CENTRO LATINOAMERICANO DE DEMOGRAFIA CELADE-SAN JOSE TRABAJO DE INVESTIGACION REPUBLICA DOMINICANA; CONSECUENCIAS FUTURAS DE LA DINAMICA DE LA POBLACION AUTORES PROFESOR BEATRIZ JIMENEZ SOBRINO JORGE L.CANALES BEATRIZ ERVITI DIAZ ABELARDO FERNANDEZ CARVAJAL A X CURSO REGIONAL INTENSIVO DE DEMOGRAFIA SAN JOSE. DICIEMBRE DE 1987 CELADE - S I S T E M A D O C Ü ^; DOCPAL r - " Io N ...x..--; aN L A T Í N A INDICE I.- INTRODUCCION II.- OBJETO Y METODOLOGIA EMPLEADA. III.- ESCENARIOS UTILIZADOS. IV.- ANALISIS DE LOS RESULTADOS. V.- CONCLUSIONES, VI. ANEXOS. I „ -■ :tNTF-<ÜDUCClON„ Eln la actualidad, es csitfa vez de mayor i m po rt an ci a e n foc ar los pro blemas que se presentan en la práctica desde un punto de vista si stèmico Es obvio, que cua ndo se a na liz a la población y el de sa rr ol l o s o c io e c o n ó m i c o , no puede verse desde otro punto de? vista que? no sea med iante su es tre ch a interacción. La nece?5idad y utilid ad de las p r oye cc ion es de población surgen al acome te?r la ela\bo ración de un plan de d e s a rr o l l o económico, tanto a corto como a m e dia no y largo plazo, en que es neces ari o conoce:;r la población futura en su doble asptecto económico: como productora de bie?ne?s mateiriales y s e rv ic ios y como c o n su m i d or a de los mismos. Los cambio s en el c om po r t a m i e n t o 'demográfico de la población in f 1uy en en 1a c om pos i c i ón d e 1a po b 1ación q ue? produc e 1os b i en es y serv ic ios y mo dif ic a rá por tanto las ne c es i d a de s de la pro d uc ­ ción y los servicios. F-‘or otra parte, los nivelesi de d e s a rr o l l o que alcan ce un país de la mane ra d et er m in an t e en e?l c o m p o r t a m i e n t o demográ ico de población. Asi mi ent ra s más d e s a r r o ll a d o sea un pais, sus n ive 1es de mortalidad y fecundidd tienden a ser más bajos. Por ende, es necesairio r ealizar esitudios que pongan de m a n i fi es t o los efectos que tendría un de?terminad o volumen de población sobre la demand a de s e r v ic io s so ci a l es y económicos, a partir de una proyección de población a largo plazo . y del e?s tablee imiento de det erm in ad a s po líticas s o ci a l es y económicas. Fista posibilidad viene dad ai en e?l mod el o LRPM- PC (Modelo de Pl ani fic ac ión a largo plazo, para m i c r o - c o m p u t a d o r a s ), que tiene como ve ntajas fundaxrnentales la interre 1ación de sus m ó dul os y la dife ren cia ci ón por se;-;os. En el trabatjo se prese?ntan los resul ta dos pr el im i na r e s de las co n se cu e n c i a s futuras de la di ná m i ca de población de la Repúb li ca Domi.rii.í:::ana , s:-obi-e? 1os sec t or e s e d uc ac ión y salud, para el período 1980-2000, I I . . - “ O B JEITO V IÌE IT 0 D 0 E -.0 6 IA EM PLEADA, El pre sente tratjcijo tiene el ob je t i vo de pro no sti ca r los requer iniien tos de d i f er e n t e s s e c t or e s socioeconómicos dada la influtjncia que la di nám ica d e m og r á f ic a ejerce en sus pob lac ion es especiales, para fa cilitar con fines de p la nif ic aci ón .la efi cie nc i a e n e 1 función a m ie n to f u t u rx> del s i s t e rna . Con e ste p ro pós it o se c o n si d e r a la población de la R e p úbl ic a Dominicana, basada en el Censo de Pobl ac ión y vivi en das de 1981, proyecciones de población y pr oy ec c io n e s d e m o g r á fi c a s por sexos, grupos do:? edade?s y zonas de resid en cia con ario base en 1980; así como su pites tos qi.te se e s tab le cen en relación a las políticas sectoriales. El al cance de Las p ro yec ci one s que se pretenden realizar se fijan como limite el año 2000, haciendo uso el sistema LETPM--PC (Modelo de E-'1an i f icac ión a largo plazo, versión para m i c r o - c o m p u t a d o r a ) in tegrado por ocho m ód ulo s inte?rrelacionados (ver Anexo 1). Las p r oye cc ion es s e c t o r ia l e s de pe nde n en gran m e d i d a ’ de los su p ue st os e s t a b l ec id o s y de la política que siga el país en relación a cada sector, dichos r es ult ad os reflejan las n e c e s i d a ­ des de recursos y se r vi ci os en los años proyectados, si la población tuviera re almente la di ná m i ca esperada. El sistema tiene la venta jai de ser diferencial por sexos y sus módulos se i n t e r r e i acionan entre sí formando un siste ma único, además es más rápido y ef i c i en t e c o mp a r a t i v a m e n t e a métodos t r a d.i.c"i.tjn ale ís , El efecto unidirec ci ona l de la di ná mic a de p o b 1ac ión e 11 el d es ar r o l l o s o ci o e c o n ó m i c o puede c o n s i d e ra r se una limitación del modelo, ya que no considerai la relación inversa, de interesantes impl ic aciones en las vairialrjles de mográf i c a s . E n e 1 t r a ba j o s e r e ¿3.1i z an c:om pa r ac i.on es seíc t o r i a 1es , basadas en dos varia nt es de la di ná mi c a demográfica, ccjnsiderando solo una política educacional, de saili.id, etc. Debido a las li mi taciones de in form-Hción y tiempo, no fue posible re alizar c o mp a r a c i o n e s en base a una misma proyección demográfica, si g u i en d o di fer en te s pla 1 í t i.cas edi,.ii;::ac::;i.tjna1es , de sa 1ud , e t c . H0DUL.0 DE=;M(:H3f<AF IC(J. El modelo utili za el mét o do de pro'/ección de c o (ítp a n e n tes;;, i..tt i 1 iza n do los si gu ie n t e s i n s u m os : -■ F-'o b 1a c;:xó n B a sse . Número de aPíos que «sse desea proyectar Número de cohortess quint^uena 1e s . •■■■• Tipo.de i r'it e r p o 1a c i ó n . la población por la población f-'ara in terpolar una población se suelen usair m é t o d o s maitemé tic os ¡suponiendo una relación de tipo lineal, exponencial o logística; c o n e s te p ro p ó ¡ai t q s e a sume Ltn c o m p o r t a m i e n t o lineal. [£n cuanto a los supu est os de fecundidad, el modelo admite como insumos tasas e s p e cí f ic a s de fecundidad punt ua les (para un año del quinquenio), por periodos quinquenales, de Na ci o n es Unid as o tasas netas de r e p r o d u c c i ó n . Para el trabajo se usaron tasas es pe cí f ic as de fecundidad por quinquenio. La proyección de la mo rtalidad puede hacerse a través de r e la c i o ­ nes de su pe r vi ve n ci a puntuales, tasas e s p ec í f i ca s de mortalidad, tablas de vida de Coale y Dem en y b de otro tipo pro po rci ona das por el u su ar io o tasas de s u p e r v i v e nc i a por períodos. En este trabajo se c on sid er ó la essperanza de vida al nacer por sexos calculatdas en base a una función logística y la es tr uc t u ra fue tomada de las tablas de Coaleo y Demeny, modeelo oeste. Al rea lizar las p ro ye cc io ne s de población se supone población cerrada, dado que a largo plazo e?s difícil hacer una proyección ac ertada del nivel de la migr ac ión internacional. E'l último insumo de este mó d ul o es, la relación de ma sc ul i ni d ad al n a c.:i m i e n t c:), q i..ie s e c o n s i d e r ó p a r a to d o el período de iO 5 na c i ­ mientos m a s cu li n os por cad¿^ 100 n a c im i e n to s femeninos. El p r c>c e i m ie n t o e m p 1e a d o al p r o y e c t a r la p o b 1a c ió n para cada grupo c:|uinc:ii..i.enal en cada qui.nc:|uen 1,o f ue e 1 siguien te : ,i ,i+s . ."t+s ^ ovvie: i,i 4-5 2 V|Í+3 , asVa So’^^ívíVvICW.cií^. ,.t + s -sNo ^ftA.al^A»evATo ^ CS Vo». íe.Voi.C¿OsA. %o<K Vas V« W yaV)VtxaÍK\ >^(p»*A«iíuAa MODULO DE P R O Y E C CI ON E S DE P O B LA C I O N URB AN A Y RURAL Una ves pr oyectada la población total, se procede a su d e s a g r e g a ­ ción en zonas urbana y rural, para lo cual es ne c es a r i o conocer la distri bu ció n por eda de s y se>:os de la población , el po re ent j e <:ie po b ].ac: ión u r bari a “ en eí1 »no b a s e , a s i c cdmo un c r i t e r-i o pcira proyecta^" la población urb an a y rural , en este caso, se supuso' un cr ec im i en to logístico del porcen ta je de población urbana. E 1 procedi.miento para hacer siguiente: 7o iJ (?o«le : la pr oyección por estai via es el --------- r-- X as i- ^ .1 A y«<;a<A.j5i is 0 , «.í A 01.VV.0 W .'iG , 1 a i A o.'Áo ^ « \ \va|[\e>c*ow MODULO DE P O B L AC I ON ES ESPECIALES, Como po bla ciones eíspeciales se definen di fe re n t e s su b g ru po s de población, obten i dais ai pairtir de? lai población total proyectada, s e p u e d e n c o n s id e r air p o r e j e m p 1o : - Fuerza de trabajo. - C o n s u m id o r e s e c o n ó m ic o s . - Población be?nefic.iariai del se;rvicio de salud. - C o n s u iTiid o r e s d ez a 1 i m e n to s . - Población en edad escolar. En el presen te trabajo se proyectan los s u b gr u p o s fuerza de trabajo y población en edad escolar. En el caso de la fuerza de trabajo, son n e c es ar i a s las tasas es p ec i f i ca s de partici pa ció n por sexos y grupos de edades. Por su -parte, la po blación en edad e í5c o 1a I r e q u i e r e del a d e f i n i c i ó n de los nivel es e d u c a c i o n a 1e s , aBi comD 1as eda des que co m p r en d e cada n i v e 1, c a l c u l á nd os e la población en edad e sc ola r a través de los m u í t i p l i c ad o re s de Spraque. Las p ro ve cei on es son hechas de si g u i en t e forma: ! CaOW acioA tijpecuA ^ 1 «.Tío O / ^ «^.vio o í\ 0.^0 X. MODU LO DE E DU CAC IO N F-'ara fines de planif ic aci ón es ne c es a r i o prever el impacto que la futura población de sa g r eg a d a pcjr zonas urb an a y rural , pudiera ejercer en la oferta y deman da de se r vi c i o s educacionales. Se de finieron dos nivel es e d u c a c i o n a l e s : primaria y' secundaria, y como s er vic io s las relac io nes alumrtos\aula y a 1u m n o s Xm a e st ro s por lo que se obtienen 16 resultados, y el e s que ma qu ed arí a confof— mado de la si g u ie nt e forma: Í^BLftClOP VAWAnTe 1 •í!)6tAClOP V a ^VAPTE 2 KDRftL tiüRAL Se / V / \ Sí / \ Ov\ Sí ^ S í ^2 ■ Vr r CtÁpCCXCUSvA S I S 2 S íS 2 fVKW^'T MX CCc.xv'.^sx.tfcvx, S\«.5 «\ ^ec"(o/ í. Los insumos ne ces ar i o s son la tasa de co b e r tu r a del ser vic io e d u c a c io rta 1 y 1o s c o s t o s f i.,)o s de inversión y operación. A pesar de que el r es ult ad o final se desee por gru po s q u i n q u en a le s el sistema hace las pr oye cc i o n es internzímente año por año, además la población en edad escol ar no esi desagregadax por sexos. L^ p royec ci ón se r e a 1 i 2 a d e 1a sig ui ente forma; "La población u su ar ia se c a lcu la me diante el productc población en edad escol ar y la tasa de matrícula. "El niimero de Liriidades de servjcio la po!::i 1 a c i ó i ' i tis u a ria v la ta c a de L'i tO Cjfe* ,'i■ Ciria¿u.í por mx 1 . t . , r d i . . „d , ; ■' : •r* e^ í''s i5- “Las nuevas un idades d e • serv ic io se c a l c u l a n p o r la d i f e r e n c i a e n t r e l a s u n i d a d e s d e s e r v i c i a e n el a ñ o t y l a s d e l a ñ o t - i . “Las uni dades a reemplazar son d e te r m i na d a s por el las un idades de se rvi ci o y la tasa de reemplazo. pr od uct o entre ■L.c:)s (::ort.os de inversión son <:::omputados me di ant e el producto entre las un id a de s n u e v a s , a ireemplazar y los cost os unitarios, de inversión. -Los co st os de o pe rac ió n son c o m p ut a d o s a través del product o entre las u n i da de s de se rv ic i o y los co s to s u n i t a ri o s de o p e r a ­ ción . “ Los costos de^ inversión y dcí opérate i ón estáin a f ec ta dos por costcTB gener-ales y fijos (en el caso de que e s t o s existan). los MODULÜ E3ALUD F-UBLICA Para proyectar el sec tor de salud pública se de fi ni e r o n solo serv ic ios para 1¿^ zona urbanas m é dic os y camas. Además, se definió un tercer se rv i c io para la zona rurals postas médicas. Los datos para el año base fueron tomados de un es t u d io reciente elabor ado por el Instituto de Es tu d i os de P o bl ac ión y D e sa r r o l l o titulado “Pobl aci ón y Salud en Re p úb l i c a Dominicana". En el caso del año 2000 se co nsi d er a r o n las metas que se propone el g o b i er n o para esta fecha, por lo que se toma como pol.ítica un m e jo r a mi e nt o de las condiciones, o sea, un aumen to de la co b e r tu r a 'y de los ga st os en ese servicio. 11 :i:,-- ESCEN AR IOS UTIL. I Z ADOS , P RO YE C C IO N DE PO B L AC IO N La proyección de población de la FÄ'epública D om ini ca na se realiza med ian te dos variantes, d i fe r e n c i a l e s a partir de c o n s id e r ar dos niveles --medio y e-ílto- de d e s c e n so de la\ fecundidad, y de las tasas e sp ec íf ica s de fecundidad p r oy e ct ad as por períodos q u i n ­ quenales. Las va ri an tes de proyección de población c on sid er an la población base en el ano 1980 (Ane;;o 2), con un alcan ce hasta el año 2000, ut ili za nd o 15 cohorteís de gr u po s quinquenales; de edad, c o n ­ sider an do que la población futura tendrá un c r e c i m ie n t o de tipo lineal, ya que el cree i «liento de 1 ai pobla\ción de la Rep úb li ca Do min ic an a aún no presenta un compor tanmien to log ist ico, ni tan acelerado como el que d e s c r i be una función e x p o n e n c i a l . En la Va ria nt e 1 se presenta una h.iipótesiis de descenso' de la fecundidad des;de 4.7 hijos; por mujer en 19fl0 a 3 hijos por mujer en 1995 y a 2.19 hijosi por mujer en el año final de la pro y ec ­ ción, lo que representa un des;censo de un 53% (ver Anexo 3). La Va ri ant e 2, de nom i n ad a alta, re presenta un d e s c en s o de la fecundidad en el período de un 4óX, pa rtiendo de 4.7 hijos por mujer, se estima que se llegaría en el año 2000 a 2.56 hijos por mujer. Estas dos vari ant es fueron tomadas de las pr oy ec c i on es de 1a fe c u n d ;i.d a d que s i r v ie r o n de base a la p r"o y e c c ió n de 1a población de R ep úbl ic a Dominicana para el período 1950-2025, r eal iz ada s por CELA DE y la O N E (O f i c in a Nacional de Estadísticas) en 1985 (ver A nex o 3). Ambas vari ant es suponen el ccjmportamiento de la mortal ida d a partir de una esp era nza de vida al nacer cr e c i en t e en forma l o g í s t i c a , que se muest ra en el A ne xo 4. En el trabajo no se c on sid era migr ac ión internacional ’ en ninguna de las dos vari ant es y se apl ic a la relación de m a scu li nid ad al nacimiosnto de 105 hombres p o r cada JLOO mujeres. P R O YE-C C I O N DE U R B A N I Z A C IO N E.'n cada v£:U'iante se es t i m ó un c o mp o r t a m i e n t o simil ar e^n los ind ica dores de u r b a n i z a c i ó n , c o n s i d e r a n d o que el po rc en t aj e de población urbana crece de forma logistica, sien do en 1980 de? 50.5“ /,, te-íniendo como as íntota supcerior el valor 69.0 “ /. y como punto de inflexión el ario 1990, como se presenta en el Anexo 5. P O B L A C I ONES E S P E C I A L E S , En el caso de las po bl aciones esp£?ciales, se utiliz ar on para ambas v ar ian te s los mis mo s s u pu es tas y subgrupos, es decir, la fut?rza de trabajo y la población en edad escolar. Con relación a la fuerza de trabajo* se utilizan tasas e s p e c í f i ­ cas de participau::ión parai 1980 y 2000, tomadas de p r oy ecc ion es r eal iz ada s por el Instituto de Es tu dio s de Pob la ció n y D es á r rol lo (ver Anexo 6), Se definieron dos n iv ele s ed ucacionales; pr imaria y secundaria, con poblaciones c o m p r e nd i d a s entre los 6-11 y 12-18 años respectiva\mente. PR O YE C C I O N DE EDUCACION. Los nivele s e du ca c i o n a l e s s e l e c c i o n ad o s definen como ser vi cio s dos relaciones; al umn o s/ a u l a y a 1u m n o s / m a e s t r o s , trab aj ánd ose con una misma hipótesis paira las dos vari an tes de población pro'yectadas. Por la poc£H información d i sp o n i b l e paira este sector, fue n e c e s a ­ rio suponer que el Dis t ri t o Naicional era re pr es e nt a t iv o del comportaimiento de la zonai urbaina del país y qug, a su vez, éste representaiba lai cuarta parte da? la población total. A partir de estos s up ues to s se ob tu v o lai información por zonas urba na y rural. Además, solo se? en con tró infórmale ión sobre g ais tos para el el se?ctor primario, por lo que se sup us o que los gaistos en el sector s ecu nd ari o eran un 50 % m a yo r e s que los ga s to s en el sector pr imario (Ver Anexo 7). Se cons ide ra como po 1ít.ic:a\ futura, que; las c o n di c i o ne s e d u c a c i o ­ nales tenderán a mejor ar en el tiempo, en el s e nti do de una mayor cobertur¿:( de la ed ucación y un aiumento des los gas to s de inversión y operación en el sector. Se tuvieron en cuenta los s i g u ie n t e s supuestos: Eíe espera que la matrí cu la educacional tiende a a m pl ia rse en el tiempo, con un ai relación a^lumnos por aula decreciente, supjoniendo que m ejore la calidad de la educación. - Líí tasa de re emplazo asií como los cos to s de inversión oper ac ión se su|;.ionen c o n s t¿mtes en el tiempo. y de - En el sector primario la taisa\ de servicio, los costos de i n V e rs i ó n y d e o p e r a c i ó n s o n i n f e r io i-e s al s e c t o r s e c u n da r io , sin embairgo. La tasax de re emplazo de maiestros es su pe rio r en el s e c t o r p r im a r i o . - La' tasa r io . de s e r r vi ci o de aulas es su pe rio r en el sector - La tasa de reempílazo educacional, de las aulas es prima- i n de p en di ent e del nivel - Los cos tos de inversión y de oper ac ión de a u 1as en el sector se cun da ri o son su per io r e s al primario. . PFÍÜ YE C C IO N En e s ta ' Va r i a ri t e Se DE S E R V IC IO S pjrí j y e c c i ó n s- < e d e f i n i e r ori d cjs h a b i t a n t e s . p a ra la z o n a zo n a La q u e la s p io lí t ic a m e ta s lo s r u r a l , u n a m is m a os d o s u rb a n o s : s e r v i c i o s la h i p ó t e s i s p a ra la s d o s p o b 1ac i ón , a dem ás m o s t r a r í a d e l de de z ori a s p a ís s a lu d de d e un p r e s e n c ia p o r e s p je ra d a la en P o b la c ió n c r e c i e n t e c o s ta s t i empie la s s e r v i c i E s to s p iro y e c ta d a s E s t u d io s c o b e r t u r a q u e d e m é d ic o s y ca m a s p o r c ad a f u e r o n i n c l u i d o s ta m b ié n t e r c e r o d e n o m in a d a " p o s ta s d e l s e r v i c i o m é d ic o en la r u r a l „ c o n d ic io n e s de SALUD, u t i l i z a p r ■o y e c c i o r i e s 1 0 0 00 m é d ic a s " , se DE d e lo s y y la s i'- u r a 1 t r a b a jo s D e s a r r o llo , e l in v e r s i ó n t a n t o u r Iz a ri a í ; p ia ra e s tá p o b la c ió n , s e r v i c i o y d e ta s a s s o ri d i r i g i d a f ijá n d o s e r e a liz a d o s p o r lo s a lu d , o p ie ra c ió n de a s e r v i c i o c i'" e c i e n t e s . m e jo r a r p a ra p)or q u e a s í e l e l s e com o a ñ o la s 2 0 0 0 I n s t i t u t o s u p o n e una c o n s id e r a r se in c r e m e n ta n d e m é d ic o s y en e l ca m a s en ■v; V, En la proyección se e st ab le ce n en i::)roporf:;- i ó n d e la e 1 área urbana " ■ "■ L a s en 1a potai a c i ó n tasas de se r v icio zoiia i..irbana « y de costo de o p e r a e ión un se por cutaie r t a re e m p l a z o - El c o s t o d e la f o r íiiac: i.ó n d e fu t u r a z o n a d e in f l u e n c i a . . El los s i g u ie n t e s supuestos; de 1o s es médico c o n s i d e i-■a el servicio mé d ic o s es son m a y o r■es ind e p e n d i e n t e su per ior en mayor las de su z o n |£1S urbanas. -- Las tasas urbanas. del se rv i c i o camas son “ Las tasas de re emplazo son m a yor es en s u p e ri o r e s en las zonas las zonas rurstles. - Los costos de inversión y de oper ac ión en la región superi or es e inferi ore s r e s p ec t i v am e n t e con relación urbana. rural s o n ■■ la región- Es de n o t a r , la d e s p r o p o r c i o n a d a d i fe r e n c i a que se presenta entre las zonas u rb an as y rurales en cuanto a la relación de m é di co s y camas cada 10000 habitanteís, siendo la cantidad de médic os rurales l^j quinta o se;-;tct parte de los que prestan se r v i ci o s en zonas urban as para ambas variantes, sie nd o más notoria esta desi gu al dad en la va ri a n te 2. En el año 2000 esté ind-icador es 16 veces mayor para la zona ur b an a que ,para la rural . Esta d ife re nci a no es tan ev id e n te en el se rv ici o camas que es en promedio dos veces superior en las zonas urbanas. CLomparativamien te la variisnte 2 co nl lev a mayor es e s fu er zos en c am in ado s al d e s ar ro ll o del sector de salud pública, debi do ,al efec to de una magnitud de paoblación más ele?vada como co ns ec u en c ia de un nivel de fecundidad su pe rio r y de una es tr uc t ur a más d i 1atada. 10 LIMITACIONES DE LA INFORMACION. En rigor, en R ep úbl ic a D om ini ca na no hay su fi ci e n t e información disponi bl e para realizar un trabajo de la magnit ud e im­ plic aci on es del que se presenta, debido a la mala calidad de sus estad i.st i.t::a s « > El Censo Nacional de población y vi v i e nd a s de 1981 aún seis años despué s no ha sido totalm en te publicado, por lo que no hay datos piara todas las regiones. En t?l sízctor educacional fue donde se presentaron las mayore s dificultades, de bi do a que no se en co n t ró información d e sa gre ga da por zonas urbana y ruraxl , ni tarnpioco para el sector sescundario. No obstante, se estima que los supu es tos que n e ce s a r i a m e n t e se tuvieron que foriíiular, no afecten en gran medida la calidad del trabajo, que en d e f in it i v a es un ensayo de las po s ib i l i da d es de t r'a tia j o d e 1, íüi íb te ena L...R F-'ti. 11 IV.-- A N A L I S I S de: l o s r e :s u l ï a d ü s . Ten ien do en cue nta que para ambas va r i a nt e s se tomó la misma población bas6í, los mismos su p u e st a s de mortalidad, se supuso aus encia de mig rac ió n into^írnac:ion« 1 y solo fue di f e r en t e el com por ta mi e nt o ap lic ad o a la fecundidad, se puede decir que las diferenci¿is entre las dos va r i a nt e s proyect ad as se deben e;-;elu si va m en te a c am bi os en la fecundidad. Estas dif er e nc ia s como monto ab so l u ta se muestrfan a co nt in u ac i ón ; DIFERENC IA S A B S O LU T AS DE LA P O B LA C I O N TOTAL PARA LA VA RI A N TE CON REL ACI ON A LA VA RIA NT E : . P E RI O D O 1 9 8 5 - 2 0 0 0 . ( M I L E S ) . Años TOTAL HOMBRES MUJERES 1985 1990 1995 2 C)00 57.0 16 2, 7 309.4 484.2 2 9 .0 8 2 .7 15 7, 3 24 6. 1 2 8 .0 7 9 ,9 152.0 238.0 i A medida que avanza el tiempo, son más ev i de n t e s los e f ect os de una dis min uci ón de la fecundidad más réipida en la va ri a n te 1, en el sentid o de que se ag randan las d i f e r e nc i a s entre las v a r i a n ­ tes . Esto es más ev id e nt e en el sexo masculino. T a m b i é n e s c o n s e c u e n c i a de la a p lic ac ión de unos s u pu es to s de f e c u n d i d a d m á s b a j o s en la va ri a n te 1, que ésta presen te una tasa brutci d e n a t a l i d a d y una tasa brut ci d e reprcjducc ión menor que la segund a v a r i a n t e . La edad media- de esta población pasa de ser un 0 . 7 7 % m a y o r e n 1985 .a s e r un -3 . 5 % ma yo r en el año 2 0 0 0 ; en este caso se a m p l í a n también las d i f e r e n c i a s . La tasa de crecimierito de esta primera va ri a n te es en el año 200u un 11.3 % (lienor que en la va ri a n te 2. La distri bu ció n reCLativa de la población ta^mbién tiene ca-imbios importantes, según se? siga uncí u otra vari ¿inte de proyección, lo que se obser va en el s ig ui en te cuadrci: DI ST RIB UC ION RE LA T IV A DE LA P O B L A CI O N TOTAL Í3RUP0S DE EDADES. ANOS 1980 Y 2000. GRUP OS DE .... - 1980 --EDADES H OM BR ES MUJERES (I) - i 4 15.Ó9 7 0 y -1- ?1 .¿Hi­ le .50 0.87 POR SEXOS Y GRAND ES ------ -- ----- 2 0 0 0 --------------VA RI AN T E 1 VA RI A N T E 2 H O MB R E S M U JER ES H O MBR ES MUJER ES 10.80 17 „¿1-6 0.93 17.52 31.91 1.02 12 16,95 31 .¿1-4 1,16 18.92 30.58 0.97 18.29 30.14 1.10 A pes£\r de que en el aiño 2000, la d i st ri buc ió n en c)eneral apunta a una mayor proporción de personas en el grupo de 0 a 14 años a. cuenta de los otros dos grupos, esto se hace más ev id e n te para la var iante 1, que a c on se c u e n c ia de una menor fecundidad, tiende a envejecer .más r á p i d o . PR O YE C C I O N DE LA PO B L AC IO N URB AN A Y RURAL. Debido a que fue usada una rnismai hipótesis de migr ac ión interna para las dos variantes, las d i f er e n c ia s entre el ifionto de la población urbana y rural y la mi gración r u r a 1- u r b a n a , vienen dadas por las propias d i f er e n c ia s de los mont os de la población total, que a su. vez vinieron d e t e r m i na d o s por 1¿ís di f er e n c i as de 1a fecund i d a d . Si la población siguiera t?! comportamiento de la variante 1, en el año 2 0 0 0 habr.ían c e ; re a de se;is millones de personas residien­ do en el área urbana del país, mientras que por la variante 2, estos serian unos -315000 más. F-‘or <su parte, la población rural estaria con for mada por una po b1ac ión de t res mi 1 Iones de habitante;s, según 1< va ria nt e 1 '/ su pe rad a en unos 169000 por la vari an te; La e s t ru c tu r a de la poblac ión rural de edadeís e;s similá\r a la de la período. y u r ban a población por sexos y grupos total para todo el PO B LA CI ON ES ESPECIALES. En el caso de las pob lac ion es espe?ci£^les se o b se r v a que a medida que av anza la proyección, aiumenta la pr oporción de población en edad 1albora 1, y que e?sto ocu rr e en mayor medid ai para la v ¿iri ante 1, donde la pob 1aición es más enve;iecida, que; en el caso de la variante 2. Líi fuearzai de trabajo rnaisizul ina y femeninai di s m i nu y e su peso relativo en las tzdades eextremáis y lo aumen ta e;n las edades jóve'neis y adult as jó vean es, ¿i pe;s£ir de que parai la población rural en los grupos de; edcides de ,1.0-19 se o b ser va una di sm inu ció n en números absiolutos. Dado que; el grado de ur barniz ación de lai población aiumenta en el tiempo, e;stai sit ua ció n na ocurre con la zona urbana. En la va ria nt e 1 se llega al 'año 2000 con c a nt i d a de s de población cla s if ic ad a como fuerza de ti-abcijo infísriores a 1¿ib de la va r"i an ­ te 2, debido a la mayor población que se alcan za por esta segund a v¿ir i ¿inte?. 13 DI ST RIB UC ION R E LA T IV A DE LA FUE RZ A DE TRABAJO, SEGUN ZONAS DE RESIDENCIA, POR SEXOS Y GRUPOS DE EDADES. ANOS 1980 Y 2 0 0 0 . (X), URBANO 1980 TO TAL 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 ¿■ >0-64 65-69 7 0 y "I" H 100„00 N 100.00 2.40 11.35 16.30 1520 12.59 10.22 8.68 7,13 ó . J.0 3.74 2,72 1. SO 1.77 2.41 11,45 19.90 17.04 13.72 10.82 8.17 6,01 ^ 4.29 2.41 1.64 1.01 1.08 ••200O" Va r i a n i E 1 H M 1 0 0 . <1)0 1 0 0 . 0 0 1.73 1.52 7,86 6.14 16,99 12.63 15.12 ,18.83 16,27 15.03 13,61 14.57 11.00 10.47 6.45 8.36 6.14 ' 3.82 3.70 2.16 2.38 1.33 1, y,3 0.79 1,17 0.65 VARIANTE 2 M hl K l x j . <I)<I) i C ) 0 . <;)<:) 1.91 a .29 12.54 15,02 14.93 13.52 10.92 a . 30 6.10 3,68 2.31 1,32 1,16. 1.6 7 6.48 16.91 18.73 16.18 14.49 10.42 6.42 3 . SO 2.15 1.32 0.. 7 9 t.). 6 4 l^'URAL 1980 TÜ TAL 10-14 15-19 2 0 .2 4 25-29 . 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70 y + l<j(j. <I)<I) 7,78 14-01 16,09 13,23 10.71 b . 50 7.15 5.92 5,27 3.55 2.88 2.19 2.70 M l<."xj, 0<I) 1 i , 64 16.->19 14.39 11,81 9.76 7.97 6.88 2.40 4.84 3.25 2.63 1,92 2.75 ?000VARIANTE 1 H M K l x j , 00 100.00 5,11 7.33 10,02 1 1 . SO 12.42 13.50* 13.28 12.32 12.91 12.19 11.46 1<;).96 8.92 9.17 7.03 6.94 5.39 4,96 3 . 8é) 4.02 3.07 3.0 5 ■•"i “7 2.19 2.98 2.84 VARIANTE O H M i c j o . <:xj 1 <1x1. <;xj 5.59 7.98 10.93 12,33 13.34 12.23 13.13 12.14 12.76 12,01 11.33 10,79 9.06 8.78 6,956.83 5.35 4.89 3.97 3-80 3.03 3.00 2.17 2.23 2.81 2.94 F 'a ra l a v a r i a n t e t í c: i ( . l a c i o n e s t e l a d e m is m o f u e r z a d e t a s a l a p o b l a c i ó n l o h a c e e l d e t r a b a j o en m ás e d a d 1 9 9 0 , s e 1 , r e l a t i v o d e p r i m a r i a com o p o b l a c i ó n a l a en l a v a r i a n t e .1, que? E n e l p r i m e r a l a l a m e n o r e s d e i 4 i . a d e a u m e n t a r , p e r o 2 , d e e d a d c o n l a b o r a l . r e s p e c t o v a r i a n t e s , l o s m a y o r e s m a y o r e n v e j e c i m i e n t o d e 6 4 h a s t a m e d id a l a a p e r o d e d e p e n d e n c i a e n p a r ­ p a r t i c i p a c i ó n e n l a d e v a r i a n t e d o s P a r a d e t a s a s l a a ñ o s l a s d i s m i n u c i ó n m a y o r a p o b l a c i ó n v a r i a n t e l a a l c a n z a n t<asa en s o n t r a b a j a l a p o b l a c i ó n , l o s v a r i a n t e D E r u r a l d e i y a v a n z a p e r o u n a en p o b l a c i ó n e s t o C R E C I M I E N T O D E L A o c u r r e d e m ás m a y o r q u e e n e d a d en m e d id a m av'or d e l a c o n v a r i a n t e E N e l e ? n v e j e c id a . r a p i d e z P O B L A C I O N t o t a l p o r p e r í o d o l a e s c o l a r a l t i e m p o , c r e c i m i e n t o s e g u r> d o c o n la b o r 'a l en r e l a c i ó n e l p o b l a c i ó n e 1 d e c r e c e e d a d c o n en d i f e r e n c i a l e s e n u r b a n a d i s m i n u y e s e p r e s e n t a s i m i l a r e? s ; f u e r a D I F E R E N C l A L E S q u e p o b l a c i ó n , d e c e n i o v a r i a n t e s d e c o n s e c u n d a r i a , m e d id a d e p o b l a c i ó n s e s u p e r i o r e s d i s m i n u y e u n a e 1 l a e n v e j e c i m i e n t o la l o s en arios o b s e r v a d o . pEvso l a d e c o m i e n z a t a n t o d e o c u r r e l a b o r a l p o r l o s t r a i b a j o r e l a c i ó n o b s e r v a d o n d e a n t e r i o r m e n t e , d e r á p i d a m e n t e V a r i a n t e E l t o d o s c o n d e p e n d e n c i a t a m b i é n a ñ o 1 a en fu e r z a t c o m p o r t a m i e n t o L a a ñ o s , i l a a m b a s f u e r z a d e r e l z í c i ó n a 2 . E D A D L A B O R A L - E D A D I N A C T I V A . (% ) A N O S V A R I A N T E 1 V A R I A N 1E I 1 9 9 0 - 1 9 9 0 9 . 7 1 9 . 7 1 1 9 9 0 - 2 0 0 0 9 . 9 7 9 . 9 3 P R Ü Y E C CION D E S A L U D P U B L. I C A PmR IE. RUf'ílJL E i' i e 1 c a s o " u s u a r i o s “ c o n d e I'" e 1 a c i. ó n u n a u n o s s e q u e -.iO a a l a en a en l a iíi a ziu l a r e l a c i ó n v a r i ¡ante y o r . 1 ) y u n a o b t i e n e u n a m ¿iyor p u ib li c a ( 8 4 6 0 0 rnáis e s t o s e d e b e q u e v e z , s e p o s t a a n e c e s i t a n m é d i c a en c a n t i d a d e l a ñ o t a m b i é n e n e l p a r t e a ñ o a d i c i o n a l e s d e 2:000 21000 a l o s 1 c o s t o s d e a ñ o 1 9 9 0 1 en 1 3 7 0 s e s u y v a r i a n t e y 2; s a l u d A ("ama l o s e l i n v e r t i r d e v a r ' i a n t e i. O ri n e c e ? s ita n en v a r i a n t e s i s t e m a m e d ic c ís , n e c e s i t a de l a p? o b 1 a c n e c e s i t a d C o n d e d e l i n v e r s i ó n u n o s 76t) e l ario 21000 izeso s m ás q u e opje raciO n, 1.5 e n p e s íjs s o n en l a e l m ás 1 6 9 0 s e r v i c i o en p e s o s , v a r i a n t e " m é d i c o s " , l a 1 , v a r i a n t e . A s u p o r v e z 2 s e c o s t o s P a r a e l g a s t o s d e v a r i a n te? 3 7 0 s e r v i c i o m é d i c o i n v e r s i ó n en i en p e s o s « en e l E n e l 1 5 0 L o s a ñ o m ás F'or c o s t o s 2 8 0 p e s o s a d e y en 2 e l o p e r a c i ó n “ c a m a " , p o r 1 2 0 a ñ o 2 0 0 0 s e r í a n s e r e q u i e r e n p e s o s m ás e s t e v a l o r s u p e r i o r e s h a c e r q u e en en la s e r i a d e 4 0 0 p e s o s d e p o s t a s g a s t o s e l a ñ o s i l a m é d i c a s d e s e n e c e s i t a n i n v e r s i ó n p a r a l a en 1 9 9 0 , y e l p r o p i o v a r i a n t e 3 4 0 2 p e s o s 2 0 0 0 . s e r e q u e r i r í a n p o b l a c i ó n c r e c e e n c o n f o r m e a a ñ o l o 2 0 0 0 u n o s p r o y e c t a d o en 2 . t o t a l e s 2 1 9 9 0 l o s d e o p e r a c i ó n m ás c o s t o s v a r i a n t e 1 9 9 0 p a r a eri v a r i a n t e a ñ o c o s t o s s e r v x c i o p e s o s L o s a ñ o d e n o m in a d o v a r ia n t e ? 2 0 0 0 „ a d i c i o n a l e s l a e?l l a r e q u e r i d o s s u p e r i o r e s s e a r e q u i e r e n c o s t o s d e l o s l ó 7 0 o p e r a c i ó n ) e n e l s i s t e m a r e q u e r i d o s p a r a p e s o s d e y en m ás( e l ¿sño d e l a s a l u d e l l o s 2 0 0 0 s o n v a r i a n t e 5 4 0 s o n s o n 4 9 1 0 p a r a l a E n e l 1 . r e f e r i d o s a d i c i o n a l - rn e n te . E n c u a n t o c o s t o s 1 en a d e u n o s "cam ciS" 4 3 7 0 y 9 0 0 o p e r a c i ó n d e Ó 8 0 l o s en y c o s t o s i n v e r s i ó n , en pe?sos en a c u m u l a d o s , m a y o r e s e l e?n e l m é d i c o s " p o s t a s e l e l a ñ o 2 0 0 0 h a y m o n to l a q u e l a v a r i a n t e p o r m é d i c o s y S i s e en g a s t o s m ás s i g u e q u e s e r í a n a ñ o s L o s l a d e la p o r y c o s t o s e l Parai e n a ñ o en c u b r i r " m é d i c o s " 2 , l a d e en lais s e r í a n en e s t o s e 1 . u n o s en l a en l o s m á s , e n s o n d e -de l o s v a r i a n t e e l P a r a m ás d e l s e r v i c i o c o s t o s d e “ c a m a s " e s 5 8 0 p e s o s . s e r v i c i o c o m p o r t a m i e n t o p r o v o c a r í a n e c e s i t a r a n p a r a ' A 5 6 8 0 e l s u l a d e l a d e s a l u d v a r i a n t e n e c e s i d a d p a r a a ñ o v e z , p e s o s u n o s v a r i a n t e d e 2 0 1 8 0 e l l o s 1 9 9 0 y y en y d e n t r o m a y o r e s 10 ó 8 '70 y 2 s o n p e s o s e l 1 9 9 0 d e l o s e n s e r v i c i o u n o s 2 2 8 0 4 5 5 4 0 m é d i c o 1 1 6 8 0 c o s t o s d e p e s o s 'o p e r a c i ó n p e s o s p a r a c o n r e s p e c t o i n f e r i o r e s p a r a e l a ñ o c o s t o s d e i n v e r s i ó n 6 0 5 7 0 en e l o t r o s ne?ceSidad(^5 a c u m u l a d o s , r e q u e r i d o s e l i n v e r s i ó n c e r c a 2 0 0 0 , m ás c a s o l o s r e s p e c t i v a m e n t e . t o t a l e s 1 e l e n S 5 0 p e s o s d i f e r e n c i a s u s u a r i o s v a r i a n t e 2 0 0 0 p e s o s c o s t o s l a , m é d i c a s “ . 2 8 8 0 e n q u e a d i c i o n a l e s . v a r i a n t e d e 2 “ m é d i c o s " d e l a s s i g u e 1 , c a m a s s u p e r i o r e s v a r i a n t e 1 3 3 2 0 1 2 0 t o t a l e s 1 9 9 0 p a r a p o b l a c i ó n e s s o n , U R B A N A 2Í33600 s i e s t o s v a r i s i n t e " p o s t í i s m é d i c a s " p ú b l i c a l a s e ? r v i c i o s e r v i c i o P A R T E E n en d e s a l u d d e en l a en ^3510 p ú b l i c a e l l o s , v a r i a n t e p a r a a ñ o e l l o s 1 9 9 0 s o n a 1 1 5 8 4 0 n e c e s a r i o s 2 0 0 0 . p l a n i f i c a d a s , c o s t o s 2 y p a r a ' s e r v i c i o d e e l l o s i n v e r s i ó n s e r v i c i o “ c a m a s " . L o s t o s CD n i o r e s reí 1cic i. On acumiA 1 t o t a l e s 1B 9 1.3 0 a 1 a y a r i a n t e In d e p e n d i e n t e í m e n t e u r b a n a , st^ e x i s t e iTia in ifitísta r e q u e r i d o s caula u n o p o r P F ^ O Y E C C IO N D E d e un s e g ú n li .0 4 / '. en r e p r e s e n t a 2 3 2 0 0 L. eín l o s os 2 2 .2 2 % C o n u n a 19 9 0 E n c o n d e 1 9 9 0 en e l r e p r e s e n t a v a r i a n t e t a n t o , l o s 1f f e c u n d i d a d i n i c i a 1 L o s e s c o s t o s l a en p o b l a c i ó n e s t a s e a á r e a , q u e y c a n t i d a d d e s e ^ r v i c i o s m é d i c o s d e e n 1 9 9 0 , e s t e un o p e r a c i ó n 1 o s c a d a 1 V d e l 4 -0 7 . en q u e e n 1 9 9 0 l a v a r i a n t e e d a d e s c o ! ¿a r s 6 ? c to r a ñ o t a m b i é n l o s 2 , s o n 2 e l r 1 , p e r o y en l a en e l a c i ón 1 , y e s e y l o en q u e ■ 6 S 0 0 y p r i m a r i o p a r a e l en un s u p e r i o r e s 2000 c o s t o s en un d e o p e r a c i ó n 2.3F7Í y s o n 1 0 .4 8 % en s o n l o s c o s t o s v a r i a n t e a ñ o 2 0 0 0 2 e l s u p e r i o r e s d e i n v e r s i ó n e n un 1 6 .1 4 7 . p c ír c e n ta .je e n un 2 .3 7 . e s en 2 0 0 0 , e n l a s e c u n d a r i a 1 . p e r o a ñ o e f e c t o en en m a t r i c u l a d o s un a a l u m n o s / m a e s t r o s e l q u e 7 ,5 7 7 . d e l o s en rtelaxción p a r a 1 , o p e A s e a n a ñ o s n o v a r i a n t e 2 h s ib r ía n en y 3 7 6 0 0 1 9 9 0 s u l O S O O l a m a y o r m e i t r x c u l a d o s a l y m a y o r e s s u p e r i o r e s v a r i a n t e a ñ o v e z , m ás e n p o b l a c i ó n que? u n e n 7 .5 7 . h a b r í a n e l en l a 1 7 0 0 m ás 5 0 0 a ñ o e d a d p e r s o n a s e n e l 2 0 0 0 , l o s e c u n d a r i a v a r i a n t e a ñ o m a t r i c u l a d o s 1 , y q u e s e a en p o r lo m á s . i n t e r m e d i o s i n m e d i a t o c o n d e r e l a c i ó n l a s a l a ñ o f i n a l d i f e r e n c i a s v a r i a n t e , sotare e s t e s e c t o r , i n v e r s í i ó n v a r ia n t e ? d o n d e d e l a l a e d a d a i -i o s . t o t a l e s d e a l u m n o s / a u l a , s e r í a n p e s o s 1 5 3 3 0 s a l u d i n v e r s i ó n v a r i a n t e v a r i a n t e 2 0 0 0 en c o h e r s p e c t i y a m e n t e . s c o l a r 2 l a s e c u n d a r i o , l a d c? 2 d e i n v e r s i ó n v a r i a n t e s o n l a e r e? n c i a d e b t? r ía l a p e r s o n a s 2 3 .8 ó % l a c o E t o s e n m ás p a r a un 1 0 .4 7 7 . en d e s u p e r -- r e s p e c t i v a m e n t e . s e r v i c i o a e d a d q u e p a r t e s o n v a r i a n t e m a n t o s c o n v a r i a n t e 1 9 9 o s e c t. o r e?n <:i l a d e '1 a ñ o L o s e 1 m e n o s e n 2 0 0 0 un d e p r i m a r i a 5on 2 d e a ñ o P a r a s e S ó ó O O 1 V■ e n me? n o y a c a s o l a L ü U O , m ás en 2 0 . 4 1 . 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L a d e l en J.. un c a d a tie?ne a d o s ''camas" en s u p e r i o r e s m á s , o s e a , 17 d e a un l a l o s d e 2 3 .0 7 % l a y 2 p a r a v a r i a n t e l o s c o s t o s e l 1 s e r v i c i o en e l d e o p e r a - a ñ o c i ó n d e e îî e m i s iT i o a N o E n s e r v i c i o liltiiïiD 28.3'7. d e a ñ o l a o p e r a c i ó n t o d a l a en y e q u i v a l e C on r e l a c i ó n s e r í a en p a r a u n o s 4.1% l a e l i u p e r i o f e s lo ; a l o s d e e s t o s e q u i v a l e a p a í s r e c u r s o s m ás un l a v a r i a n t e i en e l d e p o b l a c i ó n s e c t o r s e a , 1 1 - 6 4 % , un e n en '9 5 0 p r o p i o P a r a e l 6 9 9 0 0 e l l a s , l a v a r i a n t e l a 2 2 , y e s t e p a r a l a i 1 , l o s e c t o r . v a r i a n t e , o s e a , en l a d e n t r o p e s o s , p o r l o q u e r u r a l d e l p a r a l o s 3 .9 7 % m ás p e r s o n a s m as r e g i ó n d e 2 un ( a 1 u m n o s / m a e s t r o ) 43 9 1 7 0 e n r e q u e r i r á n v a r i a n t e q u e en l a 1 o L o s y un c a s t o s e s t a , 1 9 9 0 1 . E n e n a u n v a r ia n t e ? o p e r a c i ó n 1 0 .4 9 % e l d e o t r a , e l 1 9 9 0 2 0 0 0 e s t a o E s t o s f u e r o n . e n a ñ o l a s e r í a ' 1 1 . 6 4 % . p a r a i n v e r s i ó n e n 2 0 0 0 p e r s o n a s , y é l , d e a ñ o m a t r i c u l a d a d e n t r o y e l 1 0 5 5 0 0 r u r a l d e un 2-3400 p o b l a c i ó n 1 4 .0 2 % ', d e y y e q u i v a l e u n a l a e n - p o b l a c i ó n q u e t o t a l e s en 2 .3 5 % l a e n t r e p r i m a r i o , 2 t e n d r í í i p e r s o n a s ) s u p e r i o r q u e p a r a c o s t o s en 2 v a r i a n t e s e r í a p e r s o n a s , s e c u n d a r i o , en e d a d 3 5 0 0 0 m ás s e r v i c i o s o n s o n s e g u n d a r e s p e c t i v a m e n t e y l o s r e l a c i ó n c a s o de?l s e r v i c i o l o s 6 4 .6 9 % d e c o s t o s e qr.. ie 1 s e d e q u e en a ñ o m ás l o s 2 0 0 0 q u e c o s t o s eos;-tos a l a d e p a r a s u p e r— m a y o r e s v a r i a n t e " l o s en un y l a e s p e r a d e 0 . 3 8 “% e n v a r i a n t e q u e 18 s e a a ñ o s Parrar e s t e 2 d e u n 2 t e n d r í a v a r i a n t e m is m o 1 ; a ñ o i n v e r s i ó n 5 . 5 5 “% d e p a r a s e r í a n m a y o r en- l a 1 . en l a v a r i a n t e i n v e r s i ó n s e r í a n r e s p e c t i v a m e ? n t e . e s t e p o r v a r ia r a t e l a t o t a l e s a 1 u m n o s / m a r e s t r o , o p e r a c i ó ri l a en o p e r a c .ió n v a r i a n t e o p e r a c i ó n i n f s?rior6?s g a s t o s v a r i a n t e lo d e e l m a v t r i c u l a d a s . a 1 um nos/ar..i 1 a , m a y o r e s e n e s c a l a r c o n ¿r b s o l u t o s l a s e m a y o r v a r i a i n t e p a r a v ¿ í r i a n t e s e r v i c i o escol¿-ir ( 2 0 6 6 0 2 2 0 0 0 t a d o s , seai, r e l a t i v o s h a b r í a n 1 9 . E i 6 “% un e l s e r í a n m iie n t r a s 00 s e c t o r s e r v i c i o e l p<ara v a r i a n t e r e s p e c t i v a m e n t e . m a y o r l a l a d e s u p e r ­ U R B A N A v a r i a n t e p e r s o n a s e l ■año q u e a en s e r v i c i o s 1 - 6 6 7 . 2 0 0 0 . un E n r e l a c i ó n scíctcir 2 1 . 1 7 “% . y c o n e ;s c a l a r 1 o s s u p e r i o r e s 19 9 0 ( a l u m n o s / a u 1 a ) a n t e r i o r m e n t e / a u 1 a , en un s o n e d a d v a l o r e s 6 ? n con tra d cjs i o r e s un m ás un c o s t o s r/. l o s q u e d e l s e r í a l o s un d e a c u m u l a d o s l a m a y o r q u e 1 9 9 0 , t o t i ^ l e s 1 o e d a d en e?l p a r a p e s o s p r i m a r i o , en p o b l a c i ó n (..(m n a s en t o t a l 2 7 . 9 % 1 y - 4 0 1 4 8 0 p o r r n a t r ic u ia c ia s (-3 .9 7 % ) P a r a v a r i a n t e c o s t o i n v e r s i ó n v a r i a n t e » E n s u p e r i o r- l a d e m ie n t r e is un 4 .3 '% , P A R T E m ismosi v a r i a n t e , e l c o s t o s m a e s t r o s . t o t a l seegunda p e s o s m i e n t r a s 2 d e l a v a r i a n t e c o s t o s pescis c o s t o 2 0 0 0 s e r v i c i o 2 4 7 7 4 0 V i d r i a n t e l o s l a 7 4 5 1 0 a e l p a r a p rim e re i r u r a l en ario a c?l m a y o r , l a z o n a i o r e s , q u e de; s u p e r a r í a n s e r í a n , en i a n p r o y e c c i ó n a l e d u c a c i ó n en er a 1 u m n o s / m a e s t r o , de; s u p e r i o r P a r a a 1 s 5.52%. un i n d i c a d o t*' parra l o s t o d o s m a y o r e s s o n l o s 2 p a r a e l s u p e r i o r e s L o s m o n t o s s u p e r i o r e s arnos s a l a r i o s p ro v ^ e c d e l o s ma e?s t r' c;>s l a L o s z o n a e i'i c o s t o s v a r i a n t e 2 un en 9 .3 % c o s t o s L o s di3 z o na i.ar b a t o t a l e s c o n e l na con r' e 1 a c i ó n l a u n a c u m u la id o B en d e s u p e r i o r e s r e c u r s o s l a p a r a z o n a e l s i s t e m a 2 0 0 0 ; a l u m n o s / m a e s t r o d i f e r e n c i a s e r v i c i o af"io y s o n s e r v i c i o d e l r e l a c i ó n i n v e r s i ó n c o s t o s n o s / a u l a m ás l a e s t e m is m o i n d i c a d o r d e r u r a l . e d u c a t i v o v a r i a n t e d e l o s 5 .2 7 % t o d o en a en r u r a l , s e r v i c i o a n a l i z a d o . Í9 un en un d e p e r i o d o v a r i a n t e 3 . 1 % . l a z o n a s u p e r i o r e s l a r e g i ó n p a r a c u a l e s c o s t o s e l l a 1 s o n 1 7 . 3 1 % e n l a u r b a n a en c o r r e s p o n d e a o p e r a c i ó n . p a r a 2 en e l un E s t o u r b a n a a l u m n o s / a u l a q u e s e r v i c i o 5 . 2 1 % , y s i g n i f i c a s e v a n p a r a a e l a l u m ­ p a r a q u e , e l a r e q u e r i r s e g u n d o V . - C G IM CL US I Ü N E S . L u e g o d e m ;i, e n t o a n a l i z a r d e 1 a s i t (,.(a c 1 ó n y d e n t r o parsi e l y y d e q u e s u p o b l a c i ó n m o n t o s d e p o b l a c i ó n t . e n d i- í a y a v a r i a n t e q u e d e p o r n o n e c e s a r i o o t r o d e l a l m i..indo o d e e n c r e c i - - c u e n t a la s i.ib d e s a r ro lla d o , s e r í a r i t m o o b t e n i d o s i n v e r t i r e l un 4 . 0 7. c r e c i m i e n t o e z i s t e n p r o p i o en n o d e p a í s c o m p a r a r n o h i j o s m ás c o n v e n i e n t e p r o y e c t a d o p o r l a p o r e ste i m e n o s f u e r a d e v a r i a n t e , e l g a s t o s e l d e e d u c a ­ o b t e n i d o p o r la ' a c o n e s t o s p a r t i d a , d i f e r e n c i a l , m u j e r p o r d i f e r e n c i a s d e y e s t a l o s en l a d e u n a d e c i r , s i e n d o en s e g u n d a r a z ó n m o n t o s e n t r e e s que*, a v a r i a n t e e l l a n i v e l p r i m e r a v a r i a n t e d e p e s a r d e e x i s t i r s u s c o s t o s , s e r v i c i o s y 2 . 5 6 e l e v a d o s . q u e e n p o r l a s e n e n r i q u e c e r va\r i an t e , r e s p e c t o a r e s u l t a d o s p r o y e c c i o n e s f a l t a i::sr e s e n t a d o s a d e m á s , c: a\ d a m uy p o r p r o f u n d i z a r fueroi"i g r a n d e s s u p u e s t o e s E s c u a n t o t a n s e c t o r e s , p u d ie ra n d e n t r o n o e l 2 . 1 6 s o n d o S e s i m u j e r . E s ci i e n t e q u e q u e d i f e r e n c i a s e s t o s q u e f e c u n d i d a d , h i j o s el D o m i n i c a n a , c r e c i e r a v a r i a n t e s t e n i e n d v a r i a n t e , n o t a r l a l'i:epLib 1 i c a d o s y 1, s a l u d o t r a , d e l a l a s c t a d a s ,, qi.ie^ a t r a v i . e s a p a í s l o s s e g u n d a E s í3(")c .1 o e c : o n ó í n i c a oye é s t e , g o b i e r n o c i ó n p i'" d e v a r i a n t e Segi..in c o m p a r a t i v a m e n t e p o t) 1 a c i <í) ri d e e l t r a b a j o . e l t r a b a j o u n a t e n d e n c i a i l o s s e c t o r e s c o n 1 o £i q u e o b t e n i d a s , t i e m p o e to m a n d o c o n s t a n t e s e h a n s u f i ­ c o m o s u p u e s t o l a p o l í t i c a e n s o c i o e c o n ó m i c o s , a q (..i í u t i l i z a n ­ i n f o r m a c i ó n p a r a p o d e r p r e s e n t a d o . BIBLIOGRAFIA C E L A DE . r< e p á ta I i c a D a mi n i c p o b l a c i ó n , 1 9 5 0 - -2 0 2 5 . d e s a r r o l l o i n t e r n a c i o n a l , . C E L A D E . Ce?nso LR i-'M /P C . N a c i o n a l D o (j) i n i. c:: a n a ,, C O N S E J O U s e r ' s d e ; El s t i ít>a c i ó n C a n a d i e n s e M a y o , y p p a r a raya c c i ó n d e e l 1 9 8 5 . m a n u a l . F 'o b l a c i ó n v o 1 i..i m e n N A C I O N A L y a. n a A g e n c i a y V i v i e n d a i s , 1 9 8 1 . R e p ú b l i c a 1 . D E P O B L A C I O N p ro b le e m a s V e c o n ó m i c a s F A M I L I A . en l a T e n d e n c i a s F ;e p ú b l i c a d e m o g r á f i c a s D o m i n i c a n a . J u l i o , 1 9 8 1 . I N S T I T U T O B a 1 u d D E e ri I N S T I T U T O E S T U D I O S D E E S T U D I O S p r o f a m i l i a , d e d e D E B o l e t í n 6?n y c j s i;:)e a n d R A M IF 7 E Z , D E R . P O B L A C I O N y D E S A R R O L L O . Y P o b l a c i ó n D E S A R R O L L O - d e s a r r o l l o . P O B L A C I O N D o m i n i c a n a . em piezo c tsi s o c i a l y Y U n a B o l e t í n D E S A R R O L L O . y e n t i d a d 1 6 , d e d i c i e m b r e P o b l a c i ó n F-'erspec t i v a s d e s E ím p le o D E en # en eíl d e l a p e r i o d o y m ano f u e r z a d e 1 9 8 0 - 1 9 9 0 . y N ew r e v i. s e d D e p a r t m e n t Y o r k , o f a s o f 1 9 8 4 - 8 5 . i n t e r n a t i o n a l 19 E Í7. F ^ e p ú b lic a D o m i n i c a n a en X I . S i t u a c i ó n 1 9 5 C) U r b a n i z a t i on 1 0 1 - E S T A D I S T I C A S . D o m i n i c: a n a - N EILS O N D o ffl i n i c a n a Wo r 1 d a f f a i r s . 9 o 1 um en N E'.LSO N . FI'. o f S t u d i e s N A C I O N A L c:: i f r a s , 1 9 8 4 . 1 a Y 2 . "i" l i p r R A M I R E Z , l a d e l F ' o p u l a t i o n O F I C I N A D E F Y :)b la c ió n E S T U D I O S o b r a t r a b a j o e c o n o m ic P O B L A C I O N 1 9 6 8 . I N S T I T U T O N N U U . D E I-';. D o m i n i c a n a . y S a n t o o t r o s . t e n d e n c i a s D o mi n g o , F -'o b la c ió n 1 9 8 5 , M a y o 21 d e y 1 9 8 5 . d e m o g r á f i c a s a c t u a l e s 19715 . d e s a r r o l l o d e l a R . en R E S U L T A D O S DE L A S P R O Y E C C I O N E S P R O Y E C C I O N E S D E ’POB L A C I O N REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Base year: ttt 1980 m Nuaber of years in projection: 20 f, Kuiber of 5-year age groups: 15 m Interpolation: 1 m 0 = Stepped 1 = Arithaetic International aigration: 2 = Geoaetric 0 0 = None 1 = Percentages of each cohort 2 = Cohort weights, absolute nuabers of aigrants 3 = Cohort weights, proportions of total population Test 1 BIRTH RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-VEAfi INTERVALS n AGE GROUP tl5 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »40 TO 44,»45 TO 49 n PERIOD 19B0-19B4 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .0880 .0745 .0683 .0648 .2245 .2070 .1943 .1867 .2025 .1855 .1723 .1647 .1475 .1310 .1187 .1123 .0925 .0785 .0695 .0645 .0320 .0255 .0220 .0200 .0095 .0070 .0058 .0052 Test 2". PERIOD »» AGE GROUP »» »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .0957 .0868 .0809 .0768 .2377 .2292 .2230 .2175 .2143 .2035 .1947 .1892 .1552 .1423 .1334 .1281 .0975 .0851 .0777 .0734 .0338 .0277 .0245 .0227 .0098 .0074 .0063 .0056 REPUpLICA OQHINICANA «EST LIFE TABLE CHOSEN SURVIVAL RATES HITH LIFE EXPECTANCIES fXOBENOUS SCHEDULE 1 --A6E— INFANT 1 TO 4 5 TO 9 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 50 TO 54 55 TO 59 60 TO 64 65 TO 69 OVER 69 LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH HALE FEHALE SCHEDULE 2 HALE FEHALE SCHEDULE 3 HALE FEHALE SCHEDULE 4 HALE FEHALE .9353 .9482 .9443 .9575 .9525 .9654 .9595 .9714 .9845 .9873 .9878 .9908 .9906 .9934 .9924 .9950 .9935 .9946 .9945 .9959 .9954 .9969 .9961 .9975 .9924 .9940 .9934 .9953 .9944 .9963 .9951 . .9971 .9886 .9913 .9900 .9930 .9913 .9945 .9924 .9957 .9863 .9891 .9881 .9911 .9897 .9929 .9911 .9945 .9851 .9872 .9871 .9894 .9890 .9914 .9904 .9932 .9823 .9847 .9846 .9872 .9868' .9894 .9884 .9913 .9769 .9811 .9797 .9837 .9821 .9861 .9841 .9881 .9677 .9751 .9708 .9779 .9736 .9804 .9761 .9827 .9529 .9653 .9565 .9684 .9597 .9713 .9627 .9742 .9301 .9502 .9343 .9540 .9380 .9576 .9417 .9612 .8961 .9256 .9009 ,9306 .9054 .9352 .9100 .9401 .8466 .8851 .8523 ,8914 ,8576 ,8972 .8633 .9037 .7750 .8201 .7813 ,8275 .7873 .8344 .7941 .8427 .5431 .5767 .5487 .5835 .5541 .5900 .5601 .5975 ¿2.19 66.11 63.B6 YEAR TO NHICH SURVIVAL RATES APPLY SCHEDULE 1— -1960 SCHEDULE 2-— 1985 SCHEDULE 3— -1990 SCHEDULE 4— -1995 68.06 65.42 69.81 66.80 71.36 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 RATIO QF HALE TQ FEHALE BIRTHS = l.OSOOOO BIRTH RATES REPUBLICA DOHIHICANA "AGE— 19B0 BASE POPULATION (THOUSANDS) AGE HALES FEHALES PROPORTION OF TOTAL POPULATION MALES FEMALES 0 TO 4 5 TO 9 10 TQ 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 50 TO 54 55 TO 59 60 TO 64 65 TO 69 OVER 69 TOTAL 429.55 403.24 380.67 347.12 281.69 221.13 176.58 140.00 118.43 98.75 89.06 60.43 50.14 39.35 49.74 2893.88 415.29 391.84 378.30 336.82 271.27 211.50 170.08 136.48 116.05 97.94 84.07 57.08 . 46.98 35.83 53.46 2802.99 .0754 .0708 .0682 .0609 .0494 .0388 .0310 .0246 .0208 .0173 .0156 .0106 .0088 .0069 .0087 .5080 NUMBER TOTAL POPULATION = 5696.87 .0729 .0688 .0664 .0591 .0476 .0371 .0299 .0240 .0204 .0172 .0148 .0100 .0082 .0063 .0094 .4920 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TQ 44 45 TO 49 SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE 1 2 3 4 .0970 .2330 .2100 .1550 .1000 .0360 .0110 .0790 .2160 .1950 .1400 .0850 .0280 .0080 .0700 .1980 .1760 .1220 .0720 .0230 .0060 .0630 .1830 .1610 .1090 .0620 .0190 .0050 CRUDE BIRTH RATE) .0326 .0291 .0260 .0236 6RQSS REPRODUCTION RATE» 2.0537 1.8317 1.6268 1.4683 TOTAL FERTILITY RATE! 4.2100 3.7550 3.3350 3.0100 YEAR TO NHICH BIRTH RATES APPLY SCHEDULE 1---- 1960 SCHEDULE 2-— 1985 SCHEDULE 3— -1990 SCHEDULE 4---- 2000 t 1980 POPULATION BASE DEN0e2.3/DEHC REPUBLICA DOMINICANA 01-01-1980 01:15 Test 1 PROJECTION SUMMARY YEAR TOTAL MALES 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2893.9 3276.5 3689.0 4123.8 4572.2 ;YEAfi AVERA6E AGE 1980 1985 1990 4995 2000 22.712 23.419 24.207 25.091 26.046 OVERALL 6RQUTH RATE = TOTAL TOTAL FEMALES POPULATION BIRTHS 2803.0 3187.0 3601.8 4039.3 4490.9 974.9 1039.5 1090.7 1138.7 5696.9 6463.5 7290.8 8163.1 9063.1 PER CENT POP. DECADE POP. GRQNTH RATE GROWTH RA' 2.557 2.438 2.286 2.114 2.349 2.498 2.362 2.200 DEATHS CRUDE BIRTH RATE CRUDE DEATH RATE 208.2 2,12.2 218.4 238.7 .0321 .0302 .0282 .0264 .0068 .0062 .0057 .0055 LIFE EXPECTANCY 6R0SS AT BIRTH REPRODUCTION RATE FEMALE MALE 63.02 64.63 66.11 66.80 67.08 68.93 70.58 71.36 1.943 1.729 1.587 1.508 PERIOD 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 01-01-1980 01:15 HALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 • YEAR I960 1985 1990 1995 2000 A6E 6R0UP 44 » 0 TO 4 4 5 TO 9 410 TO 14 415 TO 19 420 TO 24 425 TO 29 430 TO 34 435 TO 39 429.5 469.3 505.0 534.1 559.6 403.2 423.6 464.2 500.7 530.0 388.7 400.8 421.5 462.2 498.7 347.1 385.9 398.4 419.3 460.0 281.7 343.4 382.3 395.1 416.1 221.1 278.1 339.6 378.6 391.6 176.6 218.1 274.8 336.1 375.0 tt A8E GROUP 440 TO 44 445 TO 49 450 TO 54 455 TO 59 460 TO 64 465 TO 69 4 OVER 69 118.4 137.0 170.3 211.3 267.0 98.8 114.8 133.1 166.0 206.3 89.1 94.3 110.0 128.0 159.9 60.4 03.0 88.3 103.4 120.5 50.1 54.3 75.0 80.1 94.1 39.3 42.6 46.4 64.5 69.2 140.0 173.7 214.9 271.4 332.2 44 49.7 57.8 65.3 73.1 92.2 FEMALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS H ' AGE GROUP 44 YEAR 4 0 TO 4 4 5 TO 9 410 TO 14 415 TO 19 420 TO 24 425 TO 29 430 TO 34 435 TO 39 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 415.3 453.1 487.5 515.2 539.6 391.8 410.7 449.6 484.7 512.7 378.3 390.0 409.2 448.3 483.5 336.8 376.3 388.4 407.9 447.0 271.3 334.2 373.9 386.5 406.2 • 211.5 268.6 331.5 371.6 384.3 170.1 209.0 266.0 329.0 369.0 44 AGE GROUP 440 TO 44 445 TO 49 450 TO 54 455 TO 59 460 TO 64 465 TO 69 4 OVER 69 116.1 134.1 165.2 203.9 260.3 97.9 113.3 131.3 162.1 200.4 84.1 94.7 109.9 127.7 157.9 57.1 80.0 90.5 105.4 122.8 47.0 53.0 74.7 84.9 99.1 35.8 41.7 47.4 67.2 76.7 T 53.5 60.5 70.2 81.4 105.3 136.5 167.7 206.6 263.4 326.1 44 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 01-01-1980 01:15 HALE POPULATION A6E PROFILE A6E GROUP U » o TO 4 » 5 TO 9 *10 TO 14 *15 TO 19 *20 TO 24 *25 TO 29 *30 TO 34 *35 TO 39 n YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 PROFILE YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 . YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .0754 .0726 .0693 .0654 .0617 .0708 .0655 .0637 .0613 .0585 .0682 .0620 .0578 .0566 .0550 .0609 .0597 .0546 .0514 .0508 .0494 .0531 .0524 .0484 .0459 .0388 .0430 .0466 .0464 .0432 .0310 .0337 .0377 .0412 .0414 ** AGE GROUP *40 TO 44 *45 TO 49 *50 TO 54 *55 TO 59 *60 TO 64 *65 TO 69 * OVER 69 .0208 .0212 .0234 .0259 ■ .0295 .0173 .0178 .0183 .0203 .0228 .0156 .0146 .0151 .0157 .0176 .0106 .0128 .0121 .0127 .0133 .0088 .0084 .0103 .0098 .0104 .0069 .0066 .0064 .0079 .0076 .0246 .0269 .0295 .0332 .0367 ** .0087 .0089 .0090 .0090 .0102 FEHALE POPULATION ** ** AGE GROUP * 0 TO 4 » 5 TO 9 <10 TO 14 *15 TO 19 <20 TO 24 *25 TO 29 *30 TO 34 *35 TO 39 .0729 .0701 .0669 .0631 .0595 .0688 .0635 .0617 .0594 .0566 .0664 .0603 .0561 .0549 .0534 .0591 .0582 .0533 .0500 .0493 .0476 .0517 .0513 .0473 .0448 .0371 .0416 .0455 .0455 .0424 .0299 .0323 .0365 .0403 .0407 ** AGE GROUP *40 TO 44 *45 TO 49 *50 TO 54 *55 TO 59 *60 TO 64 *65 TO 69 * OVER 69 1 .0204 .0207 .0227 .0250 .0287 .0172 .0175 .0180 .0199 .0221 .0148 .0147 .0151 .0156 .0174 .0100 .0124 .0124 .0129 .0135 .0082 .0082 .0102 .0104 .0109 .0063 .0065 .0065 .0082 .0085 .0094 .0094 .0096 .0100 .0116 .0240 .0259 .0283 .0323 .0360 ** REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 01-01-1980 O lilS SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL— PERIOD t tt AGE GROUP tt * INFANT » 1 TO 4 * 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 1980-1984 .9398 1985-1989 .9484 1990-1994 • .9560 1995-1999 .9595 .9862 .9892 .9915 .9924 .9940 .9950 .9958 .9961 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .9692 .9722 .9748 .9761 .9547 .9581 .9612 .9627 .9322 .9361 .9399 .9417 SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL-— - .9929 .9939 .9947 .9951 .9893 .9906 .9919 .9924 .9872 .9889 .9904 .9911 .9861 .9881 .9897 .9904 .9835 .9857 .9876 .9884 »» AGE GROUP 1 »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 PERIOD PERIOD MALE .8985 .9031 .9077 .9100 .8494 .8549 .8604 .8633 .7781 .7843 .7907 .7941 .9783 .9809 .9831 .9841 »» .5459 .5514 .5571 .5601 FEMALE »» AGE GROUP »» » INFANT » 1 TO 4 » 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 3‘ 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 PERIOD .9529 .9615 .9684 .9714 .9890 .9921 .9942 .9950 .9953 .9964 .9972 .9975“ .9946 .9958 .9967 .9971 o .9922 .9938 .9951 .9957 .9901 .9920 .9937 ..9945 .9883 .9904 .9923 .9932 .9860 .9883 .9903 .9913 »» AGE GROUP »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 »» t 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .9765 .9791 .9816 .9827 .9669 .9699 .9728 .9742 .9521 .9558 .9594 .9612 .9281 .9329 .9377 .9401 .8882 .8943 .9004 .9037 .8238 .8310 .8386 .8427 .5801 .5868 .5937 .5975 .9824 .9849 .9871 .9881 REPUBLICA D O H Ik lC m Test 2 RATIO OF HALE TO FEHALE BIRTHS = 1,050000 LRPH/PC 01-Ö1-B0 02:13 RD02 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEHQ6RAPH1C DOl BIRTH RATES „ age- 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 CRUDE BIRTH RATE» GROSS REPRODUCTION RATE» TOTAL FERTILITY RATE» SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE SCHEDULE 1 3 4 2 Nuiber of years in projection: 20 »»» Nuiber of 5-year age groups: 15 »»» Interpolation: 1 »»» 0 .1008 .2429 .2189 .1620 .1046 .0375 .0114 .0905 .2326 .2097 ..1485 .0903 .0300 .0082 .0830 .2258 .1974 .1360 ,0799 .0254 .0066 .0748 .2147 .1865 .1255 .0713 .0218 .0053 .0340 .0316 .0296 .0276 »»» 19B0 Base year: = Stepped Internatioeal tigration: 1 = Aritheetic 2 = Geoeetric 0 0 ® None 1 = Percentages of each cohort 2 = Cohort Heights, absolute nuibers of ti^grants 3 = Cohort weights, iproportions of total population LRPH/PC 01-01-80 02:13 RDÖ2 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DEMOGRAPHIC D02 2.1417 4.3905 1.9751 < 1980 POPULATION BASE 1.7071 Birth rates: 4.0490 YEAR TO WHICH BIRTH RATES APPLY SCHEDULE 1---- 1980 SCHEDULE 2— -1985 SCHEDULE 3---- 1990 SCHEDULE 4-— 2000 1.8393 3.7705 3.4995 1 1 = Exogenous point rates 2 = UN Fertility patterns 4 = Exogenous period rates 5 = Target net reproduction rates Ratio of tale to feaale births: 1.05 Survival rates: 4 1 = Exogenous point rates 2 - Model life tables, death rates 3 3 Model life tables, feiale life expectancies 4 = Model life tables, lale and feiale life expectancies 5 = Exogenous period rates DEH062.3/DEMC REPU6LICA DQHINICANA Test 2 Ol-ai-1980 02sl5 PROJECTION SUHHARY YEAR TOTAL HALES 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2893.9 3305.5 3771.7 4281.1 4818.3 YEAR AVERAGE AGE 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 22.712 23.237 23.771 24.395 25.127 OVERALL 6R0UTH RATE = TOTAL TOTAL FEHALES POPULATION BIRTHS 2803.0 3215.0 3681.7 4191.3 4728.9 1035.1 1150.8 1244.2 1321.3 5696.9 6520.5 7453.5 8472.5 9547.3 PER CENT POP. DECADE POP. 6R0NTH RATE GRONTH RATE 2.738 2.711 2.596 2.417 2.615 2.724 2.653 2.507 DEATHS CRUDE BIRTH RATE CRUDE DEATH RATE 211.5 217.8 225.2 246.5 .0339 .0329 .0313 .0293 .0069 .0062 .0057 .0055 LIFE EXPECTANCY 6R0SS AT BIRTH REPRODUCTION HALE FEHALE RATE 63.02 64.63 66.11 66.80 67.06 68.93 70.58 71.36 2.058 1.907 1.806 1.740 PERIOD 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 ^ REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 01-01-1980 02:15 MALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS tt AGE GROUP tt YEAR I 0 TO 4 < 5 TO 9 tlO TO 14 tl5 TO 19 »20 TO 24 125 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 429.5 498.3 559.0 609.2 649.4 403.2 423.6 492.9 554.2 604.6 388.7 400.8 421.5 490.8 552.1 347.1 385.9 398.4 419.3 488.4 281.7 343.4 382.3 395.1 416.1 221.1 278.1 339.6 378.6 391.6 176.6 218.1 274.8 336.1 375.0 »» AGE GROUP »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 118.4 137.0 170.3 211.3 267.0 98.8 114.8 133.1 166.0 206.3 89.1 94.3 110.0 128.0 159.9 60.4 83.0 88.3 103.4 120.5 39.3 42.6 46.4 64.5 69.2 50.1 54.3 75.0 80.1 94.1 140.0 173.7 214.9 271.4 332.2 »» 49.7 57.8 65.3 73.1 92.2 FEMALE POPULATION BY 5-YEAR COHORTS »» »» AGE GROUP » 0 TO 4 » 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 YEAR 1 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 415.3 481.1 539.7 587.8 626.1 391.8 410.7 477.3 536.6 584.8 378.3 390.0 409.2 476.0 535.3 336.8 376.3 388.4 407.9 474.6 271.3 334.2 373.9 386.5 406.2 211.5 268.6 331.5 371.6 384.3 170.1 209.0 266.0 329.0 369.0 »» AGE GROUP »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 116.1 134.1 165.2 203.9 260.3 97.9 113.3 131.3 162.1 200.4 84.1 94.7 109.9 127.7 157.9 57.1 80.0 90.5 105.4 122.8 47.0 53.0 74.7 84.9 99.1 • 35.8 41.7 47.4 67.2 76.7 53.5 60.5 70.2 81.4 105.3 136.5 167.7 206.6 263.4 326.1 »» REPUBLICA DQHINICANA Test 2 01-01-1980 02:15 AGE PROFILE HALE POPULATION It YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 AGE PROFILE YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 I O TO 4 .0754 .0764 .0750 .0719 .0680 I AGE GROUP ' It 5 TO 9 no TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 .0708 .0650 .0661 .0654 .0633 .0682 .0615 .0565 .0579 .0578 .0609 .0592 .0534 .0495 .0512 .0494 .0527 .0513 .0466 .0436 .0388 .0426 .0456 .0447 .0410 .0310 .0334 .0369 .0397 .0393 It AGE GROUP 140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 t55 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 t OVER 69 .0208 .0210 .0229 .0249 .0280 .0173 .0176 .0179 .0196 .0216 .0156 .0145 .0148 .0151 .0167 .0106 .0127 .0118 .0122 .0126 .0088 .0083 .0101 .0095 .0099 .0069 .0065 .0062 .0076 .0072 .0246 .0266 .0288 .0320 .0348 It .0087 .0089 .0088 .^086 .0097 FEHALE POPULATION it It AGE GROUP I 0 TO 4 I 5 TO 9 no TO 14 tl5 TO 19 Í20 TO 24 t25 TO 29 Í30 TO 34 135 TO 39 .0729 .0738 .0724 .0694 .0656 .0688 .0630 .0640 .0633 .0613 .0664 .0598 .0549 .0562 .0561 .0591 .0577 .0521 .0481 .0497 .0476 .0513 .0502 .0456 .0425 .0371 .0412 .0445 .0439 .0403 .0299 .0321 .0357 .0388 .0387 tt AGE GROUP 140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TD 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 t OVER 69 .0204 .0206 .0222 .0241 .0273 .0172 .0174 .0176 .0191 .0210 .0148 .0145 .0147 .0151 .0165 .0100 .0123 .0121 .0124 .0129 .0082 .0081 .0100 .0100 .0104 .0063 .0064 .0064 .0079 .0080 .0094 .0093 .0094 .0096 .0110 .0240 .0257 .0277 .0311 .0342 tt REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 2 OÍ-01-1980 02sl5 SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL— PERIOD tt A6E SROUP t» I INFANT t 1 TO 4 1 5 TO 9 110 TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .9398 ,9484 .9560 .9595 .9862 .9892 .9915 .9924 .9940 .9950 .9958 .9961 .9929 .9939 .9947 .9951 .9893 .9906 .9919 .9924 .9872 .9889 .9904 .9911 .9861 .9881 .9897 .9904 44 A6E GROUP 440 TO 44 445 TO 49 450 TO 54 455 TO 59 460 TO 64 465 TO 69 4 OVER 69 PERIOD 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .9692 .9722 .9748 .9761 .9547 .9581 .9612 .9627 .9322 .9361 .9399 .9417 SURVIVAL RATES, APPLICABLE TO 5-YEAR INTERVAL— PERIOD HALE .8985 .9031 .9077 .9100 .8494 .8549 .8604 .8633 .7781 .7843 .7907 .7941 .9835 .9057 .9876 .9884 .9783 .9809 .9831 .9841 44 .5459 .5514 .5571 .5601 FEMALE 44 44 AGE GROUP t 1 T O 4 4 INFANT t 5 TO 9 tlO TO 14 tl5 TO 19 t20 TO 24 t25 TO 29 t30 TO 34 t35 TO 39 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 PERIOD 1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 .9529 .9615 .9684 .9714 .9890 .9921 .9942 .9950 .9953 .9964 .9972 .9975 .9946 .9958 ,9967 .9971 .9922 .9938 .9951 .9957 .9901 .9920 .9937 .9945 .9883 .9904 .9923 .9932 tt AGE GROUP t40 TO 44 t45 TO 49 t50 TO 54 t55 TO 59 t60 TO 64 t65 TO 69 t OVER 69 .9765 .9791 .9816 .9827 .9669 .9699 .9728 .9742 .9521 .9558 .9594 .9612 .9281 .9329 .9377 .9401 .8882 .8943 .9004 .9037 .8238 .8310 .8386 .8427 .5801 .5868 .5937 .5975 .9860 .9883 .9903 .9913 tt .9824 .9849 .9871 .9881 P R O Y E C C I O N E S DE P O B L A C I O N U R B A N A Y RURAL LRPH/PC 01-01-80 02:21 RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA RURAL/URBAN H16RATI0N ROI Per cent urban in base year: 50.50 Initial age profile: 0 0 = sate profile for rural and urban populations 1 = profiles to be input 1 Projection tethod: 1 = logistic 2 = growth-rate difference 3 = constant rural rate 4 = not currently used 5 = all aethods Hethod to be used for subsequent todules: 1 (only if option 5 above is selected) LRPM/PC 01-01-80 02:22 RD02 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA RURAL/URBAN H16RATI0N R04 Projection Method: Logistic curve Asytptotic per cent urban: „69.00 Second point in logistic curve Per cent urban: 60.38 Year: 1990 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 PER CENT URBAN IN BASE YEAR = .505 LOGISTIC CURVE ESTIMATE (METHOD 1); AA AND AB COEFFICIENTS = TERMINAL ASYMPTOTE = URBAN SHARE IN 1990 = -.99Í83 -.00634 .69000 .60380 YEAR TOTAL POPULATION URBAN 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 5696.9 6463.5 7290.8 8163.1 9063.1 2876.9 3656.1 4402.2 5154.6 5898.4 t t RURAL URBAN SHARE 2820.0 2807.4 2888.6 3008.4 3164.7 .5050 .5656 , .6038 .6315 .6508 RURALURBAN MIGRATION 392.0 278.1 225.8 175.5 SUMMARY TABLE 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 RURAL MALES 1432.5 1423.2 1461.6 1519.8 1596.5 RURAL FEMALES 1387.5 1384.3 1427.0 1488.6 1568.1 TOTAL RURAL 2820.0 2807.4 2888.6 3008.4 3164.7 2975.7 2227.4 2604.0 1853.4 1461.4 URBAN MALES 2922.7 1802.7 2174.8 2550.6 1415.5 URBAN FEMALES 5898.4 5154.6 3656.1 4402.2 2876.9 TOTAL URBAN TOTAL 5696.9 6463.5 7290.8 8163.1 9063.1 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA 01-01-1980 01:32 Test i URBAN POPULATION - MALE n YEAR tt AGE GROUP 1 0 TO 1980 4 1 5 TO 2 1 6 .9 9 no 2 0 3.6 TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 1 9 6 .3 1 4 2 .3 1 7 5 .3 1 1 1.7 8 9 .2 , 7 0 .7 1985 2 6 5.4 2 3 9 .6 2 2 6.7 2 1 8 .3 1 9 4 .2 1 5 7.3 1 2 3 .3 9 8 .2 1990 3 0 4.9 2 8 0.3 2 5 4 .5 2 4 0 .5 2 3 0 .8 2 0 5 .0 1 6 5 .9 1 2 9 .8 1995 3 3 7.2 3 1 6 .1 2 9 1.9 2 6 4 .7 2 4 9 .5 2 3 9.1 212.2 1 7 1 .3 2000 3 6 4.2 3 4 4 .9 3 2 4 .6 2 9 9.4 '2 7 0 . 8 2 5 4 .9 2 4 4 .1 2 1 6 .2 6 II tt A E GROUP 140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 I OVER 69 YEAR 1980 4 9 .9 5 9 .8 4 5 .0 3 0 .5 1 9 .9 2 5 .3 2 5 .1 1985 7 7 .5 6 4 ,9 5 3 .3 4 7 .0 3 0 .7 2 4 .1 1990 1 0 2.9 8 0 .4 6 6 .4 5 3 .3 4 5 .3 2 8 .0 3 9 .4 1995 1 3 3 .4 1 0 4 .9 8 0 .8 6 5 .3 5 0 .6 4 0 .7 4 6 .1 2000 1 7 3 .8 1 3 4 .2 1 0 4.0 7 8 .4 6 1 .2 4 5 .0 6 0 .0 URBAN POPULATION - 3 2 .7 FEMALE AGE GROUP t YEAR 1980 O TO 2 0 9.7 9 4 t 5 TO 1 9 7 .9 lio U TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 1 9 1.0 1 7 0 .1 1 3 7 .0 1 0 6.8 8 5 .9 6 8 .9 1985 2 5 6 .3 2 3 2 .3 220,6 212.8 1 8 9.0 1 5 1 .9 1 1 8.2 9 4 .9 1990 2 9 4 .4 2 7 1.4 2 4 7.1 2 3 4 .5 2 2 5 .8 200.2 1 6 0 .6 1 2 4 .7 1995 3 2 5 .4 3 0 6.1 2 8 3.1 2 5 7 .6 2 4 4 .0 2 3 4 .6 2 0 7 .7 1 6 6 .4 2000 3 5 1 .2 3 3 3.7 3 1 4.7 2 9 0 .9 2 6 4 .3 2 5 0 .1 2 4 0 .2 212.2 1 tt YEAR 1980 AGE GROUP tt 140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 1 6 5 TO 69 t OVER 69 4 9 .5 5 8 .6 4 2 .5 2 8 .8 2 3 .7 1 8 .1 2 7 .0 1985 7 5 .8 6 4 .1 5 3 .6 4 5 .3 3 0 .0 2 3 .6 1990 9 9 .7 7 9 .3 6 6 .4 5 4 .7 4 5 .1 2 8 .6 4 2 .4 1995 1 2 8 .8 1 0 2 .4 8 0 .6 5 3 .6 4 2 .5 5 1 .4 2000 66.6 1 6 9 .4 1 3 0 .4 102.8 7 9 .9 6 4 .5 4 9 .9 6 8 .5 M IB R A T 2 .2 0 1 - 0 1 - 1 9 8 0 0 1 :3 2 I C E L A D S - S !3T^f.1A I D O C Ü -A- ' • ^ r A DOCPAL C i O .AAAC! A L -A X jf N a A N Í.M 3 4 .2 V REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 0 1 -0 M 9 8 Ü RURAL POPULATION - tí t VEAR HALE tt ABE 6R0UP O TO 4 I 212.6 1980 0 1 :3 2 5 TO 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 » 2 0 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »3 0 TO 34 »35 TO 39 » 1 9 9 .6 1 9 2 .4 1 7 1.8 1 3 9 .4 1 0 9 .5 0 7 .4 6 9 .3 1985 2 0 3 .8 1 8 4 .0 1 7 4 .1 1 6 7 .6 1 4 9 .2 9 4 .7 7 5 .4 1990 200.1 120.8 1 8 3 .9 1 6 7 .0 1 5 7 .8 1 5 1 .5 1 3 4 .5 1 0 8 .9 8 5 .2 1995 1 9 6 .8 1 8 4 .5 1 7 0 .4 1 5 4 .5 1 4 5 .6 1 3 9 .5 1 2 3 .9 100.0 2000 1 9 5 .4 1 8 5 .1 1 7 4 ,1 1 6 0 .6 1 4 5.3 1 3 6 .7 1 3 0 .9 1 1 6 .0 »» »» ABE BROUP »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 6 9 YEAR 1980 4 8 .9 5 8 .6 1985 5 9 .5 4 9 ,9 1990 6 7 .5 1995 2000 4 4 .1 1 9 .5 2 4 .6 2 3 .6 1 8 .5 5 2 .8 4 3 .6 3 5 .0 2 9 .7 1 8 .4 2 5 .9 7 7 .9 6 1 .2 4 7 .2 3 8 .1 2 9 .5 2 3 .8 2 6 .9 9 3 .2 7 2 .0 5 5 .8 4 2 .1 3 2 .8 2 4 .1 3 2 .2 2 5 .1 FEHALE »» ABE BROUP » 0 TO 1980 2 4 .8 3 6 .1 RURAL POPULATION - VEAR 2 9 .9 4 0 .9 , “ 2 0 5 .6 4 » 5 TO 1 9 4 .0 »» 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 » 2 5 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 » 1 8 7.3 1 6 6 .7 1 3 4 .3 1 0 4 .7 8 4 .2 6 7 .6 1985 1 9 6 .8 1 7 8 .4 1 6 9 .4 1 6 3 .4 1 4 5 .2 1 1 6 .7 9 0 .8 7 2 .8 1990 1 9 3.2 1 7 8 .1 1 6 2 .1 1 5 3 .9 1 4 8 .1 1 3 1 .3 1 0 5 .4 8 1 .8 1995 1 8 9.9 1 7 8 .6 1 6 5 .2 1 5 0,3 1 4 2.4 1 3 6 .9 121.2 9 7 .1 2000 1 8 8 .4 1 7 9.0 1 6 8.8 1 5 6 .1 1 4 1.8 1 3 4.2 1 2 8 .9 1 1 3 .9 »» YEAR 1980 ABE BROUP »» »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 5 7 .4 4 8 ,5 4 1 .6 2 8 .3 2 3 .3 1 7 .7 2 6 .5 1985 5 8 .2 4 9 .2 4 1 .1 3 4 .8 2 3 .0 1 8 ,1 1990 6 5 .4 5 2 .0 4 3 .5 3 5 .9 2 9 .6 1 8 .8 2 7 .8 1995 7 5 .2 5 9 .7 4 7 .1 3 8 .9 3 1 .3 2 4 .8 3 0 .0 2000 9 0 .9 7 0 .0 5 5 .1 4 2 .9 3 4 .6 2 6 .8 3 6 .8 2 6 .3 01-01-1980 02:22 REPUBLICA DOHIN Test 2 PER CENT URBAN IN BASE YEAR => .SO S L O G IS T IC CURVE E ST IM A T E (NETHOO 1 ) : AA AND AB C O E F F IC IE N T S = -.9 9 6 8 3 -.0 8 6 3 4 TERM INAL ASYMPTOTE = .6 9 0 0 0 URBAN SHARE IN 1990 = .6 0 3 8 0 RURAL- t t POPULATION URBAN URBAN MIG RATIO N YEAR TOTAL URBAN RURAL SHARE 1980 5 6 9 6 .9 2 8 7 6 .9 2 8 2 0 .0 .5 05 0 1985 6 5 2 0 .5 3 6 8 8 .3 2 8 3 2 .2 .5 6 5 6 1990 7 4 5 3 .5 4 5 0 0 .4 2 9 5 3 .1 .6 0 3 8 2 8 4 .4 1995 8 4 7 2 .5 5 3 5 0 .0 3 1 2 2 .5 .6 3 1 5 2 3 4.3 2000 9 5 4 7 .3 6 2 1 3 .5 3 3 3 3 .8 .6 5 0 8 1 8 4 .8 ’ 3 9 5 .5 SUHHARY TABLE RURAL H ALES 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 1 4 3 2 .5 1 4 3 5 .8 1 4 9 4 .4 1 5 7 7 .8 1 6 8 2 .5 RURAL FEM ALES 1 3 8 7 .5 1 3 9 6 .4 1 4 5 8 .7 1 5 4 4 .7 1 6 5 1 .3 TOTAL RURAL 2 8 2 0 .0 2 8 3 2 .2 2 9 5 3 .1 3 1 2 2 .5 3 3 3 3 .8 URBAN MALES 1 4 6 1 .4 1 8 6 9 .8 2 2 7 7 .4 2 7 0 3 .3 3 1 3 5 .Í URBAN FEM ALES 1 4 1 5 .5 1 8 1 8 .6 2 2 2 3 .0 2 6 4 6 .6 3071 TOTAL URBAN 2 8 7 6 .9 3 6 8 8 .3 4 5 0 0 .4 5 3 5 0 .0 6211 TOTAL 5 6 9 6 .9 6 5 2 0 .5 7 4 5 3 .5 8 4 7 2 .5 9 5 4 7 .: REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 01-01-1980 02:22 RURAL POPULATION - HALE U YEAR A SE 6R0UP I O TO 4 I 212.6 1980 5 TO It 9 110 TO 14 115 TO 19 120 J O 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 I 1 9 9 .6 1 9 2 .4 1 7 1.8 1 3 9 .4 8 7 .4 1 0 9 .5 6 9 .3 1985 2 1 6 .4 1 8 4 .0 1 7 4 .1 1 6 7 .6 1 4 9.2 120.8 9 4 .7 7 5 .4 1990 2 2 1 .5 1 9 5 .3 1 6 7.0 1 5 7.8 1 5 1 .5 1 3 4.5 1 0 8.9 8 5 .2 1995 2 2 4 .5 2 0 4.3 1 8 0 .9 1 5 4 .5 1 4 5 .6 1 3 9.5 1 2 3 .9 2000 211.1 100.0 2 2 6 .8 1 9 2.8 1 7 0 .5 1 4 5 .3 1 3 6 .7 1 3 0 .9 1 1 6 .0 It YEAR AGE GROUP It 140 TO 44 145 TO 49 150 TO 54 -155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 I OVER 69 1980 5 8 .6 4 8 .9 4 4 .1 2 9 .9 2 4 .8 1 9 .5 2 4 .6 1985 5 9 .5 4 9 .9 4 0 .9 3 6 .1 2 3 .6 1 8 .5 1990 6 7 .5 5 2 .8 4 3 .6 3 5 .0 2 9 .7 1 8 .4 2 5 .9 1995 7 7 .9 6 1 .2 4 7 .2 3 8 .1 2 9 .5 2 3 .8 2 6 .9 2000 9 3 .2 7 2 .0 5 5 .8 4 2 .1 3 2 .8 2 4 .1 3 2 .2 RURAL POPULATION - FEMALE 1 0 TO 1980 4 1 5 TO 2 0 5 .6 1985 It AGE GROUP It YEAR 2 5 .1 2 0 9 .0 9 no 1 9 4 .0 1 7 8 .4 TO 14 115 TO 19 120 TO 24 125 TO 29 130 TO 34 135 TO 39 1 1 8 7 .3 1 6 9 .4 1 6 6.7 1 3 4.3 1 4 5.2 1 6 3 .4 8 4 .2 1 0 4 .7 6 7 .6 1 1 6 .7 9 0 .8 7 2 .8 1 3 1 .3 1 0 5 .4 8 1 .8 1990 2 1 3 .8 1 8 9 .1 1 6 2 .1 1 5 3.9 1 4 8 .1 1995 2 1 6 .6 1 9 7 .7 1 7 5 .4 1 5 0.3 1 4 2 .4 1 3 6 .9 121.2 9 7 .1 1 4 1.8 1 3 4.2 1 2 8 .9 1 1 3 .9 2000 2 1 8 .6 2 0 4.2 1 8 6 .9 1980 1985 1990 It AGE GROUP It YEAR 1 6 5 .7 140 TO 44 145 TO 49 1 5 0 TO 54 155 TO 59 160 TO 64 165 TO 69 1 OVER 69 5 7 .4 5 8 .2 6 5 .4 4 8 .5 4 9 .2 5 2 .0 4 1 .6 4 1 .1 4 3 .5 2 8 .3 2 3 .3 2 6 .5 1 7 .7 ■ 2 6 .3 3 4 .8 2 3 .0 1 8 .1 3 5 .9 2 9 .6 1 8 .8 2 7 .8 2 4 .8 3 0 .0 2 6 .6 3 6 .8 1995 7 5 .2 5 9 .7 4 7 .1 3 8 .9 3 1 .3 2000 9 0 .9 7 0 .0 5 5 .1 . 4 2 .9 3 4 .6 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 01-01-1980 Ú2s22 URBAN POPULATION - - «ALE tt t YEAR 1980 tt A6E GROUP O TO 4 I 2 1 6 .9 5 TO 9 no 2 0 3 .6 TO 14 »15 TO 19 * 2 0 TO 2 4 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 » 1 9 6 .3 1 7 5.3 1 4 2 .3 1 1 1.7 8 9 .2 7 0 .7 1985 2 8 1.8 2 3 9 .6 2 2 6 .7 2 1 8 .3 1 9 4 .2 1 5 7.3 1 2 3.3 9 8 .2 199Q 3 3 7 .5 2 9 7 .6 2 5 4 .5 2 4 0 .5 2 3 0 .8 2 0 5 .0 1 6 5 .9 1 2 9 .8 1995 3 8 4.7 3 5 0 ,0 3 0 9 .9 2 6 4 .7 2 4 9 ,5 2 3 9.1 212.2 1 7 1 .3 2000 4 2 2 .6 3 9 3 .5 3 5 9 .3 3 1 7 .8 2 7 0 .8 2 5 4 .9 2 4 4 .1 2 1 6 .2 »» YEAR AGE GROUP »» »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 1980 5 9 .8 4 9 .9 4 5 .0 3 0 .5 2 5 .3 1 9 .9 2 5 .1 1985 7 7 .5 6 4 .9 5 3 .3 4 7 .0 3 0 .7 2 4 .1 1990 1 0 2 .9 8 0 .4 6 6 .4 5 3 .3 4 5 .3 2 8 .0 3 9 .4 1995 1 3 3 .4 1 0 4 .9 8 0 .8 6 5 .3 5 0 .6 4 0 .7 4 6 .1 2000 1 7 3 .8 1 3 4 .2 1 0 4.0 7 8 .4 6 1 .2 4 5 .0 6 0 .0 URBAN POPULATION - FEMALE »» YEAR AGE GROUP » 0 TO '2 0 9 . 7 1980 3 2 .7 4 » 5 TO 1 9 7.9 »» 9 »10 TO 14 »15 TO 19 »20 TO 24 »25 TO 29 »30 TO 34 »35 TO 39 » 1 9 1 .0 1 7 0 .1 1 3 7.0 1 0 6.8 8 5 .9 6 8 .9 1985 2 7 2.2 2 3 2 .3 220.6 212.8 1 8 9 .0 1 5 1.9 1 1 8 .2 9 4 .9 1990 3 2 5.9 2 8 8 .2 2 4 7.1 2 3 4 .5 2 2 5 .8 200.2 1 6 0.6 1 2 4 .7 1995 3 7 1 .2 3 3 8 .8 3 0 0 .6 2 5 7 ,6 2 4 4 .0 2 3 4 .6 2 0 7 ;7 1 6 6 .4 2 4 0 .2 212.2 2000 4 0 7 .5 3 8 0 .6 3 4 8,4 1980 2 6 4 .3 2 5 0 .1 »» AGE GROUP »» YEAR 3 0 8.9 »40 TO 44 »45 TO 49 »50 TO 54 »55 TO 59 »60 TO 64 »65 TO 69 » OVER 69 5 8 .6 4 9 .5 6 4 .1 4 2 .5 1985 7 5 .8 1990 9 9 .7 7 9 .3 6 6 .4 1995 1 2 8 .8 1 0 2 .4 2000 1 6 9 .4 1 3 0,4 «1G RA T2.2 2 8 .8 1 8 .1 2 7 .0 3 4 .2 3 0 .0 2 3 .6 5 4 .7 4 5 .1 2 8 .6 4 2 .4 8 0 .6 66.6 5 3 .6 4 2 .5 5 1 .4 102.8 7 9 ,9 6 4 .5 4 9 .9 6 8 .5 5 3 .6 4 5 .3 2 3 .7 0 1 -0 1 -1 9 8 0 0 2 s22 REPUBLICA DQHINICANA Test 2 01-01-1980 02:22 URBAN POPULATIOt» - MALE H YEAR » 0 TO 4 » 5 TQ 216.9 281.11 337.1) 384. Í 422.0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 9 203.6 239.6 297.6 350.0 393.5 tío TO 196.3 226.7 254.5 309.9 359.3 14 115 A6E 6R0UP TO 19 t20 TO 175.3 218.3 240.5 264.7 317.8 142.3 194.2 230.8 249.5 270.8 tt 24 t25 TO 111.7 157.3 205.0 239.1 254.9 29 t30 TO 34 135 89.2 123.3 165.9 212.2 244.1 TO 70.7 98.2 129.8 171.3 216.2 1 AGE GROUP YEAR t40 TO »4 t45 TO 49 t50 TO 54 t55 TO 59 t60 TO 64 t65 TO 69 t OVER 69 tt 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 49.9 64.9 80.4 104.9 134.2 59.B 77.5 102.9 133.4 173,8 45.0 53.3 66.4 80.8 104.0 30.5 47.0 53.3 65.3 78.4 25.3 30.7 45.3 50.6 61.2 19.9 24.1 28.0 40.7 45.0 39 I tt 25.1 32.7 39.4 46.1 60.0 URBAN POPULATION - FEMALE YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 tt t 0 TO 209.; 272,2 325 9 371,2 407,5 4 t 5 TO A6E 6R0UP tt 9 tlO TO 14 tl5 TO 19 t20 TO 24 t25 TO 29 t30 TO 34 t35 TO 39 t 197.9 232.3 288.2 338.8 380.6 191.0 220.6 247.1 300.6 348.4 170.1 212.8 234.5 257.6 308.9 137.0 189.0 225.8 244.0 264.3 106.8 151.9 200.2 234.6 250.1 85.9 118.2 160.6 207i7 240.2 tt AGE GROUP YEAR t40 TO 44 t45 TO 49 t50 TO 54 t55 TO 59 t60 TO 64 t65 TO 69 t OVER 69 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 49.5 58.6 75.8 64.1 99.7 79.3 102.4 126.8 169.4 130.4 HGRAT2.2 42.5 53.6 66.4 80.6 102.8 28.8 45.3 54.7 66.6 79.9 23.7 27.0 18.1 30.0 34.2 23.6 42.4 45.1 , 28.6 51.4 42.5 53.6 49.9 68.5 64.5 01-01-1980 02:22 ¿8 .9 9 4 .9 124.7 166.4 212.2 tt P R O Y E C C I O N E S DE P O B L A C I O N E S E S P E C I A L E S ' REPUBLICA DOMÌNICANA Test 1 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATES URBAN FEMALE LABOR FORCE 6T ASE liRQUPS SECTOR - 1 URBAN POPULATION ASE 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 8.9 41.0 100.9 101.8 77.2 59.9 42.9 28.3 18.8 12.1 8.0 4.0 3.9 10.2 42.8 112.9 125.3 102.2 82.5 57.3 37.1 22,5 14.0 8,9 5.5 4.2 11.3 45.7 126.4 140.1 121.0 108.4 77.9 48.0 28.4 16.1 9.9 5.9 4.8 507.7 625.4 743.9 1980 , V 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 50 TO 54 55 TO 59 ¿0 TO Ó4 65 TO 69 OVER 69 SUBiOTAL 6.9 32.B 57.0 4S.B 39.3 31.0 23.4 17.2 12.3 6.9 4,7 2.9 3.1 286.4 7.9 39.2 81.6 73.3 55.4 44.1 31,5 22.6 15.3 10.4 5,6 3.5 3.6 394.1 ASE 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 SO TO 54 55 TO 59 60 TO 64 65 TO 69 OVER 69 MALE 2000 FEMALE .079 .417 .738 .877 .910 .930 .935 .920 .873 .790 .690 .582 .455 .036 .193 .416 .457 .457 .450 .400 .347 .290 .240 .200 .160 .115 MALE FEMALE .079 .388 .689 .877 .910 :930 .935 .920 .873 .697 .562 .437 .286 .036 .157 .478 .560 .504 .511 .460 .368 .276 .201 .154 .118 .070 RURAL FEMALE LABOR FORCE BY ASE SROUPS SECTOR - 2 RURAL POPULATION ASE 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 1980 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 50 TO 54 55 TO 59 60 TO 64 65 TO 69 OVER 69 27.9 38.8 34.5 • 28.3 23.4 19.1 16.5 14.1 11.6 7,8 6.3 4.6 6.6 24.6 38.1 37.8 31.9 25,6 20.9 17.0 14.5 11,4 9.6 6.3 4,7 6.6 22.9 35.9 39.0 36.3 30.0 23.7 19.3 15.5 12.1 9.9 8.0 4.9 7.0 22.8 35.0 38.0 38.3 35.0 28.5 22.4 18.1 13.1 10.8 8.5 6.5 7.5 22.6 36.4 38.3 38.0 37,6 33.8 27.5 21.4 15.3 11.9 ’ 9.4 7.0 9.2 SUBTOTAL 239.7 248.9 264.7 284.4 308.4 ABE , 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 TO 29 30 TO 34 35 TO 39 40 TO 44 ^5 TO 49 SO TO 54 55 TO 59 60 TO 64 65 TO 69 OVER 69 MALE .312 .629 .890 .933 .945 .947 .942 .935 .924 .915 .894 .869 .844 2000 FEMALE .149 .233 .257 .270 .278 .283 .286 .291 ,278 .277 .272. .262 .250 MALE .281 .598 .890 .930 .945 .947 .942 .935 .924 .915 .894 .869 .844 FEMALE .134 .233 .270 .283 .292 .297 .302 .306 ,278 .277 .272 ,262 .250 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 6 NQRK-A E POPULATION ( 1 5 - 6 4 ) RATIO TO TOTAL POPULATION YEAR POPULATION 5 6 9 6 .9 1980 6 4 6 3 .5 1985 7 2 9 0 .8 1990 8 1 6 3 .1 1995 2000 URBAN HALE AGE 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 9 0 6 3 .1 0 TO 14 « 15 TO 64 2 4 0 6 .9 2 5 4 7 .6 2 7 3 7 .0 2 9 4 5 .2 3 1 2 4 .1 3 1 1 1 .6 3 7 1 3 .4 4 3 2 4 .6 4 9 3 1 .6 5 5 9 5 .7 6 6RDUPS 1980 • 1985 1990 1 9 95 2000 1 5 .5 1 7 .9 20.1 2 3 .1 2 5 .6 8 9 .4 9 6 .8 1 0 4.6 1 1 6.1 20 TO 24 1 0 5.0 1 4 1.0 1 6 4 .7 1 7 5 .0 1 8 6.6 2 5 TO 29 9 7 .9 1 3 8 .0 1 7 9 .8 2 0 9 .7 2 2 3.5 30 TO 54 8 1 .1 112.2 1 5 1.0 1 9 3 .1 3 5 TO 39 6 5 .8 9 1 .4 1 2 0 .7 1 5 9 .4 40 TO 44 45 TO 49 50 TO 54 55 TO 59 5 5 .9 4 5 .9 3 9 .3 7 2 .4 5 9 .7 4 6 .6 9 6 .2 7 4 .0 5 8 .0 1 2 4 .8 9 6 .5 7 0 .6 222.1 2Ó1.1 1 6 2.5 1 2 3 .5 9 0 .8 2 4 .1 3 6 .0 60 TO 64 1 7 .5 20.2 2 8 .3 3 0 .0 3 4 .4 6 5 TO 69 11.6 1 3 .1 1 4 .3 1 9 .3 1 9 .7 OVER 69 1 1 .4 SUBTOTAL 6 4 4.1 1 3 .5 8 5 1 .5 3 9 .6 1 4 .6 1 0 5 8 .1 t 0 TO 14 » 15 TO 64 OVER 64 202.6 2 2 9 .2 2 8 6 .2 3 4 3 .3 4 7 .0 1 5 .2 1 2 6 8 .2 5 4 .7 1 7 .3 1 4 7 7 .9 10 .031 .5 4 6 .4 2 2 1 7 8 .4 RURAL HALE LABOR FORCE BY A E 7 3 .1 --------------------- a g e — ---------------------AGE----------------------- TOTAL .3 94 .5 7 5 .0 3 1 .3 7 5 .5 9 3 .031 .361 .6 04 .0 3 5 .3 45 .617 .0 3 8 LABOR FORCE BY AGE GROUPS AGE 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 TO 14 4 9 .5 4 9 .2 4 8 .9 6 0 .0 5 3 .0 15 TO 19 1 0 8 .1 1 0 4 .1 9 6 .8 9 3 .6 9 6 .0 20 TO 24 1 2 4 .1 1 3 2.8 1 3 4.8 1 2 9 .6 1 2 9 .3 25 TO 29 102.1 112.6 1 2 5 .3 1 2 9.9 1 2 7 .2 30 TO 34 8 2 .6 8 9 .5 1 0 2 .9 1 1 7 .1 1 2 3.7 3 5 TO 39 6 5 .6 7 1 .4 8 0 .6 9 4 .7 1 0 9 .8 40 TO 44 5 5 .2 5 6 .0 6 3 .6 7 3 .4 8 7 .8 45 TO 49 4 5 .7 4 6 .6 4 9 .3 5 7 .2 6 7 .3 50 TO 54 4 0 .7 3 7 .8 4 0 .3 4 3 .6 5 1 .6 55 TO 59 2 7 .4 3 3 .0 3 2 .0 3 4 .9 3 8 .5 60 TO 64 22.2 21.1 2 6 .6 2 6 .4 2 9 .4 • 65 TO 69 1 6 .9 1 6 .1 1 6 .0 2 0 .7 20.8 21.2 21.8 21.0 OVER 69 2 2 .7 2 7 .2 SUBTOTAL 7 7 1 ,5 795.2 8 3 9 .5 8 9 2 .8 9 5 7 .8 KbPUIiLltH UUniNlUflnH Test 1 TOTAL PQPULATIQN AGES 5 TO 24 6 1980 1985 1990 1 9 95 2000 N 8 1 .3 8 7 .4 9 6 .5 1 0 3.0 1 0 8,3 F 7 9 .4 3 4 .6 9 3 .3 9 9 .6 1 0 4.7 N 8 1 .1 8 5 .9 9 4 .7 101.6 1 0 7 .2 F 7 8 .8 8 3 .2 9 1 .7 9 8 .3 1 0 3 .6 A E SEX 5 6 7 8 9 - 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 H 8 0 .6 8 4 .5 9 2 .9 100.2 1 0 6 .0 F 7 8 .3 8 2 .0 8 9 ,9 9 7 .0 102.6 N 8 0 .1 8 3 .4 9 1 .0 9 8 .7 1 0 4 .8 F 7 7 .9 8 0 .9 88.2 9 5 .6 1 0 1 .5 N 7 9 .7 8 2 .4 8 9 .2 9 7 .2 1 0 3 .6 F 7 7 .5 8 0 .0 8 6 .4 9 4 .2 1 0 0 .3 H 7 9 .3 8 1 .5 8 7 .3 9 5 .7 F 7 7 .2 7 9 .2 8 4 .7 9 2 .8 1 0 2 .4 • 7 8 .9 8 0 .6 8 5 .5 9 4 .2 101.2 F 7 6 .8 7 8 .4 8 2 .9 9 1 .4 9 8 .1 H 7 8 .2 8 0 .0 ' 8 3 .9 9 2 .6 9 9 .9 F 7 6 .2 7 7 .8 8 1 .5 8 9 .8 9 6 .8 ; N . 7 7 .0 7 9 .5 8 2 .8 9 0 .8 9 8 .4 F 7 4 .9 7 7 .4 8 0 .4 88.1 9 5 .4 H 7 5 .3 7 9 .2 8 1 .9 8 8 .9 9 6 .9 . F 7 3 .2 7 7 .2 7 9 .7 3 6 .3 9 4 .0 N 7 3 .6 7 8 .8 8 1 .1 8 7 .0 9 5 .3 F 7 1 .5 7 6 .3 7 8 .9 8 4 .5 9 2 .5 H 7 1 .8 7 8 .4 3 0 .2 8 5 .1 9 3 .8 F 6 9 .8 7 6 ,5 7 8 .1 8 2 .7 9 1 .1 H 6 9 .8 7 7 .7 7 9 ,5 8 3 .5 9 2 ,2 F 6 7 .7 7 5 .7 7 7 .5 8 1 .2 8 9 .6 N 6 7 .3 7 6 .4 7 9 .0 8 2 .3 9 0 .3 F 6 5 .2 7 4 .5 7 7 .1 8 0 .1 3 7 .8 N 6 4 .6 7 4 .7 7 8 .6 8 1 .4 8 8 .3 F 6 2 .5 7 2 .8 7 6 .8 7 9 .4 3 6 .0 N 6 1 .8 7 2 .9 7 8 .2 8 0 .5 8 6 .4 F 5 9 .7 71.1 7 6 .4 7 8 .6 8 4 ,2 H 5 9 .0 7 1 .1 7 7 .7 7 9 .6 8 4 .5 F 5 6 .9 6 9 .3 7 6 .0 7 7 .8 8 2 .4 H 5 6 .2 6 9 ,0 7 6 .9 7 8 .8 8 2 .8 F 5 4 .1 6 7 .2 7 5 .3 7 7 .1 8 0 .9 M 5 3 .6 6 6 .5 7 5 ,6 7 3 .3 8 1 .6 F 5 1 .5 7 4 .0 7 à .7 W 9 .8 u e 4 64.7, /T n T T T7 n n ¡5 nA n H 4 1 .3 F 4 0 .1 6 N 4 1 .0 F 3 9 .8 7 « 4 0 .7 - F 3 9 .5 3 H 4 0 .4 F 3 9 .3 9 H 4 0 .2 F 3 9 .1 10 H 4 0 .0 F 3 9 .0 11 N 3 9 .9 F 3 8 .8 12 N 3 9 .5 F 3 8 .5 13 N 3 8 .9 F 3 7 .8 14 tt 3 8 . 0 F 3 7 ,0 15 « 3 7 .2 F 3 6 .1 1 9 9 .2 H 4 8 A E SEX 1980 16 H 3 6 .3 F 3 5 .2 17 N 3 5 .2 F 3 4 .2 13 H 3 4 .0 19 H 3 2 .6 20 H 3 1 .2 21 H 2 9 .8 22 P 2 8 .4 23 n 2 7 .1 F F F F f 3 2 .9 3 1 .6 3 0 .2 2 8 .7 2 7 .3 F 2 6 .0 M a REPUBLICA DOMINICANA REPUBLICA DQHINICANA Test I URBAN Test í RURAL POPULATION ASES.5 TO 24 m 1985 1990 1995 2000 49.5 47.9 48.Ó 47.1 4 7.8 46.4 47.2 45.8 46.6 45,3 46.1 44.8 4 5.6 44.4 45.2 44.0 45.0 43.8 44.8 43.6 44.6 43.4 44.4 43.2 43.9 42.8 43.2 42.1 42.2 41.2 41,2 40.2 40.2 39.2 39.0 38.0 37.6 36.6 IL i 58.3 56.4 57.2 55.3 56.1 54.3 55.0 53,2 53.8 52.2 52.7 51.1 51.6 50.1 50.7 49.2 50.0 48.6 49.5 48.1 49.0 47.6 48.4 47.2 48.0 46.8 47.7 46.5 47.5 46.4 47.2 46.1 46.9 45.9 46.4 45.4 45.6 44.7 6 5.0 62.9 64.2 62.1 63.3 61.2 62,3 60.4 61.4 59.5 6 0.4 58.6 59.5 57.7 58.5 56.7 57.3 55.6 56.1 54.5 54.9 53.3 53.7 52.2 52.7 51.3 52.0 50.6 51.4 50.1 50.8 49.6 50.2 49.1 49.8 48.7 49.4 48.4. 10 ' > 70.5 68.1 6 9.8 6 67.4 69.0 7 66.7 68.2 8 66.0 67.4 9 65.3 66.7 10 64.6 65.8 11 63.8 6 5.0 12 63.0 64.0 13 62.1 63.0 14 61,2 62.0 15 60,2 61.1 16 59.3 60,0 17 58.3 58.8 18 57,2 57.5 19 56.0 56.2 20 54.8 55.0 21 53.6 53.9 22 52.6 53.1 23 51.9 I so s *a « áí L POPULATION AGES 5 TO 24 SEX 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 40.5 39.3 40.1 39.0 39.9 38.8 39.6 38.6 39.4 38.4 39,2 38.2 39.1 38.0 38.7 37.7 38.1 37.1 37.3 36.3 36.4 35.4 35.6 34,6 34.5 33.5 33,3 32.3 32.0 30.9 30.6 29.6 29.2 28.1 27.8 26.8 26.5 25.5 38.0 36.8 37.3 36.1 36.7 35.6 36.2 35.1 3 5.8 34.7 35.4 34.4 35.0 34.1 34.7 33.8 34,5 33.6 34,4 33,5 34.2 33.4 34.1 33.2 33.7 32.9 33.2 32.3 32.4 31.6 31.7 30,9 30.9 30.1 30.0 29.2 28.9 28.1 38.2 37.0 37.5 36.3 36.8 35.6 36.1 34.9 35.3 34.3 34.6 33.6 33.9 32.9 33.2 32.3 32.8 31.9 32.5 31.6 32.1 31.3 31.8 30.9 31.5 30.7 31,3 30.5 31.1 30.4 31.0 30.3 30.8 30.1 30.5 29.8 30.0 29.3 37,9 36.7 37.4 36.2 36.9 35.7 36.4 35.2 35.8 34.7 35.3 34.2 34.7 33.7 34.1 33.1 33.5 32.5 32.7 31.8 32.1 31.1 31.4 30.5 30.8 29,9 30.3 29.5 30.0 29.3 29.7 29.0 29.3 28.7 29.0 28.4 28.9 28.3 3 7,8 3 6.6 37.4 36.2 3 7.0 35.8 3 6.6 3 5.4 3 6 .2 35.0 3 5.8 34.6 3 5,3 34.2 3 4 .9 33.8 3 4.4 3 3.3 3 3.8 32.8 3 3.3 3 2.3 3 2.8 31.8 3 2.2 31.3 3 1 .5 30.7 3 0.8 30.0 30.2 29.4 29,5 28.8 2 8 .9 28.2 2 8.5 27.9 H F N F N F N F H F N F H F N F H F H F H F N F N F « F « F H F N F M F N F u PUBLICA DQHINICANA Test 1 URBAN TOTAL SCHOOL ABE POPULATION SUHHARY SCHOOL ABE POPULATION SUHHARY 6 SCHOOL A E POPULATION SUNKARV RURAL SCHOOL ABE POPULATION SCHOOL ACE POPULATION SCHOOL ABE POPULATION PRIHARY 6 SECONDARY TO 11 PRIHARY 6 12 TO 18 m tm m tm m m tm m m tm tm t YEAR 1980 PRIHARY 6 12 TO 18 ttttmtmtmttut tmmmmtmt R A T IO TO R A T IO TO R A T IO TO R A T IO TO R A T IO TO TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL RURAL .1 6 6 NUHBER POPULATION 1012. .1 7 8 NUHBER POPULATION 478. .1 6 6 NUHBER POPULATION 5 1 1. NUHBER POPULATION .1 7 8 468. .1 6 6 982. .1 5 2 1 0 86 . .1 6 8 555. .1 5 2 614. .1 6 8 427. 1990 1 0 64 . .1 46 1122 . .154 643. .1 46 677. .1 54 422. 1995 1157. .1 4 2 1 2 03 . .147 “ 7 3 1. 2000 1 2 30 . .1 36 1 3 14 . .1 4 5 801. RA TIO TO t RA T IO TO NQRK-ACE * POPULATION (1 5 -6 4 1 » LABOR TOTAL » POPULATION I FORCE t t .1 52 .1 68 .1 4 6 444. .1 5 4 760. .147 426. .1 4 2 443. .147 855. .1 4 5 430. .1 3 6 459. .1 4 5 ------------ABE------------ 0 .3 4 0 8 .6 2 4 0 ACE HEIGHT TO 14 1 OVER 64 .7 7 3 5 .1 7 8 4 7 2. .142 10 TO 14 1.00 1.00 1.00 15 TO 19 1.00 2 0 TO 64 1.00 1.00 0 TO 1 9 4 1 .6 50 1 . EQ UIVALENT ECONOHIC CONSUHER H EIGHTS ------ LABOR FO R C E-— I NUHBER POPULATION .1 3 6 o LABOR FORCE SUHHARY 1980 12 TO 18 TOTAL 1985 YEAR SECONDARY TO 11 RA T IO TO NUHBER POPULATION 946. SECONDARY TO 11 .0 5 7 3 1985 2 2 8 9 .7 .3 5 4 3 .6 1 6 6 .6861 .0 5 4 6 1990 2 6 7 0 .0 .3 6 6 2 .6 17 4 .6 3 2 9 .0 5 3 0 1995 3 0 7 0 .8 .3 7 6 2 .6 22 7 .5 9 7 2 .0 58 0 2000 3 4 8 8 .0 .3 8 4 9 .6 2 3 3 .5 5 8 3 .0 61 4 5 TO 4 9 OVER 64 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 LABOR FORCE P A R T IC IP A T IO N RATES URBAN FEHALE LABOR FORCE 6Y AGE GROUPS ' SECTOR - 1 URBAN POPULATION F l- H E L P F2-R U N F3-B RO N SE F 4 -P R IN T F 5 -S A V E H o ie - ls t H E N U Pq AGE 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2000 1980 10.8 6.9 7.9 8 .9 15 TO 19 3 2 .8 3 9 .2 4 1 .0 4 2 .8 4 8 .5 20 TO 24 5 7 .0 8 1 .6 1 0 0 .9 1 1 2 .9 1 2 6 .4 25 TO 29 4 8 .8 7 3 .3 101.8 1 2 5 .3 1 4 0 .1 30 TO 34 3 9 .3 5 5 .4 7 7 .2 102.2 121.0 35 TO 39 3 1 .0 4 4 .1 5 9 .9 8 2 .5 1 0 8 .4 15 TO 19 .4 1 7 .1 9 3 .3 8 8 .1 57 40 TO 44 2 3 .4 3 1 .5 4 2 .9 5 7 .3 7 7 .9 20 TO 24 .7 38 .4 16 .6 89 .4 7 8 ÍO TO 14 1 2 .5 AGE HALE FEHALE HALE FEHALE , 10 TO 14 .0 79 .0 36 .0 79 .0 36 45 TO 49 1 7 .2 22.6 2 8 .3 3 7 .1 4 8 .0 25 TO 29 .877 .4 57 .8 7 7 .5 6 0 50 TO 54 1 2 .3 1 5 .3 1 8 .8 2 2 .5 2 8 .4 30 TO 34 .9 10 .457 .9 1 0 .5 04 55 TO 59 6 .9 1 0 .4 1 4 .0 1 6 .1 35 TO 39 .9 3 0 .4 5 0 .9 3 0 .511 ¿ 0 TO Ó4 4 .7 5 .6 8.9 9 .9 40 TO 44 .9 3 5 .4 0 0 .9 3 5 .4 6 0 12.1 8.0 65 TO 69 2 .9 3 .5 4 .0 5.5 5.9 45 TO 49 .9 2 0 .3 4 7 -.92 0 .368 OVER 69 3 .1 3 .6 3 .9 4.2 4 .8 50 TO 54 .8 7 3 .2 90 .8 7 3 .2 7 6 SUBTOTAL 2 8 6 .4 3 9 4 .1 5 0 7 .7 6 2 6 .0 7 4 7.9 55 TO 59 .7 9 0 .2 4 0 .6 9 7 .201 60 TO 64 .6 9 0 .200 .5 6 2 .1 5 4 6 5 TO 69 .5 8 2 .1 6 0 .4 37 .1 18 OVER 69 .4 5 5 .1 1 5 .2 8 8 .0 7 0 RURAL FEHALE LABOR FORCE BY AGE GROUPS SECTOR - 2 AGE 1980 1985 1990 1995 RURAL POPULATION 2000 2000 1980 10 TO 14 2 7 .9 2 4 .6 2 2 .9 2 4 .2 2 5 .0 15 TO 19 3 8 .8 3 8 .1 3 5 .9 3 5 .0 3 6 .6 20 TO 24 3 4 .5 3 7 .8 3 9 .0 3 8 .0 3 8 .3 AGE HALE FEHALE 25 TO 29 2 8 .3 3 1 .9 3 6 .3 3 8 .3 3 8 .0 30 TO 34 2 3 .4 2 5 .6 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 3 7 .6 35 TO 39 1 9 .1 2 0 .9 2 3 .7 2 8 .5 3 3 .8 15 TO 19 .6 2 9 .2 3 3 40 TO 44 1 6 .5 1 7 .0 1 9 .3 2 2 .4 2 7 .5 20 TO 24 .6 9 0 4 5 TO 49 1 4 .1 1 4 .5 1 5 .5 1 8 .1 2 1 .4 25 TO 29 50 TO 54 11.6 1 1 .4 12.1 1 3 .1 1 5 .3 30 TO 34 10.8 1 1 .9 8 .5 9 .4 ■ 55 TO 59 7.8 9 .6 9 .9 60 TO 64 6 .3 6 .3 8.0 10 TO 14 > .3 12 HALE .1 4 9 .281 . FEHALE .1 34 .5 9 8 .2 3 3 .2 5 7 .8 90 .2 7 0 .9 33 .2 70 .9 3 0 .283 .9 4 5 .2 78 .9 45 .2 9 2 35 TO 39 .9 4 7 .2 8 3 .9 4 7 .2 9 7 40 TO 44 .9 4 2 .2 8 8 .9 4 2 .3 0 2 65 TO 69 4 .6 4 .7 4 .9 6 .5 7.0 45 TO 49 .9 3 5 .291 .9 35 .3 06 OVER 69 6.6 6.6 7 .0 7 .5 9 .2 50 TO 54 .9 24 .2 7 8 .924 .2 7 8 SUBTOTAL 2 3 9 .7 2 4 8 .9 2 6 4 .7 2 8 5 .8 3 1 3 .1 55 TO 59 .9 1 5 .2 7 7 .9 15 .2 77 60 TO 64 .8 9 4 .2 7 2 .8 9 4 .2 7 2 65 TO 69 .8 69 .2 6 2 .8 69 .2 62 OVER 69 .844 .2 5 0 .8 4 4 .2 5 0 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 2 W0RK-A6E POPULATION ( 1 5 - 6 4 ) RA TIO TO TOTAL POPULATION TOTAL YEAR POPULATION 1960 URBAN HALE 5 6 9 6 .9 — 0 TO 14 I 2 4 0 6 .9 AGE--------- — 15 TO 64 t OVER 64 3 1 1 1 .6 AGE-------- 0 TO 14 t 15 TO 64 4 OVER 64 1 7 8 .4 .4 22 .031 .5 4 6 202.6 .3 99 .5 6 9 4 3 2 4 .6 2 2 9 .2 .3 8 9 .5 80 .031 3 2 5 4 .6 4 9 3 1 .6 2 8 6 .2 .384 .5 8 2 .034 3 5 5 2 .3 5 6 5 1 .7 3 4 3.3 .3 7 2 .5 92 .036 1985 6 5 2 0 .5 2 6 0 4 .5 3 7 1 3 .4 1990 7 4 5 3 .5 2 8 9 9 .6 1995 8 4 7 2 .5 2000 9 5 4 7 .3 • ' 6 LABOR FORCE ST A E 6R0U PS RURAL HALE 2000 AGE 1980 1985 1990 1995 10 TO 14 1 5 .5 1 7 .9 20.1 2 4 .5 2 8 .4 AGE .031 LABOR FORCE B y AfiE 6R0UPS 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 4 9 .5 5 2 .2 5 4 .2 • 0 10 TO 14 6 0 .0 5 3 .0 15 TO 19 7 3 .1 8 9 .4 9 6 .8 1 0 4 .6 1 2 3 .3 15 TO 19 1 0 8 .1 1 0 4 .1 9 6 .8 9 3 .6 20 TO 24 1 0 5 .0 1 4 1.0 1 6 4.7 1 7 5 .0 1 8 6.6 102.0 20 TO 24 1 2 4 .1 1 3 2 .8 1 3 4.8 112.6 1 2 9.3 25 TO 29 102.1 1 2 9 .6 1 2 5.3 1 2 9 .9 1 2 7 .2 30 TO 34 8 2 .6 '8 9 . 5 1 0 2.9 1 1 7 .1 1 2 3 .7 25 TO 29 9 7 .9 1 3 8 .0 1 7 9 .8 2 0 9.7 30 TO 34 8 1 .1 112.2 1 5 1 .0 1 9 3 .1 2 2 3 .5 35 TO 39 6 5 .8 9 1 .4 1 2 0 ,7 1 5 9 .4 222.1 201.1 35 TO 39 6 5 .6 7 1 .4 8 0 .6 9 4 .7 A V f •y 40 TO 44 5 5 .9 7 2 .4 9 6 .2 1 2 4 .8 1 6 2.5 40 TO 44 5 5 .2 5 6 .0 6 3 .6 7 3 .4 45 TO 49 8 7 .8 4 5 .9 5 9 .7 7 4 .0 9 6 .5 1 2 3 .5 45 TO 49 4 5 .7 4 6 .6 4 9 .3 5 7 .2 6 7 .3 50 TO 54 3 9 .3 4 6 .6 5 8 .0 7 0 .6 9 0 .8 50 TO 54 4 0 .7 3 7 .8 4 0 .3 4 3 .6 - 5 1 .6 1 0 9 .8 55 TO 59 2 4 .1 3 6 .0 3 9 .6 4 7 .0 5 4 .7 55 TO 59 3 3 .0 3 2 .0 3 0 .0 3 4 .4 60 TO 64 21.1 3 8 .5 2 8 .3 22.2 3 4 .9 1 7 .5 20.2 2 7 .4 60 TO 64 2 6 .6 2 6 .4 2 9 .4 6 5 TO 69 11.6 1 3 .1 1 4 .3 1 9 .3 1 9 .7 65 TO 69 1 6 .9 1 6 .1 1 6 .0 1 1 .4 1 3 .5 1 4 .6 1 5 .2 1 7 .3 21.2 21.8 21.0 OVER 69 20.8 2 0 .7 OVER 69 2 2 .7 2 7 .2 SUBTOTAL 6 4 4.1 8 5 1 .5 1 0 5 8 .1 1 2 6 9 .6 1 4 8 7 .8 SUBTOTAL 7 7 1.5 7 9 5 .2 LABOR FORCE SUHHARY -— LABOR FORCE— » YEAR 1980 RA TIO TO t R A T IO TO UORK-AGE t POPULATION ( 1 5 - 6 4 ) t LABOR TOTAL » POPULATION t 1 9 4 1 .6 ' .3 4 0 8 t FORCE t .6 2 4 0 -A G E 0 TO 14 t OVER 64 .7 7 3 5 .0 5 7 3 1985 2 2 8 9 .7 .3 5 1 2 .6 1 6 6 .7 0 1 4 .0 5 4 6 1990 2 6 7 0 .0 .3 5 8 2 .6 1 7 4 .6 7 0 5 .0 5 3 0 1995 3 0 7 7 .3 .3 6 3 2 2000 .6 2 4 0 .6 5 9 9 .0 58 0 3 5 1 7 .8 .3 6 8 5 .6 2 2 4 .6 2 8 5 .0 6 0 7 8 3 9 .5 8 9 5 .9 9 6 9.0 i ;n tru » L iu H uuninu,HnH Test 2 TOTAL POPULATION AGES 5 TO 24 1 9 80 1985 1990 1995 2000 1980 H S I. S 8 8 .4 1 0 4 .8 1 1 5 .5 1 2 4 .7 4 1 .3 F 7 9 .4 8 5 .6 1 0 1 .4 1 1 1.7 1 2 0.5 4 0 .1 & H 8 1 .1 86.1 101.8 1 1 3 .3 1 2 2 .9 4 1 .0 F 7 8 .3 8 3 .4 9 8 .5 1 0 9 .6 1 1 8 .8 3 9 ,8 7 H 8 0 .6 8 4 .3 9 8 .6 1 1 0 .9 121.0 4 0 .7 F 7 8 .3 8 1 .7 9 5 .5 1 0 7.4 1 1 7 .0 3 9 .5 8 H 8 0 .1 8 2 .9 9 5 .4 1 0 8.5 1 1 9 .0 4 0 .4 F 7 7 .9 8 0 .5 9 2 .5 1 0 5 .1 1 1 5 .2 3 9 .3 9 N 7 9 .7 8 1 .9 9 2 .3 1 0 6.0 1 1 7 .0 4 0 .2 AGE SEX 5 F 7 7 .5 7 9 .5 8 9 .4 1 0 2 .7 10 1 1 3.3 3 9 .1 » 7 9 .3 8 1 .1 8 9 .1 1 0 3.6 1 1 4 ,9 4 0 .0 11 H F 7 6 .8 7 8 .4 8 3 .3 12 9 8 .2 1 0 9.3 3 8 .8 H 7 8 .2 8 0 .2 8 3 .3 9 8 .6 1 1 0 .5 3 9 .5 F 7 6 .2 7 8 .0 8 0 .9 9 5 .6 1 0 7 .2 3 8 .5 13 H 7 7 .0 7 9 ,7 8 1 .9 9 5 .4 1 0 8.1 3 8 .9 F 7 4 .9 7 7 .6 7 9 .6 9 2 .6 1 0 4,9 3 7 .8 14 H 7 5 .3 7 9 .2 8 1 .3 9 2 .0 1 0 5 .6 3 8 .0 F 7 3 .2 7 7 .2 7 9 .1 8 9 .3 1 0 2 .5 3 7 .0 15 H 7 3 .6 7 8 .8 8 0 .7 8 8 .7 1 0 3 .2 3 7 .2 F 7 1 .5 7 6 .8 7 8 .6 86.2 16 N 7 1 .8 7 8 .4 8 0 .1 8 5 .4 100.2 100.8 3 6 .3 F 6 9 .8 7 6 .5 7 8 .1 8 3 .0 9 7 .9 3 5 .2 17 H 6 9 .8 7 7 .7 7 9 .7 8 2 .9 9 8 .1 3 5 .2 F 6 7 .7 7 5 .7 7 7 .7 8 0 .6 9 5 .3 3 4 .2 18 ff 6 7 .3 7 6 .4 7 9 .2 8 1 .5 9 4 .9 3 4 .0 F 6 5 .2 7 4 .5 7 7 .3 7 9 .3 9 2 .3 3 2 .9 19 H 6 4 .6 7 4 .7 7 8 .7 8 0 .8 9 1 .4 3 2 .6 F 6 2 .5 7 2 .8 7 6 .8 20 7 8 .3 8 9 .0 3 1 .6 H 6 1 .8 7 2 .9 7 8 .2 8 0 .1 88.1 3 1 .2 F 5 9 .7 7 1 .1 7 6 .4 21 7 8 .2 8 5 ,9 3 0 .2 H 5 9 .0 7 1 .1 7 7 .7 7 9 .5 8 4 .8 2 9 .8 F 5 6 .9 6 9 .3 7 6 .0 7 7 .7 22 8 2 .7 2 8 .7 N 5 6 .2 6 9 .0 7 6 .9 7 9 .0 8 2 .2 2 8 .4 F 5 4 .1 6 7 .2 7 5 .3 7 7 .3 n 8 0 .3 2 7 .3 23 5 3 .6 6 6 .5 7 5 .6 7 8 ,5 8 0 .8 2 7 .1 nâ 5 1 .5 e< < 6 4 .7 7 4 .0 7 6 Ì8 7 9 .0 2 6 .0 U F F • 7 7 .2 7 8 .8 8 6 .4 1 0 0.4 1 1 1 .3 3 9 .0 7 8 .9 8 0 .6 8 5 .8 101.2 112.8 3 9 .9 » ^ « . 3 6 .1 'REPUBLICA DOMINICANA REPUBLICA DOniNICANA Test 2 Test 2 URBAN RURAL POPULATION ABES S TQ 24 POPULATION ASES 5 TO 24 1985 1990 1995 2000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 50.0 48.4 48.7 47.2 47.7 46.2 46.9 45.5 46.3 45.0 45.9 44.6 45.6 44.3 45.3 44.1 45.1 43.9 44.8 43.7 44.6 43.4 44.4 43.2 43.9 42.8 43.2 42.1 42.2 41.2 41.2 40.2 40.2 39.2 39.0 38.0 37.6 36.6 6 3.3 6 1.2 61.5 59.5 59.5 57.7 57.6 55.8 55.7 54. o ' 53.8 52.2 51.8 50.3 50.3 48.8 49.5 48.1 49.1 47.8 48.7 47.4 48.4 47.1 48.1 46.9 4 7.8 46.6 47.5 46.4 47.2 46.1 46.9 4 5.9 46.4 45.4 45.6 44.7 72.9 70.6 71.5 69.2 70.0 6 7 .8 68.5 66.4 67.0 64.9 65.4 63.4 6 3.9 62.0 62.2 60.4 60.2 58.4 58.1 56.4 56.0 54.4 53.9 52.4 52.3 50.9 51.4 50.1 51.0 49.8 50.6 49.4 50.2 49.1 49.9 48.8 49.6 48.5 81.2 78.4 80.0 77.3 78.7 76.2 77.5 75.0 76.2 73.7 74.8 72.5 73.4 71.1 71.9 69.8 70.4 68.3 68.8 66.7 67.1 65.2 65.6 63.7 63.8 62.0 6 1.8 60.0 59.5 57.9 57.4 55.9 55.2 53.8 53.5 52.2 52.6 51.4 40.5 39.3 40.1 39.0 39.9 38.8 39.6 38.6 39.4 38.4 39.2 38.2 39.1 38.0 38.7 37.7 38.1 37.1 37.3 36.3 36.4 35.4 35.6 34.6 34.5 33.5 33.3 32.3 32.0 30.9 30.6 29.6 29.2 28.1 27.8 26.8 26.5 25.5 38.4 37.2 37.4 3 6.2 36.6 35.5 36.0 35.0 35.6 34.5 35,2 34.2 35.0 34.0 34.8 33.9 34.6 33.7 34.4 33.5 34.2 33.4 34.1 33.2 33.7 32.9 33.2 32.3 32.4 31.6 31.7 30.9 30.9 30.1 30.0 29.2 28.9 .28.1 41.5 40.2 40.3 39.0 39.1 37.8 37.8 36.6 36.6 35.4 35.3 34.2 34.0 33.0 33.0 32.0 32.5 31.5 32.2 31.3 32.0 31.1 31.8 30.9 31.6 30.8 31.4 30.6 31.2 30.4 31.0 30.3 30.8 30.1 30.5 29.8 30.0 . 29.3 42.6 41.2 41.7 40.4 40.9 39.6 40.0 38.7 39.1 .3 7 .9 *38.2 37.0 37.3 36.2 36.3 35.2 35.2 34.1 ^ 33.9 32.9 32.7 31,8 31.5 30.6 30.5 29,7 30.029.2 29.8 29.0 29.5 28.8 29,3 28.6 29.1 28.5 28.9 28.3 4 3.5 42.1 4 2.9 4 1 .5 4 2.2 4 0.9 4 1.6 40.2 4 0.9 39.6 40.1 38.9 3 9.4 38.2 3 8.6 37,4 3 7 .8 36.6 36.9 3 5.8 3 6.0 35.0 35.2 34,2 3 4.3 33.3 33.1 32.2 3 1.9 31.1 3 0,8 30.0 2 9.6 2 8.9 28.7 28.0 2 8.2 27.6 . PUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 2 SCHOOL ASE POPULATION SUHNARY URBAN TOTAL SCHOOL AGE POPULATION RURAL SCHOOL AGE POPULATION SCHOOL AGE POPULATION PRIMARY 6 TO 11 SECONDARY 12 TO 18 PRIMARY 6 TO 11 SECONDARY 12 TO 18 PRIMARY 6 TO 11 SECONDARY 12 TO 10 tutumutmttm tmiinuututn ntttmmtumm umtmitnmu' mtuMummun utmmimmm YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 RATIO TO TOTAL NUMBER POPULATION 946. 979. 1109. 1267. 1393. .166 .150 .149 .150 .146 RATIO TO TOTAL NUMBER POPULATION 1012. 1087. 1117. 1231. 1421. .178 .167 .150 .145 ,149 RATIO TO URBAN ' NUMBER POPULATION 478. 554. 669. 800. 906. .166 .150 .149 .150 .146 RATIO TO URBAN NUMBER POPULATION 511. 615. 675. 777. 925. EQUIVALENT ECONOMIC CONSUMER HEIGHTS AGE 0 TO 4 5 TO 9 10 TO 14 15 TO 19 20 TO 64 OVER 64 HEIGHT .50 .80 .90 1.00 1.00 .80 .178 .167 ,150 .145 .149 RATIO TO RURAL NUMBER POPULATION 468. 425. 439. 467. 486. .166 .150 .149 .150 .146 RATIO TO RURAL NUMBER POPULATION 501. 472. 443. 454. 496. .178 .167 .150 .145 .149 LRPW/PC 01-01-80 02:27 S P E C IA L POPULATIONS RD02 S03 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA P a r t ic ip a t io n Test 2 ra te s - "S B A N FEMALE 1980 - RURAL MALE 2000 I9 6 0 2000 1 0 -1 4 0 .0 3 6 0 .03 6 1 0 -1 4 1 5 -1 9 0 .1 9 3 0 .15 7 1 5 -1 9 0 .6 2 9 0 .5 9 8 2 0 -2 4 0 . 4 1 6 0 .4 7 8 2 0 -2 4 0 .8 9 0 0 .8 9 0 2 5 -2 9 0 .4 5 7 0 .5 6 0 2 5 -2 9 0 .9 3 3 0 .9 3 0 3 0 -3 4 0 . 4 5 7 0 .5 0 4 3 0 -3 4 0 .9 4 5 0 .9 4 5 3 5 -3 9 0 . 4 5 0 0 .5 1 1 3 5 -3 9 0 . 9 4 7 0 .9 4 7 4 0 -4 4 0 .4 0 0 0 .46 0 4 0 -4 4 0 .9 4 2 0 .9 4 2 4 5 -4 9 0 .3 4 7 0 .3 6 8 4 5 -4 9 0 .9 3 5 0 .93 5 5 0 -5 4 0 .2 9 0 0 .27 6 5 0 -5 4 0 .9 2 4 0 .9 2 4 5 5 -5 9 0 . 2 4 0 0 .2 0 1 5 5 -5 9 0 .9 1 5 0 .9 1 5 6 0 -6 4 0 .2 0 0 0 .15 4 6 0 -6 4 0 .8 9 4 0 .8 9 4 6 5 -6 9 0 .1 6 0 0 .1 1 8 6 5 -6 9 0 .8 6 9 0 .8 6 9 70+ 0 .1 1 5 0 .07 0 70+ 0 .8 4 4 0 .8 4 4 0 . 3 1 2 0 .2 8 1 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 2 0 LRPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 :2 7 S P E C IA L POPULATIONS RD02 SOS R EP U B LIC A DQM INICAN A P a r t ic ip a t io n T e st 2 S P E C IA L POPULATIONS 1 0 -1 4 1985 1990 2000 1 0 -1 4 0 .0 7 9 0 . 1 4 9 0 .1 3 4 1 5 -1 9 0 .4 1 7 0 .7 3 8 1 5 -1 9 0 .2 3 3 0 .23 3 2 0 -2 4 2 0 -2 4 0 .2 5 7 0 . 2 7 0 2 5 -2 9 0 .87 7 2 5 -2 9 0 .2 7 0 0 .28 3 3 0 -3 4 0 .9 1 0 3 0 -3 4 0 .2 7 8 0 .2 9 2 3 5 -3 9 0 .9 3 0 3 5 -3 9 0 .2 8 3 0 .29 7 4 0 -4 4 0 .9 3 5 4 0 -4 4 0 .2 8 8 0 .3 0 2 4 5 -4 9 0 .9 2 0 4 5 -4 9 0 .2 9 1 0 . 3 0 6 5 0 -5 4 0 .8 7 3 5 0 -5 4 0 .2 7 8 0 .2 7 8 5 5 -5 9 0 .7 9 0 5 5 -5 9 0 .2 7 7 0 .27 7 6 0 -6 4 0 .6 9 0 6 0 -6 4 0 .2 7 2 0 .2 7 2 6 5 -6 9 0 .5 8 2 6 5 -6 9 0 .2 6 2 0 .26 2 70+ 0 .4 5 5 70+ 0 .2 5 0 0 .2 5 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 S P E C IA L POPULATIONS Age g r o u p In it ia l a ge : S e c t o r 2 N a ie RD02 SOO F i n a l Age 11 SECONDARY F i n a l Age 18 0 -04 H e ig h t 0 .5 0 0 5 -09 0 .8 0 0 1 0 -1 4 0 .9 0 0 2 0 -6 4 1.000 1 .ÖÖÖ 65+ 0 .8 0 0 1 5 -1 9 1995 2000 R E P U B LIC A DQM INICANA E c o n o a ic c o n s u i e r w e ig h t s PRIMARY 6 T e st 2 r a t e s - URBAN HALE 0.000 0.000 0 . 0 7 9 0.000 0.000 0 . 3 8 8 0.000 0.000 0 . 6 8 9 0.000 0.000 0 . 8 7 7 0.000 0.000 0 . 9 1 0 0.000 0.000 0 . 9 3 0 0.000 0.000 0 . 9 3 5 0.000 0.000 0 . 9 2 0 0.000 0.000 0 . 8 7 3 0.000 0.000 0 .6 9 7 0.000 0.000 0 . 5 6 2 0.000 0.000 0 . 4 3 7 0.000 0.000 0 . 2 8 8 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 2 9 S e c t o r 1 N a ie R E P U B LIC A D OM INICANA P a r t ic ip a t io n r a t e s - RURAL FEMALE 1980 1980 RD02 S0 2 T e st 2 PROYECCIONES DE EDUCACION EDUCATIONAL DEHAND’ E02 R e g io n : URBAN Se cto r: S e r v ic e n a ie : 1 S e x : HALE+FEHALE 1 PRIMARV ALUHNOS/AULAS S e rv ic e R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te ra te costs co sts 1980 6 2 .1 0 0 0 .03 3 2 5 .8 0 0 1985 6 1 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 2 5 .8 0 0 5 .0 0 0 1990 6 0 .0 0 0 0 .03 3 2 5 . BOO 5 .00 0 5 .00 0 1995 5 9 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 2 5 ,8 0 0 5 .0 0 0 2000 5 7 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 2 5 .8 0 0 5 .0 0 0 LRPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 8 EDUCATIONAL DENANO R e g io n : RURAL “ 1990 EDUCATIONAL DEMAND S e x ; MALE+FEMALE S e rv ic e R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te ra te costs costs 6 1 .5 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .7 0 0 6 1 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .7 0 0 7 .5 0 0 6 0 .0 0 0 0 .03 3 3 8 .7 0 0 7 .5 0 0 7 .5 0 0 1995 5 9 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .7 0 0 7 .50 0 2000 5 8 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .7 0 0 7 .5 0 0 R D O f R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA Se c to r: 2 1 PRIM ARY T e st 1 E02 R e g io n : URBAN S e r v ic e n a ie : T e st 1 ALUMNOS/AULA 1980 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6 R EP U B LIC A DOMINICANA S e cto r: S e r v i c e n a ie : 1985 RDO l E 02 1 PRIMARY S e x : MALE+FEMALE ALUMNOS/MAESTROS S e r v ic e ra te R e p la c e ie n t ra te In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g costs 1980 4 6 .8 0 0 0 .40 0 4 0 .0 0 0 1965 4 5 .0 0 0 0 .4 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 1990 4 4 .0 0 0 0 .4 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 1995 4 2 .0 0 0 0 .40 0 4 0 .0 0 0 2000 4 0 .0 0 0 0 .4 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 costs 10.000 10.000 10.000 10,000 10.000 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 8 EDUCATIONAL DEMAND Se cto r: R e g io n : RURAL S e r v i c e n a ie : RDOl 2 R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA T e st 1 E02 S e x : HALE+FEHALE 1 PRIMARY ALUMNOS/MAESTROS S e r v ic e ra te R e p la c e ie n t ra te In v e s t ie n t co sts O p e ra tin g costs 1980 6 4 .6 0 0 0 .0 5 0 6 0 .0 0 0 1 5 .0 0 0 1985 6 4 .0 0 0 0 .0 5 0 6 0 .0 0 0 1 5 .0 0 0 1990 6 3 .0 0 0 0 .0 5 0 6 0 .0 0 0 1 5 .0 0 0 1995 6 2 .0 0 0 0 .0 5 0 6 0 .0 0 0 1 5 .0 0 0 2000 6 0 .0 0 0 0.05 0 6 0 .0 0 0 1 5 .0 0 0 ÍPK/PC OÌ-Or-BO 02;57 ÌUCATIONAL DEMAND Test I E02 le g io n : URBAN S e r v ic e n a t e : REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Se cto r: 1 S e x : MALE+FEMALE 2 SECONDARY R e g io n : RURAL Se cto r: S e r v i c e n a ie : ALUMNOS/AULA 2 SECONDARY ALUMNOS/AULA S e rv ic e R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g S e r v ic e R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te ra te costs costs ra te ra te costs co sts 2 9 .0 0 0 1980 4 0 .0 0 0 * 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 3 2 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 5 7 .0 0 0 1985 3 9 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 3 1 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 5 7 .0 0 0 2 9 .0 0 0 1990 3 8 .0 0 0 0 .03 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 3 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 5 7 .0 0 0 2 9 .0 0 0 1995 3 7 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 3 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 5 7 .0 0 0 2 9 .0 0 0 2000 3 6 .0 0 0 0 .03 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 3 0 .0 8 0 0 .0 3 3 5 7 .0 0 0 2 9 .0 0 0 LRPM/PC 0 1 - Ú 1 - 8 0 0 3 : 0 0 EDUCATIONAL DEMAND R EP U B LIC A DO M IN ICANA RDÓ1 T e st 1 E02 R e g io n : URBAN S e c to r: R e g io n : RURAL S e r v i c e n a ie : 6 4 .6 0 0 1985 6 4 .6 0 0 1990 6 4 .6 0 0 1995 6 4 .6 0 0 2000 6 4 .6 0 0 l/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6 lio n : URBAN RDO l E 06 R e p la c e ie n t ra te ra te lATlO NAL DEMAND 0.020 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 In v e s t ie n t 4 0 .0 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 E n r o llie n t 2 SECONDARY ALUMNOS/MAESTROS 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 0 T e st 1 1 P R IM A R I S e x : MALE+FEMALE ra te 0 .86 0 0 .37 8 0 .8 7 0 0 .38 0 790 0.880 0 .3 9 0 795 0 .8 9 0 0 .4 0 0 0 .41 0 O p e r a t in g co sts costs 8 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 7 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 7 5 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 6 0 .0 0 0 • 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 R e g io n : URBAN RDO l E 06 S e c to r: E n r o llie n t ra te 1980 0 .4 5 2 1985 0 .4 6 0 1 9 90 0 .4 7 0 1995 0 .4 8 0 2000 0 .5 0 0 R EP U B LIC A DOM INICANA T e sti E n r o llie n t ra te s RURAL ra te In v e s t ie n t 7 5 .0 0 0 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6 E n r o llie n t 780 R e p la c e ie n t ra te EDUCATIONAL DEMAND 785 0 .90 0 0 4 0 .0 0 0 R E P U B LIC A DOMINICANA S e rv ic e co sts E n r o llie n t ra te s Se cto r: ra te O p e r a t in g costs R e g io n : SCO Se cto r: S e r v i c e n a ie : ALUMNOS/MAESTROS 2 S e r v ic e 1980 S e x : MALE+FEMALE 2 SECONDARY 2 SECONDARY S e x : MALE+FEMA R e g io n : RURAL E n r o llie n t ra te 0 .2 4 9 0 .2 6 0 0 .2 7 0 0 .2 8 0 0 .2 9 0 LRPM/PC 01-01-80 02:55 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA t e s t 1 EDUCATIONAL DEMAND EOl Education-eodule paraeeters N u abe r o f e d u c a t io n s e r v i c e s : U rban 2 R u ra l 2 Se x s e p a r a t i o n : READY 1 1 = C o a b in e a a le and f e a a le s t u d e n t s 2 = Do n o t c o a b in e A d a i n i s t r a t i v e and o v e rh e a d c o s t s : 2 0 = None 1 = P erce ntage o f t o t a l c o s t s 2 = F ix e d c o s t s to be s p e c i f i e d a l s o P r in t o u t in t e r v a l; 5 C u rre n c y u n it s : p esos 6o (1 = y e a r l y 5 = 5 -y e a r p e r io d s ) ' to f o l l o w i n g aenu ( w it h P g D n ): U r b a n / R u r a l: 1 S e c t o r n u a b e r: 1 S e r v i c e n u a b e r: 1 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 6 EDUCATIONAL DEMAND RDO l EÚ4 2 = u rb a n R EP U B LIC A DOM INICANA = r u r a l) T e st 1 O ve rh e ad and o t h e r f i x e d c o s t s Se cto r: R e g io n : URBAN (1 R e g io n : RURAL 2 SECONDARY Se c to r: In v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d : 0.100 In v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d : 0.200 O p e r a t in g 0 .0 3 0 O p e r a t in g o v e rh e a d : 0 .7 0 0 In v e s t a e n t O p e r a t in g o v e rh e a d ; F ix e d c o s t s In v e s t a e n t 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 LRPM/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 2 : 5 5 EDUCATIONAL DEMAND RDO l EÚ4 R e g io n : URBAN O p e r a t in g 3 4 .0 7 5 .0 3 4 .0 7 5 .0 5.0 3 4 .0 7 5 .0 5 .0 5.0 3 4 .0 7 5 .0 5 .0 3 4 .0 7 5 .0 5 .0 R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA T e st 1 O ve rh e ad and o t h e r f ix e d c o s t s Se c to r: 1 PR IM AR Y READY R e g io n ; RURAL Se c to r: 1 PRIMARY In v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d : 0.100 I n v e s t a e n t o v e rh e a d : 0.100 O p e r a t in g 0 .15 0 O p e r a t in g o v e rh e a d ; 0 .0 8 0 In v e s t a e n t O p e ra tin g o v e rh e a d : ■ F ix e d c o s t s In v e s t a e n t O p e r a t in g 5.0 1980 9 .0 3 .0 4 5 .0 1985 7 .0 5 .0 4 5 .0 5.0 1990 6.0 7 .0 4 5 .0 5.0 1995 3 .0 9.0 4 5 .0 5 .0 2000 1.0 l. O 4 5 .0 5.0 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA IB Ü C A DOMINICANA is t 2 Test 1 mu REBIQH URBAN REBION AL EDUCATION PROGRAM COSTS (M IL L IO N S OF p e s o s ) TOTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM CO STS ( M IL L IO N S Of p e s o s (IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD) (IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD) INVESTMENT TEAR 1985 OPERATING TOTAL COSTS COSTS COSTS 2 6 3 0 .2 5 5 3 0 3 .6 1 7 9 3 3 ,8 6 INVESTMENT YEAR 1985 OPERATING TOTAL COSTS COSTS COSTS 2 6 3 6 .2 9 5 3 0 5 .5 6 7 9 4 1 .8 5 1990 2 9 7 2 ,3 7 5 9 7 3 .5 5 8 9 4 5 .9 2 1990 2 8 5 5 .9 4 5 9 2 5 .3 4 8 7 8 1 .2 8 1995 3 4 6 3 .0 1 6 7 1 6 .5 3 1 0 1 7 9 .5 4 1995 3 3 0 4 .0 1 6 7 0 0 ,7 1 2000 1 0 0 0 4 .7 2 3 8 1 4 .3 7 7 5 8 1 .1 6 1 1 3 9 5 .5 4 2000 3 1 5 4 .0 5 7 1 8 1 .1 2 1 0 3 3 5 .1 7 MULATIVE COSTS BY S E R V IC E CUMULATIVE COSTS BY S E R V IC E « INVESTMENT OPERATING COSTS COSTS TOTAL INVESTMENT COSTS OPERATING COSTS E R V IC E 2 1 1 0 8 8 ,7 7 9 1 8 7 .5 7 1 9 0 1 .2 0 E R V IC E 1 2 6 2 3 1 .0 9 1 5 5 9 3 .2 8 1 0 6 3 7 .8 1 S E R V IC E 1 1 6 5 6 .8 4 8 8 5 4 .0 6 1 0 5 1 0 ,9 0 S E R V IC E 2 9 9 5 2 .4 6 1 5 4 6 4 .6 7 2 5 4 1 7 .1 2 T e st 1 T e st 2 RURAL REGION RURAL R E 6 I0 N TOTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM COSTS ( M IL L IO N S OF p e s o s ) INVESTMENT COSTS • 8 0 2.92 OPERATING COSTS 3 6 5 0 .7 9 4 4 5 3 .7 1 pesos YEAR 1985 OPERATING TOTAL COSTS COSTS COSTS 80 5 .7 7 3 6 5 1 .8 8 4 4 5 7 .6 5 4 4 9 7 .3 5 1990 89 6 .6 3 3 5 2 6 .2 1 4 4 2 2 .8 4 1’995 9 6 4 .7 0 2000 3 5 5 4 .6 0 4 5 1 9 .3 0 9 8 0.82 3 6 9 6 .6 0 4 6 7 7 .4 2 1990 9 4 6 .1 6 1995 1 0 5 9 .0 8 3 6 7 5 .0 7 4 7 3 4 .1 5 2000 1 0 9 4 .8 4 3 9 8 4 ,0 7 5 0 7 8 .9 0 CUMULATIVE COSTS BY S E R V IC E CUMULATIVE CO STS BY S E R V IC E COSTS INVESTMENT TOTAL COSTS 3 5 5 1 .1 9 INVESTMENT TOTAL EDUCATION PROGRAM CO ST S (M IL L IO N S OF (IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD) (IN C L U D IN G OVERHEAD) 1985 COSTS R E P U B L IC A lO M rN IC A N A ’ R EP U B LIC A DOM INICANA YEAR TOTAL COSTS OPERATING COSTS INVESTMENT TOTAL COSTS COSTS OPERATING COSTS TOTAL COSTS S E R V IC E 1 5 2 1.26 5 5 1 0 .4 3 6 0 3 1 .6 9 S E R V IC E 1 4 2 6 ,2 0 5ZS7.H 5 7 8 3 .9 5 S E R V IC E 2 98 1 ,7 5 9 1 5 0 .6 8 1 0 1 3 2 .4 3 S E R V IC E 2 8 2 1 .7 2 8 8 7 1 .5 4 9 6 9 3 .2 6 REPUBLICA OOKINICANA j Test 2 URBAN RE6I0N 2 , HALE+FENALE SECONDARY ENROLLHENT SCHOOL-AGE YEAR POPULATION RA T IO ENROLLHENT 5 1 0.9 .4 5 2 2 3 0.9 1980 6 1 4.7 1985 2 8 2 .7 .4 6 0 1990 6 7 4 .7 .4 7 0 3 1 7 .1 1995 7 7 7 .3 .4 8 0 3 7 3.1 9 2 5 .1 .5 0 0 4 6 2 .6 2000 * ALUHNOS/AULA - , SECONDARY (S E R V IC E 1 ) UNIT " S E R V IC E RA TIO YEAR . REPLACENENT INVESTHENT C O ST ! VALUE UNIT OPERATING COST! 4 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 33 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1985 3 9 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1990 3 8 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1995 3 7 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 2000 3 6 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1980 “ ALUHNDS/HAESTROS (S E R V IC E 2 i , SECONDARY U N IT YEAR S E R V IC E REPLACENENT RA T IO VALUE INVESTHENT C OST! UNIT OPERATING COST! 1980 8 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 33 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 1985 7 5 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 1990 7 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 33 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 1995 6 5 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 2000 6 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 REPUBLIC A DO niNIC AN A O Í- O Í- 1 5 T e st 1 URBAN REG ION 2 SECONDARY SCHQOL-AGE YEAR , HALE+FEHALE ENROLLHENT POPULATION R A T IO ENROLLHENT 5 1 0.9 .4 5 2 2 3 0.9 Í9 8 0 1985 6 1 4 .2 .4 6 0 1990 6 7 7 .2 .4 7 0 3 1 8 .3 1995 7 5 9 .5 .4 8 0 3 6 4 .6 2000 8 5 5 .2 .5 0 0 4 2 7 .6 ALUHNOS/AULA 2 8 2.5 SECONDARY (S E R V IC E 1) U N IT S E R V IC E REPLACEHENT YEAR R A T IO VALUE 1980 4 0 .0 0 0 0 INVESTH ENT CO STI .0 3 3 UNIT OPERATING C O ST I 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1985 3 9 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1990 3 8 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 1995 3 7 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 2000 3 6 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 3 8 .0 0 0 1 9 .3 5 0 ALÜHNOS/HAESTROS , SECONDARY ( S E R V IC E 2 ) U N IT YEAR S E R V IC E REPLACEHEN T RA TIO VALUE INVESTH ENT C O ST I U N IT OPERATINf C O ST I 1980 8 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 1985 7 5 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 1990 7 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 1995 7 5 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 2000 6 0 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 4 0 .5 7 6 2 0 .2 8 8 ALUHNOS/AULAS , PRIM ARY , 08.1 A»>A Ic sfl (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) INVESTMENT COSTS NUMBER m m tm YEAR U N IT S 19B0 im m tm m tm u tm m m tm m tm u m n tm m m m m m m tm A D D IT IO N S TOTAL REPLACEMENTS pesos ) REPLACEMENTS A D D IT IO N S TOTAL TOTAL 2 9 .4 8 4.4 8 3.9 6 2 1 7 .8 3 1 1 5 .5 8 1 0 2 .2 5 8.44 6 9 6 .2 1 1990 3 3 .9 4 4 .46 5 .15 9 .61 1 1 4 .9 8 1 3 2 .8 7 2 4 7 .8 5 8 0 2 .5 8 1995 3 8 .3 6 4 .42 5 .88 1 0 .3 1 1 1 4 .1 5 1 5 1 .8 2 26 5 .9 7 9 1 3.69 2000 4 1 .0 8 2 .72 6 .51 9.23 7 0 .2 4 1 6 7 .8 9 2 3 8 .1 2 9 9 9 .5 6 TOTAL TOTAL ALUMNQS/MAESTROS YEAR ) tm tttm m ttn 2 5 .5 2 1985 , pesos (THOUSANDS) T H IS YEAR (M IL L IO N S OF ( M IL L IO N S OF NEW U N IT S REQUIRED REQ UIRED OPERATING COSTS i U N IT S REPLACEMENTS A D D IT IO N S , PRIM ARY A D D IT IO N S TOTAL REPLACEMENTS ■ 1 9 .2 3 1980 1985 1990 - 2 1 .7 5 2 4 .8 9 . 4 0 .4 3 2.52 3 .14 4 5 .9 4 1 0 0 .7 0 4 2 .9 5 1 2 5 .5 7 4 9 .0 8 1 7 1 7 .8 2 1 8 3 7 .5 6 1 9 6 3 .1 3 1 1 7 9 .8 7 1 3 1 6 .2 6 1 4 1 0 .9 7 1995 2 7 .3 1 2 .42 5 1 .6 8 5 4 .1 0 • 9 6 .8 4 2 0 6 7 .2 8 2 1 6 4 .1 2 2000 2 8 .8 3 1 .5 2 5 5 .8 3 5 7 .3 5 6 0 .9 0 2 2 3 3 .1 9 2 2 9 4 .1 0 ALUMNOS/AULA 1 0 3 5 .8 7 1 6 1 7 .1 2 , SECONDARY "test Z (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) NUMBER INVESTMENT COSTS NEN U N IT S REQ UIRED REQ UIRED T H IS YEAR tm u m t YEAR 1980 U N IT S pesos (THOUSANDS) m m m m u tm tttm m m tm m A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS OPERATING COSTS ( M IL L IO N S OF TOTAL (M IL L IO N S OF ) pesos m m m um m m m m uum m t A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL ummtmmt TOTAL 9 .24 1985 1 1 .0 3 1 .7 9 1 .6 4 3.4 3 6 8 .0 4 6 2 .2 5 1 3 0 .2 8 9 9 5 .2 0 1990 1 2 .0 5 1.02 1 .8 9 2.91 3 8 .8 7 7 1 .6 7 1 1 0 .5 4 1 1 2 5 .6 5 1995 1 3 .8 0 1 .75 2.10 3.86 6 6 .6 7 7 9 .8 4 1 4 6 .5 2 1 2 6 5 .9 7 2000 1 6 .6 5 2.8 5 2.46 5 .3 1 1 0 8 .2 1 9 3 .4 5 201.66 1 4 9 7 .0 6 ALUHNOS/MAESTROS YEAR 1980 U N IT S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL TOTAL 1 8 .4 7 1990 21.21 22.20 1995 2000 1985 A D D IT IO N S , SECONDARY 2 .73 3.22 5 .96 110.88 1 3 0 .8 4 2 4 1 .7 2 .99 3.5 7 4.56 4 0 .2 4 1 4 4.67 1 8 4 .9 0 2 2 1 2 .0 3 2 4 .2 5 2 .05 3 .80 5 .85 8 3 .3 4 1 5 4 .0 9 2 3 7 .4 3 2 3 7 6 .3 7 2 7 .7 5 3.5 0 4.23 7.7 3 1 4 2.12 1 7 1.60 3 1 3.72 2 6 7 1 .1 1 2 0 3 7 .9 1 ALUMNOS /AULAS , SECONDARY , «üRAU Tea 2 (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDINO IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) NUMBER t m m m YEAR 1980 . U N IT S pesos (THOUSANDS) REPLACEMENTS TOTAL A D D IT IO N S 3.8 0 1990 3 .59 -.1 9 1995 3 .81 -.22 .22 2000 4.32 .51 TOTAL TOTAL U N IT S A D D IT IO N S 5 6 2 .4 2 .¿5 .4 6 -1 0 .5 9 3 6 .8 3 2 6 .2 4 .6 1 .4 0 -1 2 .4 4 3 4 .9 6 2 2 .5 2 5 3 2 .5 9 .8 3 1 2 .8 1 3 4 .5 7 4 7 .3 7 53 9 .4 2 1 .1 7 2 8 .9 3 3 7 .7 1 6 6 .6 4 5 9 6 .0 4 .61 .66 ALUHNOS/MAESTROS 1980 REPLACEMENTS ) tm m tm m m 3.9 9 19B5 YEAR pesos ) m tm tm u m m titm m m m m m m tm tm m m m m m n m m A D D IT IO N S (M IL L IO N S OF ( M IL L IO N S OF NEW U N IT S REQ U IRED T H IS YEAR ■ OPERATING COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS REQ U IRED REPLACEMENTS , SECONDARY TOTAL A D D IT IO N S TOTAL REPLACEMENTS TOTAL 8.0 5 1985 7.93 -.1 3 .6 0 .6 7 -5 .1 0 3 2 .0 2 2 6 .9 2 1990 7 .72 -.21 .7 8 .5 8 - 8.22 3 1 .3 8 2 3 .1 6 7 8 0 .4 6 1995 8.21 .48 .7 9 1 .28 1 9 .3 5 3 1 .6 6 5 1 ,0 1 8 0 1 ,0 7 2000 9.30 1 .09 .86 1.96 4 3 .7 2 3 4 .5 3 7 8 .2 6 8 8 5 .1 5 . ALUMNOS/AULA , SECONDARY TEST I 7 9 7.95 , tO R A L I (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) NUMBER NEW U N IT S REQ UIRED T H IS YEAR %mtmu YEAR 1980 U N IT S pesos (THOUSANDS) m m m tm m m m m m m m m A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS 3 .80 1990 3.6 0 1995 2000 TOTAL TOTAL REPLACEMENTS -.1 9 3 .72 -.20 .12 tm m m n u m TOTAL 3.9 9 .2 7 .6 5 .4 6 -1 0 .7 6 3 6 .8 2 2 6 .0 6 .61 .41 -1 1 . 5 1 3 4 ,9 9 2 3 .4 8 5 3 3 .6 0 .6 0 .7 3 7.08 3 4 .3 2 4 1 .4 0 5 3 2 .7 3 .6 3 .9 0 1 5 .2 9 3 6 .0 2 5 1 .3 1 5 6 3 .1 1 U N IT S A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS -T O T A L 5 6 2 .1 6 , SECONDARY A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL TOTAL 8,0 5 1985 7 .92 -.1 3 .8 0 1990 7,75 -.1 7 .79 .61 -6 .8 3 3 1 .4 2 1995 8.02 .2 7 .7 9 1 .05 1 0 .7 0 3 1 .4 3 8.60 .5 8 .8 2 1 .4 0 2 3 .1 1 3 2 .9 9 2000 pesos ) m m m m m m m m m m tm m A D D IT IO N S ALUMNOS/HAESTROS 1980 (M IL L IO N S OF ( M IL L IO N S OF 3 .99 1985 YEAR OPERATING COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS REQ UIRED .6 7 -5 .3 4 2 6 .6 7 3 2 .0 1 ' 7 9 7 ,5 9 2 4 .5 6 7 8 1 .9 6 4 2 .1 3 7 9 1.13 5 6 .1 0 8 3 6 .2 5 ) REPUBLICA DOMINICANA 01-01-19 Test 2 RURAL REGION 2 YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 SECONDARY SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION 500.8 472 .0 442.7 453.7 496.4 , HALE+FEHALE ENROLLMENT RATIO ENROLLMENT 124.7 122.7 119.5 127.0 143.9 .249 .260 .270 .280 .290 c ALUMNOS /AULAS YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 SERVICE RATIO YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 SERVICE RATIO 64.6000 64.6000 64.6000 64.6000 64.6000 UNIT OPERATING COST» UNIT INVESTMENT COST* REPLACEMENT VALUE 57.000 57.000 57.000 57.000 57.000 .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 32.0000 31.0000 30.0000 30.0000 30.0000 ALUMNOS/MAESTROS (SERVICE 1) , SECONDARY , 2 9.000* 29.000 29.000 29.000 29.000 (SERVICE 2) , SECONDARY REPLACEMENT VALUE .020 .020 .020 .020 .020 UNIT INVESTMENT COST* 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 UNIT OPERATING COST» 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 REPUBLICA DOHINICANjl Test 1 01- 01- RURAL REGION 2 YEAR SECONDARY , «ALE+FEHALE SCHOOL-AGE POPULATION 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 500.8 471.6 444.4 443.3 458.8 ALUHNOS/AULA ENROLLMENT RATIO .249 .260 .270 .280 .290 ENROLLMENT 124.7 122.6 120.0 124.1 133.1 SECONDARY (SERVICE 1) UNIT YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 SERVICE RATIO 32.0000 31.0000 30.0000 30.0000 30.0000 ALUMNOS/MAESTROS YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 REPLACEMENT VALUE SERVICE RATIO 64.6000 64.6000 64.6000 64.6000 64.6000 INVESTMENT COST» .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 , SECONDARY REPLACEMENT VALUE .020 .020 .020 .020 .020 57.000 57.000 57.000 57.000 57.000 UNIT OPERATING COST» 29.000 29.000 29.000 29,000 29.000 (SERVICE 2) UNIT INVESTMENT COST» 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 UNIT OPERATING COST» 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 A L U H N Q S/ A U a , PfilHARY , HW AL TEST 2 (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) 6 NUH ER INVESTHENT COSTS REQ UIRED NEN U N IT S REQ UIRED T H IS YEAR u u m m YEAR 1980 U N IT S pesos (THOUSANDS) m tm m m m m m m m m m m A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS OPERATING COSTS (H IL L IQ N S OF TOTAL (M IL L IO N S OF pesos ) ummmmmmmmmmmn A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL ) m m tm m m u TOTAL 1 0 . B9 1985 9 .B 6 -1 .0 3 1 .73 .7 0 -3 9 .7 5 6 6 .8 4 2 7 .0 9 1990 1 0 .2 8 .4 2 1.6 5 2.0 7 1 6 .1 8 6 4 .0 2 8 0 .2 0 3 7 9 .1 1 1995 11.02 .74 1 .7 4 2 .49 2 8 .7 0 6 7 .5 0 9 6 ,2 0 4 0 1 .9 7 2000 1 1 .5 6 .54 1 .8 5 2.40 2 1 .0 7 7 1 .7 5 9 2 .8 1 4 2 5 .4 2 ALUHNOS/HAESTROS 38 4 .8 4 , PRIM ARY (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) NUMBER NEN U N IT S REQUIRED YEAR 1980 U N IT S pesos m m tm m m m tm m u m m m A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS (M IL L IO N S OF ( M IL L IO N S OF (THOUSANDS) T H IS YEAR ttm n u t OPERATING COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS REQ UIRED TOTAL pesos ) m tm m m m m m tm m m u m A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL ) utmtttmMm TOTAL 1 1 .4 4 1985 1 0 .3 4 -1 .0 9 2 .75 1.66 -6 5 .4 6 16 4 .8 6 9 9 .3 9 1990 1 0 .7 9 .4 5 2.63 3 .08 2 6 .8 2 1 5 7 .8 4 1 8 4 .6 6 7 9 5 .8 9 1995 1 1 .5 8 .7 9 2.78 3.5 6 4 7 .2 8 1 6 6 .5 4 2 1 3 .8 3 8 4 4.54 2000 1 1 .9 6 .3 8 2.93 3.32 2 2 .9 7 1 7 6 .0 0 1 9 8 .9 7 8 8 5.73 8 0 7 .9 1 ALUHNOS/AIILA , PR IM AR Y «08<VL, TKT I . (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL E N D IN NUMBER NEW U N IT S REQ U IRED T H IS YEAR YEAR U N IT S IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) OPERATING COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS REQ UIRED u m ttu t 6 (THOUSANDS) . tu n m tm n m u m tm n m tu tii A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS (M IL L IO N S OF ( M IL L IO N S OF TOTAL p esos pesos ) ttu m m m m u m m m u m ttm A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL TOTAL y 1980 1 0 .8 9 1985 9.89 1990 9 .87 1.00 -.02 1995 lO .O G 2000 10.22 - 1 .73 .7 3 -3 8 .6 9 6 6 .9 1 2 8 .2 3 1 .63 1 .6 1 -.7 2 6 3 .0 9 6 2 .3 8 3 7 0 .3 7 .19 1 .64 1 .B 3 7.49 6 3 .5 1 7 1 .0 0 3 7 4 .4 4 .1 6 1.67 1 .83 6.01 6 4 .6 5 7 0 .6 6 3 8 0 .8 4 ALUHNOS/MAESTRDS 38 5 .4 7 , PRIM ARY (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) NUMBER INVESTMENT COSTS REQ UIRED NEN U N IT S REQ UIRED T H IS YEAR tm n m t (EAR 1980 U N IT S (THOUSANDS) pesos H m m m m u m m n u tm m m t A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS OPERATING COSTS ( M IL L IO N S OF TOTAL (M IL L IO N S Of ) p esos m tm tn m m u m tm m tu m m A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS TOTAL tm tu m m u TOTAL 1 1 .4 4 1985 1 0 .3 7 1990 1 0 .3 6 1995 1 0 .5 7 2000 1 0 .5 7 -1 .0 6 -.01 .21 -.00 ) mmmmmm 2 .75 1.6 9 -6 3 .7 3 1 6 5 .0 4 1 0 1.30 2.5 9 2.58 -.68 1 5 5 .5 4 1 5 4 .8 6 8 0 9.24 7 7 7 .5 4 2 .61 2.8 2 1 2 .7 1 1 5 6 .7 1 1 6 9 .4 1 7 8 6 .7 1 2.64 2.64 -.2 4 1 5 8 .6 0 1 5 8 .3 6 7 9 2 .9 6 PROYECCIONES DE SALUD LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01s4B PUBLIC HEALTH DEHANO RDOl R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA P02 'DA'TOS S e r v ic e * n a « e : R e g io n : RURAL RPH/PC O l- O l- B O 0 1 :4 7 U B L IC HEALTH DEHAND RDOl P02 R e g io n : URBAN « R EP U B LIC A DOMINICANA S e r v ic e n a ie : 1 R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te s ra te s costs costs 1980 0 .85 0 0 .03 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 1985 1.000 0 .03 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 1990 1 .7 0 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 1995 2 .4 0 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 2000 3 .00 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 S e r v ic e R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te s ra te s costs costs 1980 0 .30 0 1985 0 .3 2 0 . 0 .3 5 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 0 .3 7 0 0 .03 3 9 8 .0 0 0 2000 0 .3 9 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 ,0 0 0 LRPN/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 1 : 4 8 1980 • R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA P02 S e r v ic e n a ie : 2 RDO l R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te s ra te s costs costs S e r v i c e n a ie : O p e r a t in g ra te s ra te s costs 0 .15 0 0 .0 5 0 2 5 .0 0 0 2 8 .0 0 0 0 .1 7 0 0 .0 5 0 1990 0 .1 9 0 0 .0 5 0 2 7 .0 0 0 3 .0 0 0 1995 0.220 0 .0 5 0 2 8 .0 0 0 4 .00 0 2000 0 .2 5 0 0 .0 5 0 2 9 .0 0 0 5 .0 0 0 4 .0 0 0 LRPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 1 : 4 9 0 .0 4 0 2 3 .0 0 0 5 .0 0 0 P U B L IC HEALTH DEHAND 0 .0 4 0 2 4 .0 0 0 8.000 1990 0 .3 0 0 1995 0 .3 5 0 2000 0 .4 0 0 1.000 2.000 1985 0 .0 4 0 0 .04 0 CAMAS costs 3 .0 0 0 0 .04 0 0 .2 5 0 2 In v e s t ie n t 20.000 21.000 22.000 0 .1 8 0 1985 R E P U B LIC A DOMINICANA P02 CANAS S e r v ic e 1980 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 R e p la c e ie n t S e r v ic e R e g io n : URBAN 9 8 .0 0 0 9 8 .0 0 0 1990 R e g io n : RURAL U B L IC HEALTH DEHAND 0 .03 3 0 .0 3 3 1995 P U B L IC HEALTH DENANO RDO l N ED IC O S N ED IC O S S e rv ic e RPH/PC 0 1 - 0 1 - 8 0 0 1 : 4 7 1 2.000 R e g io n : RURAL RDOl R E P U B LIC A DONINICANA P02 S e r v i c e n a ie : 3 POSTAS M ED IC A S S e r v ic e R e p la c e ie n t In v e s t ie n t O p e r a t in g ra te s ra te s costs costs 1980 0 .1 5 0 0 .0 3 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 .00 0 1985 0 .18 0 0 .0 3 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 .0 0 0 1990 1995 2000 • 0 .1 7 0 0 .0 3 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 .0 0 0 0 .1 9 0 0 .0 3 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 .00 0 0.200 0 .0 3 0 4 0 .0 0 0 4 .00 0 LRPn/PC 01-01-80 01:4Ó RDOl REPUBLICA OQHINICANA PUBLIC HEALTH DEHAND POl Health-todule paraaeters Nuaber of health services: Urban (1 to 10 services) 2 Rural 3 Adainistrative/overhead costs; 2 0 = None 1 = Percentage of total costs 2 = Fixed costs to be specified also Printout interval; 5 Currency units: PESOS So to following aenu (with PgDn): Urban/Rural: 1 Service nuaber: 1 LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:47 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA PUBLIC HEALTH DEMAND P03 Overhead and other fixed costs Region: URBAN 5 = 5-year periods! ' (1 = urban 2 = rural) LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:48 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA PUBLIC HEALTH DEHAND P03 Overhead and other fixed costs Region: RURAL Investaent overhead: 0.100 Operating overhead: 0.150 Fixed costs 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 (1 = yearly Investaent 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 Operating 45.5 51.3 54.3 56.2 58.7 Investaent overhead: 0.100 Operating overhead: 0.100 Fixed costs 1980 1985 1990 1995 Investaent 2.B 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.4 2000 Operating . 23.2 26.2 27.7 28.7 29.9 LRPM/PC Oi-Oi-80 01:46 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA PUBLIC HEALTH DEHAND P05 Population covered by public health services Region: URBAN Region: RURAL Population covered Population covered 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 0.700 0.750 0.800 0.850 0.900 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 0.400 0.420 0.450 0.470 0.500 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 RURAL POPULATION PROPORTION OF POPULATION USINO PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 .400 .420 .450 .470 .500 2000 HEDICOS YEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .3000 .3200 .3500 .3700 .3900 ■ REPLACEHENT VALUE .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 UNIT INVESTMENT COST! UNIT 0PERATIN6 COST! 98.000 98.000 98.000 98.000 98.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 CANAS YEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .1500 .1700 .1900 .2200 .2500 REPLACEMENT VALUE .050 .050 .050 .050 .050 UNIT INVESTMENT COST! UNIT QPERATIN6 COST! 25.000 26.000 27.000 28.000 29.000 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 UNIT INVESTMENT COSTI UNIT OPERATINE COSTI 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 4.000 4 .000 4.000 4.000 4.000 POSTAS HEDICAS YEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .1500 .1600 .1700 .1900 .2000 I THOUSANDS OF PESOS REPLACEMENT VALUE .030 .030 .030 .030 .030 REPU6LICA OQHINICANA Test 1 . URBAN POPULATION PROPORTION OF POPULATION U SIN G P U B L IC HEALTH S E R V IC E S YEAR 19BO .7 0 0 1985 .7 5 0 1990 .8 0 0 1995 .8 5 0 2000 .9 0 0 H EDICQ S UNIT S E R V IC E YEAR RA T IO REPLACEMENT VALUE INVESTMENT C OST! U N IT OPERATING COST» 1980 .8 5 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 1985 1.0000 .0 33 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 1990 1 .7 0 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 1995 2 .40 00 .0 33 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 2000 3 .0 0 0 0 .0 3 3 9 8 .0 0 0 1 4 .0 0 0 CAHAS UNIT S E R V IC E RA T IO YEAR REPLACEMENT VALUE .1000 .0 40 .2 50 0 .0 4 0 INVESTMENT UNIT OPERATING C OST! C OST! 3 .00 0 2.000 1990 .3 0 0 0 .0 4 0 20.000 21.000 22.000 1995 .3 5 0 0 .0 4 0 2 3 .0 0 0 5 .0 0 0 2000 .4 0 0 0 .0 4 0 2 4 .0 0 0 à.OOO 1980 1985 • 4 .00 0 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA R E P U B LIC A DOMINICANA Test 1 I URBAN POPULATION T e st 1 RURAL POPULATION 6 TOTAL HEALTH PRQ RAN COSTS ( M IL L IO N S OF P ESO S TOTAL HEALTH PR06RAM COSTS (IN C L U D IN fi OVERHEAD) INVESTMENT YEAR j 1985 1 (IN C L U D IN 0P E R A T IN 6 TOTAL COSTS COSTS COSTS 1 7 0 .6 7 4 3 8.08 60 8 ,7 4 1990 4 4 6 .6 1 65 3 .1 1 1 0 9 9 .7 2 1995 6 5 7 .4 8 1 0 0 3 .2 B 2Ù00 1 6 6 0 .7 6 84 6 .3 1 1 4 4 6 .9 8 2 2 9 3 .2 9 U B L IC A DOMINICANA e st 6 ( M IL L IO N S OF PESO S OVERHEAD) INVESTMENT YEAR 1985 0PERAT1N6 COSTS COSTS 2 8 .5 7 1 5 0.53 1 7 9.10 1990 3 6 .4 3 1 6 6 .6 2 203.01 1995 3 9 .4 1 1 7 9.89 2 1 9 .3 ( 2000 4 6 .0 5 19 4 .6 2 2 4 0 .6 ; R E P U B LIC A DOM INICANA 1 T e st 1 IBAN POPULATION RURAL POPULATION TOTAL NUMBER OF S E R V IC E U N IT S REQ UIRED BY TYPE - - MEDICOS ( I N THOUSANDS) TOTAL NUMBER OF S E R V IC E U N IT S REQ U IRED BY TYPE - CAMAS MEDICOS CAMAS POSTAS M E D IC A S USER EAR USER POPULATION TOTAL COSTS YEAR POPULATION ,980 2 0 1 3 .8 1 .7 1 .36 1980 1 1 2 8 .0 .3 4 .1 7 ,985 2 7 4 2 .1 2 .74 .69 1985 1 1 7 9 .1 .3 8 .20 .1 9 .990 3 5 2 1 .8 5 .99 1 .0 6 1990 1 2 9 9 ,9 .4 5 .2 5 .22 995 4 3 8 1 .4 1 0 .5 2 1 .53 1000 5 3 0 8 .6 1 5 .9 3 2.12 .1 7 1995 1 4 1 4 .0 .5 2 .31 .2 7 2000 1 5 8 2 .3 .6 2 .4 0 .3 2 Û 1 -Ô 1 -1 9 B 0 0 1 :4 9 T e st 1 HEQICOS (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) TOTAL NEN ( H IL L IO N S OF P ESO S (THOUSANDS) tm n m m m tm n u m m m tt (EAR 1985 A D D IT IO N S .04 OPERATIN S COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS U N IT S REQ UIRED TOTAL REPLACEMENTS .10 .0 6 ( M IL L IO N S OF PESO S ) A D D IT IO N S REPLACEMENTS 5 .72 3.81 TOTAL TOTAL 1 8 .0 8 9.5 4 2 1 .1 6 1990 .0 8 .07 .1 4 7 .6 1 6.5 9 1 4 .2 0 1995 .07 .0 8 .1 5 6.68 7.7 9 1 4 .4 7 2 4 .7 7 2000 .0 9 .09 .1 9 9.21 9.05 1 8 .2 6 2 8 .9 3 U N IT S REQ UIRED ( H IL L IO N S OF PESO S tm m m m m m m m m tm n 1985 1 .03 TOTAL .34 1 .38 ( H IL L IO N S OF P ESO S ) mmmmmmu m tm m m tm m m m tm tm u REPLACEMENTS 0PERAT1M6 COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS (THOUSANDS) A D D IT IO N S ■ TOTAL NEN YEAR ) m nnm utm uum m tm m m m m m m tm u u tm • A D D IT IO N S 1 0 0 .9 7 REPLACEMENTS 3 3 .8 1 TOTAL TOTAL 13 4 .7 8 ’ 1 6 0 .7 7 1990 3.24 .6 5 3.8 9 31 8 .0 0 6 3 .6 0 3 8 1.60 1995 4.5 3 1 .2 7 5.79 4 4 3.79 1 2 4 .0 8 56 7 .8 7 60 0 .5 6 2000 5 .4 1 2 .07 7 .48 5 3 0.20 2 0 3 .0 2 7 3 3 .2 3 9 5 4 .6 3 3 2 0.74 POSTAS M ED IC A S (DATA A P P L IC A B L E TO IN T ERVA L E N D IN 6 IN YEAR S P E C IF IE D ) NEN TOTAL U N IT S REQ UIRED INVESTMENT COSTS (THOUSANDS) ( H IL L IO N S OF PESO S tm m m tm tm n m m tm tm YEAR 1985 A D D IT IO N S .02 REPLACEMENTS .0 3 TOTAL .05 0 P E R A T IN 6 COSTS ) tm m tm m m m m m m u m A D D IT IO N S .78 REPLACEMENTS 1 .06 TOTAL 1 .8 4 ( H IL L IO N S OF PESO S m m m m m m ti TOTAL 3.6 2 1990 .03 .0 3 .0 6 1 .2 9 1.21 2 .50 1995 .05 .0 4 2000 .0 8 1 .9 1 1 .44 3 .34 4 .98 .05 .04 .0 9 1 .9 1 1 .72 3 .64 5 .94 4 .16 'I CAHAS (DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDIN6 IN YEAR SPECIFIED) NEN UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) INVESTMENT COSTS (HILLIONS OF PESOS ummnmmmmmmmm YEAR ADDITIONS REPLACEMENTS .05 .05 .07 .09 .03 ,05 .06 .08 1985 1990 1995 2000 TOTAL ) tn u tu n m n n m m tm m m t ADDITIONS REPLACEMENTS 1.16 1.45 1.88 2 .4 6 .80 1.24 1.77 2.42 .08 .10 .13 .17 TOTAL TOTAL OPERATINB COSTS (HILLIONS OF PESOS ) m tm m tm m m m m TOTAL 1.51 2,98 5.15 8.33 1.96 2.69 3.65 4.88 CAHAS (DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR SPECIFIED) NEN UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) INVESTMENT COSTS (MILLIONS OF PESOS tm m m m m u m tm m u m t YEAR ADDITIONS 1985 1990 1995 2000 REPLACEMENTS .32 .37 .48 .59 .10 .16 .25 .35 MEDICOS OPERATING COSTS TOTAL COSTS ADDITIONS .42 .54 .72 .94 duKAL CUMULATIVE COSTS INVESTMENT COSTS TOTAL 62.11 102.23 164.34 HEALTH2.3 CAMAS 14.50 19.78 34.28 ) m tm m m m m m m m m m POSTAS H EDICAS REPLACEMENTS 6.67 8.02 10.79 13.93 0 1.98 3.56 5.59 B.30 TOTAL TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (MILLIONS OF PESOS ) m m m m m tm m m t TOTAL 8.65 11.59 16.38 22.24 7.21 16.32 30.82 52.75 * UAe>AtiO CUMULATIVE COSTS MEDICOS CAHAS ' 12.45 INVESTMENT COSTS 1999.22 64.74 OPERATING COSTS 2342.20 123.16 TOTAL COSTS 4341.42 187.90 20.56 33.01 REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 2 RURAL POPULATION PROPORTION OF POPULATION USING PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .400 .420 .450 .470 .500 POSTAS MEDICAS TEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .3000 .3200 .3500 .3700 .3900 REPLACEMENT VALUE .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 UNIT INVESTMENT COST! UNIT OPERATING COST! 98.000 98.000 98.000 98.000 98.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 CAMAS YEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .1500 .1700 .1900 .2200 .2500 REPLACEMENT VALUE .050 .050 .050 .050 .050 UNIT INVESTMENT COST» UNIT OPERATING COST! 25.000 26.000 27.000 28.000 29.000 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 UNIT INVESTMENT COST! UNIT OPERATING COST! 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 40.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 POSTAS MEDICAS YEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 .1500 .1600 .1700 .1900 .2000 REPLACEMENT VALUE .030 .030 .030 .030 .030 REPUBLICA DaHIHICANA Test 2 URBAN POPULATION PROPORTION OF POPULATION USINB PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICES YEAR 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 ■ .700 .750 .800 .850 .900 MEDICOS YEAR SERVICE RATIO 1980 1985. 1990 1995 2000 .8500 1.0000 1.7000 2.4000 3.0000 REPLACEMENT VALUE .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 UNIT INVESTMENT COST! UNIT OPERATING COST» 98.000 98.000 98.000 98.000 98.000 14,000 14.000 14.000 14.000 14.000 UNIT INVESTMENT CDSTI UNIT OPERATING COST! 20.000 21.000 22.000 23.000 24.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 CAMAS YEAR REPLACEMENT VALUE SERVICE .RATIO 1980 1985 • 1990 1995 2000 - CUHULATIVE COSTS .040 .040 .040 .040 .040 .1800 .2500 .3000 .3500 .4000 RUñAL. CAMAS lAEDicas INVESTMENT COSTS 0PERAT1N6 COSTS TOTAL COSTS 68.48 105.11 171.59 HEALTH2.3 15.35 20.46 35.82 POSTAS M EDICAS » 1 .. ..... CUMULATIVE COSTS t^«6/A WC MEDICOS CAM» 13.35 INVESTMENT COSTS 2106.09 68.25 OPERATING COSTS 2424.46 127.58 TOTAL COSTS 4530.55 195.84 21.14 34.49 REPUBLICA OOniNICANA Test 2 REPUBLICA DQHINICANA Test 2 URBAN POPULATION RURAL POPULATION TOTAL HEALTH PR06RAH COSTS (HILLIONS OF pesos (INCLUDING OVERHEAD) YEAR INVESTHENT COSTS OPERATING COSTS 1985 1990 1995 2000 29.09 37.57 41.23 48.70 150.67 167.16 181.11 196.87 TOTAL COSTS INVESTHENT COSTS OPERATING COSTS 173.56 459.93 691.08 906.88 439.17 659.97 1026.75 1502.26 1985 1990 1995 2000 TOTAL COSTS 612.73 1119.90 1717.83 2409.13 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 RORAL POPULATION URBAN POPULATION TOTAL NUMBER OF SERVICE UNITS REQUIRED BY TYPE - (IN THOUSANDS) POSTAS M CAMAS EDICAS •TOTAL NUMBER OF SERVICE UNITS REQUIRED BY TYPE - (IN THOUSANDS) POSTAS M EDICAS USER YEAR POPULATION 1128.0 1189.5 1328.9 1467.6 1666.9 YEAR 179.76 204.73 222.34 245.58 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 TOTAL HEALTH PR06RAN COSTS (HILLIONS OF pesos (INCLUDING OVERHEAD) MEDICOS CAMAS USER YEAR POPULATION .34 .38 .47 .54 .65 .17 .20 .25 .32 .42 .17 .19 .23 .28 .33 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2013.8 2766.2 3600.3 4547.5 5592.2 1.71 2.77 6.12 10.91 16.78 .36 .69 1.08 1.59 2.24 -Tí ^4 Z HEDICOS (DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDINO IN YEAR SPECIFIED) NEH UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) INVESTMENT COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos m m m m m m n m m m t m t (EAR 1985 1990 1995 2000 ADDITIONS 1.05 3.35 4.79 5.86 REPLACEMENTS .35 .66 1.30 2.16 TOTAL 1.40 4.01 6.10 8.03 NEH UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) mumtmmmmmmmtm EAR 1985 1990 1995 2000 ADDITIONS .04 .08 .08 .11 REPLACEMENTS .06 .07 .08 .10 TOTAL .10 .15 .16 .20 ) u m m m m tn m m tm m tm ADDITIONS 103.34 328.72 469.76 574.53 REPLACEMENTS 33.94 64.55 127.71 212.08 INVESTMENT COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos REPLACEMENTS 4.14 8.28 7.63 10.49 5.74 6.69 8.01 9.45 tm m n m u m m w TOTAL TOTAL 137.27 393.28 597.47 786.61 161.67 326.42 619.97 1000.17 ) m m m m n m m m m m tm t ADDITIONS TOTAL 0PERATIN8 COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos TOTAL 9.88 14.96 15.65 19.95 TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos mttmmmmmmm TOTAL 18.18 21.52 25.55 30.30 ) CAMAS ^ ^ (DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDIN6 IN YEAR SPECIFIED) NEN UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) INVESTMENT COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos u m m m m m m t m m t m m YEAR 1985 1990 1995 2000 ADDITIONS REPLACEMENTS .03 .05 .07 .09 TOTAL .05 .06 .07 .09 ADDITIONS .08 .11 .14 .18 1985 1990 1995 2000 .33 .39 .51 .65 REPLACEMENTS .10 .17 .25 .37 REPLACEMENTS .85 1.34 1.94 2.69 1.17 1.48 1.93 2.57 TOTAL TOTAL 2.01 2.81 3.88 5.25 ) u u m t m t m m m m m t m m ADDITIONS' REPLACEMENTS 6.79 8.40 11.57 15.24 1.99 3.62 5.76 8.67 .43 .56 .77 1.01 ) mtmmmmtmmm TOTAL INVESTMENT COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos t m m m t m m m m u m m m ADDITIONS ) m m m m u m m m m m m u NEN UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) YEAR TOTAL 0PERATIN6 COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos TOTAL 8.78 12.02 17.33 23.92 1.52 3.03 5.32 8.73 TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos tuttmtmutmm TOTAL 7.26 16.60 31.81 55.27 POSTAS MEDICAS (DATA APPLICABLE TO INTERVAL ENDING IN YEAR SPECIFIED) NEW UNITS REQUIRED (THOUSANDS) INVESTMENT COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos ntmmmuuuutumttmtu YEAR 1985 1990 1995 2000 ADDITIONS .02 .04 .05 .05 REPLACEMENTS .03 .03 .04 .05 TOTAL .05 .07 .09 .10 ) m m m t m m m m m m m m ADDITIONS .85 , 1.42 2.12 2.18 REPLACEMENTS 1X)7 1.23 1.48 1.80 TOTAL 1.91 2.65 3.60 3.98 TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (MILLIONS OF pesos ) mtmumututttmm TOTAL 3.64 4.23 5.14 6.22 AN E X O S ANao 1 E S T R U C T U R A DE LOS M O D U L O S EN L R P M / P C ANEXO ^ Fl-HELP F2-RÜN F3-BfiO«S£ F4-PfiINT F5-SAVE Hoie-lstNENU Pg-NextNENU F9-EXIT LRPH/PC Ol-Úl-eO 02:14 RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 DEH06RAPHIC D21 Base year population in lOOOs READY Hale 0- 4 5- 9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70t 429.55 403.24 388.67 347.12 281.69 221.13 176.58 140.00 118.43 98.75 89.06 60.43 50.14 39.35 49.74 Fetale 415.29 391.84 378.30 336.82 271.27 211.50 170.08 136.48 116.05 97.94 84.07 57.08 46.98 35.83 53.46 Fl-HELP F2-RÜN F3-BR0HSE F4-PRIHT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHEMü Pg-NextHEHU F9-EXIT LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:5B RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 DEMOGRAPHIC D21 Base year population in lOOOs Male 0- 4 5- 9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+ 429.55 403.24 388.67 347.12 281.69 221.13 176,58 140.00 118.43 98.75 89.06 60.43 50.14 39.35 49,74 Fetale 415.29 391.84 378.30 336.82 271.27. 211.50 170.08 136.48 116.05 97.94 84.07 57.08 46.98 35.83 53.46 READY AHLXO -5 Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0BSE F4-PR1HT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHENU Pq-HextHENU F9-EX1T LRPH/PC Ol-Ol-eO 01:58 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 RE« DEH06RAPHK: D03 Birth rates - Exogenous point rates 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 0.097 0.079 0.070 0.000 0.063 0.233 0.216 0.198 0.000 0.183 0.210 0.195 0.176 0.000 0.161 0.155 0.140 0.122 0.000 0.109 0.100 0.085 0.072 0.000 0.062 0.036 0.028 0.023 0.000 0.019 0.011 0.008 0.006 0.000 0.005 Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0MSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHENU Pg-HextHENU F9-Em BBHOBRfiPNleOlB«» OBldSh RtOis REEUiiiMtitOjUlkieANAteicst 2 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 READY 15-19 20-24 25-29, 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 0.101 0.090 0.083 0.000 0.075 0.243 0.233 0.226 0.000 0.215 0.219 0.210 0.197 0.000 0.186 0.162 0.148 0.136 0.000 0.125 0.105 0.090 0.060 0.000 0.071 0.038 0.030 0.025 0.000 0.022 0.011 0.008 0.007 0.000 0.005 Fi-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0RSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE Hote-lstHENU Pg-NextMEMU F9-EX1T LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01¡58 RDOl REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Test 1 DEMOGRAPHIC D12 Survival Rates - Male and feaale life expectancies READY Hale life expectancy 1980-84 1985-89 1990-94 1995-99 62.19 63.86 65.42 66.80 Feiale life expectancy 66.11 68.06 69.81 71.36 m ^} 5 LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:25 RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 RURAL/URBAN HI6RATI0H ROl Per cent urban in base year: SO.SO Initial age profile: 0 READY 0 - sate profile for rural and urban populations 1 = profiles to be input 1 Projection eethod: 1 = logistic 2 * growth-rate difference 3 * constant rural rate ^ ■ not currently used S = all eethods Method to be used for subsequent eodules: 1 (only if option S above is selected) Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0MSE F4-PR1MT F5-SAVE Hoee-UtKEMU Pg-RextHENU F9-EXIT LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:2b RD02 REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 2 RURAL/URBAN H16RAT10N R04 READY Projection Method: Logistic curve Asyaptotic per cent urban: ¿9.00 Second point in logistic curve Per cent urban: ¿0.38 Year; 1990 ANEXO 6 -A Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BROHSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE H o « -lstH EN U Pg-NextMENU F9-EXIT LRPH/PC O i-01-80 01 .‘ 36 SPECIAL POPULATIONS S02 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 P a rtic ip a t io n ra te s - URBAN HALE READY 1980 1985 1990 199502000 • • 4 /• 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+ 0.079 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.079 0.417 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.388 0.738 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.689 0.B77 0.000 0,000 0.000 0.877 0.910 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.910 0.930 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.930 0.935 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.935 0.920 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.920 0.873 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.873 0.790 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.697 0.690 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.562 0.582 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.437 0.455 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.288 Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-BR0HSE F4-PRIMT F5-SAVE How-lstHENU Pq-NextHENU F9-EXIT LRPH/PC Ol-Ol-BO 01:38 RDOl REPUBLICA DQHINICANA Test 1 SPECIAL POPULATIONS SOS Participation rates - RURAL FEHALE 1980 2000 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+ 0.149 0.134 0.233 0.233 0.257 0,270 0.270 0.283 0.278 0.292 0.283 0.297 0.288 0.302 0.291 0.306 0.278 0.278 0.277 0.277 0.272 0.272 0.262 0.262 0.250 0.250 READY mm 6-E, LRPH/PC 01-01-80 01:37 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 SPECIAL POPULATIONS S03 Participation rates - URBAN FEMALE READY 1980 2000 ij 4 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 • 65-69 70+ 0.036 0.036 0.193 0.157 0.416 0.478 0.457 0.560 0.457 0.504 0.450 0.511 0.400 0.460 0.347 0.368 0.290 0.276 0.240 0.201 0.200 0.154 0.160 0.118 0.115 0.070 Fl-HELP F2-RUN F3-6RQNSE F4-PRINT F5-SAVE Hoie-lstHENU Pg-NextNENU F9-EXIT LRPN/PC 01-01-80 01:37 RDOl REPUBLICA DOHINICANA Test 1 SPECIAL POPULATIONS S04 Participation rates - RURAL HALE READY 1980 2000 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+ 0.312 0.281 0.629 0.598 0.890 0.890 0.933 0.930 0.945 0.945 0.947 0.947 0.942 0.942 0.935 0.935 0.924 0.924 0.915 0.915 0.894 0.894 0.869 0.869 0.644 0.844