Riesgos e incertidumbres en el mediano y largo plazo: resultados de la encuesta del World Energy Issues Monitor 2016 Francisco Xavier Salazar Diez de Sollano, Presidente del WECMEX VIII Congreso Anual Conjunto de Asociaciones del Sector Energético y XVIII Congreso Anual de la AMEE 17 de junio de 2016 World Energy Issues Monitor ¿Qué es? • • • Publicación anual del WEC Resultado de encuestas a líderes del sector (autoridades, empresarios y expertos) 39 temas en 4 grupos: – – – – • Riesgos & vulnerabilidades macroeconómicos Geopolítica energética & asuntos regionales Política energética & ambiente de negocios Visión energética & tecnología Se miden grado de impacto, incertidumbre y urgencia Mapas resumen y su lectura La encuesta Propósito y lectura Incertidumbre electricity prices US policy market design unconventionals land use sustainable cities Brazil . hydrogen economy renewable energies global recession regional interconnection energy water nexus cyber terrorism climate framework ccs threats extreme weather risks electric storage exchange decentralised . . . China India . rates systems energy energy smart grids Middle East dynamics subsidies poverty trade barriers . large scale nuclear innovative transport accidents energy LNG affordability Russia . corruption Commodity prices talent . . .. energy efficiency EU Cohesion biofuels capital markets coal hydro Impacto .. Incertidumbres críticas Incertidumbre electricity prices market design unconventionals land use sustainable cities Brazil . hydrogen economy renewable energies Commodity global prices recession regional interconnection energy water nexus cyber terrorism climate framework ccs talent threats extreme weather risks electric storage exchange decentralised . . . . . rates China India systems energy energy smart grids Middle East dynamics subsidies poverty trade barriers . large scale energy efficiency nuclear innovative transport accidents energy LNG affordability Russia . US policy corruption . .. EU Cohesion biofuels capital markets coal hydro Impacto .. Temas que ameritan acción Incertidumbre electricity prices US policy market design unconventionals land use sustainable cities Brazil . hydrogen economy renewable energies global recession corruption Commodity prices regional interconnection energy water nexus cyber terrorism climate framework ccs talent threats extreme weather risks electric storage exchange decentralised . . . . . rates China India systems energy smart grids energy Middle East dynamics poverty trade barriers subsidies . large scale energy efficiency nuclear innovative transport accidents energy LNG affordability Russia . . .. EU Cohesion biofuels capital markets coal hydro Impacto .. Asuntos relevantes Incertidumbre electricity prices US policy market renewable energies design unconventionals land use global recession sustainable cities corruption Commodity prices regional interconnection energy water nexus terrorism Brazil . hydrogen economy cyber threats climate framework ccs talent extreme weather risks electric storage exchange decentralised . . . . . rates China India systems energy energy smart grids Middle East dynamics subsidies poverty trade barriers . large scale energy efficiency nuclear innovative transport accidents energy LNG affordability Russia . . .. EU Cohesion biofuels capital markets coal hydro Impacto .. Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre US policy . . .. . . Impacto Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre corruption . . .. . . Impacto Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre . . .. . . nuclear Impacto Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre . . .. . smart grids . Impacto Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre . . .. . . energy efficiency Impacto Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre . . .. extreme weather . risks . Impacto Seguimiento en el tiempo Incertidumbre . . .. climate framework . . Impacto ¡Gracias! www.wecmex.org.mx