9
5 9 .7
7 4 .0
9 6 .5
1 2 3 .5
45 TO 49
4 5 .7
4 6 .6
4 9 .3
5 7 .2
6 7 .3
50 TO 54
3 9 .3
4 6 .6
5 8 .0
7 0 .6
9 0 .8
50 TO 54
4 0 .7
3 7 .8
4 0 .3
4 3 .6 -
5 1 .6
1 0 9 .8
55 TO 59
2 4 .1
3 6 .0
3 9 .6
4 7 .0
5 4 .7
55 TO 59
3 3 .0
3 2 .0
3 0 .0
3 4 .4
60 TO 64
21.1
3 8 .5
2 8 .3
22.2
3 4 .9
1 7 .5
20.2
2 7 .4
60 TO 64
2 6 .6
2 6 .4
2 9 .4
6 5 TO 69
11.6
1 3 .1
1 4 .3
1 9 .3
1 9 .7
65 TO 69
1 6 .9
1 6 .1
1 6 .0
1 1 .4
1 3 .5
1 4 .6
1 5 .2
1 7 .3
21.2
21.8
21.0
OVER 69
20.8
2 0 .7
OVER 69
2 2 .7
2 7 .2
SUBTOTAL
6 4 4.1
8 5 1 .5
1 0 5 8 .1
1 2 6 9 .6
1 4 8 7 .8
SUBTOTAL
7 7 1.5
7 9 5 .2
LABOR FORCE SUHHARY
-—
LABOR FORCE—
»
YEAR
1980
RA TIO TO
t
R A T IO TO UORK-AGE
t
POPULATION ( 1 5 - 6 4 )
t LABOR
TOTAL » POPULATION t
1 9 4 1 .6 '
.3 4 0 8
t
FORCE t
.6 2 4 0
-A G E 0 TO 14 t OVER 64
.7 7 3 5
.0 5 7 3
1985
2 2 8 9 .7
.3 5 1 2
.6 1 6 6
.7 0 1 4
.0 5 4 6
1990
2 6 7 0 .0
.3 5 8 2
.6 1 7 4
.6 7 0 5
.0 5 3 0
1995
3 0 7 7 .3
.3 6 3 2
2000
.6 2 4 0
.6 5 9 9
.0 58 0
3 5 1 7 .8
.3 6 8 5
.6 2 2 4
.6 2 8 5
.0 6 0 7
8 3 9 .5
8 9 5 .9
9 6 9.0
i
;n tru » L iu H uuninu,HnH
Test 2
TOTAL
POPULATION AGES 5 TO 24
1 9 80
1985
1990
1995
2000
1980
H
S I. S
8 8 .4
1 0 4 .8
1 1 5 .5
1 2 4 .7
4 1 .3
F
7 9 .4
8 5 .6
1 0 1 .4
1 1 1.7
1 2 0.5
4 0 .1
&
H
8 1 .1
86.1
101.8
1 1 3 .3
1 2 2 .9
4 1 .0
F
7 8 .3
8 3 .4
9 8 .5
1 0 9 .6
1 1 8 .8
3 9 ,8
7
H
8 0 .6
8 4 .3
9 8 .6
1 1 0 .9
121.0
4 0 .7
F
7 8 .3
8 1 .7
9 5 .5
1 0 7.4
1 1 7 .0
3 9 .5
8
H
8 0 .1
8 2 .9
9 5 .4
1 0 8.5
1 1 9 .0
4 0 .4
F
7 7 .9
8 0 .5
9 2 .5
1 0 5 .1
1 1 5 .2
3 9 .3
9
N
7 9 .7
8 1 .9
9 2 .3
1 0 6.0
1 1 7 .0
4 0 .2
AGE SEX
5
F
7 7 .5
7 9 .5
8 9 .4
1 0 2 .7
10
1 1 3.3
3 9 .1
»
7 9 .3
8 1 .1
8 9 .1
1 0 3.6
1 1 4 ,9
4 0 .0
11
H
F
7 6 .8
7 8 .4
8 3 .3
12
9 8 .2
1 0 9.3
3 8 .8
H
7 8 .2
8 0 .2
8 3 .3
9 8 .6
1 1 0 .5
3 9 .5
F
7 6 .2
7 8 .0
8 0 .9
9 5 .6
1 0 7 .2
3 8 .5
13
H
7 7 .0
7 9 ,7
8 1 .9
9 5 .4
1 0 8.1
3 8 .9
F
7 4 .9
7 7 .6
7 9 .6
9 2 .6
1 0 4,9
3 7 .8
14
H
7 5 .3
7 9 .2
8 1 .3
9 2 .0
1 0 5 .6
3 8 .0
F
7 3 .2
7 7 .2
7 9 .1
8 9 .3
1 0 2 .5
3 7 .0
15
H
7 3 .6
7 8 .8
8 0 .7
8 8 .7
1 0 3 .2
3 7 .2
F
7 1 .5
7 6 .8
7 8 .6
86.2
16
N
7 1 .8
7 8 .4
8 0 .1
8 5 .4
100.2
100.8
3 6 .3
F
6 9 .8
7 6 .5
7 8 .1
8 3 .0
9 7 .9
3 5 .2
17
H
6 9 .8
7 7 .7
7 9 .7
8 2 .9
9 8 .1
3 5 .2
F
6 7 .7
7 5 .7
7 7 .7
8 0 .6
9 5 .3
3 4 .2
18
ff
6 7 .3
7 6 .4
7 9 .2
8 1 .5
9 4 .9
3 4 .0
F
6 5 .2
7 4 .5
7 7 .3
7 9 .3
9 2 .3
3 2 .9
19
H
6 4 .6
7 4 .7
7 8 .7
8 0 .8
9 1 .4
3 2 .6
F
6 2 .5
7 2 .8
7 6 .8
20
7 8 .3
8 9 .0
3 1 .6
H
6 1 .8
7 2 .9
7 8 .2
8 0 .1
88.1
3 1 .2
F
5 9 .7
7 1 .1
7 6 .4
21
7 8 .2
8 5 ,9
3 0 .2
H
5 9 .0
7 1 .1
7 7 .7
7 9 .5
8 4 .8
2 9 .8
F
5 6 .9
6 9 .3
7 6 .0
7 7 .7
22
8 2 .7
2 8 .7
N
5 6 .2
6 9 .0
7 6 .9
7 9 .0
8 2 .2
2 8 .4
F
5 4 .1
6 7 .2
7 5 .3
7 7 .3
n
8 0 .3
2 7 .3
23
5 3 .6
6 6 .5
7 5 .6
7 8 ,5
8 0 .8
2 7 .1
nâ
5 1 .5
e< <
6 4 .7
7 4 .0
7 6 Ì8
7 9 .0
2 6 .0
U
F
F
•
7 7 .2
7 8 .8
8 6 .4
1 0 0.4
1 1 1 .3
3 9 .0
7 8 .9
8 0 .6
8 5 .8
101.2
112.8
3 9 .9
» ^
«
.
3 6 .1
'REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
REPUBLICA DOniNICANA
Test 2
Test 2
URBAN
RURAL
POPULATION ABES S TQ 24
POPULATION ASES 5 TO 24
1985
1990
1995
2000
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
50.0
48.4
48.7
47.2
47.7
46.2
46.9
45.5
46.3
45.0
45.9
44.6
45.6
44.3
45.3
44.1
45.1
43.9
44.8
43.7
44.6
43.4
44.4
43.2
43.9
42.8
43.2
42.1
42.2
41.2
41.2
40.2
40.2
39.2
39.0
38.0
37.6
36.6
6 3.3
6 1.2
61.5
59.5
59.5
57.7
57.6
55.8
55.7
54. o '
53.8
52.2
51.8
50.3
50.3
48.8
49.5
48.1
49.1
47.8
48.7
47.4
48.4
47.1
48.1
46.9
4 7.8
46.6
47.5
46.4
47.2
46.1
46.9
4 5.9
46.4
45.4
45.6
44.7
72.9
70.6
71.5
69.2
70.0
6 7 .8
68.5
66.4
67.0
64.9
65.4
63.4
6 3.9
62.0
62.2
60.4
60.2
58.4
58.1
56.4
56.0
54.4
53.9
52.4
52.3
50.9
51.4
50.1
51.0
49.8
50.6
49.4
50.2
49.1
49.9
48.8
49.6
48.5
81.2
78.4
80.0
77.3
78.7
76.2
77.5
75.0
76.2
73.7
74.8
72.5
73.4
71.1
71.9
69.8
70.4
68.3
68.8
66.7
67.1
65.2
65.6
63.7
63.8
62.0
6 1.8
60.0
59.5
57.9
57.4
55.9
55.2
53.8
53.5
52.2
52.6
51.4
40.5
39.3
40.1
39.0
39.9
38.8
39.6
38.6
39.4
38.4
39.2
38.2
39.1
38.0
38.7
37.7
38.1
37.1
37.3
36.3
36.4
35.4
35.6
34.6
34.5
33.5
33.3
32.3
32.0
30.9
30.6
29.6
29.2
28.1
27.8
26.8
26.5
25.5
38.4
37.2
37.4
3 6.2
36.6
35.5
36.0
35.0
35.6
34.5
35,2
34.2
35.0
34.0
34.8
33.9
34.6
33.7
34.4
33.5
34.2
33.4
34.1
33.2
33.7
32.9
33.2
32.3
32.4
31.6
31.7
30.9
30.9
30.1
30.0
29.2
28.9
.28.1
41.5
40.2
40.3
39.0
39.1
37.8
37.8
36.6
36.6
35.4
35.3
34.2
34.0
33.0
33.0
32.0
32.5
31.5
32.2
31.3
32.0
31.1
31.8
30.9
31.6
30.8
31.4
30.6
31.2
30.4
31.0
30.3
30.8
30.1
30.5
29.8
30.0
. 29.3
42.6
41.2
41.7
40.4
40.9
39.6
40.0
38.7
39.1
.3 7 .9
*38.2
37.0
37.3
36.2
36.3
35.2
35.2
34.1
^ 33.9
32.9
32.7
31,8
31.5
30.6
30.5
29,7
30.029.2
29.8
29.0
29.5
28.8
29,3
28.6
29.1
28.5
28.9
28.3
4 3.5
42.1
4 2.9
4 1 .5
4 2.2
4 0.9
4 1.6
40.2
4 0.9
39.6
40.1
38.9
3 9.4
38.2
3 8.6
37,4
3 7 .8
36.6
36.9
3 5.8
3 6.0
35.0
35.2
34,2
3 4.3
33.3
33.1
32.2
3 1.9
31.1
3 0,8
30.0
2 9.6
2 8.9
28.7
28.0
2 8.2
27.6
.
PUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 2
SCHOOL ASE POPULATION SUHNARY
URBAN
TOTAL
SCHOOL AGE POPULATION
RURAL
SCHOOL AGE POPULATION
SCHOOL AGE POPULATION
PRIMARY
6 TO 11
SECONDARY
12 TO 18
PRIMARY
6 TO 11
SECONDARY
12 TO 18
PRIMARY
6 TO 11
SECONDARY
12 TO 10
tutumutmttm tmiinuututn ntttmmtumm umtmitnmu' mtuMummun utmmimmm
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
RATIO TO
TOTAL
NUMBER POPULATION
946.
979.
1109.
1267.
1393.
.166
.150
.149
.150
.146
RATIO TO
TOTAL
NUMBER POPULATION
1012.
1087.
1117.
1231.
1421.
.178
.167
.150
.145
,149
RATIO TO
URBAN
'
NUMBER POPULATION
478.
554.
669.
800.
906.
.166
.150
.149
.150
.146
RATIO TO
URBAN
NUMBER POPULATION
511.
615.
675.
777.
925.
EQUIVALENT ECONOMIC CONSUMER HEIGHTS
AGE
0 TO 4
5 TO 9
10 TO 14
15 TO 19
20 TO 64
OVER 64
HEIGHT
.50
.80
.90
1.00
1.00
.80
.178
.167
,150
.145
.149
RATIO TO
RURAL
NUMBER POPULATION
468.
425.
439.
467.
486.
.166
.150
.149
.150
.146
RATIO TO
RURAL
NUMBER POPULATION
501.
472.
443.
454.
496.
.178
.167
.150
.145
.149
LRPW/PC 01-01-80 02:27
S P E C IA L POPULATIONS
RD02
S03
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
P a r t ic ip a t io n
Test 2
ra te s -
"S B A N FEMALE
1980
- RURAL MALE
2000
I9 6 0
2000
1 0 -1 4
0 .0 3 6 0 .03 6
1 0 -1 4
1 5 -1 9
0 .1 9 3 0 .15 7
1 5 -1 9
0 .6 2 9 0 .5 9 8
2 0 -2 4
0 . 4 1 6 0 .4 7 8
2 0 -2 4
0 .8 9 0 0 .8 9 0
2 5 -2 9
0 .4 5 7 0 .5 6 0
2 5 -2 9
0 .9 3 3 0 .9 3 0
3 0 -3 4
0 . 4 5 7 0 .5 0 4
3 0 -3 4
0 .9 4 5 0 .9 4 5
3 5 -3 9
0 . 4 5 0 0 .5 1 1
3 5 -3 9
0 . 9 4 7 0 .9 4 7
4 0 -4 4
0 .4 0 0 0 .46 0
4 0 -4 4
0 .9 4 2 0 .9 4 2
4 5 -4 9
0 .3 4 7 0 .3 6 8
4 5 -4 9
0 .9 3 5 0 .93 5
5 0 -5 4
0 .2 9 0 0 .27 6
5 0 -5 4
0 .9 2 4 0 .9 2 4
5 5 -5 9
0 . 2 4 0 0 .2 0 1
5 5 -5 9
0 .9 1 5 0 .9 1 5
6 0 -6 4
0 .2 0 0 0 .15 4
6 0 -6 4
0 .8 9 4 0 .8 9 4
6 5 -6 9
0 .1 6 0 0 .1 1 8
6 5 -6 9
0 .8 6 9 0 .8 6 9
70+
0 .1 1 5 0 .07 0
70+
0 .8 4 4 0 .8 4 4
0 . 3 1 2 0 .2 8 1
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 2 0
LRPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 :2 7
S P E C IA L POPULATIONS
RD02
SOS
R EP U B LIC A DQM INICAN A
P a r t ic ip a t io n
T e st 2
S P E C IA L POPULATIONS
1 0 -1 4
1985
1990
2000
1 0 -1 4
0 .0 7 9
0 . 1 4 9 0 .1 3 4
1 5 -1 9
0 .4 1 7
0 .7 3 8
1 5 -1 9
0 .2 3 3 0 .23 3
2 0 -2 4
2 0 -2 4
0 .2 5 7 0 . 2 7 0
2 5 -2 9
0 .87 7
2 5 -2 9
0 .2 7 0 0 .28 3
3 0 -3 4
0 .9 1 0
3 0 -3 4
0 .2 7 8 0 .2 9 2
3 5 -3 9
0 .9 3 0
3 5 -3 9
0 .2 8 3 0 .29 7
4 0 -4 4
0 .9 3 5
4 0 -4 4
0 .2 8 8 0 .3 0 2
4 5 -4 9
0 .9 2 0
4 5 -4 9
0 .2 9 1 0 . 3 0 6
5 0 -5 4
0 .8 7 3
5 0 -5 4
0 .2 7 8 0 .2 7 8
5 5 -5 9
0 .7 9 0
5 5 -5 9
0 .2 7 7 0 .27 7
6 0 -6 4
0 .6 9 0
6 0 -6 4
0 .2 7 2 0 .2 7 2
6 5 -6 9
0 .5 8 2
6 5 -6 9
0 .2 6 2 0 .26 2
70+
0 .4 5 5
70+
0 .2 5 0 0 .2 5 0
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
S P E C IA L POPULATIONS
Age g r o u p
In it ia l
a ge :
S e c t o r 2 N a ie
RD02
SOO
F i n a l Age
11
SECONDARY
F i n a l Age
18
0 -04
H e ig h t
0 .5 0 0
5 -09
0 .8 0 0
1 0 -1 4
0 .9 0 0
2 0 -6 4
1.000
1 .ÖÖÖ
65+
0 .8 0 0
1 5 -1 9
1995
2000
R E P U B LIC A DQM INICANA
E c o n o a ic c o n s u i e r w e ig h t s
PRIMARY
6
T e st 2
r a t e s - URBAN HALE
0.000 0.000 0 . 0 7 9
0.000 0.000 0 . 3 8 8
0.000 0.000 0 . 6 8 9
0.000 0.000 0 . 8 7 7
0.000 0.000 0 . 9 1 0
0.000 0.000 0 . 9 3 0
0.000 0.000 0 . 9 3 5
0.000 0.000 0 . 9 2 0
0.000 0.000 0 . 8 7 3
0.000 0.000 0 .6 9 7
0.000 0.000 0 . 5 6 2
0.000 0.000 0 . 4 3 7
0.000 0.000 0 . 2 8 8
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 2 9
S e c t o r 1 N a ie
R E P U B LIC A D OM INICANA
P a r t ic ip a t io n
r a t e s - RURAL FEMALE
1980
1980
RD02
S0 2
T e st 2
PROYECCIONES DE EDUCACION
EDUCATIONAL DEHAND’ E02
R e g io n : URBAN
Se cto r:
S e r v ic e n a ie :
1
S e x : HALE+FEHALE
1 PRIMARV
ALUHNOS/AULAS
S e rv ic e
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te
ra te
costs
co sts
1980
6 2 .1 0 0
0 .03 3
2 5 .8 0 0
1985
6 1 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
2 5 .8 0 0
5 .0 0 0
1990
6 0 .0 0 0
0 .03 3
2 5 . BOO
5 .00 0
5 .00 0
1995
5 9 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
2 5 ,8 0 0
5 .0 0 0
2000
5 7 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
2 5 .8 0 0
5 .0 0 0
LRPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 8
EDUCATIONAL DENANO
R e g io n : RURAL
“
1990
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND
S e x ; MALE+FEMALE
S e rv ic e
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te
ra te
costs
costs
6 1 .5 0 0
0 .0 3 3
3 8 .7 0 0
6 1 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
3 8 .7 0 0
7 .5 0 0
6 0 .0 0 0
0 .03 3
3 8 .7 0 0
7 .5 0 0
7 .5 0 0
1995
5 9 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
3 8 .7 0 0
7 .50 0
2000
5 8 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
3 8 .7 0 0
7 .5 0 0
R D O f R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA
Se c to r:
2
1 PRIM ARY
T e st 1
E02
R e g io n : URBAN
S e r v ic e n a ie :
T e st 1
ALUMNOS/AULA
1980
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6
R EP U B LIC A DOMINICANA
S e cto r:
S e r v i c e n a ie :
1985
RDO l
E 02
1 PRIMARY
S e x : MALE+FEMALE
ALUMNOS/MAESTROS
S e r v ic e
ra te
R e p la c e ie n t
ra te
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
costs
1980
4 6 .8 0 0
0 .40 0
4 0 .0 0 0
1965
4 5 .0 0 0
0 .4 0 0
4 0 .0 0 0
1990
4 4 .0 0 0
0 .4 0 0
4 0 .0 0 0
1995
4 2 .0 0 0
0 .40 0
4 0 .0 0 0
2000
4 0 .0 0 0
0 .4 0 0
4 0 .0 0 0
costs
10.000
10.000
10.000
10,000
10.000
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 8
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND
Se cto r:
R e g io n : RURAL
S e r v i c e n a ie :
RDOl
2
R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA
T e st 1
E02
S e x : HALE+FEHALE
1 PRIMARY
ALUMNOS/MAESTROS
S e r v ic e
ra te
R e p la c e ie n t
ra te
In v e s t ie n t
co sts
O p e ra tin g
costs
1980
6 4 .6 0 0
0 .0 5 0
6 0 .0 0 0
1 5 .0 0 0
1985
6 4 .0 0 0
0 .0 5 0
6 0 .0 0 0
1 5 .0 0 0
1990
6 3 .0 0 0
0 .0 5 0
6 0 .0 0 0
1 5 .0 0 0
1995
6 2 .0 0 0
0 .0 5 0
6 0 .0 0 0
1 5 .0 0 0
2000
6 0 .0 0 0
0.05 0
6 0 .0 0 0
1 5 .0 0 0
ÍPK/PC OÌ-Or-BO 02;57
ÌUCATIONAL DEMAND
Test I
E02
le g io n : URBAN
S e r v ic e n a t e :
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Se cto r:
1
S e x : MALE+FEMALE
2 SECONDARY
R e g io n : RURAL
Se cto r:
S e r v i c e n a ie :
ALUMNOS/AULA
2 SECONDARY
ALUMNOS/AULA
S e rv ic e
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
S e r v ic e
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te
ra te
costs
costs
ra te
ra te
costs
co sts
2 9 .0 0 0
1980
4 0 .0 0 0
* 0 .0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
3 2 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
5 7 .0 0 0
1985
3 9 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
3 1 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
5 7 .0 0 0
2 9 .0 0 0
1990
3 8 .0 0 0
0 .03 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
3 0 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
5 7 .0 0 0
2 9 .0 0 0
1995
3 7 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
3 0 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
5 7 .0 0 0
2 9 .0 0 0
2000
3 6 .0 0 0
0 .03 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
3 0 .0 8 0
0 .0 3 3
5 7 .0 0 0
2 9 .0 0 0
LRPM/PC 0 1 - Ú 1 - 8 0 0 3 : 0 0
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND
R EP U B LIC A DO M IN ICANA
RDÓ1
T e st 1
E02
R e g io n : URBAN
S e c to r:
R e g io n : RURAL
S e r v i c e n a ie :
6 4 .6 0 0
1985
6 4 .6 0 0
1990
6 4 .6 0 0
1995
6 4 .6 0 0
2000
6 4 .6 0 0
l/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6
lio n : URBAN
RDO l
E 06
R e p la c e ie n t
ra te
ra te
lATlO NAL DEMAND
0.020
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
In v e s t ie n t
4 0 .0 0 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 0 .0 0 0
E n r o llie n t
2 SECONDARY
ALUMNOS/MAESTROS
20.000
20.000
20.000
20.000
20.000
0
T e st 1
1 P R IM A R I
S e x : MALE+FEMALE
ra te
0 .86 0
0 .37 8
0 .8 7 0
0 .38 0
790
0.880
0 .3 9 0
795
0 .8 9 0
0 .4 0 0
0 .41 0
O p e r a t in g
co sts
costs
8 0 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
0 .0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
7 0 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
7 5 .0 0 0
0 .0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
6 0 .0 0 0
•
0 .0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
R e g io n : URBAN
RDO l
E 06
S e c to r:
E n r o llie n t
ra te
1980
0 .4 5 2
1985
0 .4 6 0
1 9 90
0 .4 7 0
1995
0 .4 8 0
2000
0 .5 0 0
R EP U B LIC A DOM INICANA
T e sti
E n r o llie n t ra te s
RURAL
ra te
In v e s t ie n t
7 5 .0 0 0
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6
E n r o llie n t
780
R e p la c e ie n t
ra te
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND
785
0 .90 0
0
4 0 .0 0 0
R E P U B LIC A DOMINICANA
S e rv ic e
co sts
E n r o llie n t ra te s
Se cto r:
ra te
O p e r a t in g
costs
R e g io n :
SCO
Se cto r:
S e r v i c e n a ie :
ALUMNOS/MAESTROS
2
S e r v ic e
1980
S e x : MALE+FEMALE
2 SECONDARY
2 SECONDARY
S e x : MALE+FEMA
R e g io n : RURAL
E n r o llie n t
ra te
0 .2 4 9
0 .2 6 0
0 .2 7 0
0 .2 8 0
0 .2 9 0
LRPM/PC 01-01-80 02:55 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA t e s t 1
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND EOl Education-eodule paraeeters
N u abe r o f e d u c a t io n s e r v i c e s :
U rban
2
R u ra l
2
Se x s e p a r a t i o n :
READY
1
1 = C o a b in e a a le and f e a a le s t u d e n t s
2 = Do n o t c o a b in e
A d a i n i s t r a t i v e and o v e rh e a d c o s t s :
2
0 = None
1 = P erce ntage o f t o t a l c o s t s
2 = F ix e d
c o s t s to be s p e c i f i e d a l s o
P r in t o u t in t e r v a l;
5
C u rre n c y u n it s :
p esos
6o
(1 = y e a r l y
5 = 5 -y e a r p e r io d s )
'
to f o l l o w i n g aenu ( w it h P g D n ):
U r b a n / R u r a l:
1
S e c t o r n u a b e r:
1
S e r v i c e n u a b e r:
1
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND
RDO l
EÚ4
2
= u rb a n
R EP U B LIC A DOM INICANA
= r u r a l)
T e st 1
O ve rh e ad and o t h e r f i x e d c o s t s
Se cto r:
R e g io n : URBAN
(1
R e g io n : RURAL
2 SECONDARY
Se c to r:
In v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d :
0.100
In v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d :
0.200
O p e r a t in g
0 .0 3 0
O p e r a t in g
o v e rh e a d :
0 .7 0 0
In v e s t a e n t
O p e r a t in g
o v e rh e a d ;
F ix e d c o s t s
In v e s t a e n t
12.0
12.0
12.0
12.0
12.0
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 5
EDUCATIONAL DEMAND
RDO l
EÚ4
R e g io n : URBAN
O p e r a t in g
3 4 .0
7 5 .0
3 4 .0
7 5 .0
5.0
3 4 .0
7 5 .0
5 .0
5.0
3 4 .0
7 5 .0
5 .0
3 4 .0
7 5 .0
5 .0
R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA
T e st 1
O ve rh e ad and o t h e r f ix e d c o s t s
Se c to r:
1 PR IM AR Y
READY
R e g io n ; RURAL
Se c to r:
1 PRIMARY
In v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d :
0.100
I n v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d :
0.100
O p e r a t in g
0 .15 0
O p e r a t in g
o v e rh e a d ;
0 .0 8 0
In v e s t a e n t
O p e ra tin g
o v e rh e a d :
■
F ix e d c o s t s
In v e s t a e n t
O p e r a t in g
5.0
1980
9 .0
3 .0
4 5 .0
1985
7 .0
5 .0
4 5 .0
5.0
1990
6.0
7 .0
4 5 .0
5.0
1995
3 .0
9.0
4 5 .0
5 .0
2000
1.0
l. O
4 5 .0
5.0
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
IB Ü C A DOMINICANA
is t
2
Test 1
mu REBIQH
URBAN REBION
AL EDUCATION PROGRAM COSTS (M IL L IO N S OF p e s o s
)
TOTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM CO STS ( M IL L IO N S Of p e s o s
(IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD)
(IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD)
INVESTMENT
TEAR
1985
OPERATING
TOTAL
COSTS
COSTS
COSTS
2 6 3 0 .2 5
5 3 0 3 .6 1
7 9 3 3 ,8 6
INVESTMENT
YEAR
1985
OPERATING
TOTAL
COSTS
COSTS
COSTS
2 6 3 6 .2 9
5 3 0 5 .5 6
7 9 4 1 .8 5
1990
2 9 7 2 ,3 7
5 9 7 3 .5 5
8 9 4 5 .9 2
1990
2 8 5 5 .9 4
5 9 2 5 .3 4
8 7 8 1 .2 8
1995
3 4 6 3 .0 1
6 7 1 6 .5 3
1 0 1 7 9 .5 4
1995
3 3 0 4 .0 1
6 7 0 0 ,7 1
2000
1 0 0 0 4 .7 2
3 8 1 4 .3 7
7 5 8 1 .1 6
1 1 3 9 5 .5 4
2000
3 1 5 4 .0 5
7 1 8 1 .1 2
1 0 3 3 5 .1 7
MULATIVE COSTS BY S E R V IC E
CUMULATIVE COSTS BY S E R V IC E
«
INVESTMENT
OPERATING
COSTS
COSTS
TOTAL
INVESTMENT
COSTS
OPERATING
COSTS
E R V IC E 2
1 1 0 8 8 ,7 7
9 1 8 7 .5 7
1 9 0 1 .2 0
E R V IC E 1
2 6 2 3 1 .0 9
1 5 5 9 3 .2 8
1 0 6 3 7 .8 1
S E R V IC E 1
1 6 5 6 .8 4
8 8 5 4 .0 6
1 0 5 1 0 ,9 0
S E R V IC E 2
9 9 5 2 .4 6
1 5 4 6 4 .6 7
2 5 4 1 7 .1 2
T e st 1
T e st 2
RURAL REGION
RURAL R E 6 I0 N
TOTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM COSTS ( M IL L IO N S OF p e s o s
)
INVESTMENT
COSTS •
8 0 2.92
OPERATING
COSTS
3 6 5 0 .7 9
4 4 5 3 .7 1
pesos
YEAR
1985
OPERATING
TOTAL
COSTS
COSTS
COSTS
80 5 .7 7
3 6 5 1 .8 8
4 4 5 7 .6 5
4 4 9 7 .3 5
1990
89 6 .6 3
3 5 2 6 .2 1
4 4 2 2 .8 4
1’995
9 6 4 .7 0
2000
3 5 5 4 .6 0
4 5 1 9 .3 0
9 8 0.82
3 6 9 6 .6 0
4 6 7 7 .4 2
1990
9 4 6 .1 6
1995
1 0 5 9 .0 8
3 6 7 5 .0 7
4 7 3 4 .1 5
2000
1 0 9 4 .8 4
3 9 8 4 ,0 7
5 0 7 8 .9 0
CUMULATIVE COSTS BY S E R V IC E
CUMULATIVE CO STS BY S E R V IC E
COSTS
INVESTMENT
TOTAL
COSTS
3 5 5 1 .1 9
INVESTMENT
TOTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM CO ST S (M IL L IO N S OF
(IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD)
(IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD)
1985
COSTS
R E P U B L IC A lO M rN IC A N A ’
R EP U B LIC A DOM INICANA
YEAR
TOTAL
COSTS
OPERATING
COSTS
INVESTMENT
TOTAL
COSTS
COSTS
OPERATING
COSTS
TOTAL
COSTS
S E R V IC E 1
5 2 1.26
5 5 1 0 .4 3
6 0 3 1 .6 9
S E R V IC E 1
4 2 6 ,2 0
5ZS7.H
5 7 8 3 .9 5
S E R V IC E 2
98 1 ,7 5
9 1 5 0 .6 8
1 0 1 3 2 .4 3
S E R V IC E 2
8 2 1 .7 2
8 8 7 1 .5 4
9 6 9 3 .2 6
REPUBLICA OOKINICANA
j
Test 2
URBAN RE6I0N
2
, HALE+FENALE
SECONDARY
ENROLLHENT
SCHOOL-AGE
YEAR
POPULATION
RA T IO
ENROLLHENT
5 1 0.9
.4 5 2
2 3 0.9
1980
6 1 4.7
1985
2 8 2 .7
.4 6 0
1990
6 7 4 .7
.4 7 0
3 1 7 .1
1995
7 7 7 .3
.4 8 0
3 7 3.1
9 2 5 .1
.5 0 0
4 6 2 .6
2000
*
ALUHNOS/AULA
-
, SECONDARY
(S E R V IC E 1 )
UNIT
"
S E R V IC E
RA TIO
YEAR
.
REPLACENENT
INVESTHENT
C O ST !
VALUE
UNIT
OPERATING
COST!
4 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 33
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1985
3 9 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1990
3 8 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1995
3 7 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
2000
3 6 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1980
“
ALUHNDS/HAESTROS
(S E R V IC E 2 i
, SECONDARY
U N IT
YEAR
S E R V IC E
REPLACENENT
RA T IO
VALUE
INVESTHENT
C OST!
UNIT
OPERATING
COST!
1980
8 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 33
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
1985
7 5 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
1990
7 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 33
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
1995
6 5 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
2000
6 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
REPUBLIC A DO niNIC AN A
O Í- O Í- 1 5
T e st 1
URBAN REG ION
2
SECONDARY
SCHQOL-AGE
YEAR
, HALE+FEHALE
ENROLLHENT
POPULATION
R A T IO
ENROLLHENT
5 1 0.9
.4 5 2
2 3 0.9
Í9 8 0
1985
6 1 4 .2
.4 6 0
1990
6 7 7 .2
.4 7 0
3 1 8 .3
1995
7 5 9 .5
.4 8 0
3 6 4 .6
2000
8 5 5 .2
.5 0 0
4 2 7 .6
ALUHNOS/AULA
2 8 2.5
SECONDARY
(S E R V IC E 1)
U N IT
S E R V IC E
REPLACEHENT
YEAR
R A T IO
VALUE
1980
4 0 .0 0 0 0
INVESTH ENT
CO STI
.0 3 3
UNIT
OPERATING
C O ST I
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1985
3 9 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1990
3 8 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
1995
3 7 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
2000
3 6 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
3 8 .0 0 0
1 9 .3 5 0
ALÜHNOS/HAESTROS
, SECONDARY
( S E R V IC E 2 )
U N IT
YEAR
S E R V IC E
REPLACEHEN T
RA TIO
VALUE
INVESTH ENT
C O ST I
U N IT
OPERATINf
C O ST I
1980
8 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
1985
7 5 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
1990
7 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
1995
7 5 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
2000
6 0 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
4 0 .5 7 6
2 0 .2 8 8
ALUHNOS/AULAS
, PRIM ARY
,
08.1 A»>A
Ic sfl
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
INVESTMENT COSTS
NUMBER
m m tm
YEAR
U N IT S
19B0
im m tm m tm u tm m m tm m
tm u m n tm m m m m m m tm
A D D IT IO N S
TOTAL
REPLACEMENTS
pesos
)
REPLACEMENTS
A D D IT IO N S
TOTAL
TOTAL
2 9 .4 8
4.4 8
3.9 6
2 1 7 .8 3
1 1 5 .5 8
1 0 2 .2 5
8.44
6 9 6 .2 1
1990
3 3 .9 4
4 .46
5 .15
9 .61
1 1 4 .9 8
1 3 2 .8 7
2 4 7 .8 5
8 0 2 .5 8
1995
3 8 .3 6
4 .42
5 .88
1 0 .3 1
1 1 4 .1 5
1 5 1 .8 2
26 5 .9 7
9 1 3.69
2000
4 1 .0 8
2 .72
6 .51
9.23
7 0 .2 4
1 6 7 .8 9
2 3 8 .1 2
9 9 9 .5 6
TOTAL
TOTAL
ALUMNQS/MAESTROS
YEAR
)
tm tttm m ttn
2 5 .5 2
1985
,
pesos
(THOUSANDS)
T H IS YEAR
(M IL L IO N S OF
( M IL L IO N S OF
NEW U N IT S REQUIRED
REQ UIRED
OPERATING COSTS
i
U N IT S
REPLACEMENTS
A D D IT IO N S
, PRIM ARY
A D D IT IO N S
TOTAL
REPLACEMENTS
■
1 9 .2 3
1980
1985
1990
-
2 1 .7 5
2 4 .8 9 .
4 0 .4 3
2.52
3 .14
4 5 .9 4
1 0 0 .7 0
4 2 .9 5
1 2 5 .5 7
4 9 .0 8
1 7 1 7 .8 2
1 8 3 7 .5 6
1 9 6 3 .1 3
1 1 7 9 .8 7
1 3 1 6 .2 6
1 4 1 0 .9 7
1995
2 7 .3 1
2 .42
5 1 .6 8
5 4 .1 0
• 9 6 .8 4
2 0 6 7 .2 8
2 1 6 4 .1 2
2000
2 8 .8 3
1 .5 2
5 5 .8 3
5 7 .3 5
6 0 .9 0
2 2 3 3 .1 9
2 2 9 4 .1 0
ALUMNOS/AULA
1 0 3 5 .8 7
1 6 1 7 .1 2
, SECONDARY
"test
Z
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
NUMBER
INVESTMENT COSTS
NEN U N IT S REQ UIRED
REQ UIRED
T H IS YEAR
tm u m t
YEAR
1980
U N IT S
pesos
(THOUSANDS)
m m m m u tm tttm m m tm m
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
OPERATING COSTS
( M IL L IO N S OF
TOTAL
(M IL L IO N S OF
)
pesos
m m m um m m m m uum m t
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
ummtmmt
TOTAL
9 .24
1985
1 1 .0 3
1 .7 9
1 .6 4
3.4 3
6 8 .0 4
6 2 .2 5
1 3 0 .2 8
9 9 5 .2 0
1990
1 2 .0 5
1.02
1 .8 9
2.91
3 8 .8 7
7 1 .6 7
1 1 0 .5 4
1 1 2 5 .6 5
1995
1 3 .8 0
1 .75
2.10
3.86
6 6 .6 7
7 9 .8 4
1 4 6 .5 2
1 2 6 5 .9 7
2000
1 6 .6 5
2.8 5
2.46
5 .3 1
1 0 8 .2 1
9 3 .4 5
201.66
1 4 9 7 .0 6
ALUHNOS/MAESTROS
YEAR
1980
U N IT S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
TOTAL
1 8 .4 7
1990
21.21
22.20
1995
2000
1985
A D D IT IO N S
, SECONDARY
2 .73
3.22
5 .96
110.88
1 3 0 .8 4
2 4 1 .7 2
.99
3.5 7
4.56
4 0 .2 4
1 4 4.67
1 8 4 .9 0
2 2 1 2 .0 3
2 4 .2 5
2 .05
3 .80
5 .85
8 3 .3 4
1 5 4 .0 9
2 3 7 .4 3
2 3 7 6 .3 7
2 7 .7 5
3.5 0
4.23
7.7 3
1 4 2.12
1 7 1.60
3 1 3.72
2 6 7 1 .1 1
2 0 3 7 .9 1
ALUMNOS /AULAS
, SECONDARY
, «üRAU
Tea 2
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDINO IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
NUMBER
t m m m
YEAR
1980
.
U N IT S
pesos
(THOUSANDS)
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
A D D IT IO N S
3.8 0
1990
3 .59
-.1 9
1995
3 .81
-.22
.22
2000
4.32
.51
TOTAL
TOTAL
U N IT S
A D D IT IO N S
5 6 2 .4 2
.¿5
.4 6
-1 0 .5 9
3 6 .8 3
2 6 .2 4
.6 1
.4 0
-1 2 .4 4
3 4 .9 6
2 2 .5 2
5 3 2 .5 9
.8 3
1 2 .8 1
3 4 .5 7
4 7 .3 7
53 9 .4 2
1 .1 7
2 8 .9 3
3 7 .7 1
6 6 .6 4
5 9 6 .0 4
.61
.66
ALUHNOS/MAESTROS
1980
REPLACEMENTS
)
tm m tm m m
3.9 9
19B5
YEAR
pesos
)
m tm tm u m m titm m m m m
m m tm tm m m m m m n m m
A D D IT IO N S
(M IL L IO N S OF
( M IL L IO N S OF
NEW U N IT S REQ U IRED
T H IS YEAR
■
OPERATING COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
REQ U IRED
REPLACEMENTS
, SECONDARY
TOTAL
A D D IT IO N S
TOTAL
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
8.0 5
1985
7.93
-.1 3
.6 0
.6 7
-5 .1 0
3 2 .0 2
2 6 .9 2
1990
7 .72
-.21
.7 8
.5 8
-
8.22
3 1 .3 8
2 3 .1 6
7 8 0 .4 6
1995
8.21
.48
.7 9
1 .28
1 9 .3 5
3 1 .6 6
5 1 ,0 1
8 0 1 ,0 7
2000
9.30
1 .09
.86
1.96
4 3 .7 2
3 4 .5 3
7 8 .2 6
8 8 5 .1 5
.
ALUMNOS/AULA
, SECONDARY
TEST I
7 9 7.95
, tO R A L
I
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
NUMBER
NEW U N IT S REQ UIRED
T H IS YEAR
%mtmu
YEAR
1980
U N IT S
pesos
(THOUSANDS)
m m m tm m m m m m m m m
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
3 .80
1990
3.6 0
1995
2000
TOTAL
TOTAL
REPLACEMENTS
-.1 9
3 .72
-.20
.12
tm m m n u m
TOTAL
3.9 9
.2 7
.6 5
.4 6
-1 0 .7 6
3 6 .8 2
2 6 .0 6
.61
.41
-1 1 . 5 1
3 4 ,9 9
2 3 .4 8
5 3 3 .6 0
.6 0
.7 3
7.08
3 4 .3 2
4 1 .4 0
5 3 2 .7 3
.6 3
.9 0
1 5 .2 9
3 6 .0 2
5 1 .3 1
5 6 3 .1 1
U N IT S
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
-T O T A L
5 6 2 .1 6
, SECONDARY
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
TOTAL
8,0 5
1985
7 .92
-.1 3
.8 0
1990
7,75
-.1 7
.79
.61
-6 .8 3
3 1 .4 2
1995
8.02
.2 7
.7 9
1 .05
1 0 .7 0
3 1 .4 3
8.60
.5 8
.8 2
1 .4 0
2 3 .1 1
3 2 .9 9
2000
pesos
)
m m m m m m m m m m tm m
A D D IT IO N S
ALUMNOS/HAESTROS
1980
(M IL L IO N S OF
( M IL L IO N S OF
3 .99
1985
YEAR
OPERATING COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
REQ UIRED
.6 7
-5 .3 4
2 6 .6 7
3 2 .0 1
'
7 9 7 ,5 9
2 4 .5 6
7 8 1 .9 6
4 2 .1 3
7 9 1.13
5 6 .1 0
8 3 6 .2 5
)
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
01-01-19
Test 2
RURAL REGION
2
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
SECONDARY
SCHOOL-AGE
POPULATION
500.8
472 .0
442.7
453.7
496.4
, HALE+FEHALE
ENROLLMENT
RATIO
ENROLLMENT
124.7
122.7
119.5
127.0
143.9
.249
.260
.270
.280
.290
c
ALUMNOS /AULAS
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
SERVICE
RATIO
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
SERVICE
RATIO
64.6000
64.6000
64.6000
64.6000
64.6000
UNIT
OPERATING
COST»
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST*
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
57.000
57.000
57.000
57.000
57.000
.033
.033
.033
.033
.033
32.0000
31.0000
30.0000
30.0000
30.0000
ALUMNOS/MAESTROS
(SERVICE 1)
, SECONDARY
,
2 9.000*
29.000
29.000
29.000
29.000
(SERVICE 2)
, SECONDARY
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.020
.020
.020
.020
.020
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST*
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
UNIT
OPERATING
COST»
20.000
20.000
20.000
20.000
20.000
REPUBLICA DOHINICANjl
Test 1
01- 01-
RURAL REGION
2
YEAR
SECONDARY
, «ALE+FEHALE
SCHOOL-AGE
POPULATION
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
500.8
471.6
444.4
443.3
458.8
ALUHNOS/AULA
ENROLLMENT
RATIO
.249
.260
.270
.280
.290
ENROLLMENT
124.7
122.6
120.0
124.1
133.1
SECONDARY
(SERVICE 1)
UNIT
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
SERVICE
RATIO
32.0000
31.0000
30.0000
30.0000
30.0000
ALUMNOS/MAESTROS
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
SERVICE
RATIO
64.6000
64.6000
64.6000
64.6000
64.6000
INVESTMENT
COST»
.033
.033
.033
.033
.033
, SECONDARY
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.020
.020
.020
.020
.020
57.000
57.000
57.000
57.000
57.000
UNIT
OPERATING
COST»
29.000
29.000
29.000
29,000
29.000
(SERVICE 2)
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST»
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
UNIT
OPERATING
COST»
20.000
20.000
20.000
20.000
20.000
A L U H N Q S/ A U a
, PfilHARY
,
HW AL
TEST 2
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
6
NUH ER
INVESTHENT COSTS
REQ UIRED
NEN U N IT S REQ UIRED
T H IS YEAR
u u m m
YEAR
1980
U N IT S
pesos
(THOUSANDS)
m tm m m m m m m m m m m
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
OPERATING COSTS
(H IL L IQ N S OF
TOTAL
(M IL L IO N S OF
pesos
)
ummmmmmmmmmmn
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
)
m m tm m m u
TOTAL
1 0 . B9
1985
9 .B 6
-1 .0 3
1 .73
.7 0
-3 9 .7 5
6 6 .8 4
2 7 .0 9
1990
1 0 .2 8
.4 2
1.6 5
2.0 7
1 6 .1 8
6 4 .0 2
8 0 .2 0
3 7 9 .1 1
1995
11.02
.74
1 .7 4
2 .49
2 8 .7 0
6 7 .5 0
9 6 ,2 0
4 0 1 .9 7
2000
1 1 .5 6
.54
1 .8 5
2.40
2 1 .0 7
7 1 .7 5
9 2 .8 1
4 2 5 .4 2
ALUHNOS/HAESTROS
38 4 .8 4
, PRIM ARY
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
NUMBER
NEN U N IT S REQUIRED
YEAR
1980
U N IT S
pesos
m m tm m m m tm m u m m m
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
(M IL L IO N S OF
( M IL L IO N S OF
(THOUSANDS)
T H IS YEAR
ttm n u t
OPERATING COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
REQ UIRED
TOTAL
pesos
)
m tm m m m m m tm m m u m
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
)
utmtttmMm
TOTAL
1 1 .4 4
1985
1 0 .3 4
-1 .0 9
2 .75
1.66
-6 5 .4 6
16 4 .8 6
9 9 .3 9
1990
1 0 .7 9
.4 5
2.63
3 .08
2 6 .8 2
1 5 7 .8 4
1 8 4 .6 6
7 9 5 .8 9
1995
1 1 .5 8
.7 9
2.78
3.5 6
4 7 .2 8
1 6 6 .5 4
2 1 3 .8 3
8 4 4.54
2000
1 1 .9 6
.3 8
2.93
3.32
2 2 .9 7
1 7 6 .0 0
1 9 8 .9 7
8 8 5.73
8 0 7 .9 1
ALUHNOS/AIILA
, PR IM AR Y
«08<VL,
TKT I .
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL E N D IN
NUMBER
NEW U N IT S REQ U IRED
T H IS YEAR
YEAR
U N IT S
IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
OPERATING COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
REQ UIRED
u m ttu t
6
(THOUSANDS)
.
tu n m tm n m u m tm n m tu tii
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
(M IL L IO N S OF
( M IL L IO N S OF
TOTAL
p esos
pesos
)
ttu m m m m u m m m u m ttm
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
TOTAL
y
1980
1 0 .8 9
1985
9.89
1990
9 .87
1.00
-.02
1995
lO .O G
2000
10.22
-
1 .73
.7 3
-3 8 .6 9
6 6 .9 1
2 8 .2 3
1 .63
1 .6 1
-.7 2
6 3 .0 9
6 2 .3 8
3 7 0 .3 7
.19
1 .64
1 .B 3
7.49
6 3 .5 1
7 1 .0 0
3 7 4 .4 4
.1 6
1.67
1 .83
6.01
6 4 .6 5
7 0 .6 6
3 8 0 .8 4
ALUHNOS/MAESTRDS
38 5 .4 7
, PRIM ARY
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
NUMBER
INVESTMENT COSTS
REQ UIRED
NEN U N IT S REQ UIRED
T H IS YEAR
tm n m t
(EAR
1980
U N IT S
(THOUSANDS)
pesos
H m m m m u m m n u tm m m t
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
OPERATING COSTS
( M IL L IO N S OF
TOTAL
(M IL L IO N S Of
)
p esos
m tm tn m m u m tm m tu m m
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
TOTAL
tm tu m m u
TOTAL
1 1 .4 4
1985
1 0 .3 7
1990
1 0 .3 6
1995
1 0 .5 7
2000
1 0 .5 7
-1 .0 6
-.01
.21
-.00
)
mmmmmm
2 .75
1.6 9
-6 3 .7 3
1 6 5 .0 4
1 0 1.30
2.5 9
2.58
-.68
1 5 5 .5 4
1 5 4 .8 6
8 0 9.24
7 7 7 .5 4
2 .61
2.8 2
1 2 .7 1
1 5 6 .7 1
1 6 9 .4 1
7 8 6 .7 1
2.64
2.64
-.2 4
1 5 8 .6 0
1 5 8 .3 6
7 9 2 .9 6
PROYECCIONES DE SALUD
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01s4B
PUBLIC HEALTH DEHANO
RDOl
R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA
P02
'DA'TOS
S e r v ic e * n a « e :
R e g io n : RURAL
RPH/PC O l- O l- B O 0 1 :4 7
U B L IC HEALTH DEHAND
RDOl
P02
R e g io n : URBAN
«
R EP U B LIC A DOMINICANA
S e r v ic e n a ie :
1
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te s
ra te s
costs
costs
1980
0 .85 0
0 .03 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
1985
1.000
0 .03 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
1990
1 .7 0 0
0 .0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
1995
2 .4 0 0
0 .0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
2000
3 .00 0
0 .0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
S e r v ic e
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te s
ra te s
costs
costs
1980
0 .30 0
1985
0 .3 2 0
.
0 .3 5 0
0 .0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
0 .3 7 0
0 .03 3
9 8 .0 0 0
2000
0 .3 9 0
0 .0 3 3
9 8 ,0 0 0
LRPN/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 1 : 4 8
1980
•
R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA
P02
S e r v ic e n a ie :
2
RDO l
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te s
ra te s
costs
costs
S e r v i c e n a ie :
O p e r a t in g
ra te s
ra te s
costs
0 .15 0
0 .0 5 0
2 5 .0 0 0
2 8 .0 0 0
0 .1 7 0
0 .0 5 0
1990
0 .1 9 0
0 .0 5 0
2 7 .0 0 0
3 .0 0 0
1995
0.220
0 .0 5 0
2 8 .0 0 0
4 .00 0
2000
0 .2 5 0
0 .0 5 0
2 9 .0 0 0
5 .0 0 0
4 .0 0 0
LRPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 1 : 4 9
0 .0 4 0
2 3 .0 0 0
5 .0 0 0
P U B L IC HEALTH DEHAND
0 .0 4 0
2 4 .0 0 0
8.000
1990
0 .3 0 0
1995
0 .3 5 0
2000
0 .4 0 0
1.000
2.000
1985
0 .0 4 0
0 .04 0
CAMAS
costs
3 .0 0 0
0 .04 0
0 .2 5 0
2
In v e s t ie n t
20.000
21.000
22.000
0 .1 8 0
1985
R E P U B LIC A DOMINICANA
P02
CANAS
S e r v ic e
1980
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
R e p la c e ie n t
S e r v ic e
R e g io n : URBAN
9 8 .0 0 0
9 8 .0 0 0
1990
R e g io n : RURAL
U B L IC HEALTH DEHAND
0 .03 3
0 .0 3 3
1995
P U B L IC HEALTH DENANO
RDO l
N ED IC O S
N ED IC O S
S e rv ic e
RPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 1 : 4 7
1
2.000
R e g io n : RURAL
RDOl
R E P U B LIC A DONINICANA
P02
S e r v i c e n a ie :
3
POSTAS M ED IC A S
S e r v ic e
R e p la c e ie n t
In v e s t ie n t
O p e r a t in g
ra te s
ra te s
costs
costs
1980
0 .1 5 0
0 .0 3 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 .00 0
1985
0 .18 0
0 .0 3 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 .0 0 0
1990
1995
2000
•
0 .1 7 0
0 .0 3 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 .0 0 0
0 .1 9 0
0 .0 3 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 .00 0
0.200
0 .0 3 0
4 0 .0 0 0
4 .00 0
LRPn/PC 01-01-80 01:4Ó RDOl REPUBLICA OQHINICANA
PUBLIC HEALTH DEHAND POl Health-todule paraaeters
Nuaber of health services: Urban
(1 to 10 services)
2
Rural 3
Adainistrative/overhead costs;
2
0 = None
1 = Percentage of total costs
2 = Fixed costs to be specified also
Printout interval;
5
Currency units:
PESOS
So to following aenu (with PgDn):
Urban/Rural:
1
Service nuaber:
1
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:47 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
PUBLIC HEALTH DEMAND P03 Overhead and other fixed costs
Region: URBAN
5 = 5-year periods!
'
(1 = urban
2 = rural)
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:48 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
PUBLIC HEALTH DEHAND P03 Overhead and other fixed costs
Region: RURAL
Investaent overhead:
0.100
Operating overhead:
0.150
Fixed costs
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
(1 = yearly
Investaent
2.4
2.7
2.9
3.0
3.1
Operating
45.5
51.3
54.3
56.2
58.7
Investaent overhead:
0.100
Operating overhead:
0.100
Fixed costs
1980
1985
1990
1995
Investaent
2.B
2.9
3.1
3.2
3.4
2000
Operating
. 23.2
26.2
27.7
28.7
29.9
LRPM/PC Oi-Oi-80 01:46 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
PUBLIC HEALTH DEHAND P05 Population covered by public health services
Region: URBAN
Region: RURAL
Population
covered
Population
covered
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
0.700
0.750
0.800
0.850
0.900
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
0.400
0.420
0.450
0.470
0.500
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 1
RURAL POPULATION
PROPORTION OF POPULATION USINO PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
.400
.420
.450
.470
.500
2000
HEDICOS
YEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.3000
.3200
.3500
.3700
.3900
■
REPLACEHENT
VALUE
.033
.033
.033
.033
.033
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST!
UNIT
0PERATIN6
COST!
98.000
98.000
98.000
98.000
98.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
CANAS
YEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.1500
.1700
.1900
.2200
.2500
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.050
.050
.050
.050
.050
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST!
UNIT
QPERATIN6
COST!
25.000
26.000
27.000
28.000
29.000
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COSTI
UNIT
OPERATINE
COSTI
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
4.000
4 .000
4.000
4.000
4.000
POSTAS HEDICAS
YEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.1500
.1600
.1700
.1900
.2000
I THOUSANDS OF PESOS
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.030
.030
.030
.030
.030
REPU6LICA OQHINICANA
Test 1 .
URBAN POPULATION
PROPORTION OF POPULATION U SIN G P U B L IC HEALTH S E R V IC E S
YEAR
19BO
.7 0 0
1985
.7 5 0
1990
.8 0 0
1995
.8 5 0
2000
.9 0 0
H EDICQ S
UNIT
S E R V IC E
YEAR
RA T IO
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
INVESTMENT
C OST!
U N IT
OPERATING
COST»
1980
.8 5 0 0
.0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
1985
1.0000
.0 33
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
1990
1 .7 0 0 0
.0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
1995
2 .40 00
.0 33
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
2000
3 .0 0 0 0
.0 3 3
9 8 .0 0 0
1 4 .0 0 0
CAHAS
UNIT
S E R V IC E
RA T IO
YEAR
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.1000
.0 40
.2 50 0
.0 4 0
INVESTMENT
UNIT
OPERATING
C OST!
C OST!
3 .00 0
2.000
1990
.3 0 0 0
.0 4 0
20.000
21.000
22.000
1995
.3 5 0 0
.0 4 0
2 3 .0 0 0
5 .0 0 0
2000
.4 0 0 0
.0 4 0
2 4 .0 0 0
à.OOO
1980
1985
•
4 .00 0
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
R E P U B LIC A DOMINICANA
Test 1
I
URBAN POPULATION
T e st 1
RURAL POPULATION
6
TOTAL HEALTH PRQ RAN COSTS
( M IL L IO N S OF P ESO S
TOTAL HEALTH PR06RAM COSTS
(IN C L U D IN fi OVERHEAD)
INVESTMENT
YEAR
j
1985
1
(IN C L U D IN
0P E R A T IN 6
TOTAL
COSTS
COSTS
COSTS
1 7 0 .6 7
4 3 8.08
60 8 ,7 4
1990
4 4 6 .6 1
65 3 .1 1
1 0 9 9 .7 2
1995
6 5 7 .4 8
1 0 0 3 .2 B
2Ù00
1 6 6 0 .7 6
84 6 .3 1
1 4 4 6 .9 8
2 2 9 3 .2 9
U B L IC A DOMINICANA
e st
6
( M IL L IO N S OF PESO S
OVERHEAD)
INVESTMENT
YEAR
1985
0PERAT1N6
COSTS
COSTS
2 8 .5 7
1 5 0.53
1 7 9.10
1990
3 6 .4 3
1 6 6 .6 2
203.01
1995
3 9 .4 1
1 7 9.89
2 1 9 .3 (
2000
4 6 .0 5
19 4 .6 2
2 4 0 .6 ;
R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA
1
T e st 1
IBAN POPULATION
RURAL POPULATION
TOTAL NUMBER OF S E R V IC E U N IT S REQ UIRED BY TYPE -
-
MEDICOS
( I N THOUSANDS)
TOTAL NUMBER OF S E R V IC E U N IT S REQ U IRED BY TYPE -
CAMAS
MEDICOS
CAMAS
POSTAS M
E D IC A S
USER
EAR
USER
POPULATION
TOTAL
COSTS
YEAR
POPULATION
,980
2 0 1 3 .8
1 .7 1
.36
1980
1 1 2 8 .0
.3 4
.1 7
,985
2 7 4 2 .1
2 .74
.69
1985
1 1 7 9 .1
.3 8
.20
.1 9
.990
3 5 2 1 .8
5 .99
1 .0 6
1990
1 2 9 9 ,9
.4 5
.2 5
.22
995
4 3 8 1 .4
1 0 .5 2
1 .53
1000
5 3 0 8 .6
1 5 .9 3
2.12
.1 7
1995
1 4 1 4 .0
.5 2
.31
.2 7
2000
1 5 8 2 .3
.6 2
.4 0
.3 2
Û 1 -Ô 1 -1 9 B 0 0 1 :4 9
T e st 1
HEQICOS
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
TOTAL
NEN
( H IL L IO N S OF P ESO S
(THOUSANDS)
tm n m m m tm n u m m m tt
(EAR
1985
A D D IT IO N S
.04
OPERATIN S COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
U N IT S REQ UIRED
TOTAL
REPLACEMENTS
.10
.0 6
( M IL L IO N S OF PESO S
)
A D D IT IO N S
REPLACEMENTS
5 .72
3.81
TOTAL
TOTAL
1 8 .0 8
9.5 4
2 1 .1 6
1990
.0 8
.07
.1 4
7 .6 1
6.5 9
1 4 .2 0
1995
.07
.0 8
.1 5
6.68
7.7 9
1 4 .4 7
2 4 .7 7
2000
.0 9
.09
.1 9
9.21
9.05
1 8 .2 6
2 8 .9 3
U N IT S REQ UIRED
( H IL L IO N S OF PESO S
tm m m m m m m m m tm n
1985
1 .03
TOTAL
.34
1 .38
( H IL L IO N S OF P ESO S
)
mmmmmmu
m tm m m tm m m m tm tm
u
REPLACEMENTS
0PERAT1M6 COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
(THOUSANDS)
A D D IT IO N S
■
TOTAL
NEN
YEAR
)
m nnm utm uum m
tm m m m m m m tm u u tm
•
A D D IT IO N S
1 0 0 .9 7
REPLACEMENTS
3 3 .8 1
TOTAL
TOTAL
13 4 .7 8
’
1 6 0 .7 7
1990
3.24
.6 5
3.8 9
31 8 .0 0
6 3 .6 0
3 8 1.60
1995
4.5 3
1 .2 7
5.79
4 4 3.79
1 2 4 .0 8
56 7 .8 7
60 0 .5 6
2000
5 .4 1
2 .07
7 .48
5 3 0.20
2 0 3 .0 2
7 3 3 .2 3
9 5 4 .6 3
3 2 0.74
POSTAS M ED IC A S
(DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L E N D IN
6
IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D )
NEN
TOTAL
U N IT S REQ UIRED
INVESTMENT COSTS
(THOUSANDS)
( H IL L IO N S OF PESO S
tm m m tm tm n m m tm tm
YEAR
1985
A D D IT IO N S
.02
REPLACEMENTS
.0 3
TOTAL
.05
0 P E R A T IN 6 COSTS
)
tm m tm m m m m m m u m
A D D IT IO N S
.78
REPLACEMENTS
1 .06
TOTAL
1 .8 4
( H IL L IO N S OF PESO S
m m m m m m ti
TOTAL
3.6 2
1990
.03
.0 3
.0 6
1 .2 9
1.21
2 .50
1995
.05
.0 4
2000
.0 8
1 .9 1
1 .44
3 .34
4 .98
.05
.04
.0 9
1 .9 1
1 .72
3 .64
5 .94
4 .16
'I
CAHAS
(DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDIN6 IN YEAR SPECIFIED)
NEN
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
INVESTMENT COSTS
(HILLIONS OF PESOS
ummnmmmmmmmm
YEAR
ADDITIONS
REPLACEMENTS
.05
.05
.07
.09
.03
,05
.06
.08
1985
1990
1995
2000
TOTAL
)
tn u tu n m n n m m tm m m t
ADDITIONS
REPLACEMENTS
1.16
1.45
1.88
2 .4 6
.80
1.24
1.77
2.42
.08
.10
.13
.17
TOTAL
TOTAL
OPERATINB COSTS
(HILLIONS OF PESOS
)
m tm m tm m m m m
TOTAL
1.51
2,98
5.15
8.33
1.96
2.69
3.65
4.88
CAHAS
(DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR SPECIFIED)
NEN
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
INVESTMENT COSTS
(MILLIONS OF PESOS
tm m m m m u m tm m u m t
YEAR
ADDITIONS
1985
1990
1995
2000
REPLACEMENTS
.32
.37
.48
.59
.10
.16
.25
.35
MEDICOS
OPERATING COSTS
TOTAL COSTS
ADDITIONS
.42
.54
.72
.94
duKAL
CUMULATIVE COSTS
INVESTMENT COSTS
TOTAL
62.11
102.23
164.34
HEALTH2.3
CAMAS
14.50
19.78
34.28
)
m tm m m m m m m m m m
POSTAS H
EDICAS
REPLACEMENTS
6.67
8.02
10.79
13.93
0
1.98
3.56
5.59
B.30
TOTAL
TOTAL
OPERATING COSTS
(MILLIONS OF PESOS
)
m m m m m tm m m t
TOTAL
8.65
11.59
16.38
22.24
7.21
16.32
30.82
52.75
*
UAe>AtiO
CUMULATIVE COSTS
MEDICOS
CAHAS
' 12.45
INVESTMENT COSTS
1999.22
64.74
OPERATING COSTS
2342.20
123.16
TOTAL COSTS
4341.42
187.90
20.56
33.01
REPUBLICA DOMINICANA
Test 2
RURAL POPULATION
PROPORTION OF POPULATION USING PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.400
.420
.450
.470
.500
POSTAS MEDICAS
TEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.3000
.3200
.3500
.3700
.3900
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.033
.033
.033
.033
.033
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST!
UNIT
OPERATING
COST!
98.000
98.000
98.000
98.000
98.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
10.000
CAMAS
YEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.1500
.1700
.1900
.2200
.2500
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.050
.050
.050
.050
.050
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST»
UNIT
OPERATING
COST!
25.000
26.000
27.000
28.000
29.000
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST!
UNIT
OPERATING
COST!
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
40.000
4.000
4.000
4.000
4.000
4.000
POSTAS MEDICAS
YEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
.1500
.1600
.1700
.1900
.2000
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.030
.030
.030
.030
.030
REPUBLICA DaHIHICANA
Test 2
URBAN POPULATION
PROPORTION OF POPULATION USINB PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES
YEAR
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
■
.700
.750
.800
.850
.900
MEDICOS
YEAR
SERVICE
RATIO
1980
1985.
1990
1995
2000
.8500
1.0000
1.7000
2.4000
3.0000
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
.033
.033
.033
.033
.033
UNIT
INVESTMENT
COST!
UNIT
OPERATING
COST»
98.000
98.000
98.000
98.000
98.000
14,000
14.000
14.000
14.000
14.000
UNIT
INVESTMENT
CDSTI
UNIT
OPERATING
COST!
20.000
21.000
22.000
23.000
24.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
CAMAS
YEAR
REPLACEMENT
VALUE
SERVICE
.RATIO
1980
1985
• 1990
1995
2000
-
CUHULATIVE COSTS
.040
.040
.040
.040
.040
.1800
.2500
.3000
.3500
.4000
RUñAL.
CAMAS
lAEDicas
INVESTMENT COSTS
0PERAT1N6 COSTS
TOTAL COSTS
68.48
105.11
171.59
HEALTH2.3
15.35
20.46
35.82
POSTAS M
EDICAS
»
1
.. .....
CUMULATIVE COSTS
t^«6/A WC
MEDICOS
CAM»
13.35
INVESTMENT COSTS
2106.09
68.25
OPERATING COSTS
2424.46
127.58
TOTAL COSTS
4530.55
195.84
21.14
34.49
REPUBLICA OOniNICANA
Test 2
REPUBLICA DQHINICANA
Test 2
URBAN POPULATION
RURAL POPULATION
TOTAL HEALTH PR06RAH COSTS (HILLIONS OF pesos
(INCLUDING OVERHEAD)
YEAR
INVESTHENT
COSTS
OPERATING
COSTS
1985
1990
1995
2000
29.09
37.57
41.23
48.70
150.67
167.16
181.11
196.87
TOTAL
COSTS
INVESTHENT
COSTS
OPERATING
COSTS
173.56
459.93
691.08
906.88
439.17
659.97
1026.75
1502.26
1985
1990
1995
2000
TOTAL
COSTS
612.73
1119.90
1717.83
2409.13
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
RORAL POPULATION
URBAN POPULATION
TOTAL NUMBER OF SERVICE UNITS REQUIRED BY TYPE - (IN THOUSANDS)
POSTAS M CAMAS
EDICAS
•TOTAL NUMBER OF SERVICE UNITS REQUIRED BY TYPE - (IN THOUSANDS)
POSTAS M
EDICAS
USER
YEAR POPULATION
1128.0
1189.5
1328.9
1467.6
1666.9
YEAR
179.76
204.73
222.34
245.58
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 2
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
TOTAL HEALTH PR06RAN COSTS (HILLIONS OF pesos
(INCLUDING OVERHEAD)
MEDICOS CAMAS
USER
YEAR POPULATION
.34
.38
.47
.54
.65
.17
.20
.25
.32
.42
.17
.19
.23
.28
.33
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2013.8
2766.2
3600.3
4547.5
5592.2
1.71
2.77
6.12
10.91
16.78
.36
.69
1.08
1.59
2.24
-Tí ^4
Z
HEDICOS
(DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDINO IN YEAR SPECIFIED)
NEH
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
INVESTMENT COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
m m m m m m n m m m t m t
(EAR
1985
1990
1995
2000
ADDITIONS
1.05
3.35
4.79
5.86
REPLACEMENTS
.35
.66
1.30
2.16
TOTAL
1.40
4.01
6.10
8.03
NEH
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
mumtmmmmmmmtm
EAR
1985
1990
1995
2000
ADDITIONS
.04
.08
.08
.11
REPLACEMENTS
.06
.07
.08
.10
TOTAL
.10
.15
.16
.20
)
u m m m m tn m m tm m tm
ADDITIONS
103.34
328.72
469.76
574.53
REPLACEMENTS
33.94
64.55
127.71
212.08
INVESTMENT COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
REPLACEMENTS
4.14
8.28
7.63
10.49
5.74
6.69
8.01
9.45
tm m n m u m m w
TOTAL
TOTAL
137.27
393.28
597.47
786.61
161.67
326.42
619.97
1000.17
)
m m m m n m m m m m tm t
ADDITIONS
TOTAL
0PERATIN8 COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
TOTAL
9.88
14.96
15.65
19.95
TOTAL
OPERATING COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
mttmmmmmmm
TOTAL
18.18
21.52
25.55
30.30
)
CAMAS
^
^
(DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDIN6 IN YEAR SPECIFIED)
NEN
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
INVESTMENT COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
u m m m m m m t m m t m m
YEAR
1985
1990
1995
2000
ADDITIONS
REPLACEMENTS
.03
.05
.07
.09
TOTAL
.05
.06
.07
.09
ADDITIONS
.08
.11
.14
.18
1985
1990
1995
2000
.33
.39
.51
.65
REPLACEMENTS
.10
.17
.25
.37
REPLACEMENTS
.85
1.34
1.94
2.69
1.17
1.48
1.93
2.57
TOTAL
TOTAL
2.01
2.81
3.88
5.25
)
u u m t m t m m m m m t m m
ADDITIONS'
REPLACEMENTS
6.79
8.40
11.57
15.24
1.99
3.62
5.76
8.67
.43
.56
.77
1.01
)
mtmmmmtmmm
TOTAL
INVESTMENT COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
t m m m t m m m m u m m m
ADDITIONS
)
m m m m u m m m m m m u
NEN
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
YEAR
TOTAL
0PERATIN6 COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
TOTAL
8.78
12.02
17.33
23.92
1.52
3.03
5.32
8.73
TOTAL
OPERATING COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
tuttmtmutmm
TOTAL
7.26
16.60
31.81
55.27
POSTAS MEDICAS
(DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR SPECIFIED)
NEW
UNITS REQUIRED
(THOUSANDS)
INVESTMENT COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
ntmmmuuuutumttmtu
YEAR
1985
1990
1995
2000
ADDITIONS
.02
.04
.05
.05
REPLACEMENTS
.03
.03
.04
.05
TOTAL
.05
.07
.09
.10
)
m m m t m m m m m m m m
ADDITIONS
.85 ,
1.42
2.12
2.18
REPLACEMENTS
1X)7
1.23
1.48
1.80
TOTAL
1.91
2.65
3.60
3.98
TOTAL
OPERATING COSTS
(MILLIONS OF pesos
)
mtmumututttmm
TOTAL
3.64
4.23
5.14
6.22
AN E X O S
ANao
1
E S T R U C T U R A DE LOS M O D U L O S EN L R P M / P C
ANEXO ^
Fl-HELP F2-RÜN F3-BfiO«S£ F4-PfiINT F5-SAVE Hoie-lstNENU Pg-NextNENU F9-EXIT
LRPH/PC Ol-Úl-eO 02:14 RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2
DEH06RAPHIC D21 Base year population in lOOOs
READY
Hale
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70t
429.55
403.24
388.67
347.12
281.69
221.13
176.58
140.00
118.43
98.75
89.06
60.43
50.14
39.35
49.74
Fetale
415.29
391.84
378.30
336.82
271.27
211.50
170.08
136.48
116.05
97.94
84.07
57.08
46.98
35.83
53.46
Fl-HELP F2-RÜN F3-BR0HSE F4-PRIHT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHEMü Pg-NextHEHU F9-EXIT
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:5B RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1
DEMOGRAPHIC D21 Base year population in lOOOs
Male
0- 4
5- 9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70+
429.55
403.24
388.67
347.12
281.69
221.13
176,58
140.00
118.43
98.75
89.06
60.43
50.14
39.35
49,74
Fetale
415.29
391.84
378.30
336.82
271.27.
211.50
170.08
136.48
116.05
97.94
84.07
57.08
46.98
35.83
53.46
READY
AHLXO -5
Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0BSE F4-PR1HT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHENU Pq-HextHENU F9-EX1T
LRPH/PC Ol-Ol-eO 01:58 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1
RE«
DEH06RAPHK: D03 Birth rates - Exogenous point rates
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
0.097
0.079
0.070
0.000
0.063
0.233
0.216
0.198
0.000
0.183
0.210
0.195
0.176
0.000
0.161
0.155
0.140
0.122
0.000
0.109
0.100
0.085
0.072
0.000
0.062
0.036
0.028
0.023
0.000
0.019
0.011
0.008
0.006
0.000
0.005
Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0MSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHENU Pg-HextHENU F9-Em
BBHOBRfiPNleOlB«» OBldSh RtOis REEUiiiMtitOjUlkieANAteicst 2
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
READY
15-19
20-24
25-29,
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
0.101
0.090
0.083
0.000
0.075
0.243
0.233
0.226
0.000
0.215
0.219
0.210
0.197
0.000
0.186
0.162
0.148
0.136
0.000
0.125
0.105
0.090
0.060
0.000
0.071
0.038
0.030
0.025
0.000
0.022
0.011
0.008
0.007
0.000
0.005
Fi-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0RSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHENU Pg-NextMEMU F9-EX1T
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01¡58 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1
DEMOGRAPHIC D12 Survival Rates - Male and feaale life expectancies
READY
Hale life
expectancy
1980-84
1985-89
1990-94
1995-99
62.19
63.86
65.42
66.80
Feiale life
expectancy
66.11
68.06
69.81
71.36
m ^}
5
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:25 RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2
RURAL/URBAN HI6RATI0H ROl
Per cent urban in base year:
SO.SO
Initial age profile:
0
READY
0 - sate profile for rural and urban populations
1 = profiles to be input
1
Projection eethod:
1 = logistic
2 * growth-rate difference
3 * constant rural rate ^ ■ not currently used
S = all eethods
Method to be used
for subsequent eodules:
1
(only if option S above is selected)
Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0MSE F4-PR1MT F5-SAVE Hoee-UtKEMU Pg-RextHENU F9-EXIT
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:2b RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2
RURAL/URBAN H16RAT10N R04
READY
Projection Method: Logistic curve
Asyaptotic per cent urban: ¿9.00
Second point in logistic curve
Per cent urban:
¿0.38
Year;
1990
ANEXO 6 -A
Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BROHSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE H o « -lstH EN U Pg-NextMENU F9-EXIT
LRPH/PC O i-01-80 01 .‘ 36
SPECIAL POPULATIONS
S02
RDOl
REPUBLICA DOHINICANA
Test 1
P a rtic ip a t io n ra te s - URBAN HALE
READY
1980 1985 1990 199502000
•
•
4
/•
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70+
0.079 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.079
0.417 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.388
0.738 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.689
0.B77 0.000 0,000 0.000 0.877
0.910 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.910
0.930 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.930
0.935 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.935
0.920 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.920
0.873 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.873
0.790 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.697
0.690 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.562
0.582 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.437
0.455 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.288
Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0HSE F4-PRIMT F5-SAVE How-lstHENU Pq-NextHENU F9-EXIT
LRPH/PC Ol-Ol-BO 01:38 RDOl REPUBLICA DQHINICANA Test 1
SPECIAL POPULATIONS SOS Participation rates - RURAL FEHALE
1980 2000
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70+
0.149 0.134
0.233 0.233
0.257 0,270
0.270 0.283
0.278 0.292
0.283 0.297
0.288 0.302
0.291 0.306
0.278 0.278
0.277 0.277
0.272 0.272
0.262 0.262
0.250 0.250
READY
mm
6-E,
LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:37 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1
SPECIAL POPULATIONS S03 Participation rates - URBAN FEMALE
READY
1980 2000
ij
4
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64 •
65-69
70+
0.036 0.036
0.193 0.157
0.416 0.478
0.457 0.560
0.457 0.504
0.450 0.511
0.400 0.460
0.347 0.368
0.290 0.276
0.240 0.201
0.200 0.154
0.160 0.118
0.115 0.070
Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-6RQNSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE Hoie-lstHENU Pg-NextNENU F9-EXIT
LRPN/PC 01-01-80 01:37 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1
SPECIAL POPULATIONS S04 Participation rates - RURAL HALE
READY
1980 2000
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70+
0.312 0.281
0.629 0.598
0.890 0.890
0.933 0.930
0.945 0.945
0.947 0.947
0.942 0.942
0.935 0.935
0.924 0.924
0.915 0.915
0.894 0.894
0.869 0.869
0.644 0.844